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Bookies Odds Thread

Shanotheslayer

Hi All,

GAMEWEEK 2

I think we had a thread similar to this last year were the bookies odds where posted for the chances of clean sheet / goal etc.

https://oddsonfpl.com/2017/08/16/clean-sheet-probabilities-gameweek-2/

The above link is a sum of the probability of each team to keep a clean sheet. Thus helping you choose your defenders in those close 50-50 picks.

United lead the way with a 56.29% chance to keep a clean sheet, while Everton sit at the bottom with an 11.25% chance.

Will be using this thread for goalscorer probabilities also as it's just easier to have a running thread for odds.

All feedback appreciated or if you think we could add more information let me know.

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Comments

[Deleted User]

Yeah. I’m running with 2 premium and then 3 x 4.0m defenders. The 2 premiums will play every week and I’ll put in the best 4.0m defender, each week, with the best fixture.

[Deleted User]

Are you choosing 2 4.0m defenders? If so I'd say he is the most likely. They signed Deondocker who could play there too which could throw a spanner in the works, but really, he'll be the last man on the bench.

[Deleted User]

So you reckon Bennett is going to be a starter eh ?

I’m choosing between him and Bednarek for my final 4.0m defender.

[Deleted User]

Hey guys, here is our team for this season. We'll post the team weekly on site, worthwhile following in my incredibly biased opinion.

https://www.oddsonfpl.com/the-bookies-team-gameweek-1-fpl/

[Deleted User]

Fack, that reminded me, I didn't add anything to state that probabilities from bookies are all of the basis that they will start.

Shanotheslayer

Goalscorer probability here now folks:

https://www.oddsonfpl.com/goalscorer-probabilities-gameweek-1-fpl/

Salah top

Sturridge 2nd :pac:

Shanotheslayer

Cleansheet GW1 guys:

https://www.oddsonfpl.com/clean-sheet-probabilities-gameweek-1-fpl/

United Top
West Ham bottom

Soton 4th witha 47% chance of a clean sheet.

Shanotheslayer

Clean sheet odds guys,

https://oddsonfpl.com/2018/02/20/clean-sheet-probabilities-gameweek-28fpl/

Liverpool top!

Shanotheslayer

Hi All,

Expected Points

https://oddsonfpl.com/2018/02/08/goalscorer-probabilities-and-expected-points-gameweek-27/

Aguero the highest!

2nd Row Donkey

Shanotheslayer wrote:

Hi guys we're still updating regularly just didn't want to come across as constant spam as was pointed out by a few posters previously

Don't mind 'em. Post away. It's in a separate thread sure.

Shanotheslayer

Hi guys we're still updating regularly just didn't want to come across as constant spam as was pointed out by a few posters previously

2nd Row Donkey

dr.kenneth noisewater wrote:

Gone quiet in here, have a few defensive dilemmas this week if the clean sheet probabilities was gonna be postedthat would be great!

Go direct to the website, it's still been updated regularly

dr.kenneth noisewater

Gone quiet in here, have a few defensive dilemmas this week if the clean sheet probabilities was gonna be postedthat would be great!

student7890

For the week 24 that's in it

likely to score

https://oddsonfpl.com/2018/01/19/goalscorer-probabilities-and-expected-points-gameweek-24/

Clean sheet

https://oddsonfpl.com/2018/01/16/clean-sheet-probabilities-gameweek-24-fpl/

Shanotheslayer

Hi All,

Clean sheet:

https://oddsonfpl.com/2017/12/19/clean-sheet-probabilities-gameweek-19-fpl/

City the clear favs , followed by Spurs/Southampton.

Expected Points:

https://oddsonfpl.com/2017/12/21/goalscorer-probabilities-and-expected-points-gameweek-19-fpl/

Raheem the Dream the numero uno.

Shanotheslayer

Hi All,

Clean sheet odds

https://oddsonfpl.com/2017/12/14/clean-sheet-probabilities-gameweek-18-fpl/

Arsenal top, Chelsea 2nd.

Spurs quite low due to playing City. Newcastle bottom.

Shanotheslayer

Hi All,

Clean sheet - https://oddsonfpl.com/2017/12/11/clean-sheet-probabilities-gameweek-17-fpl/

Chelsea top of the table. The big 5 all have over a 50% chance of keeping a clean sheet. Hopefully a good week for cleanies!

Goalscorer/Expected Points - https://oddsonfpl.com/2017/12/11/goalscorer-probabilities-and-expected-points-gameweek-17-fpl/

Salah top of the table closely followed by Hazard

Shanotheslayer

Hi all,

Clean sheet - https://oddsonfpl.com/2017/12/04/clean-sheet-probabilities-gameweek-16-fpl/

Spurs 53% followed closely by Liverpool/Chelsea at 48%

United 23% chance lowest of the season.

callaway92

Fair enough

Dearg81

callaway92 wrote:

Clearly youâ€™re a bit of a weirdo writing things like that. maybe Iâ€™m overreacting.

You are. It's just crude humour.

[Deleted User]

I would say you probably have a different sense of humour than me. No need for name calling.

callaway92

[Deleted User] wrote: »

Haahahha I knew people wouldn't like that one.

Clearly you’re a bit of a weirdo writing things like that. maybe I’m overreacting.

[Deleted User]

Haahahha I knew people wouldn't like that one.

Shanotheslayer

callaway92 wrote: »

There’s no haha. It’s pretty disgusting

Somebody having sex and making a joke about it is disgusting? Guess we got different versions of disgusting.

Not to worry

jimmii

callaway92 wrote: »

There’s no haha. It’s pretty disgusting

First time I've clicked their links in ages definitely not what you want to see.

callaway92

Shanotheslayer wrote: »

Haha, I'll give Paddy the credit for that.

There’s no haha. It’s pretty disgusting

Shanotheslayer

2nd Row Donkey wrote: »

That's some opener.

km79 wrote: »

Yikes

Haha, I'll give Paddy the credit for that.

km79

2nd Row Donkey wrote: »

That's some opener.

Yikes

2nd Row Donkey

Shanotheslayer wrote:

Expected Points and goalscorer article guys:

That's some opener.

Shanotheslayer

Expected Points and goalscorer article guys:

https://oddsonfpl.com/2017/11/27/goalscorer-probabilities-expected-points-gameweek-14-fpl/

Sanchez/Hazard/Alonso battle it out at as the top 3.