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Storm Callum - Thursday/Friday 11/12 October 2018 READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST

Meteorite58

MOD NOTE:

This Thread is for discussing Fridays threat of severe weather only. It could get very busy and posters are reminded to stay on topic.

In everybody's best interest their will be a zero tolerance to posters dragging the thread off topic and into disarray , posts will be removed that do not adhere to this request.

Posters wishing to discuss matters in relation to Met Eireann can discuss it here https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2056857470 (whilst abiding by the Forum charter) and not on this thread.

Please help keep this thread running smoothly for all by adhering with the Mod Team's request.

Thank You.

Have been observing the models align regards the potential for some very disturbed weather at the end of the week. ECM, GFS, UKMO and GEM all showing a very deep Storm develop towards Fri and have been bringing it closer to Ireland over the last couple of days. Most notable today is that the ECM has brought it very close and is at this early stage showing very strong winds over much of Ireland. Again to point out this is still in the unreliable timeframe but at present shows it looking more severe than Storm Ali in that there is potential for higher winds and over a much longer timeframe as the system moves slowly up off the W coast, possibly taking most of Fri into Sat to clear the country . Along with the winds there is potential for very heavy rains also. Just coming out of Spring tides by Fri but this system is showing a very low pressure of 950 hPa so an increase in the height of the tide could be expected and as there is a lot of rain forecast along W and NW counties before this Storm then run off meeting a tidal surge could cause flooding.

Have been deliberating whether to start a thread on this or not but I think it is a good opportunity to test the accuracy of the models and it has been shaping up over a few days now to be potentially a severe weather event. Nothing lost if it gets downgraded, this is a record of the guidance available about upcoming weather and an effort to piece the information together . Can change the thread title if and when requires.

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_Whimsical_

Galway city just got our first decent gust. Suddenly there's a consistant howl outside, from complete silence to this in a minute.

cyclops999

Just starting to rain in Athlone, no wind

Sundew

Have had a few strong gusts and awful squally rain in Sth Galway over the last half hr....nothing along the lines of “Ali” yet.
Off to me leaba now. Keep safe.....those of you who have to be out and about in this storm!

Miike

Wind in Limerick has gotten fairly manic now too. I'm off to bed, have a lovely night everyone and be safe.

Whirl_wolle

_Whimsical_ wrote: »

Galway city just got our first decent gust. Suddenly there's a consistant howl outside, from complete silence to this in a minute.

I viewed the claddagh webcam for a good 10 minutes. It looked remarkably calm. It was raining but some people out and walking on shop street. It didn't look like they were battling with winds.

I'm not far from Galway city and it's brutal where I am. Strong wind and rain.

Amprodude

I think this storm is hyped up by the media to the last. nothing major only a mild gust. Darwin was a storm.

dacogawa

Amprodude wrote: »

I think this storm is hyped up by the media to the last. nothing major only a mild gust.

There's a thread over here for chit-chat...

https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2057919045&page=12

EdgeCase

It’s a pretty serious storm in Cork City. Plenty of howling winds and very heavy rain

prinzeugen

spookwoman wrote: »

131km + is red

Rains arrived in Waterford

Km? Is this now a unit of measurement for speed?

Do you mean Knots or Km/h??

endainoz wrote: »

Gusts up to 100km near the cliffs of Moher, have to work there in the morning, that'll be fun

How can gusts 100km from the cliffs of Moher be "near"??

Km is a measure of distance same as a mile although I know lots just say "K" now as it sounds cooler after they have been on a treadmill.

Please use the right terms folks! I know what you are on about but others may not.

Dank Janniels

Lights flickering past few minutes in north east Galway. Torches on standby!

SlowBlowin

Power off in the Sneem area.

SB

eagle eye

Wind and rain in Roscommon. As I type I hear the first whistling and we only have a yellow warning.

Saganist

First howl I've heard was a few mins ago. Dublin.

mickmackey1

Orange alert justified here in mid-Limerick, very wild.

smokingman

Big drops of rain started in Athy with a few big gusts

[Deleted User]

prinzeugen wrote: »

Km? Is this now a unit of measurement for speed?

Do you mean Knots or Km/h??

How can gusts 100km from the cliffs of Moher be "near"??

Km is a measure of distance same as a mile although I know lots just say "K" now as it sounds cooler after they have been on a treadmill.

Please use the right terms folks! I know what you are on about but others may not.

Km/h, not knots. Gusts of 100 km/h near the cliffs of Moher.

Speaking of knots, 131+ is what Hurricane Michael threw at Florida yesterday.

dacogawa

That rain is building in the midlands heading for Dublin, wind starting to pick up here too. High tide in an hour.

mangobob

Wind starting to pick up a bit here in Dublin 16...

Graces7

wild west.... shrill whistling wind... the high pitch is unusual...worse in the kitchen also unusual .. Battering gale now and drumming deluges,,,, fell asleep before 9 pm as the initial tendrils and tones were hovering and heightening, then was roused by this OUCH! of a gale. long, sustained roars

west mayo offshore island

billy the squid

Ballincollig

Gone very wild here now. A constant wind with loud gusts. Lashing rain too

mangobob

dacogawa wrote: »

That rain is building in the midlands heading for Dublin, wind starting to pick up here too. High tide in an hour.

I'm awake so long now my brain is running on fumes. I spent about 10 seconds trying to click the feckin play button on your post before I realised it was a picture

gozunda

Mount Vesuvius wrote: »

Another view from 18z Hi Res Arome shows strong 100kph plus gusts overland.

https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/attachment.php?attachmentid=463609&stc=1&d=1539299943
https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/attachment.php?attachmentid=463610&stc=1&d=1539300167
https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/attachment.php?attachmentid=463611&stc=1&d=1539300167
https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/attachment.php?attachmentid=463613&stc=1&d=1539300167
https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/attachment.php?attachmentid=463614&stc=1&d=1539300167

Its the very strong winds indicated with grey ie over 118km/h coming from the south west that are the most worrying imo

Noticible that they extend inland over a considerable distance ...

tashiusclay

Graces7 wrote: »

wild west.... shrill whistling wind... the high pitch is unusual...worse in the kitchen also unusual .. Battering gale now and drumming deluges,,,, fell asleep before 9 pm as the initial tendrils and tones were hovering and heightening, then was roused by this OUCH! of a gale. long, sustained roars

west mayo offshore island

What island are you on?

jomalone14

First drops of rain now in Lucan, gusts building in strength but not constant.....yet...

spookwoman

Wind is steadily increasing in Waterford

bassy

Graces7 wrote: »

wild west.... shrill whistling wind... the high pitch is unusual...worse in the kitchen also unusual .. Battering gale now and drumming deluges,,,, fell asleep before 9 pm as the initial tendrils and tones were hovering and heightening, then was roused by this OUCH! of a gale. long, sustained roars

west mayo offshore island

rustle up a midnite snack graces7

[Deleted User]

HIRLAM mean wind speeds for 10am. Area of 90-95 km/h winds clipping the NW Mayo coast around this time.

JCX BXC

1am Cork Airport: 52kts gust (96km/h)

spookwoman

71km/h gust in Waterford

Graces7

was wondering what is different. It is the pitch of the gale. Usually a roar. This one has two voices. The dark low roar and the high pitched whistle.. Temp has dropped too... now we know what is really meant by "shiver me timbers."!

Back later if power holds... stay safe... yawn!

west mayo offshore island