Peregrinus wrote: » Under the constitution, every member of the government has the right to attend and be heard in each house of the Oireachtas. This remains so even if a Minister has lost his seat, so Ministers in this situation can still be held accountable. One problem with requiring reassignment of portfolios is that it would put a powerful patronage tool in the hands of a Taoiseach who has, in fact, failed to secure the confidence of the Dail. While it's necessary that he continue to carry out his duties until a successor is appointed, the less he has to do the better. A second problem is that it would tend to frustrate the purpose of the "continue temporarily to carry out duties" provision, which is to ensure continuity and minimise disruption. A new minister has to master his brief, review his predecessors policy positions, etc. This is not an ideal time for that - especially as it's highly likely that the new minister would himself be replaced in a matter of weeks, and the whole process would be repeated. Honestly, I'm not sure why a Minister not being a member of either house during this interim period should be a huge problem.
Peregrinus wrote: » Seems to me that the main change that a fixed time limit for new elections would bring is to strengthen the bargaining hand of parties that are expected to do well in a new election, and weaken the hand of those not expected to. But this may result in a party getting to form or lead a government on the basis of an expectation that it would win in an election, rather than on the basis of actually winning in an actual election; from a democratic point of view, is that a desirable outcome? Also worth pointing out that there is no guarantee that a new election would actually break any stalemate; Israel has just had its third election in a row, and the stalemate there persists.
efanton wrote: » TTrue. but its also ridiculous that FF/FG having refused to even consider SF as a partner. are dancing round in circles as if there can be another government possible now other than a FF/FG/other government. Had FF not slammed the door in SF's face a FF/SF coalition might have been possible.
Umaro wrote: » I think its problematic that parties can run with an election promise of "we won't go into coalition with them". After the results FF and FG both said they couldn't go into coalition with SF because people had voted for them because of this promise. Well who knows what % of their vote had that has a priority, but they made it a pillar of the campaign anyway. This deadlocked things before the count had even started.
efanton wrote: » True. but its also ridiculous that FF/FG having refused to even consider SF as a partner. are dancing round in circles as if there can be another government possible now other than a FF/FG/other government. Had FF not slammed the door in SF's face a FF/SF coalition might have been possible.
efanton wrote: » The point here is parties were well aware of the few options available to form a government withing the first week, yet they dance around and expect the electorate to belief that they are working as hard as they can to form a government. They are elected representatives its their job to accept the will of the people not the other way round. If FF and SF are the biggest parties with enough commonality to potentially form a government FF had no right to slam doors. It was the peoples right to decide if SF were suitable for government not FG or FF. The same goes for any other party.
Peregrinus wrote: » Well, for that matter if SF didn’t have the rather murky background it does, an FF/SF coalition might have been possible. But we are where we are. Exactly. And 3 out of 4 people, offered the opportunity to vote for SF, gave their first preference to someone else. We can say that many people consider SF suitable for government; we certainly can’t say that “the people” do, or even that a majority of the people do. The bottom line here is that for a viable government to emerge from this process, anyone who wants to participate in that government is going to have to do a bit of climbing-down from positions previously adopted. That goes for SF as much as it does for anyone else. The relevant fact here is not that SF did much better than predicted or expected, or that they got more votes than any other party; it’s that they failed to secure a majority, just like all the other parties. But this opens up an opportunity, for parties willing to take it. The fact that you haven’t secured a majority makes it easier to climb down from the positions you’ve previously adopted because, clearly, those positions have not won a mandate from the people. And the people are sovereign, aren’t they? But this climbing down can be a difficult process. You have to climb down carefully, and strategically, and intelligently, in a way that does actually lead to the formation of a viable government. And since this depends also on how and in what ways other potential governement partners do their climbing-down, it tends to proceed fairly cautiously. And, secondly, you have to bring your supporters, your key stakeholders, and important opinion-influencers, along with you. In short, doing this successfully takes time. Which is basically why I’m opposed to this idea of a fixed guillotine, which will cut off the process at an arbitrary point and default to a new election. In a multi-party democracy with no dominant players, the key political skills are finding common ground and consensus-building, and you need a constitutional order which encourages that and makes the space for it.
Micheál Martin 'rattled' as sparks fly at Fianna Fáil party meeting where 'rhetoric' on SF criticised
Leo Varadkar re-emphasised his insistence that his party will not enter government
efanton wrote: » Which obviously is not happening.https://www.breakingnews.ie/ireland/micheal-martin-rattled-as-sparks-fly-at-fianna-fail-party-meeting-where-rhetoric-on-sf-criticised-985996.htmlhttps://www.breakingnews.ie/ireland/fine-gael-insist-they-wont-go-into-govt-after-ff-policy-exchange-985773.html Surely the will of the people should be respected. its not for FF or FG to decide that SF were not fit for government, that was the electorates decision.
efanton wrote: » I can understand FG not talking to SF, their policies are diametrically opposed, but still they should have gone through that formality. That meeting would be over in a matter of hours. I cant understand Michael Matins approach, FF and SF share far more common ground, especially when many in his own party actually disagree with him. Leo will stay leader of FG, but if Michael Martin cant get a coalition with FG over the line he will be gone at their next Ard Feis if he doesnt resign as leader before then.
efanton wrote: » I hope Leo and Michael know what they are doing, but it going to end horribly for both if another election is the result.
efanton wrote: » I can see FG trying to make Martin to open talks with SF. It would be the tactical thing to do, to extract maximum concessions. But I could see that back firing spectacularly if SF refused to deal with FF while Martin remains leader. The Greens are making demands that FF party simply will not agree to, such as the scrapping of the N20, and the longer these talks take the less likely it will be for the Green to come on board. As I see it neither Leo nor Michael have the time to 'have to climb down carefully, and strategically, and intelligently'. There is only two games in town now a FF/FG coalition if and only if the Greens are prepared to jump on board, or a new election.
Well, you can argue that the electorate have made precisely that decision, in not giving SF the seats it needed to form a government.
efanton wrote: » Surely the will of the people should be respected. its not for FF or FG to decide that SF were not fit for government, that was the electorates decision.
Imreoir2 wrote: » The people do not elect the government, they elect TDs. The will of the people is that 37 of those TD would be members of SF and this has been respected. That the other TDs in the Dáil don't want to do a deal to put SF in government has nothing to do with the supposed "will of the people". Government formation is a job for elected representatives, it is not a matter of trying to devine what the "will of the people" dictates.
efanton wrote: » But the fact remains SF And FF were the most popular party's in the country, and no TD, or existing government member has the right to declare any elected TD unfit to be in government.
efanton wrote: » Generally people will vote for a party. More than often they will vote for a sub par TD in order to support that party. If a TD is elected, no matter which party they represent, ALL TD's and ALL parties should respect that the people of that constituency elected that TD to represent them as a TD or if that party has sufficient numbers as potentially a minister.
Th point remains though that NO party should be excluded from talks in government formation. If there is significant policy differences between two party's then I agree that it is unlikely and unreasonable to expect them to become government partners, those talks would be over in a matter of hours, but never the less should take place.
But the fact remains SF And FF were the most popular party's in the country, and no TD, or existing government member has the right to declare any elected TD unfit to be in government.
BonnieSituation wrote: » TDs are legislators. They are not delegates* and as such, representing the people is not their primary role.
So there should be meetings involving ALL 160 TDs to shape a government? The only input the Dáil has in govt formation is the vote for Taoiseach. That's it.
We have a PR-STV system. Popularity is not a prerequisite to government formation. It just usually how they are formed. Usually. What happened at the last GE is unprecedented in Irish parliamentary history.
Technically any grouping of at least 80 TDs can form a coalition govt. Nothing stopping anybody, except maths.
efanton wrote: » I cannot see any reason whatsoever why this country should be without government for almost there months, and quite possibly longer. Surely, especially in the current backdrop of a virus epidemic, there is a perfectly valid case for a time limit to be set on government formation.
efanton wrote: » True. but its also ridiculous that FF/FG having refused to even consider SF as a partner. are dancing round in circles as if there can be another government possible now other than a FF/FG/other government. Had FF not slammed the door in SF's face a FF/SF coalition might have been possible. The point here is parties were well aware of the few options available to form a government withing the first week, yet they dance around and expect the electorate to belief that they are working as hard as they can to form a government. They are elected representatives its their job to accept the will of the people not the other way round. If FF and SF are the biggest parties with enough commonality to potentially form a government FF had no right to slam doors. It was the peoples right to decide if SF were suitable for government not FG or FF. The same goes for any other party. With regards that you might not still form a government if there was another election, i think the Irish electorate are savvy enough to adjust their voting to so that the government could be formed, and vent their anger and refuse to vote for parties with the biggest mandates who refuse to form coalitions if it came to a third election. Political parties are well aware of that, and if they get punished for forcing yet more elections that punishment is totally justified. TD's are elected by the people to do a job, it's their job to now get on with it. An employee doesn't tell an employer what work conditions or who they will not work with after accepting a job. If theses TD's don't want the job then they should never have stood. If their manifesto or previous record wasn't sufficient to garner a majority vote then they only have themselves to blame and that goes for all parties including SF. THey must accept what they offered was not acceptable to the majority of the people and be prepared to comprise so a government can be formed. If there was another election and SF/FF had an outright majority then SF have to accept they will be working with FF, and FF will have to accept they will be working with SF and both will have to find common ground. Instead of slinging mud that energy would be better used finding a way to work together. Its the new reality that from now on this country's elections will not result in one party having a majority. I dont think that has sunk in with the political parties yet, so I still think a time limited period for forming government would be a good idea.
efanton wrote: » Generally people will vote for a party. More than often they will vote for a sub par TD in order to support that party. If a TD is elected, no matter which party they represent, ALL TD's and ALL parties should respect that the people of that constituency elected that TD to represent them as a TD or if that party has sufficient numbers as potentially a minister. Th point remains though that NO party should be excluded from talks in government formation. If there is significant policy differences between two party's then I agree that it is unlikely and unreasonable to expect them to become government partners, those talks would be over in a matter of hours, but never the less should take place. But the fact remains SF And FF were the most popular party's in the country, and no TD, or existing government member has the right to declare any elected TD unfit to be in government.
Randy Archer wrote: » So by your logic, Michael Lowry is fit to be in government .sweet Jesus h Christ ...
It’s not always a vote for the party either, some guys have a personal vote rather than just the party. How else would someone like Brendan Howlin manage to get elected time and time again during Labours highs and lows (he did get one election without campaigning as he was a ceann comhairle)
People waffle about the excellent first preference vote SF got , but that is massively inflated . Not a dig at SF party strategists as they played a blinder .
Look at where they scored their biggest Counts. The border counties , they got 40-45% of the vote in Donegal, Cavan Monaghan , Louth . They did marvellous in the crowded Dublin 8 area with double the quota . But where else did they get over 40 % ? Again, yes, they toped the polls in many areas, one remarkable one was Cork South Central where 3 ,not 2 , would be Taoisigh /party leaders of the present and future were lagging behind So do the border counties and Dublin 8 speak for the rest of the State ? More people voted for non SF parties than they did vote Sf
efanton wrote: » He is no longer a member of any party. How would could he possibly be in government unless FF invited him? Not always, but more than often the case. There are still families and thousands of people in this country that would support a party without even considering who the candidate was, and there is no denying that. But its not votes that count is it? It is the number of seats in the Dail attained. of 37 SF candidates elected 27 were elected on the first count. Is there really that many constituencies in the border counties? Would it be fairer to say that in general SF did better than every party in most constituencies across the country than any other party if we are talking about first preference votes and not transfers. What they lacked in comparison to FF or FG was total number of candidates. Had they run more there's no doubt that SF would be looking at 40 seats at least. No doubt a lesson learned for SF HQ along with ensuring next time out they have solid transfer agreements with parties that they might rely on, and transfer to, where possible in order to be able to form a government. More people voted for non SF parties than they did vote Sf agreed, but even more voted against FG or FF. so whats you point? Is there a point?
Randy Archer wrote: » 1. Lowry always forms a technical group for speaking rights. McGrath ,Moron and Ross had no problems getting Ministerial roles despite canvassing as Independents . Zappone was also an Independent and she got the children’s gig Lowry gets voted into the Dáil, by your logic , he has every right to be considered to form a government ,as does most Independents who always form a technical group in order to get speaking rights . There’s nothing stopping any party from inviting any Independent into government, which they have multiple times 2. Don’t deny the blind faith party support ,regardless of candidate , but people do have personal votes too 3. Agree, seats ,not how many first preferences votes,do count, but try telling that to Shinners over the first month since the elections ,waffling about said first preference votes . 4. Two SF candidates got elected on the first count in Donegal . Same in Cavan Monaghan and I think in Louth, or least the second Shinner got in by the third . That 6 TDs in those three constituencies As for the waffle about if Shinners ran more and being so certain lol . Based on what ? Their existence in many counties is almost non existent and they got wiped out in the locals . Name one credible SF candidate from Dublin Central who could be strong enough to take advantage of Mary Lou’s surplus vote and get in and avoid splitting Mary Lou’s vote . Likewise do the same for Dublin 8 where Aegnus got a monster vote . If you look around the countRay, some of the sf folk who got through were already knocking on the door for some time eg the girl in Mayo . A few others do well in the locals so Dáil was possible in time but of course there were a few out of the blue votes eg Westmeath Nothing against the SF Girl from Roscommon - Galway (and her main area was the small Galway part, so getting elected was impressive ) but she got lucky big time . Something that won’t happen next time , here’s why FF completely ****ed that up by forcing the sitting FF Td to be partnered up with another FF candidate (Heyden) literally at the last minute, that split the ff vote that is always there in Roscommon . Just like the balls up SF made in Donegal in the General election in 2016, needlessly losing a safe seat when they tried to grab three . That mistake won’t happen in Roscommon again Then there’s Westmeath Longford. By no means was Boxer Moran that popular despite the Shannon stuff he claimed he did (failed to vote for the army ,which was a death sentence to his political career in a garrison town) ,but the fact that the people in South Westmeath ie Athlone now realise they don’t have a TD , the SF girl in Mullingar , who had unceremoniously got told to jog on in the local elections , would struggle to keep her seat , because FG aren’t going to lose theirs , and Longford will vote tactically too to get their man in (And he won’t be a SF candidate ) Shin Fein ran all the credible candidates that they had and well done them. Had they not spent the last five years bullying people out of the party well, then maybe you’d have a point .
Long_Wave wrote: » It seems to me that there is nothing to stop a previous government going a whole 5 year term in these hung dail situations. We currently have an number of ministers who have lost their seats, even though the constitution says a minister must be a TD (or 2 can come from the seanad). Surely at a minimum portfolios of ministers who have lost their seats should be reassigned to ministers with seats.
efanton wrote: » Can you name a single government formed in the history of this state where the party that gained the most seats was not part of government?
alias no.9 wrote: » There have been at 3 coalition governments in my lifetime than have excluded the party with the most seats and I'm in my early 40s. The only thing that entitles any party to be in government is a parliamentary majority. While I agree that there should be a timely repeat election in the instance that parties fail to come together to command a parliamentary majority, lets kill the notion that any party has a right to be in government just because they got one more seat than another party I doubt you'd complain if the seat tally had been or possibly after the next election would be FG(45) SF(43) FF(40) and SF and FF went on to form a government, excluding FG which makes your argument disingenuous here.
BonnieSituation wrote: » TDs are legislators. They are not delegates* and as such, representing the people is not their primary role. So there should be meetings involving ALL 160 TDs to shape a government? The only input the Dáil has in govt formation is the vote for Taoiseach. That's it. We have a PR-STV system. Popularity is not a prerequisite to government formation. It just usually how they are formed. Usually. What happened at the last GE is unprecedented in Irish parliamentary history. Technically any grouping of at least 80 TDs can form a coalition govt. Nothing stopping anybody, except maths.*NB. I am of course ignoring the literal translation of TD of "Assembly Delegate" as "Member of the Dáil is the accepted translation today.
Randy Archer wrote: » How else would someone like Brendan Howlin manage to get elected time and time again during Labours highs and lows (he did get one election without campaigning as he was a ceann comhairle)