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Severe Weather Snow / Ice Weds 28 FEB ( Onwards ) READ MOD NOTE POST#1

Meteorite58

MOD NOTE

This is a busy thread and as a result the Mod Team will be taking a zero Tolerance approach to trolling, flaming and personal abuse.

Don’t say you weren’t warned!!

And please don’t feed - report & let the Mod team deal with Troublesome Posters/Trolls

Time to start a new thread as the other one reaches its capacity!

I'm sure kermit.de.frog will add a forecast and keep it updated for us.

So to kick it off a few mouth watering charts of the snow and cold potential over the coming days, stay safe.

Looking very windy going into Thurs night and look at those windchill readings!

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M.T. Cranium

This storm is not even one quarter done yet, amazing (in some parts).

Quick analysis -- low 974 mbs west of Scilly Isles heading slowly northwest. Fronts are not making much northward progress and heavier precip on radar is probably mostly snow heading for southeast and south coast.

Any holes in the snow coverage over south should fill in or at least move off to another location, if you have not had any periods of snow heavier than 2 cm per 3 hours, you should soon be getting more like 2 cm per hour rates.

Thunder-snow becomes increasingly likely as the low moves closer and dynamics get stronger over Irish Sea. Winds are downsloping very strongly from Welsh highlands into Cardigan Bay and Irish Sea, converging with more east to northeast flow hooking around Anglesey. This is why Dublin is doing so well (for the most part).

Some sleet or rain can always mix in near outer coasts but I think the cold air is well enough entrenched to last throughout the slow passage of Emma to south. Still some potential for damaging wind gusts late Friday in southwest but guidance continues a bit scattered.

The process that will intensify the snow further west is phasing of Emma with double-centered polar vortex that moved out to southwest of Munster yesterday and is lurking there ready to hook up with Emma tomorrow.

As crazy as this sounds, some of my snowfall estimates may bust on the low side. ( ! )

Others may bust on the high side, this is a rather disorganized snow shield that may not give equal service to all in its path.

tritriagain

Davaeo09 wrote: »

I have no idea what to make of the models so far. Granted I am a novice, but I can generally give myself one or two clues and a general idea. Tonights system has been strange to say the least. The radar for most of the Inland south east has shown decent amounts but in reality we have this weak dusty snow that probably doesnt match what we had earlier in the week?

Then looking out to the Irish sea its showing percip heavier than we have already but it weakens over land??

Whats it been like in Wexford (new ross area)??

In new Ross steady stream of fine snow but accumulating nicely. Can't distinguish kerb outside house .

sicknotexi

Up all night and yet to see a decent snow shower.Fair play to all you guys who got hit but it has been a major let down here in Monasterevan this morning. It's weird because the only consistent snow I've seen all week has been Tuesday night/Wednesday morning. It snowed all day yesterday but it was virgin snow, harmless as bejaysus.

Yer Da sells Avon

Apologies if this is a stupid question and/or has been answered already (it's a very long thread and I'm a very busy man), but roughly where is the centre of the storm right now? And when is it expected to hit Dublin?

nimrod86

Just saw this, don't think it was posted - Gardaí in a shoot out yesterday!

https://t.co/DfVZG8fF9p

gawker

Power gone now for over an hour in Grand Canal Dublin area. Looks fierce stormy outside.

Ich bin ein snowman

Holy Jesus rumbling apendix Christ I’m happy. Really hope all the snow fans get a piece.

From my meager knowledge I’d say the intensity and spread of the blizzard conditions might be more widespread in untouched southern and eastern areas the closer the center of the low gets to south coast. Correct me if I’m wrong but please do think of the children.

SortingYouOut

Fell asleep at half 10 only to wake up at half 1 with no power (back now) and easily 3 inches added to the ground outside. In D4 and I'm thinking this metre could materialize considering these significant accumulations in such a short space of time. Will be an interesting few hours for sure.

Davaeo09

I have no idea what to make of the models so far. Granted I am a novice, but I can generally give myself one or two clues and a general idea. Tonights system has been strange to say the least. The radar for most of the Inland south east has shown decent amounts but in reality we have this weak dusty snow that probably doesnt match what we had earlier in the week?

Then looking out to the Irish sea its showing percip heavier than we have already but it weakens over land??

Whats it been like in Wexford (new ross area)??

kerrycork13

patneve2 wrote: »

Maybe turning slightly marginal here on the coast..snow a bit wet. Intensity is on the up again and accumulations growing though

Which coast?

refusetolose

leahyl wrote: »

Anyone care to tell me if it’s snowing in cork city? I’m in bed and couldn’t be arsed getting out of it....:-D not sound outside so I’m guessing not much has changed from 2 hours ago before I fell asleep

still only tiny flakes blowing around (northside)

kerrycork13

TheMilkyPirate wrote: »

Certainly has in Wexford anyway

Any pics?

patneve2

Maybe turning slightly marginal here on the coast..snow a bit wet. Intensity is on the up again and accumulations growing though

TheMilkyPirate

grenouille1966 wrote: »

It is worse than 2010.....min D15 anyway...but the 'massive precipitation' promised for tonight has not materialised .....yet

Certainly has in Wexford anyway

kerrycork13

Kerry and cork should start to see heavier snow Tommorow I reckon

weatherfiend

Brilliant snow

daheff

Easily 30cm extra here. Some BIG drifts....

Here being Celbridge!

kerrycork13

Looking at the maps and models looks feasible that kerry are cork (parts of) will get heavier snow Tommorow

grenouille1966

hawkwing wrote: »

Did you not say recently that it was worse than 2010 in D15, Ffarrell tell us where gets the most snow,again and again and again:rolleyes:

It is worse than 2010.....min D15 anyway...but the 'massive precipitation' promised for tonight has not materialised .....yet

J6P

What time should that reach us? Any danger of it turning back to snow as it meets the cold?

pad199207

Strumms wrote: »

Where I am it’s heading towards copious and getting worse

Oh without a doubt here too. Garden Shed completely blocked by drifts. My estate now cut off as drifts have come through the fence onto the main road from the field beside us.

Slashermcguirk

Franz Von Peppercorn wrote: »

Very weak accumulations here in north coastal Dublin. Lots of tiny snow falling but nothing to show for it. Light dusting on the road.

The netweather radar seems to want to not move the heavier precipitation in the Irish Sea.

Quite a lot in raheny on the coast! I would say 20-25cm

HelloMrSnowman

Having trouble uploading the photos, but measured 39 cm in sheltered non drift area, and 128 cm in drift by my car. Apparently we haven't even been hit properly yet.

Newbridge, Co. Kildare

Mullaghteelin

Franz Von Peppercorn wrote: »

Very weak accumulations here in north coastal Dublin. Lots of tiny snow falling but nothing to show for it. Light dusting on the road.

The netweather radar seems to want to not move the heavier precipitation in the Irish Sea.

Im guessing we're slightly too warm, and the snow really explodes when it hits sub zero temperatures further inland.

Franz Von Peppercorn

weatherfiend wrote: »

Huge amounts of snow in Sandyford tonight - and still coming.

Differences across the city are amazing.

prinzeugen

noodler wrote: »

No. That tweet didn't imply that.

You are reading into it and other posts for some bizarre reason.

Be glad your power isn't out but it is extensive.

It did but not going to argue. That tweet will be all over the news sites later. The description is "fake", over exaggerated rubbish.

As for the extensive power outage, where are you getting the info? Because the ESB is only showing long term cuts that are hitting 20-500 households local to the fault.

20 here, 50 there etc..

weatherfiend

Huge amounts of snow in Sandyford tonight - and still coming.

Franz Von Peppercorn

Very weak accumulations here in north coastal Dublin. Lots of tiny snow falling but nothing to show for it. Light dusting on the road.

The netweather radar seems to want to not move the heavier precipitation in the Irish Sea.

hawkwing

grenouille1966 wrote: »

So far the 'copious' amounts of snow have not materialised as expected from this storm.

Met Eireann talked about one metre of snow falling in parts of Dublin??

Way of that amount at the moment...the snow is falling and swirling here in Dublin 15 but not epic thick snow....yet....

Did you not say recently that it was worse than 2010 in D15, Ffarrell tell us where gets the most snow,again and again and again:rolleyes:

n!ghtmancometh

Dodge wrote: »

I thought it was our bulb going! Ha

I definitely haven’t seen weather like this before here.

First flicker of the evening here too, was hoping it was the bulb! Am up beside Grange Castle so was hoping we'd avoid a cut due to being close to all those data centres and pharma factories!