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Storm Callum - Thursday/Friday 11/12 October 2018 READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST

Meteorite58

MOD NOTE:

This Thread is for discussing Fridays threat of severe weather only. It could get very busy and posters are reminded to stay on topic.

In everybody's best interest their will be a zero tolerance to posters dragging the thread off topic and into disarray , posts will be removed that do not adhere to this request.

Posters wishing to discuss matters in relation to Met Eireann can discuss it here https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2056857470 (whilst abiding by the Forum charter) and not on this thread.

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Thank You.

Have been observing the models align regards the potential for some very disturbed weather at the end of the week. ECM, GFS, UKMO and GEM all showing a very deep Storm develop towards Fri and have been bringing it closer to Ireland over the last couple of days. Most notable today is that the ECM has brought it very close and is at this early stage showing very strong winds over much of Ireland. Again to point out this is still in the unreliable timeframe but at present shows it looking more severe than Storm Ali in that there is potential for higher winds and over a much longer timeframe as the system moves slowly up off the W coast, possibly taking most of Fri into Sat to clear the country . Along with the winds there is potential for very heavy rains also. Just coming out of Spring tides by Fri but this system is showing a very low pressure of 950 hPa so an increase in the height of the tide could be expected and as there is a lot of rain forecast along W and NW counties before this Storm then run off meeting a tidal surge could cause flooding.

Have been deliberating whether to start a thread on this or not but I think it is a good opportunity to test the accuracy of the models and it has been shaping up over a few days now to be potentially a severe weather event. Nothing lost if it gets downgraded, this is a record of the guidance available about upcoming weather and an effort to piece the information together . Can change the thread title if and when requires.

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JCX BXC

48kts in Shannon (89km/h), I'd say it'll break the forecasted 50kts anyway

monty_python

Worst has past now I reckon. It's calmer now I can 3 hours ago
Sw beara peninsula

Cantona's Collars

spookwoman wrote: »

71km/h gust in Waterford

Heavy rain in Wexford,the strong winds haven't hit us yet.

[Deleted User]

Callum with Hurricane Leslie out to the southwest (NOT coming here btw). Any chance of tropical moisture from Leslie bumping up our rainfall totals over the next couple of days I wonder?

MJohnston

monty_python wrote: »

Worst has past now I reckon. It's calmer now I can 3 hours ago
Sw beara peninsula

Yes, the peak winds should now have passed by most of the south-western coastal peninsulas.

spookwoman

Cantona's Collars wrote: »

Heavy rain in Wexford,the strong winds haven't hit us yet.

2nd bout of heavy rain now

smodgley

Cantona's Collars wrote: »

Heavy rain in Wexford,the strong winds haven't hit us yet.

windy as hell south of New Ross

joeguevara

Quite windy in dun laoghaire now.

Mr Bumble

Storm a sustained roar beside Lough Currane in Waterville. Massive thunder and lightening storm out to sea. Wind strongest of the night right now.

spookwoman

Has the rain radar died in cork kerry area?

back working again

Rougies

spookwoman wrote: »

Has the rain radar died in cork kerry area?

back working again

The Shannon radar has a habit of going offline when you need it most. Performance anxiety perhaps.

Mr Bumble

Not much rain in this in Waterville. Ground dry already. T and L storm is spectacular. Ferocious gusts.

RocketRaccoon

JCX BXC wrote: »

48kts in Shannon (89km/h), I'd say it'll break the forecasted 50kts anyway

Just went for a walk here in Shannon and the wind doesn't seem anything out of the ordinary.

spookwoman

Power outages moving east as the storm progresses

billy the squid

Wind seems to have abated here in ballincollig. Definate school tomorrow

Pocaide

Blowing a Gale here on the Hook Head peninsula.

amor3

Strong gusts now, Dublin 24.

looksee

Been very windy the past two hours in South Tipp - it was not forecast to be more than yellow alert here - but wind died down somewhat. Torrential rain there for a few minutes, now more normal. Is the wind likely to pick up again? I thought it would have been later.

[Deleted User]

Strong winds here. Just woken by dogs barking.
It's just one continuous strong wind.

Saw earlier that it's peaking here in Wexford around 7-9am. It'll be wild then!

spookwoman

Up to 87km/h in waterford

tom1ie

Very strong winds now Dublin 16.

jamesbere

Is there a possibility of flooding in Cork City

spookwoman

tom1ie wrote: »

Very strong winds now Dublin 16.

Power outages in Kimmage and Templeogue

jamesbere wrote: »

Is there a possibility of flooding in Cork City

https://twitter.com/CorkSafetyAlert/status/1050534093333692417

[Deleted User]

Constant breeze and strong gusts in Dublin 9. Need to get the tree out on the street dealt with, a few came down during Ali.

NIMAN

Just got woke by one of the kids, who was wakened by the noise.

It's getting windy now up here in North Donegal, probably more wet than windy, but the wind is started to whip up for sure.

Gonna be rough come the morning I'd say.

BuzzFish

Very gusty now in Naas. UPC internet just went down (and triggered my "smart" alarm)

HelloMrSnowman

Definitely started here in Newbridge, bottle bin has gotten air and is now spewing contents very loudly across the tarmac

MJohnston

Pretty wild in Dublin 7, as I suspected earlier the combination of strong winds and heavy rains is really making this a very scary sounding storm. Last few to hit Dublin have been mostly dry wind storms, it makes a big difference!

[Deleted User]

Picking up now here in Dundalk

spookwoman

Hows Limerick doing