The Gambling Forum Chat Thread

keysersoze0330 wrote: »

Handicap changed on Ireland match to -3 on pp at 1/1. All over that.

Brave men Madigan on from start is more of worry than when he came on, Argies having to shift there best 10 to 12 may cost them but the 2/1 is value had this as slight outsiders given Irelands losses in the pack.

Manchester United v Manchester City

Man City currently hold a 2 point lead over Utd in the league so this game carries more than just bragging rights. Both teams were in action midweek in the Champions League with City pulling out a last minute winner against Sevilla and Utd drawing against CSKA and will have had to deal with the long trip back from from Russia.

Man Utd Injured/Doubtful: Wilson, Young, McNair, Shaw
Man City Injured/Doubtful: Nasri, Silva, Aguero, Delph, Clichy

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Man Utd's last 6 matches in the Premier League while Man City have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 4 matches in the league however Man Utd have conceded just the one goal at home in the league this season and might go with a midfield base of Carrick/Blind and Schneiderlin to break up Man Citys dominant midfield. Man City have 4 clean sheets in their last 5 away league games so this will be a tough contest between top class defences and very expensive attacking lineups.

Aguero is a massive loss for Man City and while Bony has shown his ability he is no Aguero but his link up play with Sterling has shown a lot of promise and this pairing will be key to Man City while De Bruyne is hitting great form. Rooney seems to have a lock on the center forward position for Utd even though Martial has been great this season and justified his price tag.

My predictions for the game are below to give you an idea of my thought process and possible value for your bets from some of my favourite markets:

I have no other way to post as I am a new user so can't upload an image of the excel file I use but basically the first number is the win percentage and the second number are the minimum odds required to back that selection.

Home Win 0.339 / 2.95
Draw 0.286 / 3.50
Away Win 0.375 / 2.67
Over 1.5 Goals 0.862 / 1.16
Under 1.5 Goals 0.138 / 7.25
Over 2.5 Goals 0.617 / 1.62
Under 2.5 Goals 0.383 / 2.61
Over 3.5 Goals 0.335 / 2.98
Under 3.5 Goals 0.665 / 1.50
BTTS - Yes 0.723 / 1.38
BTTS - No 0.278 / 3.60
Home DNB 0.475 / 2.10
Away DNB 0.525 / 1.91
Home DC 0.625 / 1.60
Away DC 0.661 / 1.51
Home -1 0.131 / 7.61
Away -1 0.144 / 6.95
Home Win & over 2.5 Goals 0.233 / 4.30
Away Win & over 2.5 Goals 0.268 / 3.73

JONJO THE MISER wrote: »

I wish pinnacle would get the time right for kickoff, had it down for 17:00 and line now taken down when match starts at 18:00.

tweet them might respond

Isotonic2 wrote: »

Backed Italy +21. Bit of an insult and who knows what France turn up. If they play to their potential they should cover the 21 but who knows what France turn up and I expect the Italian to score at least 1 try

You staying around for the six nations Iso? Do.you use your twitter account anymore Iso? Use to always follow you on there.

Isotonic2 wrote: »

Nope not on Twitter, don't have time. Backing France at home to Ireland today the evens available is huge. Good luck if you follow

Great shout Iso, Anything for the Welsh game ?