downcow wrote: » I would also worry about the UK going forward if this is overturned. we will be divided for decades and some nasty people will get support who would normally
CelticRambler wrote: » Does it help? No! On the flip side, you have unfettered access to every part of the Republic of Ireland, you can play for any local or national Irish sports team, you can market yourself or your business or your exports as "Irish" and no-one will accuse you of false advertising.
downcow wrote: » GB is not a country anf there is no international border between NI and GB. I havent checked but i am pretty sure the two nations on the islands recognised by the UN are ROI and UK of GB & NI. and some of you are reading far to much into a name - the nation of the UK was formed by bringing together GB & NI and that is recognised in the name - I really like it that way and would hate to see that bit of history erased and your second point is the arrogant bit that you need to let go of and i have no doubt you will at the 11th hour - you will need to work with us and not cut off your nose to spite your face (and i don't mean you personally - i mean your nation)
downcow wrote: » To be really honest. here is my thoughts - uncensored There is history which I think no of us can avoid. Some may pretend they are above it but I think it infects us deep in our thinking. and i could be wrong but my guess is that thats not just a northern problem but across the island - so much difficult history and we are all products of it. So i don't want to rejoin ireland any more that many of you want roi to rejoin the 'kingdom'. So i suppose that is me admitting it is not all economic for me.
downcow wrote: » That said, I believe that the UK and EU and indeed UK & ROI are interdependant and stronger working together. I believe we are leaving the EU but I also believe that all parties mention firmly understand we will be better of working together and being supportive of each other. I understand the EU need to play hard ball so as no one else considers leaving I understand ROI need to play hard ball and use the border issue to their advantage to keep economic connections with UK I understand NI needs to keep good solid economic connections with ROI (and more eg friends, culture, etc) I understand UK needs to play hard ball and not just roll over to EU & ROI
downcow wrote: » That said I believe common sense will prevail at or after the 11th hour. The backstop will be watered down (or fudged) and we will all move on and build improving relationships in the years ahead. I don'r expect either poverty or the jackpot for UK or EU for that matter. I do also think ROI are in the shakiest position but trust that EU & UK will play ball and make it work in the end. Probably setting myself up for a hammering but sure so be it
downcow wrote: » There is serious whataboutery going on here.I am simply stating what i understand as facts. ie 1)to all intense and purpose the troubles are over and the current generation will not lend its support to another murderous sectarian campaignYou don't know what the current generation might do in a situation where there is a Hard Border reimposed and the UK / NI is thrown into a deep recession. Their will be a feeling of imposition and that will create the kind of motivations that existed before the GFA. 2) The UK voted out (regions swung both ways)They voted "out", but "out" was not defined. The issue the UK have faced during this process is the various devils that exist in the details of "out". And many of those details have potentially destabilizing effects in NI even if they are considered preferential from an English perspective. 3) the vote was close both overall and in the regions and therefore we need to work hard to respect bothA Hard Brexit position hardly represents a close vote. The DUP positioning throughout the process hardly is representative of a close vote. 4) another referendum would be ridiculous. As ridiculous as it would have been for the anti GFA people to call for a new referendum eg at the time we were all watching murderers being released two years in which my have swung it the other way in the NorthUtter nonsense. It is also an opinion, not a fact. On the former point, Brexit now has a negotiated definition in the form of the agreed WA. And numerous points have surfaced and been worked through over the course of the negotiations that could substantively back up the legitimacy of a second vote. As to the latter point, that was signposted in the GFA. It was agreed then that releases would occur. The DUP campaigned against ratification for such reasons. The rest of the country voted by a massive margin in full knowledge of the agreed deal and its implications. The situation is the antithesis of Brexit in that regard. 5) i believe most people, brexiteers included, would accept some sensible additional checks at the Irish Sea - but we need to see some compromise of sharing some checking maybe at NI border and even some at ROI France border. Current ROI position reeks of arrogace and is winding people upThis is another opinion, not a fact. The ROI has not voted to leave the EU. It is not tied to the UK in any way. Why on earth would there be checks on its border with Single Market partners on the continent? There is zero arrogance in that position. Upholding British commitments defined by an International agreement in the context of Brexit is an entirely self created problem for the UK to solve. Ireland did nothing to threaten the status quo of agreements it has signed up to. Nor did the EU. 6)NI cannot be in a situation where they are separated from UK with EU making the rules and no democratic representation.That again is an opinion, not a fact. The deal as negotiated is a brilliant one for peace, business and prosperity in NI: providing it with the best of both worlds in terms of EU / UK membership. Hence the legion of business / agriculture voices in NI who came out to support it. The DUP position is out of touch with the people of NI. They want this deal, they would vote for this deal. They do not want a hard border and the actions of the DUP which trend towards that are out of touch with the people of NI. Just as they were out of touch on the GFA. Is any of that inaccurate or unreasonable?
spacecoyote wrote: » Did we not, in essence, have this situation in Ireland with Lisbon? It was rejected originally, partly down to some lies & scaremongering that was put out through the media. We went back, got clarifications, the relevant guarantees, and the full picture & put it back to the people, and as a result the second referendum passed. To me, its almost a perfect parallel, except the Irish don't get so caught up in similar, Rule Britannia style reactions, as they do in the UK. Why get so entrenched & dig your heels in, when, in essence, you know you've made the wrong decision. If you put something to the people & they vote on it, and then can provide evidence that the reason they voted was based on lies & scaremongering, is it not a fair & just idea to put the choice to the people again?
downcow wrote: » If UK goes out on a fairly hard Brexit then I think we are benifitted in going also because we are so closely connected in every way and finacially supported by them. Any fear of leaving the EU can be multiplied many times when we consider leaving UK, economically, culturally,etc does that help?
downcow wrote: » 4) another referendum would be ridiculous. As ridiculous as it would have been for the anti GFA people to call for a new referendum eg at the time we were all watching murderers being released two years in which my have swung it the other way in the North
CelticRambler wrote: » You're still confusing the regions (of England) with the constituent countries of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland - something that is, unfortunately, widespread amongst the loudest Tory, UKIP and English nationalist voices. Maybe if NI unionists could accept that their country is not part of Great Britain, they'd be more successful in keeping their own government functionning effectively, and defending their country's interests. On the otherhand, there is no reason why the Republic should put itself at a considerable economic disadvantage by imposing checks on Ireland-France imports/exports simply because a subsection of the Tory party disagrees with the rest of the party.
First Up wrote: » I can however assure you that the EU is not using that or anything else to "keep" the UK in the EU. All it is doing is ensuring that responsibility for the consequences of the UK's departure fall where they should.
prawnsambo wrote: » Do you accept that a hard brexit will hit the UK economy hard? And that currently those effects are already being felt due to the loss of value of sterling and the flow of capital out of London. Such a hit to the UK economy would inevitably reduce the amount of money available to prop up NI.
downcow wrote: » I am simply stating what i understand as facts. 2) The UK voted out (regions swung both ways) 3) the vote was close both overall and in the regions and therefore we need to work hard to respect both
downcow wrote: » 5) i believe most people, brexiteers included, would accept some sensible additional checks at the Irish Sea - but we need to see some compromise of sharing some checking maybe at NI border and even some at ROI France border. Current ROI position reeks of arrogace and is winding people up
downcow wrote: » 6)NI cannot be in a situation where they are separated from UK with EU making the rules and no democratic representation. Is any of that inaccurate or unreasonable?
downcow wrote: This is ironic. You can look back and you will find i have not riased the troubles. my issue is that the gfa and a threrat of conflict is being used very disingenuously by ROI and EU to keep UK in EU.
downcow wrote: » I have stated from early on that is was nuetral and didn't vote. So i don't think the benifits of in or out are dramatically different. Some pros and cons. I am OK with either option if we do it as UK as a whole. If UK goes out on a fairly hard Brexit then I think we are benifitted in going also because we are so closely connected in every way and finacially supported by them. Any fear of leaving the EU can be multiplied many times when we consider leaving UK, economically, culturally,etc does that help?
FreudianSlippers wrote: » His boss is singing from a different hymn sheet though and, given his boss is President of the European Council (Donald Tusk), I'll take the Polish views from the horse's mouth.
FrancieBrady wrote: » The benefits are all airy fairy nebulous things. I would be interested to hear a unionist, spell out in factual terms, what they would be for northern Ireland specifically.
downcow wrote: » Yes lots of mis information floatinf about on this. There has never be an amnesty. there was an early release scheme. Sorry let me correct myself - obviously there was an amnesty for 200 key IRA members but that was a sectret deal done with Tony Blair in dark rooms https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/tony-blair/11342495/Tony-Blair-On-The-Run-letters-to-IRA-members-vital-for-Northern-Ireland-peace.html this only applied to republicans and the public and indeed the GB police when an IRA member was tried for the Hyde Park bombings and he produced his secret letter in court and the judge had to let him go. I can understand your disbelief at how it could be done secretly and only given to one side
Former Prime Minister Mr Blair began the peace process scheme in 2000. It saw 95 of the so-called letters of comfort issued by the Government to suspects linked by intelligence to almost 300 murders.They told people they were not wanted at that time, but did not rule out future prosecutions if new evidence became available.
downcow wrote: » Are you suggesting the IRA didnt target civilians and simply because they were protestant. I doubt someone has fed you a very romantic view of a dirty sectarian campaign
downcow wrote: » This is ironic. You can look back and you will find i have not riased the troubles. my issue is that the gfa and a threrat of conflict is being used very disingenuously by ROI and EU to keep UK in EU. You may not agree with me but do not misrepresent what i am saying. I supported the GFA and still do but detest the cherry picking and misrepresentation of what is in it. And i am the one saying that we are not threatened with violence in the North we are comfortable and confident that our culture is starting to find room to exist on this island
Leroy42 wrote: » Downcow, why are you trying to revisit the GFA and the troubles? What purpose does it have in relation to Brexit? You didn't like it, we get it. But the majority in NI accepted it. It, despite having some serious issues, has brought stability, peace, cooperation and a normality to NI. It is a model of how to solve what appears to be an intractable problem for the rest of the world. So, back to Brexit. What benefits are coming to NI from Brexit?
Leroy42 wrote: » So, back to Brexit. What benefits are coming to NI from Brexit?
Peregrinus wrote: » 7. So important question becomes, what is May’s Plan C? If she secures the assent of the DUP but not of the ERG, the deal will be voted down again, and at that point May has to decide whether she will hew towards crash-out Brexit, or opt for revoking Art 50 or trying for a second referendum. From here point of view these are all appalling options; but she will just has to choose which is the least appalling.
downcow wrote: » It was extremely difficulty for most unionists. We had suffered a 30 year sectarian campaign against us and just when the terrorists were running out of energy and support we were asked to let them save face by giving them an honourable way out. Enough of us done it to get it through. Not pleasant finding out that grinning Tony Blair had done them a deal behind everyones back. Replicate that to your gansters in Dublin and how you would feel if you had reduced their sentences etc in return for them stopping killing you because they didn't like your identity/religion existing on this Island and then finding out you priminsiter had done them other deals and lied to you about it
downcow wrote: » I agree with you but it would have been very wrong to have rerun the GFA referendum before it was implimented. I agree same for EU. ther day after its implimented people can and no doubt will begin a campaign for a referendum and they are entitled to it
downcow wrote: » The thing we are angry about is that many of us took a big step and voted for gfa for peace and now we see roi supported by Europe using it for their own agenda .
downcow wrote: » 'upperhand' The lady doth protest too much, me thinks lol