sondagefaux wrote: » The EU is a constant negotiation within the Council between the member states, within the European Parliament between the various groups, and between the Council, Commission and Parliament. If there's one thing that the EU is expert in, it's negotiations. As for brinksmanship, it doesn't work with the EU. The Greeks threatened to default on their debts and leave the euro. That was a vastly bigger danger to the EU than not having a trade agreement with Britain (it has one with Northern Ireland already sorted). Yet the other eurozone states, the Commission and the Parliament held firm, and the Greeks backed down, with a few face-saving scraps thrown in for them.
If the British haven't draw any lessons from that, or from the "negotiations" over the Withdrawal Agreement, in which the EU told the British what they wanted and got it, then they're utter morons.
LuckyLloyd wrote: » Brexit is also predicated on the idea that once Britain voted to leave other nations would follow. This hasn’t happened and infact has regressed in terms of probability. But it doesn’t stop the pro Brexit posters that float through here magnifying any scraps or hints to that end. If the Italians were also angling to leave this minute the Brits may well have faced a more positive outlook for trade negotiations. But hey ho, here we are. Fundamentally, if Britain leave and the EU carries on regardless (particularly if it sees more states accede over the next decade) then Brexit has been a terrible failure from the perspective of its architects. The presumption was not that Britain would be alone, but that Britain was getting out first.
Leroy42 wrote: » Well quite! But that is exactly my point. Barnier showed how strong a united EU is. So faced with that again the UK are going to really struggle to gain any advantage. So anyone would tell you that some change in process is required. It may not work, but it won't end up any worse than if they simply go toe to toe. The key is maintaining the EU mandate. We already see and hear pockets of disagreement with the EU, though since most of Phase I was more academic to most countries than economic it was easier to stay on board. Of course the elephant in the room is that this isn't the 1st time the EU has entered in trade talks with different members wanting different things. So they are well versed in how to handle it. The UK seem to think that this is the 1st time this has happened (in line with the thinking of the UK throughout this process that they are unique and special). The whole idea of the EU is compromise. The UK will be attempting to create as many areas of compromise within members that they manage to get some gains. It isn't about getting everything, even the UK must know that is not possible so they are trying to get whatever they can.
Leroy42 wrote: Of course the elephant in the room is that this isn't the 1st time the EU has entered in trade talks with different members wanting different things. So they are well versed in how to handle it. The UK seem to think that this is the 1st time this has happened (in line with the thinking of the UK throughout this process that they are unique and special).
SantaCruz wrote: » This is a bit like the territorial claim to NI that we deleted in the GFA. They reckon we are still really British, even if we won't admit it.
reslfj wrote: » This will not happen. The WA has shown how powerful Michel Barnier is as EU negotiator when he keeps all 27 behind his mandate. This is what he is currently ensuring for the next round. This time he has trade commissioner Phil Hogan with director-general for Trade Sabine Weyand behind his negotiations. The EU27 team will negotiate as one united part. Saying the UK has no other options but 'divide the EU27' is to say the UK has already lost next to everything. Lars
Leroy42 wrote: » .... So give the French access .... ...as the deadline looms, the likes of France, in this example, would pressure ???? (who????) They have very little other options. They lost out pretty big in the WA agreement and whilst it can be said that the divide and conquer failed then, this is very different and will directly effect every EU country. ... Although that has been shown to be completely delusional, what other strategy have they left that would not show to everyone how pointless all this has been?
sondagefaux wrote: » The UK's Ireland Act 1949 says that the state referred to in UK law as the 'Republic of Ireland' is not a foreign state (and therefore its citizens are not foreign).
sondagefaux wrote: » What's not to attack? The guy's an idiot.
L1011 wrote: » I wouldn't trust the Home Office to accept settled status on Irish citizenship as proof that you "weren't British" in that type of case.
Strazdas wrote: » Lots of attacks on Tice too though. The 'disciples' are beyond help obviously.
Capt'n Midnight wrote: » Or are forced to because of legal necessity or nicety because of how the Home Office applies the rules. Look at the cases of Emma DeSouza or Gemma Capparelli
Thargor wrote: » Scrolling down through all the usual anti-EU bullsh1t and lies you find people randomly throwing in climate change denial and comments about cyclists running red lights and causing accidents, they are such cliches.
Professor Moriarty wrote: » They're deeply depressing.
Gintonious wrote: » https://twitter.com/TiceRichard/status/1217722290823143424 The responses to this are really magic.
L1011 wrote: » Irish citizens don't need to register but can if they have some perverse reason to want to
storker wrote: » There's no need. They prefer to get this information from the likes of the Daily Mail and Daily Telegraph, which give them the versions of this information that they'd rather hear. Factual information direct from the EU horse's mouth just can't compete...
For trade agreements, the special procedure under Article 218(6) TFEU is applied. This procedure requires the European Parliament's consent.6 Once Parliament has given its consent, the Council can then adopt a decision to conclude the agreement following the procedure and voting rules set out in Article 218(6) and Article 218(8) TFEU respectively. ...mixed agreements also require the agreement to be ratified at national level by Member States. In the case of mixed agreements, the treaty enters into force only when the non-EU trade partner, the EU and all Member States have exchanged ratification instruments.
Whenever an international agreement includes shared competences or concurrent competences or Member States' competences, then the agreement is said to be 'mixed'. Whenever a trade agreement also contains provisions belonging to shared competences, it is concluded as a mixed agreement. While for agreements falling under exclusive EU competence the EU ratification procedure (explained below) is sufficient to ensure the entry into force of the agreement, mixed agreements must be ratified by EU Member States in accordance with their domestic ratification procedures. Domestic procedures vary from Member State to Member State. In federal Member States, ratification procedures also involve approval by the chamber of the national parliament representing the regions (such as the Bundesrat in Germany) or the approval of the regional and community parliaments (as in the case of Belgium), whenever competences of sub-federal entities are concerned by the agreement.
qualified majority (55% of member states, representing at least 65% of the EU population, vote in favour)
johnnyskeleton wrote: » Strange statistics. As far as I know, there are about 320k Irish citizens in Northern Ireland alone. I wonder do those figures only relate to GB? In which case, do Shengen area EU citizens not have to register in Northern Ireland.
sondagefaux wrote: » You'd think the Brits would know by now (or at least have had a quick read of the EU treaties to see) how the EU ratifies international trade agreements.
serfboard wrote: » The perverse reason that Johnson and his bunch of cronies can't be trusted? After all, we know the story of the Jamaicans who "trusted" that they didn't need to register - and who got deported many years later ...
Enzokk wrote: » The British have a plan, as cunning one that is as cunning as a fox that has been appointed as Professor of Cunning at Oxford.Brexit: Tories prepare to ‘sow division’ in EU It is such a brilliant plan you wonder how Cameron and May haven't thought about it before. If only May tried to bypass the negotiation team of the EU and rather went straight to the heads of government instead, we may have seen a different result. Or maybe the Brexit minister could go on a similar tour to try and garner support from individual nations, maybe then May would have still been PM. I am having deja vu here, the same delusional arguments are being made. Only this time there is a majority to push through the disaster plan. Somehow WTO terms are better for the UK now that they will pay the EU money, instead of no-deal before where they could say no to their outstanding debts. Can anyone make sense of this?
Enzokk wrote: I am having deja vu here, the same delusional arguments are being made. Only this time there is a majority to push through the disaster plan. Somehow WTO terms are better for the UK now that they will pay the EU money, instead of no-deal before where they could say no to their outstanding debts. Can anyone make sense of this?
Cabinet ministers close to the future trade talks believe the UK also has two advantages in the talks:Divisions within the EU. During the withdrawal talks the EU united around three areas - money, citizens' rights and Northern Ireland. But in the future trade talks the 27 EU members will have different and sometimes competing interests. One cabinet minister told me: "The 27 have differing interests. The French really care about fishing, the Poles don't care about fishing, they care about freight and the Maltese don't care about freight, they care about tourism. So member states could trade off and say we will champion two issues to help each other. Boris could then burn a bridge on that issue and effectively sow division." The "credible" threat of no-deal. Ministers believe that if the talks prove too difficult Boris Johnson will be taken seriously if he threatens to break off the talks without a deal. Failure to reach a deal in the trade talks would have less grave consequences for Britain than a no deal Brexit without a withdrawal agreement last year, according to ministers. They point out that the three elements at the heart of last year's deal - Northern Ireland, citizens' rights and the UK's exit payment - will stand whatever happens. The cabinet minister told me: "Boris can say to the EU: you know I was prepared for the original no deal last year but was thwarted by parliament which blocked no-deal. I am now prepared for a WTO no-deal [trading on WTO terms in the event of no trade deal] which isn't so bad and I can do what I like in Parliament. So it is a credible threat."
Bit cynical wrote: » I think he may have meant that good bound only for NI and not onward to the Republic will not attract a tariff and they won't need to be checked for quality etc. as they will already meet the UK standard. But of course checks will need to be made on goods entering NI to ensure that is the case, i.e., they are not for export outside of NI. I think he was trying to make this point at the beginning of the video but got muddled.