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Weds 13th / Thurs 14th Nov 2019: Rainfall warning with Snow and spot flood risk

Kermit.de.frog

Been pondering whether or not it's worth a dedicated thread. I think it might be although a little bit of evolution to go yet.

Snow may reach low levels through Wednesday afternoon and evening leading to minor accumulations particularly inland. Typically a cm or two can be expected. Dublin is also at risk temporarily on Wednesday evening due to an off shore wind (though likely to be the sleet/very wet snow variety).

Snowfall could lead to commuter disruption. Accumulations should be temporary in most places.

Some more significant temporary snowfall is possible in both the mid west and southwest through Wednesday night as the occlusion slips away south. And, of course, high ground is to be avoided.

There is also a risk of spot flooding from heavy rain due to the pivoting front.

Raw. Temperatures between 0 and 4c generally on your way home (colder as afternoon progresses).

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catrat12

Will Dublin mountains see anything

Captain Snow

catrat12 wrote: »

Will Dublin mountains see anything

Tops of 2 and 3 Rock. Around the Hellfire and Kilikee Road. Kippure Mountain Area. Sallys Gap. Into Wicklow higher ground.

Meteorite58

ECM showing a big dump of snow in Wicklow as the Low pivots and the front moves back down the country . A basic map below but can be a useful guide, could also get a wintry mix of sleet or perhaps some snow for a time in parts of Dublin, Kildare, perhaps Carlow and maybe parts of Wexford , Laois and Kilkenny.

Meteorite58

Translates to a lot of water over 24 hrs according to the ECM

catrat12

Captain Snow wrote: »

Tops of 2 and 3 Rock. Around the Hellfire and Kilikee Road. Kippure Mountain Area. Sallys Gap. Into Wicklow higher ground.

So nothing really for Glencullen

Captain Snow

catrat12 wrote: »

So nothing really for Glencullen

It's high enough. You could see some Snow.

catrat12

Captain Snow wrote: »

It's high enough. You could see some Snow.

Hopefully we all get some

Kutebride

Meteorite58 wrote: »

ECM showing a big dump of snow in Wicklow as the Low pivots and the front moves back down the country . A basic map below but can be a useful guide, could also get a wintry mix of sleet or perhaps some snow for a time in parts of Dublin, Kildare, perhaps Carlow and maybe parts of Wexford , Laois and Kilkenny.

The poor in laws ðŸ˜¬ no like the snow

Meteorite58

Temp behind the front set to rise for a time and drop again later towards Thurs morning so not giving much chance for anything settling for long lower down.

JanuarySnowstor

Things have upgraded a bit again for tomorrow.
I like the chances for the southwest which stays colder for longer.
There's a band of showers spreading down over Kerry/Limerick and Cork through the afternoon that could well produce.
Forget widespread lowland snow but if you go to higher ground you should see some wintry stuff falling. Millstreet hills looks like a sweet spot

Meteorite58

Things have upgraded a bit again for tomorrow.
I like the chances for the southwest which stays colder for longer.
There's a band of showers spreading down over Kerry/Limerick and Cork through the afternoon that could well produce.
Forget widespread lowland snow but if you go to higher ground you should see some wintry stuff falling. Millstreet hills looks like a sweet spot

EURO 4 a bit out on its own showing some heavy wintry falls in the SW early in the day but doesn't give anything for the E.

County bounds could be tricky tomorrow.

JanuarySnowstor

I hadn't seen Euro 4 but if you look at the micro detail gfs also shows the same for Southwest. In fact contrary to Met Eireann are saying the coldest air is over the southwest between midday and 6pm tomorrow. In my view that's the best chance not tomorrow night as uppers increase

uck51js9zml2yt

Snow on the Kerry Reeks this morning

JanuarySnowstor

18z gfs keeps the interest going, in fact it's a slight upgrade again. The Midlands and South remain on snow watch and the sweet spot could well see a fair bit

KingJeremy

If there is to be any snow when should we expect it? Wednesday night/early Thursday morning? I’m in south-east Galway and not a particularly high elevation so I’m not expecting anything of night (but hope springs eternal!)

Kermit.de.frog

Meteorite58 wrote: »

Posters in Naas right now

Nowcast tomorrow.

pad199207

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

Posters in Naas right now

Nowcast tomorrow.

KingBobby

Captain Snow wrote: »

Tops of 2 and 3 Rock. Around the Hellfire and Kilikee Road. Kippure Mountain Area. Sallys Gap. Into Wicklow higher ground.

Without intending to get too pedantic, Tibradden Mountain is actually higher than 3 Rock. Its like the forgotten mountain of Dublin.

Graces7

Jaliyah Low Foxhound wrote: »

Snow on the Kerry Reeks this morning

A lovely sight as I well remember... Not light yet so I have yet to inspect Mayo.

DOCARCH

ME forecast a bit more definite this morning...

....rain spreading to most areas later today. Top temperatures 4 to 8 degrees. Some of the rain will turn to sleet and snow in Munster and Leinster, mainly later this afternoon and evening.

Graces7

DOCARCH wrote: »

ME forecast a bit more definite this morning...

....rain spreading to most areas later today. Top temperatures 4 to 8 degrees. Some of the rain will turn to sleet and snow in Munster and Leinster, mainly later this afternoon and evening.

We certainly have rain; hard, loud, heavy. west mayo offshore

SleetAndSnow

Won’t be anything more then sleet at least in cork city, weather says about 6 degrees today and down to about 3/4 tonight.

It is currently showery though, cold rain!

If anybody does get snow please send pictures! They are always lovely to look at!

Mortelaro

Sleet in Arklow
3.1c

Dew point 0c
Wet bulb 2.2c

Meteorite58

Heavy rain in Tralee with sleet in it, very heavy embedded wintry shower of hail, sleet and rain a short time ago dropped some amount of precipitation. Very dark with street lights coming on again.

Looks mostly sleet with wet snow on high ground. Main interest this afternoon / early evening to see how wintry it gets and if it snows for a while. ECM has brought snow chances a bit further S and into the SE. Not showing as much in Wicklow but still possibly could get 5 to 10cm on the mountains. Will see.

Mortelaro

Meteorite58 wrote: »

Heavy rain in Tralee with sleet in it, very heavy embedded wintry shower of hail, sleet and rain a short time ago dropped some amount of precipitation. Very dark with street lights coming on again.

Looks mostly sleet with wet snow on high ground. Main interest this afternoon / early evening to see how wintry it gets and if it snows for a while. ECM has brought snow chances a bit further S and into the SE. Not showing as much in Wicklow but still possibly could get 5 to 10cm on the mountains. Will see.

Currently 3.3c dew point now 0.7c in Arklow with bits of drizzle
Had sleet earlier
There has been snow falling to about 600ft locally inland already
Though its brightening up now
I was not expecting that tbh,so the day ahead could spring surprises

RobertKK

From met.ie

Status Yellow - Rainfall warning for Carlow, Kildare, Kilkenny, Laois, Wicklow, Offaly and Tipperary

A spell of heavy rain is likely to lead to some spot flooding and will turn to sleet and snow in places later today.

Valid: Wednesday 13 November 2019 14:00 to Thursday 14 November 2019 02:00

Issued: Wednesday 13 November 2019 07:00

Graces7

The heavy rain here in West Mayo has not paused in well over two hours now.

Mortelaro

Very sunny here now!
Fees colder than windy yesterday

pauldry

Cold n drizzly in Sligo 5c

Theres sleet in some of the rain as it hits windscreen but 90 per cent rain. Id say if I was driving out Highwood direction near Geevagh thered be a better chance of snow.

Fun to see met eireann forecast snow. Wonder if media are afraid to say too much after Lorenzo or will Virgin Media have a reporter attop Kippure, Neiphen and Carrantuhil

highdef

Mortelaro wrote: »

Very sunny here now!

"Very sunny" reads as blue skies in all directions. Is it really that clear down there in Costas??? :P

I could be wrong but the visible satellite imagery shows a hole in the cloud layer moving over the Arklow area but it's moving fairly quick. I could only picture a temporary large gap in cloud cover rather a clear sky.

Either way, I'm still jealous that you're getting to see the sun.