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Absolute Drought conditions to end by Sunday, remaining warm, mostly dry

Kermit.de.frog

So we are on the cusp of an interruption to the very warm or hot and dry cactus growing conditions that have prevailed for the last few weeks at least for a few days.

Many places won't see absolute drought conditions end until the second half of the weekend (some tomorrow) when a band of persistent, allbeit, light to moderate rain moves across the country from the Atlantic.

While technically the absolute drought will end, though welcome, there is unlikely to be any significant rainfall and certainly not enough to remotely replenish lost resources either in the soil or in reservoirs and rivers.

The soil moisture deficits in the east and southeast are approaching nearly 100mm at this stage. That is a lot to make up and we certainly won't be making much inroads there.

Between now and Sunday:

Wednesday:

Patchy light to moderate rainfall in the north and east, mainly dry elsewhere, some showers further south. Warm, top temperatures 22 - 23c in the south where there will be pleasant sunshine. 16 - 19c elsewhere, coolest on coasts.

Thursday:

Mainly dry, isolated patchy rain and drizzle. Some sunshine. Top temperatures 22 - 24c.

Friday:

Dry day. Warm and mostly sunny. 22 - 24c max temperatures. Warmest in the east and south. 17 - 20c elsewhere.

Saturday:

Warm or very warm. Dry. Top temperatures in the south and east. 22 - 25c.

Rainfall extent

Still it's uncertain the actual extent of rainfall over the weekend. Right now it looks light or moderate intensity but patchy (widespread and more persistent for Sunday). Most models would appear to indicate 5 - 15 mm for most over the next 10 days which is small amounts.

Some signs too that things will settle down again for the following week.

Still good by the standards of your average Irish summer and the temperatures remaining good.

Possible warnings/hazards:

Drought conditions, Level: Yellow

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JCX BXC

Some pathetic attempts at drizzle today in West Clare, not enough to even wet the footpaths. The drought continues.

JanuarySnowstor

Pretty significant move away from a decent break in the drought next week. The rain looks light and intermittent and the drought basically continues

Supercell

hawkwing wrote: »

I don't see much on the radar for there..

I remember staying at my sisters house in Cloonacool in Sligo a few years ago. It had been dry for a while in Dublin and everything was parched (though not as bad as this year). It rained the whole weekend there with nothing showing on the radar.
Needless to say back home in Dublin it had been warm and sunny - if its showing rain on the radar for there, its probably monsoonal by Dublin standards!

Storm 10

Fairly coming down in Galway now been on and off drizzle since around 10am but heavier now

km79

Started raining in east gakway now too

Rougies

Supercell wrote: »

I remember staying at my sisters house in Cloonacool in Sligo a few years ago. It had been dry for a while in Dublin and everything was parched (though not as bad as this year). It rained the whole weekend there with nothing showing on the radar.
Needless to say back home in Dublin it had been warm and sunny - if its showing rain on the radar for there, its probably monsoonal by Dublin standards!

Thankfully the northwest is covered a lot better on the new website because it now includes the Belfast radar

Graces7

Good rainfall in the night. ie audible rather then silent drizzle. Lovely to have wet cats again... Grey skies...

Kutebride

Atlantic back doing its thang. Puddles East Galway.

Supercell

Doesnt look like this front is going to give much if anything in the South East, was really looking forward to it, my poor fruit trees and veggies

dave1982

Raining here last hour or so...amazing we on here giving rain reports like we do for snow reports haha

appledrop

Finally raining here in Dublin. Thought I was seeing things when looked out window this morning. Think it's about 6 weeks since we had any!

Graces7

appledrop wrote: »

Finally raining here in Dublin. Thought I was seeing things when looked out window this morning. Think it's about 6 weeks since we had any!

Glad to hear that.. enjoy !

MarkY91

Woke up and noticed the ground outside being wet from my window. I couldn't believe my eyes.

RAIN IN IRELAND? Global warming!!!!

sryanbruen

Barely anything in Dublin 13 since that Thursday night shower I had out of nowhere.

positron

Wet patio here in Drogheda. Feels like we just got back from Spain after holidays...

bloopy

Is the southeast going to get anything out of this?

RobertKK

bloopy wrote: »

Is the southeast going to get anything out of this?

Kilkenny is getting some, average around 1mm so far...

Meteorite58

NW and N could do fairly well out of this, E and SE very little.

5mm here so far from overnight rain, dry and overcast now, second front coming through late afternoon / early evening.

Cantona's Collars

RobertKK wrote: »

Kilkenny is getting some, average around 1mm so far...

Not a drop on the other side of the Blackstairs.

weisses

We had a nice bit of rain in west Kerry ... was very welcome

vistafinder

Nice bit of rain at the moment in west Cork. Never thought id say it but its nice to hear it with the window open.

Storm 10

Started drizzle in Galway yesterday morning around 11am and it got heavier as the day went on, very heavy rain last night and drizzle again now

Graces7

eased off here and so has the wind.. sun trying to break through and the garden has been well watered...

Farmer2017

So there a little hope of a breakdown ðŸ˜ðŸ˜... what ur opinion on August

gozunda

3.3 MM in last 24 hours

North Cork / East Limerick area

Ultimate Seduction

Farmer2017 wrote: »

So there a little hope of a breakdown ðŸ˜ðŸ˜... what ur opinion on August

It's raining all morning in most areas. The heatwave is broke down already?

Kermit.de.frog

It's only a bit of drizzle and even though it will make little difference the farmers are at one in their reaction to this unusual event.

Cork Boy 53

Ultimate Seduction wrote: »

It's raining all morning in most areas. The heatwave is broke down already?

Already?

giveitholly

Ultimate Seduction wrote: »

It's raining all morning in most areas. The heatwave is broke down already?

There has barely been 2-3mm in most places

Speak Now

Nothing but drizzle hitting Waterford coast, really dying a death as it moves east.