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Greenland Express: Snow showers possible from Monday night

Kermit.de.frog

This is within 120 hours so discussion should take place here.

Much colder weather directly from Greenland no less making a rapid entrance Monday - starting mild and wet but temperatures quickly collapsing from the northwest through the day. Showers increasingly of snow in the northwest by evening (accumulations likely here at this stage) extending nationwide with accumulations likely on Monday night and Tuesday. Coming over still relatively warm seas some beefy precipitation is highly likely with thunderstorms possible especially in western and southwestern counties.

Frost and ice inland away from western coastal counties with temperatures at or just below freezing. Snow will readily settle in these conditions.

During daylight temperatures may struggle form 1 to 4c at the very max - where snow lies closer to or at freezing

It should continue cold and wintry thereafter with a cold air mass prevailing and a continued risk of snowfall.

P.S some fronts may come close to southern areas at times which would enhance sleet or snow threat here occasionally.

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fraxinus1

nacho libre wrote: »

M.T. Cranium is more conservative these days because in the early days, he would talk up snow chances and often times we would just get cold rain or sleet. He tended to be influenced by the prevailing mood on here too.

I can't fathom how someone can say winter is over already- unless you are engaging in reverse psychology?? You, as you have mentioned are longer in the tooth than i am, so you should know well that January and February is our optimum time for snow- just ask any farmer, if you don't believe me. So taking all this into consideration, i believe you are secretly doing a snow dance to the weather gods that we get snow next week.

If a snow dance works, I would do one. I want snowfall. Even just for a day or two.

sryanbruen

average_runner wrote: »

Don't think it has gone above 10C in dublin all week!!

I've had only one day this January so far with a maximum of 10c or more.

Oneiric 3

nacho libre wrote: »

I think this time we will have snow and some modest accuulations of snow will occur at lower levels. I would love if we all got 36 inches of snow that lasted for a few days. Although the mods might not as civil war might break out on here:)

Couldn't find a proper snow dance but here is the next best thing.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TQkiANhoZCk

Hopefully upon hearing the allure of this tune, that the skies will dance along accordingly.

nacho libre

catrat12 wrote: »

Will the Dublin mountains see anything sorry for asking twice

There is nothing to be sorry for. I think, given the wind will be strong, the Dublin Mountains will see some snow. Errigal is the place to be though if you want to see a lot of snow on the ground. The Wicklow mountains will be good too.

catrat12

Will the Dublin mountains see anything sorry for asking twice

nacho libre

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

"just get cold rain and sleet"...

Now that seems familiar.

I think this time we will have snow and some modest accuulations of snow will occur at lower levels. I would love if we all got 36 inches of snow that lasted for a few days. Although the mods might not as civil war might break out on here:)

Gaoth Laidir

nacho libre wrote: »

M.T. Cranium is more conservative these days because in the early days, he would talk up snow chances and often times we would just get cold rain or sleet. He tended to be influenced by the prevailing mood on here too.

"just get cold rain and sleet"...

Now that seems familiar.

nacho libre

Shedbebreezy wrote: »

Just for fun. Northern third stays cold throughout, some hefty totals, Donegal the most with 25cm. As I said all for fun.

It won't be a 1984 type event, but if you enjoy just seeing snow fall and are happy with modest accumulations to lower levels, then next week will be good. However If you desire ice days with a foot of snow in places like Wicklow, Meath and Kildare then you will likely dismiss next week as much ado about nothing.

nacho libre

fraxinus1 wrote: »

Very disappointed after reading MT’s forecast. This is basically a high ground event. Another blow for us snow lovers.spring Is rapidly approaching and there’s only realistically a 6 week snow window left. If this Greenland express doesn’t deliver then it’s game over.

M.T. Cranium is more conservative these days because in the early days, he would talk up snow chances and often times we would just get cold rain or sleet. He tended to be influenced by the prevailing mood on here too.

I can't fathom how someone can say winter is over already- unless you are engaging in reverse psychology?? You, as you have mentioned are longer in the tooth than i am, so you should know well that January and February is our optimum time for snow- just ask any farmer, if you don't believe me. So taking all this into consideration, i believe you are secretly doing a snow dance to the weather gods that we get snow next week.

Oneiric 3

Current SST anomalies between here and Greenland, roughly around average:

Would reckon that these will go into negative values over the next couple of weeks in this general line as cold, stormy air whips up the waves and cools them down.

Map sourced from the UK Met Office.

pad199207

kod87 wrote: »

The higher ground in the north certainly looks good on those charts, especially higher parts of donegal.

Yeah looks increasingly likely that higher elevations will do very well out of this, not just in the north but also for the majority of the country.

I’d say a lot of trips up mountains will be had come next Friday and next weekend!

kod87

The higher ground in the north certainly looks good on those charts, especially higher parts of donegal.

Shedbebreezy

Just for fun. Northern third stays cold throughout, some hefty totals, Donegal the most with 25cm. As I said all for fun.

120-780UK.GIF?12-12

PukkaStukka

average_runner wrote: »

Don't think it has gone above 10C in dublin all week month!!

There, corrected that for you..!!

Kermit.de.frog

Gonna wait for ECM but good UKMO/GFS so far. Inconsistency in timing of that shortwave around midweek.

Potential for snow with that but need to firm up on track and timing.

squarecircles

12z maintains the cold into next weekend,severe frosts, with a slider low??? pushing into very cold air,creating snowfall.

Before that another low pushing through into the cold air on Wednesday...

While Tuesday looks very snowy for some parts of the north and west.

patneve2

Agree with the more optimistic posters. Would also keep an eye out for low pressure systems and other features spawning in that frigid flow.

average_runner

pauldry wrote: »

I love the way your always so positive Kermit the frog..

Anyways I think you are right

We are in for a prolonged cold spell with temperatures not going above 10c much at all over the coming weeks

Youd need to be very unlucky to not get snow from this,.

also as many have pointed out the Greenland source is good as is the time of year when the sea is near its coldest

chins up everyone

It may not snow continuous next week but we are bound to see some whiteness (even hail.......)

Don't think it has gone above 10C in dublin all week!!

pauldry

I love the way your always so positive Kermit the frog..

Anyways I think you are right

We are in for a prolonged cold spell with temperatures not going above 10c much at all over the coming weeks

Youd need to be very unlucky to not get snow from this,.

also as many have pointed out the Greenland source is good as is the time of year when the sea is near its coldest

chins up everyone

It may not snow continuous next week but we are bound to see some whiteness (even hail.......)

Kermit.de.frog

We'll have updates after the 12 pm model output is available.

I disagree with the negativity on this. I think some are in for a pleasant surprise!

Gonzo

Mod Note:
No More unfriendly or personal attacks towards other posters. This Thread is about an upcoming cold spell and not a reflection on who or where saw the most snow in 2017. Any more off topic posts will be deleted. Now back on topic and keep it friendly.

Gaoth Laidir

Shedbebreezy wrote: »

Well they'd have a separate warning for Northern Ireland like they have done in the past then if that were true but they have Scotland and Northern Ireland in the same warning. Anyway Scotland almost always gets more snow it's hardly news. And because England isn't involved in the warning that means they'll be no snow for northern Ireland? Even tho it is in said warning. Right

Don't know what you mean here. Who said no snow in Northern Ireland?

George Sunsnow

Shedbebreezy wrote: »

So Carlow had continuous lying snow from Thursday the 7th of December for one week? Or your pics start from that Sunday with the waist deep drifts? I'd love to see a pic of that.

https://touch.boards.ie/thread/2057817783/136

Plenty in that thread.

squarecircles

Life is short ,enjoy next week.

Unless you're in the east,hehe,just kidding.
I hope everyone sees some snow,even if its just to see some falling,which is cool.

Meteorite58

Mod Note: Please keep the posts civil and refrain from attacking the poster.

hawkwing

Met.ie :

EARLY NEXT WEEK: Becoming increasingly blustery and showery; showers turning wintry later Monday into Tuesday with falls of sleet and snow increasingly more likely. The focus of the wintry showers will be across the north and west with some accumulations likely - but all areas will be at risk with some thunder occurring locally too. Much colder, with maxima of only 3 to 6 degrees Celsius (north to south). Feeling even colder with an added wind chill effect. Frost and ice also, mainly for sheltered areas owing to sustained brisk winds.

Shedbebreezy

George Sunsnow wrote: »

2cm’s enough for you then?

Note the western Scotland centric basis for the warning

As for nothing out of the ordinary,I’ll point out that vast parts of Donegal wouldn’t see snow anymore often than roundwood even Letterkenny,a town I know well

Anyway here’s the assessment note
Again with an emphasis on Scotland

It says 2-5cm over a 24 hour period, the whole week looks good. Roundwood at 238m lol will see more snow than coastal Donegal alright but Donegal sees much more snow than you, a town here at 238 would dwarf Roundwoods totals. People in the East and South East haven't had snow cover since 2010. I'm at 35m asl and have had a week of snow this Winter, how much have you had?

It really seems to bug you, that experts have a snow warning for here and if it is 2cm, its 2cm more than you'll see this week.

George Sunsnow

Shedbebreezy wrote: »

Alright fair enough, I'll trust the experts ie Met office with this one. And yeah not Newsworthy, we already had 1 week of snow in December so its nothing out of the ordinary up here compared to the East/SE.

2cm’s enough for you then?

Note the western Scotland centric basis for the warning

As for nothing out of the ordinary,I’ll point out that vast parts of Donegal wouldn’t see snow anymore often than roundwood even Letterkenny,a town I know well

Anyway here’s the assessment note
Again with an emphasis on Scotland

Meteorite58

Mod Note: off topic posts removed.

Stay on topic

pad199207

Models certainly watering down potential next week. Wet slushy mush for the majority of the W and NW and perhaps some frosts for the East.