BoatMad wrote: » what specific speculation are you referring to , I am genuinely perplexed deductions are conclusions that are reached on the reasonable basis of the available information Speculation is a conclusion based on little or no relevant available information for example , we have reasonable deduce that the crew were not aware of the existence of the obstacle of Blackrock island along the line of the intended approach
L1011 wrote: » I am not getting involved in a semantics debate here. Your "deductions" are going beyond what data we have. They are to stop. If you have issues with moderation, take it off thread rather than derailing it.
de biz wrote: » The preliminary report confirms that R118 landed at Blacksod at approximately 22.28 hrs. It would be interesting to see the track and vertical profile of their approach path.
homerjay2005 wrote: » wow, i never thought of that! its amazing, that given the level of issues being raised in this report, that this accident didnt happen before. if blackrock is missing off the maps, what else is missing also?
BoatMad wrote: » and you seem to be entirely unaware of the power of a 16NM light especially 1 mile away from it . The loom in the cloud alone would have been extensive to suggest it was invisible is ridiculous . it may not have been immediately obvious , but to someone that was aware it should have been there , it would have been most definitely obvious Note that the aftercast for blackrock was Visibility 2-3 km Weather Mist and drizzle Cloud Overcast with a cloud base of 300-400 ft fog was not mentioned and the cloud base was certainly enough for the light to be visible
BoatMad wrote: » therefore can we agree as to the facts (a) the crew have admitted they had not been to black sod in a long time (b) They decided to refuel in blacksod after initially deciding to refuel in sligo (c) They selected the " operator route " ( approach to blacksoid bay south ) which consists of a series of preprogrammed waypoints leading to Blacksod LZ (d) The report clearly states that the details of obstructions including BR were listed in the briefing notes and also available on certain pages of the map display. Th reports does not confirm nor deny that the crew accessed that information. But The report contains no evidence that the crew were aware of the existence of BR at the designated waypoint (e) On reaching the arrival waypoint, a programmed decent to RA ( 2400 ) was undertaken , then a further decent under RA control using a SAR decent mode , to 200 feet and a programmed speed of 75 kts . Such a height is below the height of the light house and is close to the height of the island ( approx 70 metres ) (f) an autopilot commanded turn to the left, at about 1.5nM from waypoint near BR , to direct the aircraft onto the heading for the first approach waypoint, such waypoint being situated close to BR itself (g) The aircraft proceeded , in an unchanged height and speed ) again this is in the report ) until a few seconds before actual impact, approx 55 seconds flying time from the start of the turn and consistent with the distance away and ground speed (h) the rear crew member at approx 15 seconds before impact and 3 secs before impact called out for a course change , mentioning an unnamed island ahead, the report speculates on how he determined that information (i) the course change was fed into the FMS and confirmed by the co-pilot, the FDR data suggests that the horizontal course change had not taken effect by the time of the second verbal warning (f) The helicopter impacted a outbuilding near the lighthouse ( which was consistent with its programmed height ) whereupon significant tail damage occurred (g) The out of control helicopter then impacted near the eastern end and then entered the water (h) The commander of the aircraft was recovered approx 1 hour later in the water as a result of Rescue 118 directing a local lifeboat (i) The height of the light is 282 feet above sea level , and flashes a white light with a period of 12seconds , or 5 flashes a minute and the White sector light covers the direction the Aircraft approaches the waypoint ( a red sector was elsewhere ). The white light has a stated range of 20 nM according to the commissioners of irish lights ( the red sector light has a range of 16 Nm ) , these are regarded as nominal ranges in clear conditions
BoatMad wrote: » The sequence of what happened and the deductions that can be made are clear to see (A) The crew departed Dublin , with an initial decision to refuel at Sligo airport (B) They decided to change course and land and refuel at blacksod. (C) The crew were unfamiliar with the approach to Blacksod having not attempted it for a " long" time (D) For whatever reason the crew, clearly did not appraise themselves of the obstructions that existed on the designated approach route that was programmed into the FMS of the Heli , They did have access to that information , but there is clearly no evidence that they didi appraise themselves (E) The Autopilot flew the course and then under autopilot began to transition down in steps to the radar altitude 2400 feet, whereupon a SAR mode level down was selected bringing the aircraft to 200 feet and 75knots airspeed ( with and intended 80knts ground speed ) . We do not know why such a descent was selected (F) The unfortunate occurrence was that the first waypoint on the approach to Blacksod from the south , using the preprogrammed route " The company or operator route " was close to Blackrock island. (G) Hence the hellcopter was as a result of a crew decision , now flying low directly towards an obstacle that was higher then it (H) A clear loss of situational awareness, meant the flying crew, never until,way too late, that they had put themselves into a dangerous position
BoatMad wrote: » (f) The helicopter impacted a outbuilding near the lighthouse ( which was consistent with its programmed height ) whereupon significant tail damage occurred
In the final seconds, the helicopter pitched up rapidly, impacted with terrain at the western end of Black Rock and departed from controlled flight.
Tiles on the roof of the outhouse exhibited damage, consistent with being struck by falling debris.
Gaoth Laidir wrote: » But we're not talking clear conditions here.
BoatMad wrote: » sorry , the period of the light is 12s , that is one ( or more flashes ) every 12 seconds, The light is sectored and has a range of 16Nm ( this is the surface range) This is a considerably powerful light compared to surface sea based lights They were 1.5 nm away from the lighthouse when the turn began ,and it took over a minute to cover the distance to the lighthouse
the aspect of the lighthouse would have become visible as the Heli proceeded through its turn , gradually appearing own the left hand side of the aircraft
They then had anything from 50 seconds where the light would be visible , that upwards of 4 flashes , even if they had 30 seconds they would have seen 2-3 flashes To suggest that at 200 feet , which is about 100 feet higher then the bridge of a big cargo vessel , at 1 mile out that a 16nM light was not visible is in my view simply ridiculous
Ive seen people at sea run into objects that were clearly there , because the automation told them , is was clear.
BoatMad wrote: » Blackrock is not missing off the maps and nobody but nobody puts their life in the hands of a GPS map solely
BoatMad wrote: » (b) They decided to refuel in blacksod after initially deciding to refuel in sligo
R116 departed for Sligo Airport, but they indicated to Dublin ATC that they were routing to either Sligo or Blacksod, and would decide which location to use while en route. At approximately 23.20 hrs, the R116 requested a routing to Blacksod from Dublin ATC, to refuel.
faoiarvok wrote: » Correction, from the AAIU report: The AAIU believe damage to the outbuilding was caused by falling pieces of debris, not by the helicopter as a whole. They believe the impact point to be on the western face of the island.
faoiarvok wrote: » From the report: The crew did not initially decide to go to Sligo, then change their mind. They departed with their options open and decided on Blacksod while en route.
BoatMad wrote: » the only phrase used was "The horizontal stabiliser was found on the rock, adjacent to an outhouse which was close to the lighthouse. Tiles on the roof of the outhouse exhibited damage, consistent with being struck by falling debris." AT no point to my reading is the impact site mentioned as " face of the island " , this was actually a term used early on in the accident and is erroneous
(f) The helicopter impacted a outbuilding near the lighthouse ( which was consistent with its programmed height ) whereupon significant tail damage occurred
BoatMad wrote: » AT no point to my reading is the impact site mentioned as " face of the island " , this was actually a term used early on in the accident and is erroneous
In the final seconds, the helicopter pitched up rapidly, impacted with terrain at the western end of Black Rock
Means Of Escape wrote: » Too many pilots ignore their instruments at their peril in fact a major contribution to accidents Modern aircraft technology is quite sound and reliable and both pilots knew it and relied on it so much so the captain was interfacing with it in the final moments which would be correct procedure . She couldn't have known that the obstacle was there and approaching it so quickly . SD and response to it takes time . It would not have been an issue if they were 500 feet higher than they were . This is the key element to the accident
She couldn't have known that the obstacle was there
faoiarvok wrote: » What about the quote from the report? You suggested that we agree to the facts. I think that's a good idea.
BoatMad wrote: » yes impacted with terrain at the western end, i.e. it hit the ground near the outhouse . It did not run into the face of the western end There is evidence that the helicopter was climbing on impact , whether this was controlled or uncontrolled was not deliberated upon at any length, its not clear that the cyclic ( or collective ) data refers to actual rotor pitch or commanded pitch
faoiarvok wrote: » OK, so basically the impact point is not yet publicly known, and I don't think we can agree on that item in your list of "facts", along with a couple others.
Can you elaborate on your source for a second impact on the eastern side of the island? Can't find any mention in the report.
Does anyone know what events the red and yellow lines on the FDR data in Appendix B of the report relate to? I'm guessing the red line is the moment of impact, as there appear to be sharp control movements in the seconds before, but I can't see any key to them in the report.
BoatMad wrote: » This is not the case and I refer you to the you tube video " Children of the Magenta ". There are many documented cases of accidents occurring because pilots did not quickly regain manual control and resorted to FMS input instead The report clearly states that two sources of information were present , the briefing notes page and the map information. Clearly the commander was not aware of the island , however the report has not established whether the commander could have been aware of the island, it merely points out that such information was available to the pilots.
Means Of Escape wrote: » Yes the auto pilot should have been disengaged and the copter flown manually around the island There was a significant delay in this 26 seconds from the initial warning from the wimchman Does protocol require that a clarification be given by the winchman as to the danger he has alerted to before an action is taken or did he himself not fully realise the significance/ danger of the situation immediately upon seeing the outcrop because of SD ?
BoatMad wrote: » The report rather strangely does not elaborate at which point on the FDR/HUMS data where controlled flight was lost. The clear suggestion imparted by the lines is that the red one is where the report " believes" controlled flight ended and the yellow one is where reliable data collection ceased , but this is just my reading of the situation
selectamatic wrote: » Rad alt gave a warning of "altitude altitude" 26 seconds prior to impact. Captain Fitzpatrick said that's BLKMO itself it's a small little island. Ib actual fact they were passing over Carrickad and carrickduff at this point in time. .
BoatMad wrote: » iShe clearly knew of their existence , if not their name, which makes it surprising that she was not aware ( or seemingly not aware ) of the existence of Blackrock.
Cloudio9 wrote: » Is that clear? I think the report says she was monitoring a moving map display so was she just observing the islets on the moving map rather than having knowledge of them ? Is it known if Blackrock properly represented on the moving map ? Also it says Capt Duffy was monitoring radar. It's confusing me that Blackrock was not also identifiable on his display
Steve wrote: » It's possible the approach hadn't been flown at night before in these meteorological conditions.