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Share Picks 2018

b4bmm

Tawana resources. TAW Asx Lithium player. Tipped this a while back when it was mid 20s. Approaching 50c now and has a long way to run. Way undervalued compared to peers. Best mangement in the lithium space. Big year ahead.

Nzuri copper. NZC, Asx cobalt/copper play. Being buying this from high teens and it ran hard before I could get all I wanted. It’s low 30s now which is similar to my average buy in price. Very good buy at this level. Lowest capital cost cobalt play on the asx. Located in Congo. Strong Chinese partners. Big exploration upside. This will go hard in 2018 is way undervalued compare to poor grade high capex asx cobalt peers. Management owns over 50% of compnay extremely tight register. Feasibility study already proven robust economics for the project now optimatstion studies being carried out which will take the NPV to a whole new level and the SP along with it hopefully. This is by far the best cobalt play on the asx right now imo.

Wish everyone a prosperous 2018

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kippy

Rebel001 wrote: »

Anyone into CPX (cap-xx)? It looks like it is finally realising it's true potential with plenty scope for upward movement.

Yep. Have held on for a while. Still in the red but hopefully it continues in the right direction!

Rebel001

Anyone into CPX (cap-xx)? It looks like it is finally realising it's true potential with plenty scope for upward movement.

Skelet0n

Easier just to not open the portfolio today.

Bloodbath.

q85dw7osi4lebg

Good news day for both VSTM and VKTX.

Again both down!

unplayable

received some company suggestions from a global small cap fund manager

Food and drink – people think Diageo/Uniliver in equity – slow growth. Underneath that a range of innovative small caps leading the way
Grubhub – US market leader in on-line/app takeaway in the US. Dominant market position, strong balance sheet, trend we see increasing. Company competed over 300 order per minute last year, 80000 restaurant’s under coverage
YUM Brands have instead in the company and have announced that KFC & Taco bell will now be distributed by Grubhub, 5 GUYS also
Fevertree – you’ll know this one but US is the new growth area, with their range of cola looking to displace Pepsi and Coke.
Wessanen – dutch company that have been around since 1800s – recently made switch to almost all of their products being natural/organic
Domino’s Pizza – lead the way in tech advances in food delivery – tracking device helps to stop diners develop pizza anxiety, giving live updates on the status of their delivery

Automation – certainly not a new theme in investing but as consumers want their goods in faster time periods, this will only increase
Cognex – machine vision cameras – sit above production lines (iPhones etc) checking that put together correctly/scans barcodes
Jungheinrich – Euro market leader in forklift trucks – shift from bricks to clicks in retail. Also offer a fully automated warehouse, no humans = more efficient, machine learns over time. Claim to increase efficiency by up to 50%
Aspen Tech – market leader in process optimization software – help to solve and fix problems in large oil refineries/pharmaceutical plants before they happen = production doesn’t stop = higher profits

Healthcare – again people think of healthcare as low growth (Glaxo etc) – not the case in small cap
Abiomed – Impella heart pump for chronic heart conditions. Monopoly on the market, only FDA approved device, pumps patients’ blood for them during an operation. Literally saving lives
Japan Lifeline – manufacturers cardiovascular devices, specifically for the Japanese (many western peers’ offerings are too large for the Japanese market)
Align tech – company behind invisalign brand. Started in US- now in 90 countries and growing
Evolent Health – US company that assist the It required for the US to move towards value-based care – health providers are rewarded for the quality of their care, not by number of operations

anyone have any holdings or thoughts about the above?

Doodee

Stoploss was hit on AMD. Back up now but wondering how much further it will go.

q85dw7osi4lebg

Saanvi Important Blank wrote: »

Amyris down 8% due to plant being located in North Carolina.

Maybe an opportunity to get in.

Sold this today just before an 8% bump. :pac:

Bob Harris

Saanvi Important Blank wrote: »

Favourited it and didn't buy. Fml

Most likely be a pull back after that run. There are still a lot of unresolved issues.
The new fella hasn't done anything yet. It seems the fact he's not Flannery is enough so far.

q85dw7osi4lebg

Bob Harris wrote: »

An unexpected change of CEO and it's up 17% on the week.

"GE disclosed late Thursday that compensation for new Chief Executive Lawrence Culp will include performance share units (PSUs) that will pay out in the form of equity only if the stock rallies at least 50% over the next four years"

I'd take those gains plus the dividends along the way.

Favourited it and didn't buy. Fml

Bob Harris

Saanvi Important Blank wrote: »

Any thoughts on General Electric?

Bob Harris wrote: »

Bought a few in the low 13's after the ER a while back, and have fallen nearly $2 since. From what I've read where it's at now is around the predicted bottom.
It'll take a few years to get even into the mid teens I'd say but as a long term holding that pays an ok dividend (unless cut again) it is interesting but I'd probably wait and see as the short term downward trend might take it into the 10's.

An unexpected change of CEO and it's up 17% on the week.

"GE disclosed late Thursday that compensation for new Chief Executive Lawrence Culp will include performance share units (PSUs) that will pay out in the form of equity only if the stock rallies at least 50% over the next four years"

I'd take those gains plus the dividends along the way.

Policy Review

Applegreen PLC about to be listed on LSE Aim, anyone care to throw their expertise on it? Good one to back possibly as it expands operations across the country.

TG860

Skelet0n wrote: »

Did anyone else buy CEY on the tip a few pages back?

I sold out two days ago purely as I needed cash, brutal day for it today -15%.

Disappointing Q3 production update today. It took longer for them to get through the transitional zone (which has lower grades) than expected.
They are through the transitional zone now and saw stronger grades in September. They simply don't have sufficient time left in FY18 to meet the previous issued guidance now.

It's disappointing as the CEO was at a gold investor conference in Denver last week and was still presenting the previous guidance when it must have been clear they would not meet it at that stage. Hardly going to help investor confidence.

Anyway, I think in the medium term this is still a good investment. Share price is currently back to where I tipped it 3 weeks ago. As grades improve, I would expect FY19 production to improve on FY18's performance. In the meantime, I am happy to collect the very high dividend (well covered) while I wait for this one to come good.

Bob Harris

Skelet0n wrote: »

Did anyone else buy CEY on the tip a few pages back?

I sold out two days ago purely as I needed cash, brutal day for it today -15%.

I've been watching but never jumped in, dragging down all the mining shares with it.

q85dw7osi4lebg

Skelet0n wrote: »

Did anyone else buy CEY on the tip a few pages back?

I sold out two days ago purely as I needed cash, brutal day for it today -15%.

I did, only a small bit so I'll hold it for now .

Skelet0n

Did anyone else buy CEY on the tip a few pages back?

I sold out two days ago purely as I needed cash, brutal day for it today -15%.

unkel

Same here. Everything down. Except BOI which was up. I promptly sold all of it

crushproof

Did anybody have any shares in PTIE Pain Therapeutics. Massive jump yesterday, up 200% and has already crashed down 59% today! A dispute with the FDA seems to be the reason. I have a handful of shares, disappointed I didn't sell yesterday but I still believe it's undervalued, they recently received a $3.5m grant to continue research into their Alzheimer treatment drugs.

q85dw7osi4lebg

Down a fortune today

Browney7

Anyone have any view on AB Foods - good time to get in or a value trap? Brexit uncertainty probably not helping SP.

mickoneill31

Pussyhands wrote: »

all stocks in my portfolio outside of BRK B down 2-4% today. what did I miss? lol

Same for me. Everything down.

Pussyhands

all stocks in my portfolio outside of BRK B down 2-4% today. what did I miss? lol

Thargor

LEDS back down now, hmmm, I think Im going to have to take a chance on it, seems like another easy 20%...

Bob Harris

Skelet0n wrote: »

LEDS taking off.

Looks like it's just warming up. Volume on other big breaks was 4-5m.
No ER date as there seemingly never is for these small caps but looks like
it should be along in the next week and the quarterly pump and dump will
ensue.

unkel

unkel wrote: »

BOI lowest point in almost a year. I went in just now.

And I'm out. 5% net profit in just 3 days after all costs deducted. Someone warn me when it's back in the €6.00-€6.50 range

Skelet0n

LEDS taking off.

littlevillage

Anybody follow Moneybags in the Phoenix magazine. Glowing report on Ormonde Mining (ISEQ, LSE) today.

https://www.thephoenix.ie/article/ormonde-minings-patient-shareholders-set-for-payday/

Might take a punt for the fun. Hopefully will be another Providence Resources :-)

Gruffalo22

BonesJones1 wrote: »

Is there many people here invested in dividend stocks , if so which?

PHTM on LSE

6.72% dividend. 3.8% due in the next few weeks.

Good margins, current assets cover total debt. Has gained around 20% from lows and I'd say further to go over the next few years

BonesJones1

BonesJones1 wrote: »

What’s the story with the money market fund?? I’m being asked to choose between Morgan Stanley’s liquidity fund and FundShare cash funds?

Never mind

BonesJones1

What’s the story with the money market fund?? I’m being asked to choose between Morgan Stanley’s liquidity fund and FundShare cash funds?

Bob Harris

Saanvi Important Blank wrote: »

What exchange to you buy them on?

They're on the ibex. SP has been at more or less historic lows the last few months. Getting back towards 7 after being 6.50 or so. The have a lot of debt but are well able to serve it and are paying it down. Slight doubt about dividend being maintained and investments in Argentina and Brazil are the main risk etc
One to stick in the bottom drawer for a few years. 50% capital appreciation wouldn't be an outrageous expectation over 3-5 years and if the dividend isn't cut it's an attractive option. I know many who would take a dividend cut to pay down more debt and buoy the SP but these are people holding since the high teens and 20's!