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Storm Callum - Thursday/Friday 11/12 October 2018 READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST

Meteorite58

MOD NOTE:

This Thread is for discussing Fridays threat of severe weather only. It could get very busy and posters are reminded to stay on topic.

In everybody's best interest their will be a zero tolerance to posters dragging the thread off topic and into disarray , posts will be removed that do not adhere to this request.

Posters wishing to discuss matters in relation to Met Eireann can discuss it here https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2056857470 (whilst abiding by the Forum charter) and not on this thread.

Please help keep this thread running smoothly for all by adhering with the Mod Team's request.

Thank You.

Have been observing the models align regards the potential for some very disturbed weather at the end of the week. ECM, GFS, UKMO and GEM all showing a very deep Storm develop towards Fri and have been bringing it closer to Ireland over the last couple of days. Most notable today is that the ECM has brought it very close and is at this early stage showing very strong winds over much of Ireland. Again to point out this is still in the unreliable timeframe but at present shows it looking more severe than Storm Ali in that there is potential for higher winds and over a much longer timeframe as the system moves slowly up off the W coast, possibly taking most of Fri into Sat to clear the country . Along with the winds there is potential for very heavy rains also. Just coming out of Spring tides by Fri but this system is showing a very low pressure of 950 hPa so an increase in the height of the tide could be expected and as there is a lot of rain forecast along W and NW counties before this Storm then run off meeting a tidal surge could cause flooding.

Have been deliberating whether to start a thread on this or not but I think it is a good opportunity to test the accuracy of the models and it has been shaping up over a few days now to be potentially a severe weather event. Nothing lost if it gets downgraded, this is a record of the guidance available about upcoming weather and an effort to piece the information together . Can change the thread title if and when requires.

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DOCARCH

Peatys wrote: »

Worst not due in Dublin till 8ish

Not sure where you are getting that?

Storm peaked in Dublin around 2am this morning.

Beechwoodspark

Pretty mild storm here in Kildare. Bit of rain and wind around 3-4am was the worst of it

Beechwoodspark

Peatys wrote: »

Worst not due in Dublin till 8ish

Where you getting that info peaty?

Worst is passed I think -defer to the real experts to answer that

Beechwoodspark

Graces7 wrote: »

Thanks and yes, amazing !!!

offshore island though..

hope everyone here is ok... nothing i can do except stay safe and pray..

And also post on this. Keep us updated graces 7

DOCARCH

Max gust in 0800 reports is 67 kts at Belmullet (124 km/h).

sparrowcar

DOCARCH wrote: »

Not sure where you are getting that?

Storm peaked in Dublin around 2am this morning.

He got it from this outdated post that was posted overnight.

Quote: MJohnstonHere are approximate timings for the peaks of the worst winds, so that we can cut the "load of nothing" posts out before they start.

South-west coast: 2/3am
Cork/South coast: 5/6am
Midlands: 5/6am
South-east: 6/7am
Dublin/East Coast/Ulster: 7/8am
Galway/Mayo: 12pm/1pm
Donegal: 4/5pm
Limerick: might peak twice here, first around 2am, then again around 11am/12pm.

Whispered

Monkeynut wrote: »

Maybe the tree fell on the track. The tree was at a standstill then a train hit it. Maybe. Haha

That's what I presumed! That there was a tree/branch on the track. Glad to hear it was a non-incident.

As for spelling. Autocorrect, we have a problem.

Still wild here (Kilkenny), a day for bed. The boys preschool has text to say they're closed for the day due to power cut. They're a rural, outdoor school so not ideal on a day like today anyway.

Sycamore Tree

Funny to hear that motorists in Galway reopened the roads last night by removing cones/bollards. People get annoyed that the council close roads so far in advance of a storm. No flooding yet and high tide has just passed.

Sycamore Tree

Duplicate post.

Rhineshark

sparrowcar wrote: »

He got it from this outdated post that was posted overnight.

Quote: MJohnstonHere are approximate timings for the peaks of the worst winds, so that we can cut the "load of nothing" posts out before they start.

South-west coast: 2/3am
Cork/South coast: 5/6am
Midlands: 5/6am
South-east: 6/7am
Dublin/East Coast/Ulster: 7/8am
Galway/Mayo: 12pm/1pm
Donegal: 4/5pm
Limerick: might peak twice here, first around 2am, then again around 11am/12pm.

Ah, thanks, I was looking for that.

Graces7

for some reason boards is not downlading properly, cannot get eg emoticons ir edit posts and get a strange page when I first try,,as if on depleted power

Storm 10

My observations of Storm Callum from Galway City, heavy rain, a few flashes of lightning and the strongest gust of wind recorded on my station all night was 60mph, I would say the worst is over now.

average_runner

A bit windy in dublin but it was obvious from the models and mt that east coast would be grand

Gaoth Laidir

67 kts at Belmullet, 58 kts at Newport too. Sligo Airport has gone offline but Donegal is reporting 40 knots now. Will be interesting to see how high it gets.

[Deleted User]

Belmullet might go a bit higher yet. Peak of the storm's core winds should pass the NW Mayo coast at around 10am.

Whirl_wolle

I viewed the claddagh webcam for a while at 8 am this morning. It seems to be business as usual in Galway city. It was quite at 8 am but then became slightly more busier. People are not battling with winds.

I'm in Galway west and the wind is howling.

Villain

144kmh gust reported at Clew Bay by Achill Cosst Guard which is a little South of Belmullet which recorded 126kmh.

Graces7

Villain wrote: »

144kmh gust reported at Clew Bay by Achill Cosst Guard which is a little South of Belmullet which recorded 126kmh.

OUCH!

Pretzill

Didn't seem to get the winds predicted here in South Sligo - slightly blowy out now - Is it due to get worse?

DOCARCH

Pretzill wrote: »

Didn't seem to get the winds predicted here in South Sligo - slightly blowy out now - Is it due to get worse?

For your area/the NW, yes, probably. Orange warning in effect for the NW until 5pm.

Xenji

Still quite stormy in Castlebar, 113 km/hr was our highest gust overnight.

Big Vern

I've to travel to Dublin from Wexford, this afternoon and then back tonight.
Will it be ok? are the roads on East coast ok?
Any info appreciated!

STB.

power pants wrote: »

Not pedantic at all, was just checking if you could verify your outrageous claims. You couldn’t

I did.

power pants wrote: »

Yes I agree , back on topic....

You haven't contributed at all to the topic other than to jump on my posts.

Nothing that a leaky milk carton couldn't sort out, eh eh :pac::pac::pac::pac:

https://twitter.com/ESBNetworks/status/1050641618640859137

gozunda

Pattern of power outages shows interesting pattern extending from the extreme South West inland through Southern counties towards Dublin with just a few outliers further north west

30 000 without power

https://mobile.twitter.com/ESBNetworks/status/1050641618640859137

Sycamore Tree

Whirl_wolle wrote: »

I viewed the claddagh webcam for a while at 8 am this morning. It seems to be business as usual in Galway city. It was quite at 8 am but then became slightly more busier. People are not battling with winds.

I'm in Galway west and the wind is howling.

They are already opening the roads in Galway city that were closed earlier. I drove into the city this morning and saw no trees or branches down. The Prom will probably remain closed for a while. A bunch of schools closed but most seem open.

eigrod

Big Vern wrote: »

I've to travel to Dublin from Wexford, this afternoon and then back tonight.
Will it be ok? are the roads on East coast ok?
Any info appreciated!

Have a look at MT Cranium's forecast https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=108329484&postcount=5009

Everything fine up around Greystones this morning so rain will probably be the worst thing you'll encounter.

STB.

Big Vern wrote: »

I've to travel to Dublin from Wexford, this afternoon and then back tonight.
Will it be ok? are the roads on East coast ok?
Any info appreciated!

Should be okay. Mainly the NW that has the Orange extended until 6pm.

Latest from Met.ie wrote:

Last updated 8:30 am Friday 12th October by Meteorologists Siobhán Ryan and Sandra Spillane

Met Éireann named Storm Callum on Wednesday 10th October. Severe Orange and Yellow Wind Warnings were issued, valid for Thursday night and Friday day. Note, the Severe Orange Warning was extended in time out to 6:00 pm on Friday for Donegal, Sligo, Mayo, Galway and Clare, with warnings lapsing at 9:00 am elsewhere. Further warnings were considered across parts of the south and east later Friday, owing to another swathe of wind and rain. However the severity and likelihood of this secondary event has diminished considerably. Strong gales with the risk of storm force winds remain in effect for all Irish sea areas, with storm force winds from Slyne Head to Malin Head, and violent storm force winds a possibility here this morning.

This event continues to be predominantly a coastal one, though some severe gusts moved inland, especially close to the squally cold front, as it pushed up over the country overnight. Gusts in excess of 100 km/h have been recorded widely, with up to 125 km/h gusts in parts of the west.

Highest gust so far 67 Kts Belmullet 7am Friday 12th October
Moore Park County Cork recorded 20.6mm rainfall in just a 4 hour window overnight

https://www.met.ie/forecasters-commentary

Meteorite58

Mod Note:keep it civil please.

Meteorite58

Awoken numerous times last from the noise of the wind and rain.Especially loud about 03.00 with heavy squally rain. No damage except the pole holding my anenometer came down

Quite windy still here in Tralee.

Big Vern

eigrod wrote: »

Have a look at MT Cranium's forecast https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=108329484&postcount=5009

Everything fine up around Greystones this morning so rain will probably be the worst thing you'll encounter.

STB. wrote: »

Should be okay. Mainly the NW that has the Orange extended until 6pm.

https://www.met.ie/forecasters-commentary

Thanks for reply's folks, was thinking it would be ok to go. Just needed that bit of reassurance!
Great work on the storm threads yet again. Its a great way to find out whats going on at times. Thanks