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Share Picks 2020

beertons

Shoot.

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Nemeses2050

i'm looking at getting some of Ryanair and CRH from Iseq and a bit of delta depending on fall.

Mezcita

Think there's much further to go here. Especially once the number of confirmed cases becomes clearer in the US.

ELM327

Yes, it's possible that they drop further, especially the likes of BA.
If you fancy a vegas like punt, there's always TSLA lol

Nemeses2050

Shedite27 wrote: »

They've just announced they're close to grounding all planes, why would ya be thinking of buying? I understand they'll come back but surely they're nowhere near out of the woods

I understand that, however we can't time the market...and at current price it looks decent. so i'm going to accumulate may be 15-20% what I plan to invest in them.

Mad_maxx

Considering the purchase of ires reit

Rents will fall but property is a tangible asset, not going to disappear

Approaching an all time low and 80 % below yearly high

cefh17

Bloodbath

Shedite27

cefh17 wrote: »

Bloodbath

Bit over dramatic IMO, We're back to Thursday's level

Mad_maxx

Shedite27 wrote: »

Bit over dramatic IMO, We're back to Thursday's level

Europe is 20% below Thursday

bilbot79

ELM327 wrote: »

Am waiting for US markets to open, and see what happens, have my eye on BA and AAL

What happens to your holding if the government intervenes?

ELM327

bilbot79 wrote: »

What happens to your holding if the government intervenes?

It gets diluted to nothing, same as AIB/BOI shares

Underground

I'm still not underwater on MSFT shares and I only bought them in August.

bilbot79

ELM327 wrote: »

It gets diluted to nothing, same as AIB/BOI shares

I reckon I might lose my airline stocks this way

ELM327

bilbot79 wrote: »

I reckon I might lose my airline stocks this way

Its a risk of course, but that's why you dont buy stocks with money you cant afford to lose

BikeRacer

I wouldn't touch airlines now tbh. I have Delta and Ryanair on my watchlist but I don't expect to be going near them for a least a few months.

coolshannagh28

Mohammed el erian ex head of Pimco and a truthful analyst says markets can still fall at least another 20 % , this could look conservative in a couple of weeks time if good news does not come out of Italy or progress on a vaccine.

ELM327

BikeRacer wrote: »

I wouldn't touch airlines now tbh. I have Delta and Ryanair on my watchlist but I don't expect to be going near them for a least a few months.

The next couple of weeks is where the value is. In a few months we'll be on the way to the other side of the virus, likely with a vaccine.

bilbot79

ELM327 wrote: »

The next couple of weeks is where the value is. In a few months we'll be on the way to the other side of the virus, likely with a vaccine.

I think a sniff of a vaccine and this all goes away

Mad_maxx

coolshannagh28 wrote: »

Mohammed el erian ex head of Pimco and a truthful analyst says markets can still fall at least another 20 % , this could look conservative in a couple of weeks time if good news does not come out of Italy or progress on a vaccine.

El erian is just about the sharpest mind in the game

bcklschaps

bilbot79 wrote: »

I think a sniff of a vaccine and this all goes away

I agree. But the companies developing the vaccines are saying themselves that they are still several months away from a safe effective Human tested vaccine. Human's may have developed our own immunity to Covid-19 by then.

What kind of shape are the world economies going to be in by mid summer ? Banking crisis is just around the corner too and what if food production gets hit ?

I would think markets still have some way to fall.

I'm staying in cash til this blows over.

Thargor

Anyone buying today is nuts, we dont even have a clue wtf is happening in America right now, theres weeks of this ahead of us yet.

ELM327

Anyone selling today is nuts
Anyone buying today is speculative

coolshannagh28

This is a bear market and the only play is short or keep your powder dry .

ELM327

bilbot79 wrote: »

I think a sniff of a vaccine and this all goes away

I'd tend to agree

coolshannagh28 wrote: »

This is a bear market and the only play is short or keep your powder dry .

shorting is a possible winner at this time once you can afford to double down if needed

The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent!

coolshannagh28

ELM327 wrote: »

I'd tend to agree

shorting is a possible winner at this time once you can afford to double down if needed

The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent!

Difficult to find an entry point that doesn't whipsaw and snap your nerve and solvency

voluntary

My bet is that we're somewhere in the middle of this selloff. Not touching stock until late April at the earliest.
There will be many days like today in the next few weeks.

The Phantom Jipper

The last time the S&P was around 2500 was during the government shutdown in December 2018, and before that was Autumn 2017. The outlook feels infinitely more dire now than it did then so I don't see how there isn't further to fall

manonboard

voluntary wrote: »

My bet is that we're somewhere in the middle of this selloff. Not touching stock until late April at the earliest.
There will be many days like today in the next few weeks.

I say about 70% into the sell off. There are just sooo many unknowns.
The infection data from US is practically non existent compared to true cases. 1 Trillion magic money appearing just to stave off the panic fall curve to something more manageable. Bail out of airlines likely with some maybe nationalized. Service industry going to grind to a halt. Huge demand in social services required. No data at all at immunity rates or duration or possibilities. Best case scenario vaccines still a year away from mass consumption.

I feel like now the message of how serious this is going to be is starting to appear clear. That's a great thing. A lot less thinking of flipping on a quick recovery market. Proper fear for the proper dire consequences of the situation.

There is plenty of money to be made in recovery.. as always, but recovery is not fast, and that's OK.

I dont have the stones unfortunately to short. It seems so much riskier to me than not making money. Kudos to the good people here who can stomach it. I'd lose the run of myself.

lastusername

Made my first investment in ZM last week, return is 8.15% right now.

voluntary

manonboard wrote: »

I say about 70% into the sell off.

It's sometimes worth to take a step back and look at the big picture.

Having medium strength balls you'd want to wait until at least tech index hits 5400, with strong balls you'd wait even for 3600 before going shopping.

peterofthebr

you need to watch covid-19
-how will eu be in 7 days?. ..never mind usa.

-also watching oil (big problems with shale companies now) ..

-the big one is the existing dept. that was issue without impact of virus..

us equities i feel are still overpriced ... not sure if fed can give confidence with all the virus unknowns