from what i'm reading/hearing the crucial battleground in this election appears to be those marginal seats, and how in particular will Lab Leavers vote now that Nigel has "put his country before party" and allowed the Tories a clear run at them.
- will those Lab leavers hold their noses & bring themselves to vote Tory?
- will the decide to return to or stick with Lab?
- will they stay at home in disgust/frustration, with a nice cuppa on a cold winter's day?
- will the vote Lib Dem or possibly Green?
- will they spoil their votes?
If these Lab Leavers "swing/defect" in sufficient numbers, then it's game, set & match to Boris imo.
Another imponderable imo is, will Nigel still do enough damage to the Tories in those constituencies in which they will continue to contest, or will Part 2 of their "agreement" kick in, and will Nigel stand down even more candidates to make way for the Tories?
Hmmmm?