Dohnjoe wrote: » Myself, I am struggling to think of a crypto product, with (proper) real world use and volume whereby the value of the crypto is increasing in proportion with the scale/revenue of that crypto use
Dohnjoe wrote: » A solid example with figures that represent actual customers and volumes
Dohnjoe wrote: » Also, I can't think of any crypto project where the total market value of coins/tokens in circulation is the justifiable relative worth of what the company produces (final products, not never-ending development)
Dohnjoe wrote: » Finally - what's to say the whole market isn't overvalued e.g. 10x
makeorbrake wrote: » You were provided with a 'solid example'.
Grumpypants wrote: » Anyway back to being excited. Nice bump this morning. €140 ETH and €6560 Bitcoin.
Dohnjoe wrote: » You've provided a very lengthy blog. If the details like revenue, profit, customers and other figures are in there, cool, but I couldn't find them.
makeorbrake wrote: » He demanded an example of real use case
Dohnjoe wrote: » It's more than that, I would suggest reading it again.
Dohnjoe wrote: » No one in this thread has addressed it properly or provided a clear cut example.
Blueshoe wrote: » The only people that think bitcoin is worth anything are those who own some. The vast majority of people don't think it's worth anything.
makeorbrake wrote: » No - I've gone to enough trouble.
Dohnjoe wrote: » Haven't seen any posts properly addressing it in this thread. I have an absurdly high amount of alts, most of which I researched 3 years ago, and apart from the exchange coins I don't think any of them are operating under their own steam/revenue - let alone there being any tie between real-world performance and value of their token Some have produced a final product which no one is interested in or they are going through the neverending development cycle to hype the price of their token which has no correlation with the actual real-world performance and service provided by the company behind If these were companies most would be in default. The only reason why all of them are still going is this crazy secondary market, which is based almost entirely on pure gambling/speculation.
makeorbrake wrote: » Ok, so in summary, you've invested in something that you think is junk and you think will remain junk. I'd suggest you sell them all off today. Problem solved.
Dohnjoe wrote: » I'm invested in herd psychology. A part of that are investors who see crypto as an "ideology", they are emotional vested in it for X or Y reasons. However if projects and coins remain in development "purgatory" or perpetual unfinished states, there's the risk that even these investors will lose faith. So from an investment standpoint, yeah that's a worry.
Dohnjoe wrote: » As for whether most of this is junk, absolutely it is, we'd all agree on that.
Dohnjoe wrote: » But people still pump cash into coins like Bitcoin Diamond as part of the whole herd psychology thing, there is literally a market for dog****, it's almost as reliable as it is illogical.
Dohnjoe wrote: » For the rest that isn't "junk", can it stand up to basic investor scrutiny? that's what this discussion is exploring (exposing), that's the part that is looking shakier over time. Thinning the herd so to speak, which isn't good.
Dohnjoe wrote: » e.g. take the top 100 crypto's, forget the "currency" coins. Which of those projects generates the largest revenue/profits?
maninasia wrote: » Good recommends, also like KCS long term. Ethereum is a great pick , it's the Microsoft OS of crypto, I can't see any other game in town. It has real and valid use cases. LEND/AAVE have innovated very well and I trust that team. kyber network a good one too for DeFi.
maninasia wrote: » I got REALLY pissed off when bitcoin **** the boat again when literally it's whole use case (the alternative to cash) was blown apart. I don't like bitcoin and fandom around it but I still hold a portion .
Lex Luthor wrote: » for anyone interested after that, Brad Garlinghouse of Ripple talks about Ripple & XRP (2:10:00 timeline)
makeorbrake wrote: » Hmm...if you see no tangible benefit or use case - no positive attributes - no promise to the technology, investing on the basis of 'herd psychology' seems like a very shaky strategy. I think you know yourself then that the answer is to sell up. As an aside, was 'herd psychology' also the basis for your initial investment back in 2017?
grindle wrote: » Numerai I'd hazard a guess this is the most profitable project using a token as integral to their model, outside of an exchange. They dole out anywhere from $10k+ to $140k+ (back when the market was insane) a month in prizes - over $23m so far, roughly 70% of which is from other scientists staking tokens gambling that their data is correct and 30% is a top-off from the hedge fund/Numerai - to data scientists given anonymised datasets of real-world stocks or assets, they make their predictions and the closer their prediction of the stock's performance is to the outcome, the more they win. I'd be stunned if Fred Wilson and Richard Craib weren't earning hundreds of thousands if not millions per month from the predictions.
Dohnjoe wrote: » It's been successful, my first investments were in 2013.
Dohnjoe wrote: » But that doesn't detract from the fact that most of it is garbage.
Dohnjoe wrote: » A fork of a fork of BTC is worth 3.5 bn. That's insane, there's no reason or logic to it. No one can explain or demonstrate how it's worth that.
Dohnjoe wrote: » No one can explain or demonstrate how it's worth that.
Dohnjoe wrote: » I could e.g. give you the financials of a company and from that you or anyone could derive the approximate share value, but you can't do that with most cryptos.
Dohnjoe wrote: » That's because the value is almost entirely based on herd psychology. But that's the attraction, a crazy irrational market that any schmuck can make big gains on.
Dohnjoe wrote: » Is this going to go on forever? who knows,
Dohnjoe wrote: » but I am definitely getting more concerned, bit by bit it's getting exposed for what it really is
Dohnjoe wrote: » (e.g. the 40% drop of the entire market in a matter of hours,
Dohnjoe wrote: » the fact that it apparently isn't a hedge against the economy dropping, etc).
Dohnjoe wrote: » How's your Neufund and GoChain doing?
makeorbrake wrote: » Ok, and in 2013, are you saying that you invested on the basis of herd psychology? ...and that there was no other motivation?
Dohnjoe wrote: » Well yeah, that and money. Price is all we pretty much talk about.
makeorbrake wrote: » So in 2013, you said to yourself this is incredible muck, all of these guys are fools - I see no attribute in this technology but I can make money off these fools?
What I find fascinating though is that in tandem with that, you're happy to invest in something that you believe has zero attributes and zero merits.
Can you disclose what crypto's you're holding? Surely then there's no selection process - you just buy random crypto's. I mean - according to you - they're all shíte so there wouldn't be a need to assess the merits of one against another right?
What would your recommend as a buy right now - and what indicators do you suggest to get out of the market in advance of the 'herd'?