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Storm Lorenzo Chat Thread.

Oneiric 3

The suggestion was made earlier in the 'Lorenzo' thread to open up a separate thread for general discussion on this potential storm. I think this is a good idea as that thread is now incorporating both technical discussion and more banterish posts, which is making it harder to follow.

It is probably best if we keep the original thread where more technical discussions & charts etc can take place to allow people to have a quicker access to the latest thoughts on the storm, and keep this one for more general chit chat and reports etc.

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emo72

Less than 24 hours out and still no definite concensus. Our weather sure is hard to predict on this little rock!

thomasj

Pheonix10 wrote: »

Any warning for Dublin?

Yellow wind and rain warning from 9am tomorrow morning

Mental Mickey

TTLF wrote: »

depends really, E coast is super Waterlogged so weaker trees and stuff.
all subject to where you are

Kildare

Akrasia

Deleted User wrote: »

A lot of flip-flopping of opinions there at the moment. One page a consensus that it's a downgrade/nothing to see here, the next we're back into possible-red territory. Still, essentially these posting boards are all just a bit of fun. 50 pages of amateur speculation on a storm that is coming our way. People should remember that and not take themselves so seriously.

Its the same every single time any weather event happens.

Half the 'experts' say it will be an epic event, the other half say it's exaggerated. When the event is over, both sides will claim they were always right all along

0gac3yjefb5sv7

Any warning for Dublin?

[Deleted User]

Graces7 wrote: »

Just looked at the so called technical forum and thought I was here! It I not going to work unless they are ultra vigilant and anyways a lot of the oomph has died now the warnings are out...… ah well....

A lot of flip-flopping of opinions there at the moment. One page a consensus that it's a downgrade/nothing to see here, the next we're back into possible-red territory. Still, essentially these posting boards are all just a bit of fun. 50 pages of amateur speculation on a storm that is coming our way. People should remember that and not take themselves so seriously.

lleti

This sounds like a non rare event now. There'll probably be floods etc. but nothing worse than every year we see in Galway and Cork and the likes.

TTLF

Mental Mickey wrote: »

Might not be too bad over the eastern part of the country?

depends really, E coast is super Waterlogged so weaker trees and stuff.
all subject to where you are

YFlyer

easypazz wrote: »

Why would they consider cancelling a show if its only an orange warning?

Especially knowing that UL is about as far from the coast that you can get in Limerick?

Buildings are extremely cautious on campus.

Graces7

Mental Mickey wrote: »

Might not be too bad over the eastern part of the country?

looks that way;

Graces7

Laurali wrote: »

I'm sure you guys are well used to hearing 'non events' and then getting battered, but like you said, used to dealing with it too! Stay safe.

The latest icon study showed Achill coast being hit pretty hard, imagine you could say the same for any proper offshore islands, depending on the model. Let's see how it goes over next 24 hours.

Again, I wasnt criticizing your posts in the other forum, but moreso the 'brennans bread posts' which I think belong here

Just looked at the so called technical forum and thought I was here! It I not going to work unless they are ultra vigilant and anyways a lot of the oomph has died now the warnings are out...… ah well....

Graces7

Comhra wrote: »

You're new here...?

Mental Mickey

Might not be too bad over the eastern part of the country?

Snow Garden

Troy Shy Forest wrote: »

If I loose power, I and my family loose water,sewage and heat....what will you loose in Dublin? The chance to charge your phone !!!

It's 'lose'!

uck51js9zml2yt

JDD wrote: »

I get the feeling this will be nothing more than a bit of wind, with a storm surge on the west coast. I'm in Dublin and I'd say the weather yesterday was probably worse then what's its going to be tomorrow. I love a good weather incident, but this will be a damp squib. Even the lads over on the technical thread say they think the wind warning will be downgraded.

If I loose power, I and my family loose water,sewage and heat....what will you loose in Dublin? The chance to charge your phone !!!

easypazz

YFlyer wrote: »

Orange warning for Limerick.

Meant to go to Dermot and Dave at the University Concert Hall in Limerick. Will have to check if they be cancelling the show or not

Why would they consider cancelling a show if its only an orange warning?

Especially knowing that UL is about as far from the coast that you can get in Limerick?

Comhrá

easypazz wrote: »

Similar conditions in London and loads of other places. What is your point?

We are expecting a bit of strongish wind, nothing more.

You're new here...?

[Deleted User]

Confusing

https://www.rte.ie/news/weather/2019/1002/1079557-storm-lorenzo/

A status orange wind warning has been issued for six counties and a status yellow warning nationwide between tomorrow evening and Friday morning, when Storm Lorenzo is expected to make landfall in Ireland.

The orange warning for Galway, Mayo, Clare, Cork, Kerry and Limerick will be in place from 6pm tomorrow to 3am on Friday.

The storm, which is currently a Category 1 hurricane, is expected to weaken considerably along the way but will still bring fierce winds, heavy rains, and very high seas to Ireland where it is due to make landfall tomorrow evening.

The worst affected areas are expected to be counties Kerry, Clare, Galway, Mayo and Sligo.

Limerick orange. Sligo yellow. But they say Sligo will be one of the 5 worst affected areas but doesn’t say Limerick?

YFlyer

Orange warning for Limerick.

Meant to go to Dermot and Dave at the University Concert Hall in Limerick. Will have to check if they be cancelling the show or not

Doctors room ghost

Stay strong graces.
#justiceforthepoet.

Laurali

Graces7 wrote: »

Thanks for the concern.. means a lot.

west mayo offshore is all we ever say.. Just checked and yes, it is going to be lively .and as they said several days ago. the forecasting was spot on.

Not sure if it is though any worse than, say Callum ? Callum was the worst I have seen out here although as it was a coastal event it was not highlighted much. Would be interesting to see how it compared though? Just checked and much the same as Lorenzo
A lot does depend on wind direction .

We will be fine; well used to it now. Battened down and ready. My only real query was if my fortnightly groceries get in! I suspect they will make a shorter earlier trip . These islanders were born here and know what they are doing.. And I am well stocked anyways. we get cut off in any bad weather.

I'm sure you guys are well used to hearing 'non events' and then getting battered, but like you said, used to dealing with it too! Stay safe.

The latest icon study showed Achill coast being hit pretty hard, imagine you could say the same for any proper offshore islands, depending on the model. Let's see how it goes over next 24 hours.

Again, I wasnt criticizing your posts in the other forum, but moreso the 'brennans bread posts' which I think belong here

skepticalme

Is this what was deleted?

Quote: Graces7
Not sure of the relevance of this but.. was out for my early slow ramble and it is deeply and ominously still and silent out there. Never seen it so intense. Was holding my breath against making a sound.

Not a ghost of a breath of wind, which out here is very unusual in itself.

Layer upon layer of striated grey cloud circling the entire horizon; only 2 small patches of palest pink cloud revealing anything of the sunrise.

Atmospheric in the deepest sense. Such a small world so should we wonder at anything.

Glad to get in.

Love your descriptions.
Stay Safe.

Graces7

Laurali wrote: »

Graces7, have you disclosed where you are on the West coast? Looks like you could be in for a very rocky time out there depending on where you are.

L

Thanks for the concern.. means a lot.

west mayo offshore is all we ever say.. Just checked and yes, it is going to be lively .and as they said several days ago. the forecasting was spot on.

Not sure if it is though any worse than, say Callum ? Callum was the worst I have seen out here although as it was a coastal event it was not highlighted much. Would be interesting to see how it compared though? Just checked and much the same as Lorenzo
A lot does depend on wind direction .

We will be fine; well used to it now. Battened down and ready. My only real query was if my fortnightly groceries get in! I suspect they will make a shorter earlier trip . These islanders were born here and know what they are doing.. And I am well stocked anyways. we get cut off in any bad weather.

limericklad87

Strawberry Milkshake wrote: »

I have no idea. But by county doesn’t make sense either (for some counties)

exactly......no method will be perfect.....

Electoral areas or townlands will all have the same problem as counties with people on the border of these areas having the same complaint.

At least with counties the language is universal and everyone knows what county they are in.

People have to take personal responsibility and make their own decisions within reason.

If I live right next an area with a warning i'm not going assume, as has been pointed out, that the weather doesn't cross borders

FishOnABike

Graces7 wrote: »

Here; bloodied but unbowed!

What I wrote earlier... simply close observation which is what we relied on..

I went for my early ramble.. Utter flat silent calm. The kind of silence that has you holding your breath. Layer after layer of grey cloud and only a couple of palest rose patches to show the sun had risen.

Not a breath of wind.. all so utterly unusual out here and the phrase " calm before the storm"? Must have some basis in fact. Really ominous

I have no tech knowledge. No ability in that direction. But a close interaction with the weather out here and all the old ways of warning

You paint a picture with words!

[Deleted User]

limericklad87 wrote: »

How can you determine vicinity?

I have no idea. But by county doesn’t make sense either (for some counties)

limericklad87

cr-07 wrote: »

I drive to and from work, coming from the west side of Galway city to Athlone. Do you think it will be somewhat 'dangerous' drive and that I should inform my employer that I might not be able to make it in (depending on conditions), or should I just expect it to be a light breeze on the motorway?

That's completely your call. No one knows your route better than you.

Not aimed at you but given the information that is there, people must make their own decisions regardless of warnings.

cr-07

I drive to and from work, coming from the west side of Galway city to Athlone. Do you think it will be somewhat 'dangerous' drive and that I should inform my employer that I might not be able to make it in (depending on conditions), or should I just expect it to be a light breeze on the motorway?

Tombo2001

Loughc wrote: »

You know nothing is due to hit until noon tomorrow. And yes work for everyone tomorrow and Friday

Why is there a weather warning from 9am tomorrow then?

For sure, I was badly caught out last year. There was a Yellow warning, people quite relaxed about it. And next thing you know trees are down everywhere, never seen so many trees falling before.

So this year - I'm supposed to drive from Dublin to Kerry this evening, and back tomorrow afternoon. Going to cancel, just don't see the point in taking the risk that tomorrows Yellow is anything like last years Yellow.

Graces7

Man Vs ManUre wrote: »

This storm sucks so far. No wind or rain yet, and sky is still blue. Where is the black clouds and creatures coming out of the mist?? Am I gonna have to change my plans and actually go to work tomorrow?? Very disappointing.

well today is WEDNESDAY.

The storm is on THURSDAY.

OK?

OK!

Indeed a lovely day today. enjoy...