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Fancies For Today III

realdanbreen

JP's horse, Off you go , was a bit one paced in Cork last time out but I would expect a bit better today, 11-2.

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SonOfGoat

Few nice ones lined up for later even thought only 1 afternoon meeting. Still some nice opportunities, I believe anyway.

I'm having 1 bet on the South African before the UK stuff starts.

In the 10.40 @ Fairview, Marmara Sea is around 4/7 and very short in price but when you look what kind of races it's run in and what it's against today, 4/7 looks value to me. I'm still backing the horse to win.

I'm out til later. Good luck to anyone betting today.

SonOfGoat

I've decided to have 1 last bet for 2 reasons. The first reason is, the last 2 bets came in and I'm flush and the second is, the horse is a bigger price than I expected, though it's still quite short.

3.50 Fontwell, Notre Pari. Around 4/6 and might seem short but I have the horse priced up at 1/4 so to me 4/6 is like buying money. I just can't see the horse getting beaten today. I'm still backing the horse to win.

That's it now until tomorrow.

SonOfGoat

My only other bet of the day.

3.20 Fontwell, Thomas Darby, around 6/4 and another lay bet for me. I don't think the horse will win today.

I'm out.

SonOfGoat

3.10 Naas, Andy Dufresne. Around even money. I don't think the horse will win today. I've been laying it the past while. My best bet of the day. The second fav really should win the race but again I'm playing it safe and just laying Andy Dufresne.

Good luck

Outlaw Pete

Leighton Aspell's last day as a professional jockey and thinking one of his two mounts will surely "win" nudge nudge wink wink.

https://twitter.com/RacingTV/status/1231247147791679489

The latter of the two has been backed in from 10's to 7/2 in places.

SonOfGoat

My last bet of the day.

4.37 Fairyhouse, Sizing Pottsie. Around even money or 11/10. I'm laying the horse today. I don't think it will win.

I'm done til tomorrow. Good luck

SonOfGoat

3.15 Lingfield, Bangkok, around 8/11 and I'm laying the horse I don't think it will win. It's my best bet of the day.

PillarToPost

1.45 don magnifica 33/1

SonOfGoat

Few nice ones lined up for today.

1.15 Kempton, Commanche Red, horse is around 2/1 but I'm not liking the horse at all. I'm laying this hard as I can't see it winning. I very much like the second fav Master Tommytucker and at around 5/2 I was very tempted to have a win bet on the horse but I decided to play it safe and just lay Commanche Red.

Some nice racing today, good luck to anyone betting.

zimmermania

Newcastle off.So just one bet today and won't be very active on the punting front for the week as i have to put up with the 19/20 degrees weather in the Algarve.

zimmermania

The Eider chase at 2.45 Newcastle over 4 miles will be a real slog and there may not be many finishers if the race takes place.

One who will not mind the going or the trip is PETITE POWER an out and out stayer ridden regularly nowdays by a 7 lb claiming amateur Liam Harrison.

The 7 lbs he takes off will be useful and the 11 year old stayer is worth a bet.

Two others worth a few quid are McGowans Pass 3. 55 also at Newcastle and Song For Somone in the 2.25 at Kempton.

SonOfGoat

I'm having a bet on the usa. Delayed 9.46 @ Tampa, Drillomatic is hovering around the 2/1 mark on the exchange and I think it's a great price. I'm not a big fan of the jockey Daniel Centeno but if he keeps it simple the horse will go very close and hopefully win well. I've had a few bob win on the horse.

zimmermania

An all ireland price 4/1

munster87

munster87 wrote: »

She’s a babe in the half 8 for interest. 12/1 Bet365

Went off at 6s! Someone liked it. Still no good.

SonOfGoat

8.15 Wolverhampton, Watheer, it's around 6/4/ish and I've had a nice win bet on the horse. My only bet of the day. I'll be very very surprised if the horse doesn't scoot home tonight.

munster87

She’s a babe in the half 8 for interest. 12/1 Bet365

Lady Haywire

Funky Dady & Anna Bunina. For me.

zimmermania

razorhead wrote: »

Was told he was well fancied as well...not sure if that's a
good sign or not..

I backed Hogans earlier today and am tempted to have a stake saver on Stacks at 14/1.

razorhead

zimmermania wrote: »

I was told Dennis Hogans SCEPTICAL is fancied in the 8.30 Dundalk and also that Stacks horse NEVEREVERSAYNEVER is coming back to form and is expected to run well.

Was told he was well fancied as well...not sure if that's a
good sign or not..

zimmermania

I was told Dennis Hogans SCEPTICAL is fancied in the 8.30 Dundalk and also that Stacks horse NEVEREVERSAYNEVER is coming back to form and is expected to run well.

zimmermania

zimmermania wrote: »

Ew lucky 15 today

Thawry 9 to 25.15 Wol.Seaforth 7 to 1 5 45 Wol.
Perfect Symphony 4 to1 4.30 Ling and Hot Hot Hot 8 to1 5 of Ling.

Not even a placed horse and two of them never put into the race,Lads get my 60 euro.

PillarToPost

4.30 Nautical haven 9/2

zimmermania

Ew lucky 15 today

Thawry 9 to 25.15 Wol.Seaforth 7 to 1 5 45 Wol.
Perfect Symphony 4 to1 4.30 Ling and Hot Hot Hot 8 to1 5 of Ling.

PillarToPost

8.30 Pearl Spectre 16/1

tayto lover

That 3.20 Southwell is 4 furlongs and 214 yards. That’s 6 yards short of 5f.
That’s the shortest 5f I’ve ever seen.
Anyone know if there’s shorter?

zimmermania

Moveonup ran well in a better race a few days ago from 7 lbs out of the handicap and should win the 3.20 Southwell at around 5 to 4
Windsor Cross stays on all the time and is worth a chance ew in the 4.20 at Southwell Lads pay 3 places though only 7 runners.Will go close if acting on the surface at 13 to 2.
Bolt n Brown at 7 to 2 can win the 5.20 at Southwell running well and Luke Morris rides.

Merlin44

On a retainer i would imagine .

STB.

petes wrote: »

Don't pay any heed, hasn't a notion about the market being 'liquid' or anything for that matter.

Can't pick a horse, it's either a favourite or laying a favourite, doesn't know anything.

I don't. I am concerned that someone else might!

If the tipping and justification wasn't so comical, I'd suspect it was a betting company

petes

STB. wrote: »

Mullins other horse Elfile was being backed from early this morning from 3/1 and 11/4. By 12.15 the best price available was 2/1. At the same time Laurina was drifting like a barge from odds on.

I hope you didn't back it. The world and its mother knew what was going down at that stage.

Don't pay any heed, hasn't a notion about the market being 'liquid' or anything for that matter.

Can't pick a horse, it's either a favourite or laying a favourite, doesn't know anything.

STB.

SonOfGoat wrote: »

I have to say, if anyone is backing Laurina today, now is the time to get on. It's around 5/4'ish on the exchange but it's weak money, once the market is liquid it will tumble. I'd be surprised if the horse starts higher than 8/11 or thereabouts.

Mullins other horse Elfile was being backed from early this morning from 3/1 and 11/4. By 12.15 the best price available was 2/1. At the same time Laurina was drifting like a barge from odds on.

I hope you didn't back it. The world and its mother knew what was going down at that stage.