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Sonnky's Sports Betting Log

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  • 05-05-2014 8:54pm
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭


    I'm going to start a log, to try and get a bit of confidence back in my betting.
    Most bets will be on Soccer, GAA and Horse Racing and there will be a few on other sports too.
    I'll try to put rules in place to help me keep discipline, so I won't be putting on stupid bets.
    I will start with a virtual balance of 100pts and will try to provide a bit of analysis with each selection.
    It will mainly be singles but there will occasionally be multiples.
    I will post the first selection as soon as I fancy something.


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Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    Worcester 20:00- Whiskey Yankee 2pts @ 7/1

    A competitive handicap hurdle but Whiskey Yankee trained by Jonjo O Neill and to be ridden by AP McCoy, could prove to be thrown in on his first run in a Class 4 handicap. On his first handicap run last May he was rated 132 and that run was in a class 2 race, where he wasn't disgraced. In his younger days he won 2 novice hurdles and a bumper, both on good ground. Now rated only 118 this is only the second time since those novice days that he runs on good ground and combined with a drop to Class 4 and returning from a break he ought to go very well for McCoy.

    Old Bank: 100pts
    In Play: 2pts
    New Bank: 98pts


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 10,250 ✭✭✭✭bumper234


    Good luck man


  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    bumper234 wrote: »
    Good luck man

    Cheers bumper!


  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    Towcester 19:30- The Musical Guy 1pt @ 14/1

    Old Bank: 98pts
    In Play: 1pt
    New Bank: 97pts


  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    The Musical Guy (+15pts) won by 8 lengths staying on well from the last to give this thread a first winner. Apologies that it was put up so late and hope a few were on. Makes up for the disappointment of Whiskey Yankee (-2pts) who was backed into 6/4 before finishing 4th last Wednesday.

    Old Bank: 97pts
    New Bank: 112pts


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  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    Worcester 14:30- Kyles Faith 1pt ew @ 10/1
    Worcester 15:05- Minellaforlunch 2pts ew @ 8/1
    Uttoxeter 16:00- Mohi Rahrere 1pt @ 18/1


    Old Bank: 112pts
    In Play: 7pts
    New Bank: 105pts


  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    Good day today at Worcester, Kyles Faith (+14pts) won by 15 lengths in the Novices Handicap Chase and Minellaforlunch (+6pts) was 3rd in the following Handicap Chase. Mohi Rahrere (-1pt) was backed into 9/2 from 18/1 but finished a distant fifth at Uttoxeter. He may be worth keeping an eye on next time out.

    Old Bank: 105pts
    New Bank: 125pts
    Profit/Loss: +25pts


  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    Towcester 19:20- Dropzone 2pts @ 6/1

    Old Bank: 125pts
    In Play: 2pts
    New Bank: 123pts


  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    Dropzone (-2pts) was disappointing on Friday. Will be worth a look next time out.

    Worcester 14:10- Getting Ready 2pts e/w @ 8/1
    Haydock 16:20- Norway Cross 2pts @ 5/2


    Old Bank: 123pts
    In Play: 6pts
    New Bank: 117pts


  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    Getting Ready(-4pts) finished just outside the placings in fourth last week. He's definitely going to go in soon. Norway Cross(-2pts) was disappointing finishing sixth and is worth watching on soft or heavy ground next time.

    One for today:
    Worcester 18:35- O Callaghan Strand 2pts @ 4/1

    Old Bank: 117pts
    In Play: 2pts
    New Bank: 115pts


    Edit: I see Getting Ready runs in the 18:05 at Worcester today, he's now down to a mark of 89. Would be shocked to see him win today as its over 2m 7f and I really don't think he stays that trip. Also this looks more competitive than the last 2 races he's contested so i think he won't win.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    One today:

    Aintree 7:35- Maoi Chinn Tire 1pt @ 28/1

    Old Bank: 115pts
    In Play: 1pt
    New Bank: 114pts


  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    Maoi Chinn Tire +1pts was a non runner on Friday and he scooted in at 3-1 on the flat yesterday, sickened as I've been following him for a while.

    One for tomorrow at Royal Ascot, might add a few more later:

    Royal Ascot 17:35- Lamar 1.5pts e/w @33/1

    Old Bank: 115pts
    In Play: 3pts
    New Bank: 112pts


  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    Could be way off the mark here but Brazil were brutal last time.

    1pt Brazil Vs Mexico to DRAW and BTTS @ 6/1

    Old Bank: 112pts
    In Play: 4pts
    New Bank: 111pts


  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    Lamar -3pts finished 7th at Ascot, a place would have returned a nice profit. Not a bad run though and she could pop up at a big price off a 90's mark. I got greedy with the Brazil Vs Mexico bet however, going for BTTS & Draw -1pt because it was 1 and a 1/2 points bigger. Lesson learned how ever.

    Whiskey Yankee is out tonight and should win, but he's a very short price at around evens and for that reason I won't touch it.

    Current Bank: 111pts


  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    Newton Abbot 16:45- Grandads Horse 2pts e/w @7/1

    Old Bank:111pts
    In Play: 4pts
    New Bank:107pts


  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    Grandads Horse +5.50pts finished second so we get money back and a bit extra.

    Todays bet: Greece Vs Ivory Coast Correct Score: Greece 1-0 1pt @11/1

    Old Bank: 112.50pts
    In Play: 1pt
    New Bank 111pts


  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    Greece (-1pt) won by 2 goals to 1 against Ivory Coast, meaning that last bet is a loser. On a bad streak at the minute. Sorry for the late notice for this one.

    Perth 14:40- Dotties Dilemma 1pt e/w @ 7/1

    Old Bank: 111.5 pts
    In Play: 2pts
    New Bank: 109.5pts


  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    Dotties Dilemma (-2pts) was beaten a neck into fourth.

    Newton Abbot 15:45- Ballybough Gorta 1pt @ 9/1

    Newton Abbot 15:45- Tempest River 1pt @ 11/1

    Roscommon 18:00- Jack Naylor 2pts @4/1

    Roscommon 18:30- Rightway 3pts @ 2/1



    Old Bank: 109.5pts
    In Play: 7pts
    New Bank: 102.5pts


  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    Not a bad day.

    Ballybough Gorta(-1pt) beaten into 3rd by two 33/1 shots, despite breaking a breast girth.
    Tempest River(-1pt) was 5th in that race and might need a marathon trip to show her best.
    Jack Naylor (+7.6pts) made all to win the opening maiden in Roscommon, there is a rule 4 included so I think that is the correct return? Could someone correct me if I'm wrong.
    Rightway (+3pts) was a Non Runner so the 3pts staked are returned.

    Old Bank: 102.5pts
    Profit: 10.6pts
    New Bank: 111.1pts


  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    Naas 19:00- Like Magic 1pt e/w @ 14/1

    Old Bank: 111.1pts
    In Play: 2pts
    New Bank: 109.1pts


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  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    Cartmel 16:45- Dunowen Point 4pts @ 6/1

    Old Bank: 109.1pts
    In Play: 4pts
    New Bank: 105.1pts


  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    Southwell 14:15- Clondaw Hero 2pts @ 7/1

    Old Bank: 105.1pts
    In Play: 2pts
    New Bank: 103.1pts


  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    sonnky wrote: »
    Naas 19:00- Like Magic 1pt e/w @ 14/1

    Old Bank: 111.1pts
    In Play: 2pts
    New Bank: 109.1pts

    Only managed 7th. If she's in at Galway she might have a chance.

    sonnky wrote: »
    Cartmel 16:45- Dunowen Point 4pts @ 6/1

    Old Bank: 109.1pts
    In Play: 4pts
    New Bank: 105.1pts

    Strange one this was on the drift all day drifted to 9/2 and 6/1 in places before being backed before the off into 9/4. Ran poorly and probably needs a trip farther than 2 miles.
    sonnky wrote: »
    Southwell 14:15- Clondaw Hero 2pts @ 7/1

    Old Bank: 105.1pts
    In Play: 2pts
    New Bank: 103.1pts

    Very poor from Clondaw Hero. These McCain horses are hard to get right. Hard to know what to make of this effort.

    (-8pts) from all these bets, on a terrible run of form at the minute. Holding on to profit by the skin of my teeth.

    Starting Bank: 100pts
    Current Bank: 103.1pts
    Profit/Loss: +3.1pts


  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    Friday Selections:

    Uttoxeter 14:20- Tennessee Bird 2pts e/w @ 8/1

    For anyone looking to get on this one, I'd recommend waiting until the start of the race as this one has been reluctant to jump off a few times, including the last time. However with first time blinkers on I'm willing to take a chance on him.


  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    Saturday Selections:

    Ascot 15:15- Dance And Dance 1pt e/w @ 40/1


    GAA Player Points totals:

    7pts Danny Cummins(Galway) over 1.5 points @ 4/7

    6pts Connor Sweeney(Tipperary) over 4.5 points @ 4/6

    4pts David Kelly(Sligo) over 1.5 points @ 5/6

    3pts James Kavanagh(Galway) under 1.5 points @ 4/6


  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    Mondays Selection:


    Ayr 16:30- Tango Sky 1pt e/w @ 8/1


  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    Updating the bank now for the previous few bets.

    Tennessee Bird (-4pts) refused to race which is a pity as I get no run for my money there.
    Dance And Dance (-2pts) trailed home 24th of 28 runners in an ultra competitve event but was too big a price to ignore.

    Three out of four GAA bets were successful.
    Danny Cummins (+4pts) hit 1-1 and missed plenty of chances so he covered the 1.5 points quite easily.
    Connor Sweeney(+4pts) got 4 points from frees and a late penalty goal to just get over the line.
    David Kelly (-4pts) failed to score for Sligo and was taken off, think he was half injured so it was poor research on my behalf.
    James Kavangh (+2pts) failed to score and only really had one chance but he was pulled down and awarded a free.

    Broke Exactly even.

    Old Bank: 103.1pts
    New Bank: 101.1pts
    In Play: 2pts


  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    Galway Senior Football Championship:

    Annaghdown Vs St Michaels 5pts @ 4/5
    Annaghdown(-1) Vs St Michaels 5pts @1/1


  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    Perth 15.20- Majestic Mayhem 1pt e/w @ 25/1

    Perth 15.50- Clondaw Knight 2pts @ 9/2

    Perth 16.50- Dotties Dilemma 4pts @ 11/4

    Newton Abbot 14.40- Barlow 1pt e/w @ 11/2

    In Play: 10pts


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  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭sonnky


    Plumpton 15:30- Green Bank 3pts @ 5/1

    Uttoxeter 17:10- Diamond Gesture 2pts e/w @ 13/2

    Uttoxeter 15:40- Fantasy King 1pt @ 15/2

    Uttoxeter 15:40- Frontier Spirit 2pts @ 5/1

    In Play: 10pts


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