UFC/MMA LOG 2019

BET 25


time out in fight adesanya gastelum 2/1
10


time out in adesanya and poirier fights both at 2/1
4 double



adesanya 4/7
pantoja 8/13
osp 10/11
5 treble

betfred, seem to be biggest on every market tonight for a change.


Confident of making a profit tonight

mailburner wrote: »

staked 60/ret 57/-3

Total staked 535.50/ret 572.09/-36.59 (error in prev, should read 515 not 519)

two nice winners but maybe one bet too many.


BET 26

overeem
pavlovich
20@1.9
bet365

oleynik a great sub artist but I doubt he gets overeem down, he'll take
a lot of damage if he doesn't.

staked 20
ret 38.18
+18.18

I didn't have to sweat too hard for that one.

Total staked 555.50/ret 610.27/+54.77

mailburner wrote: »

BET 27

Hardy
Davis
Mac Donald
20 @ 2.04
bet365


All looked nailed on to me, davis beat mc geary easy enough before, rory is better all round than fitch and hardy will surely make short work of his opponent.
If there is a dodgy one it might be rory.

Not seeing a whole lot else on the ufc card, souza sub is just zero value at around 5/4, tempted by jim millers opponent and arlovski but not enough to bet on either.
mc gee/burns double at evens does appeal a little though.

2 winners 1 void
Staked 20
ret 31.78
+11.78

Total Staked 575.50/Ret 642.05/+66.55

Easy wins for hardy and davis, rory was ahead going into the 5th where fitch humped him for five mins in the last round, finished a draw, worst fight I watched in a long time.
Wouldn't be backing rory again in a hurry after that, poor performance by him.
Leaving the rest of the ufc card alone was a wise move though.

BET 29

Single
Swanson, Cub Points @ 5/2
Swanson v Burgos
Method Of Victory
Stake
£4.00
Est. Returns
£14.00

Single
Cerrone, Donald Submission @ 9/2
Iaquinta v Cerrone
Stake
£4.00
Est. Returns
£22.00


Treble
Theodorou, Elias Points @ 5/4
Brunson v Theodorou
Method Of Victory
Swanson, Cub Points @ 5/2
Swanson v Burgos
Method Of Victory
Cerrone, Donald Submission @ 9/2
Iaquinta v Cerrone

Stake
£2.00
Est. Returns
£86.63
Betfred

BET 30

alves v moraes

fight to go the distance - yes 4/5
20
skybet

BET 32

Single
Aldo, Jose Ko, Tko Or Disqualification @ 10/3
Volkanovski v Aldo
Method Of Victory
Stake
£4.00
Est. Returns
£17.33

Single
Silva, Anderson Points @ 15/8
Cannonier v Silva
Method Of Victory
Stake
£4.00
Est. Returns
£11.50


Single
Namajunas, Rose Points @ 3/1
Namajunas v Andrade
Stake
£3.00
Est. Returns
£12.00


Trixie
Aldo, Jose Ko, Tko Or Disqualification @ 10/3
Volkanovski v Aldo
Method Of Victory
Silva, Anderson Points @ 15/8
Cannonier v Silva
Method Of Victory
Namajunas, Rose Points @ 3/1
Namajunas v Andrade
Method Of Victory
£4.00
Est. Returns
£91.13
betfred

BET 34

luque sub
junior sub
3@11/1
pp

mailburner wrote: »

BET 30

alves v moraes

fight to go the distance - yes 4/5
20
skybet

47 seconds left
-20

mailburner wrote: »

BET 31


Namajunas 11/10
23

silva 11/10
15

silva
aldo
namajunas
4@6.35/1

namajunas is imo far to quick for andrade and if she can
avoid being knocked out I think she takes this comfortably and
she's never been knocked out although she's never faced a bull
like andrade before.
Silva went the distance with adesanya, should have no problem going the distance here and if
he does it should be very close.

I was going to back aldo at 17/20 earlier but best now is 4/6 which is no
value against a dangerous opponent.

Total domination by rose until that freak ko, just wasn't my night
-42

mailburner wrote: »

BET 32

Single
Aldo, Jose Ko, Tko Or Disqualification @ 10/3
Volkanovski v Aldo
Method Of Victory
Stake
£4.00
Est. Returns
£17.33

Single
Silva, Anderson Points @ 15/8
Cannonier v Silva
Method Of Victory
Stake
£4.00
Est. Returns
£11.50


Single
Namajunas, Rose Points @ 3/1
Namajunas v Andrade
Stake
£3.00
Est. Returns
£12.00


Trixie
Aldo, Jose Ko, Tko Or Disqualification @ 10/3
Volkanovski v Aldo
Method Of Victory
Silva, Anderson Points @ 15/8
Cannonier v Silva
Method Of Victory
Namajunas, Rose Points @ 3/1
Namajunas v Andrade
Method Of Victory
£4.00
Est. Returns
£91.13
betfred

-15

mailburner wrote: »

BET 33


Total stake:
€20.00
Potential returns:
€113.80

SINGLES
Vincente Luque v Derrick Krantz - Method of Victory
Vincente Luque by Submission
4/1
Stake:
€5.00
Potential returns:
€25.00

Antonio Carlos Junior v Ian Heinisch - Method of Victory
Antonio Carlos Junior by Submission
7/5
Stake:
€12.00
Potential returns:
€28.80



Trebles
19/1
1 line(s) at €3.00 per line
Vincente Luque v Derrick Krantz - Method of Victory
Vincente Luque by Submission
Antonio Carlos Junior v Ian Heinisch - Method of Victory
Antonio Carlos Junior by Submission
Charles Oliveira v Nik Lentz - Method of Victory
Charles Oliveira by Submission
Stake:
€3.00
Potential returns:
€60.00
Paddy Power

Liking the odds too much on junior when it's odds on elsewhere, same applies to luque by sub, not seeing any bigger than 5/2.
Oliveira too short for the sub win single.

another disaster
-20

mailburner wrote: »

BET 34

luque sub
junior sub
3@11/1
pp

-3

mailburner wrote: »

BET 35


Jimi Manuwa v Aleksandar Rakic
Jimi Manuwa - To Win By KO,TKO or Disqualification
(Method Of Victory - Match)
Odds: 7/2
Stake: 4.00
Possible Return: 18.00

Jimi Manuwa v Aleksandar Rakic
Jimi Manuwa
(To Win the Bout - Match)
Odds: 7/4
Stake: 11.00
Possible Return: 30.25

Betv



Don't trust manuwa but most of his losses have been to
the very best out there and rakic hasn't beaten anyone close
to manuwa's level yet.
The price looks too big to me.

short and sweet for rakic
-15

all lost
-115

Total Staked 732.50/Ret 683.05/-49.45

BET 37

Moraes round one 11/1
6

Moraes round two 11/1
4
bet365


Yan
Grasso
Chooka
4 returns 18.75
bet365

price on the round one ko is 4pts bigger than the next best on round one, fancy it to happen.

BET 39



365

mailburner wrote: »

BET 36

Moraes 1.83
100
888


First max bet since aldo beat stephens, minute this match up was made I was thinking Moraes.
He's been unstoppable lately and has been the only man to stop sterling, rivera and the first to stop assuncao since 2011.
I'm amazed he was as big as 10/11 for a few hours a couple of days ago, odds have been dropping slowly over the past day or two.
I think he'll be no better than 4/7 on the day, possibly even 1/2.
The 12/5 for a ko isn't bad value either, if he win I'd be confident he'll get cejudo outa there at some stage.

I can't see cejudo being able to deal with his power myself.

couldnt have been more confident especially after round one
-100

mailburner wrote: »

BET 37

Moraes round one 11/1
6

Moraes round two 11/1
4
bet365


Yan
Grasso
Chooka
4 returns 18.75
bet365

price on the round one ko is 4pts bigger than the next best on round one, fancy it to happen.

treble wins
staked 14
ret 18.75
+4.75

mailburner wrote: »

Bet 38


ferguson by ko round two
ferguson by ko round three
shevchenko round three ko :mad:
shevchenko round four ko
moraes round one ko :mad:
moraes round two ko
kattar round one ko
kattar round two ko

Doubles/trebles/fourfolds betfred/pp (had to do fourfold on pp)

total staked 17.12



fotn
lamas kattar 20/1
2.80
betfred (max stake allowed)

staked 19.92
ret 17.80
-2.12

mailburner wrote: »

BET 39



365

One out for a big payout
-1

mailburner wrote: »

BET 40

barbarena
moicano
20 returns 41.33


de la rosa by ko or sub 9/2
4

bet365

not even close
-24

staked 158.92/ret 36.55/-122.37

Total staked 891.42/ret 719.6/-171.82

mailburner wrote: »

BET 41


Greene
martin
15 ret 75.17

martin pts 11/4
5

jds pts 13/2
2

green pts 7/2

1 trixie


bet365

I don't rate albini at all and think martin could well be
good enough to avoid the takedown

jds is overpriced imo

no good
-26


Total staked 917.42/ret 719.6/-197.82

Some sh1tty run I'm on...gonna finish tonight

BET 43


Jones ko 6/4
14

nunes pts 5/2
10

blach ko 5/1
4

masvidal ko 16/5
3

coral

BET 45


Accumulator (x1)
Ben Askren v Jorge Masvidal - Method & Round Combo
Jorge Masvidal KO/TKO & Round 1
15/2
Michael Chiesa v Diego Sanchez - Method of Victory
Diego Sanchez by Submission
17/1
Luke Rockhold v Jan Blachowicz - Method & Round Combo
Jan Blachowicz KO/TKO & Round 1
10/1
Jon Jones v Thiago Santos - Method & Round Combo (5 Rounds)
Jon Jones KO/TKO & Round 4
18/1
Stake:
€0.20
Potential Returns:
€6,395.40


Trebles (x4)
Ben Askren v Jorge Masvidal - Method & Round Combo
Jorge Masvidal KO/TKO & Round 1
15/2
Michael Chiesa v Diego Sanchez - Method of Victory
Diego Sanchez by Submission
17/1
Luke Rockhold v Jan Blachowicz - Method & Round Combo
Jan Blachowicz KO/TKO & Round 1
10/1
Jon Jones v Thiago Santos - Method & Round Combo (5 Rounds)
Jon Jones KO/TKO & Round 4
18/1
Stake:
€0.80
Potential Returns:
€2,025.70


Trixie (x4)
Ben Askren v Jorge Masvidal - Method & Round Combo
Jorge Masvidal KO/TKO & Round 1
15/2
Michael Chiesa v Diego Sanchez - Method of Victory
Diego Sanchez by Submission
17/1
Luke Rockhold v Jan Blachowicz - Method & Round Combo
Jan Blachowicz KO/TKO & Round 1
10/1
Stake:
€2.00
Potential Returns:
€1,063.75

Single
Luke Rockhold v Jan Blachowicz - Method & Round Combo
Jan Blachowicz KO/TKO & Round 1
10/1
Stake:
€2.00
Potential Returns:
€22.00



Michael Chiesa v Diego Sanchez - Method of Victory
Diego Sanchez by Submission
18/1
Stake:
€3.00
Potential Returns:
€57.00

Paddy

mailburner wrote: »

BET 42


Masvidal 2/1
15

sanchez 3/1
8.58

Markos dec 5/2
5

1 treble

bet365

masvidal only
staked 29.58/ret 45/+15.42

mailburner wrote: »

BET 43


Jones ko 6/4
14

nunes pts 5/2
10

blach ko 5/1
4

masvidal ko 16/5
3

coral

masv and blach oblige
staked 31/ret 36.60/+5.60

mailburner wrote: »

BET 44

Jon Jones - KO / TKO
Odds
3/2
Method of Victory (7 Way)
Jon Jones v Thiago Santos

Amanda Nunes - Decision
Odds
5/2

Amanda Nunes v Holly Holm

Jorge Masvidal - KO / TKO
Odds
16/5
Method of Victory (7 Way)
Jorge Masvidal v Ben Askren

Jan Blachowicz - KO / TKO
Odds
5/1
Method of Victory (7 Way)
Jan Blachowicz v Luke Rockhold

Randa Markos - Decision
Odds
9/4
Method of Victory (7 Way)
Claudia Gadelha v Randa Markos


Stake
£2.50
Est. Returns
£500.98

4x50c four folds
50c accum


Jorge Masvidal
Odds
19/10
Fight Betting
Jorge Masvidal v Ben Askren

Jon Jones - KO / TKO
Odds
3/2

Jon Jones v Thiago Santos

Amanda Nunes - Decision
Odds
5/2

Amanda Nunes v Holly Holm

Diego Sanchez
Odds
13/5
Fight Betting
Diego Sanchez v Michael Chiesa
Stake
£1.00
Est. Returns
£91.35


coral

-3.50

mailburner wrote: »

BET 45


Accumulator (x1)
Ben Askren v Jorge Masvidal - Method & Round Combo
Jorge Masvidal KO/TKO & Round 1
15/2
Michael Chiesa v Diego Sanchez - Method of Victory
Diego Sanchez by Submission
17/1
Luke Rockhold v Jan Blachowicz - Method & Round Combo
Jan Blachowicz KO/TKO & Round 1
10/1
Jon Jones v Thiago Santos - Method & Round Combo (5 Rounds)
Jon Jones KO/TKO & Round 4
18/1
Stake:
€0.20
Potential Returns:
€6,395.40


Trebles (x4)
Ben Askren v Jorge Masvidal - Method & Round Combo
Jorge Masvidal KO/TKO & Round 1
15/2
Michael Chiesa v Diego Sanchez - Method of Victory
Diego Sanchez by Submission
17/1
Luke Rockhold v Jan Blachowicz - Method & Round Combo
Jan Blachowicz KO/TKO & Round 1
10/1
Jon Jones v Thiago Santos - Method & Round Combo (5 Rounds)
Jon Jones KO/TKO & Round 4
18/1
Stake:
€0.80
Potential Returns:
€2,025.70


Trixie (x4)
Ben Askren v Jorge Masvidal - Method & Round Combo
Jorge Masvidal KO/TKO & Round 1
15/2
Michael Chiesa v Diego Sanchez - Method of Victory
Diego Sanchez by Submission
17/1
Luke Rockhold v Jan Blachowicz - Method & Round Combo
Jan Blachowicz KO/TKO & Round 1
10/1
Stake:
€2.00
Potential Returns:
€1,063.75

Single
Luke Rockhold v Jan Blachowicz - Method & Round Combo
Jan Blachowicz KO/TKO & Round 1
10/1
Stake:
€2.00
Potential Returns:
€22.00



Michael Chiesa v Diego Sanchez - Method of Victory
Diego Sanchez by Submission
18/1
Stake:
€3.00
Potential Returns:
€57.00

Paddy

-8

mailburner wrote: »

BET 46

Melendez pts 4/1
5
bet365

-5

staked 77.08/81.6/+4.52

Total Staked 994.5/ret 801.20/-193.3

Thought I actually made more on that card :pac: