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Storm Erik : Friday 8th February 2019

ninebeanrows

ECMWF has been consistent now at progging a significant low pressure system near Ireland for Friday.

On the latest 12z it has sped up its progression a little and now has a significant storm hitting the spine of Ireland on Friday.

One to watch.

ECU1-72.GIF?05-0

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Marengo

Mount Vesuvius wrote: »

This lad won't be happy. Lol.

https://twitter.com/MattHugo81/status/1093226731043987456?s=19

You'd wonder when that bloke will get it into his head that if a storm meets the criteria set out it would be totally unscientific to name one depression over another because it 'feels' like more than a winter storm.

I feel it's typical of the Brexit attitude than almighty Britannia should be responsible for naming storms but not Paddy. Just another you're not going to name this Met Eireann comment.

The system has been agreed on, if something meets the criteria, it should be named. If met offices feel we're over naming Atlantic depressions that wouldn't get a mention in the 80s it's up to them together to change the system.

ninebeanrows

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

Purely because that area is less accustomed to such winds. I think the likes of the west and northwest of Ireland and the Hebrides do wind pretty well.

So a parent driving their kid to school in London in 60 knot wind gusts should be warned?.....but the parent in Castlebar driving their kid to school in 60 knot wind gusts should not?

munsterlegend

Sleety_Rain wrote: »

So a parent driving their kid to school in London in 60 knot wind gusts should be warned?.....but the parent in Castlebar driving their kid to school in 60 knot wind gusts should not?

Totally agree. What if I am in the area on a one off occasion such as a business meeting or a delivery driver? It’s a bit like saying we should have different drink driving laws in rural areas as less traffic.

Graces7

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

Purely because that area is less accustomed to such winds. I think the likes of the west and northwest of Ireland and the Hebrides do wind pretty well.

Interesting comment! We have no choice!

ninebeanrows

Something is afoot

Advisory taken down.

National yellow or yellow with orange in northwest?

KingdomRushed

Sleety_Rain wrote: »

Something is afoot

Advisory taken down.

National yellow or yellow with orange in northwest?

My take would be national yellow, with orange for Galway, Sligo, Mayo and Donegal. I have looked at a lot of charts this morning and they are all suggestive of winds in exceedance of 120 km/hr in coastal areas of those counties.

Graces7

Sleety_Rain wrote: »

Something is afoot

Advisory taken down.

National yellow or yellow with orange in northwest?

Just noticed that!

pad199207

He’s been named anyways

Erik it is

Orange Warnings now in effect

SleetAndSnow

Orange for Galway and Mayo, on the old site. Rest of the country still a yellow advisory.

Edit: Orange for Donegal now from 9am to 6am

Graces7

SleetAndSnow wrote: »

Orange for Galway and Mayo, on the old site. Rest of the country still a yellow advisory.

Edit: Orange for Donegal now from 9am to 6am

Interesting map with Sligo in the middle?

Xenji

Status Orange - Wind warning for Galway and Mayo
Storm Erik:
Southwest to west winds will reach mean speeds of 65 to 80 km/h with some severe or damaging gusts of 110 to 130 km/h. The highest winds will be in exposed coastal areas, where these values may be exceeded at times.
Very high seas as well with some coastal flooding.

Valid: Friday 08 February 2019 05:00 to Friday 08 February 2019 13:00

Status Orange - Wind warning for Donegal
Storm Erik:
Southwest to west winds will reach mean speeds of 65 to 80 km/h with some severe or damaging gusts of 110 to 130 km/h. The highest winds will be in exposed coastal areas, where these values may be exceeded at times. Very high seas as well with some coastal flooding.

Valid: Friday 08 February 2019 09:00 to Saturday 09 February 2019 06:00

Status Yellow - Wind warning for Ireland
Storm Erik:
Southwest to west winds will reach mean speeds of 50 to 65 km/h with gusts of 80 to 110 km/h. Along exposed Atlantic coasts these values may be exceeded for a while and with very high seas this will give the risk of coastal flooding.

Valid: Friday 08 February 2019 05:00 to Saturday 09 February 2019 06:00

Snow Garden

High tide at 7:20am tomorrow in Galway. Should be interesting!

Villain

Latest HIRLAM charts

https://twitter.com/carlowweather/status/1093485498885177344?s=21

Muckka

https://magicseaweed.com/Lahinch-Beach-Surf-Report/52/

28ft swell predicted in Lahinch tomorrow, at 14 seconds.

It won't have a big punch like the last time Lahinch got battered, that was @ 20 seconds per wave.

Meaning there's so many second's between each wave, which causes a big inverted bow in the middle...

It'll be quite spectacular all the same though.

Probably closer to 18 ft or something, magic seaweed doesn't always get it right.

Graces7

Snow Garden wrote: »

High tide at 7:20am tomorrow. Should be interesting!

Pretty sure I am safe here; the ocean is a small, slightly elevated field away. Interesting indeed

uck51js9zml2yt

Snow Garden wrote: »

High tide at 7:20am tomorrow in Galway. Should be interesting!

The diving board will be more interesting:)

pauldry

Is there a rainfall warning with this.

The Satellite looks like it has about 50mm in it

Graces7

in the warnings but not in mm

pauldry

There will be periods of intense rainfall so id expect 30 to 50mm widely over the event

Gaoth Laidir

Sleety_Rain wrote: »

So a parent driving their kid to school in London in 60 knot wind gusts should be warned?.....but the parent in Castlebar driving their kid to school in 60 knot wind gusts should not?

No, what I mean is that damage-wise a 60-kt wind will not be as severe in Castlebar as the same wind in an area that doesn't get it so often. Trees there are more likely to be toppled.

Mount Vesuvius

https://www.met.ie/meteorologists-commentary

aisling86

The commentary should be published rather than hidden within the website. It's very informative.

Oneiric 3

Weather chart for midnight tonight (Spanish Met Office)

A rather extensive 'dry slot' is developing just behind the cold front so gustiest conditions setting in shortly after its time of passing during the early morning or thereabouts.

Oneiric 3

Marengo wrote: »

I feel it's typical of the Brexit attitude than almighty Britannia should be responsible for naming storms but not Paddy..

Nonsense.

But 'Brexit Britain' looks to be a terrifying place :pac:

https://twitter.com/TitaniaMcGrath/status/1086680644212674563

Larbre34

Oneiric 3 wrote: »

Weather chart for midnight tonight (Spanish Met Office)

A rather extensive 'dry slot' is developing just behind the cold front so gustiest conditions setting in shortly after its time of passing during the early morning or thereabouts.

The 1980s called, they want their chart back.

squarecircles

must be terribly boring working at the spainish met office.

oh look,its still dry sunny and calm,mild/hot.

Oneiric 3 wrote: »

Weather chart for midnight tonight (Spanish Met Office)

A rather extensive 'dry slot' is developing just behind the cold front so gustiest conditions setting in shortly after its time of passing during the early morning or thereabouts.

Marengo

Oneiric 3 wrote: »

Nonsense.

But 'Brexit Britain' looks to be a terrifying place :pac:

https://twitter.com/TitaniaMcGrath/status/1086680644212674563

Nonsense. The UK establishment are full of themselves and it seems to be creeping into their meteorologists

Mount Vesuvius

Visable image taken at 17.00 UTC

aisling86

Is Erik not going to pack a punch or is everyone waiting to nowcast.... thought it would be alot busier here tonight.

Marengo

aisling86 wrote: »

Is Erik not going to pack a punch or is everyone waiting to nowcast.... thought it would be alot busier here tonight.

Where are you located Aisling?