The Football / Soccer Tips Thread v2

MoscowFlyer · 05-12-2011 10:52pm

Yardie wrote: »

Arb Opp

Back Porto/Zenit over 50 booking points 9/5 on SportingBet
€500 returns €1400. €900 profit

Under 5.5 cards @ 11/10 on Bet 365
€500 returns €1050. €550 profit

If over 50 comes in which I would strongly fancy €400 profit on SB
under 5.5- €50 prof on bet365

Fill yissers boots lads

Now 6/5 on Sporting Bet

SteelyDanJalapeno · 05-12-2011 10:56pm

ff9999 wrote: »

Lads can anyone on here help me out with a query

If I want to set up an online account with Paddy Power, can I just go into one of their outlets and set it up in there and lodge money into the account through the bookie's itself?

OR does it have to be set up online and handled with a credit card?

you can set up a cash deposit account afaik

SteelyDanJalapeno · 05-12-2011 10:59pm

Aldi Haxia has left Kettering,

cant see them turning up tomorrow

SteelyDanJalapeno · 05-12-2011 11:01pm

slookie wrote: »

Fortuna game won, and all the others are pissing it bar Pool. I stand to win €115 from this plus have another €50 on pool straight, so thats bout €220 if they win. I think I should lay it off and do Fulham/Draw. Any advice?

Just got this on before goal. Not too bad. Covered some losses.

[/URL]

Nice one lad, if in doubt always lay it off

Soby · 05-12-2011 11:01pm

Soby wrote: »

All over Pool -1 corner handicap 11/10

So nearly a given I feel if Duff doesn't play

Now i have that "Why did'nt I bet more" feeling haha

ff9999 · 05-12-2011 11:02pm

TiltedBrain wrote: »

you can set up a cash deposit account afaik

Cheers. Would this allow me to place bets online then from the account I've set up in-store? I'll head into PP anyway to check it out

Headshot · 05-12-2011 11:07pm

David the card machine Luiz to be booked any time for chelsea 13/8 against valenica

20 stake

pp requesting......

awhir · 05-12-2011 11:11pm

Soby wrote: »

Now i have that "Why did'nt I bet more" feeling haha

haha i done it for ya

SteelyDanJalapeno · 05-12-2011 11:12pm

unreal, like 2 minutes before the red card?

Soby · 05-12-2011 11:14pm

Haha you crazy fecker :P.

BTW where did everyone do the booking bets.Bet 365 didnt have player bookings anyway

Messi10 · 05-12-2011 11:20pm

Dempsey 1st goal 8/1.
Fulham,Lazio,seville treble.
Bellamy to be booked 4/1
Sendros to be booked 11/5... Good nite all round

Smithwicks Man · 05-12-2011 11:20pm

Soby wrote: »

Haha you crazy fecker :P.

BTW where did everyone do the booking bets.Bet 365 didnt have player bookings anyway

Done mine on paddypower anyway, they usually don't have the greatest odds though.
Any thoughts on 65 points or more card index in the porto game tomorrow? Must-win game with a strict ref, looks like a good shout.

SteelyDanJalapeno · 05-12-2011 11:21pm

the arb was one of the top trending bets on oddschecker earlier, I got on alright.

Yardie · 05-12-2011 11:22pm

Headshot wrote: »

David the card machine Luiz to be booked any time for chelsea 13/8 against valenica

20 stake

pp requesting......

Great shout on Senderos. Dembele will have to be added to card list too

I've been a big fan of Luiz on the cards for a while now so really hoping he starts tomorrow? Can AVB trust him in such a big match? Strongly fancy cards in game regardless who starts.

inforfun · 05-12-2011 11:23pm

Not complaining but ... a "clean" slip without the 1/2 void would have looked nicer.

Just shows it needs luck. With this one a 89th minute winner for Kiev and a very soft penalty for Dusseldorf's first goal.

Yardie · 05-12-2011 11:24pm

TiltedBrain wrote: »

the arb was one of the top trending bets on oddschecker earlier, I got on alright.

Bet cancelled..For feck sake

magherakid · 05-12-2011 11:24pm

TiltedBrain wrote: »

the arb was one of the top trending bets on oddschecker earlier, I got on alright.

is your bet still on with sportingbet?

Headshot · 05-12-2011 11:27pm

Yardie wrote: »

Great shout on Senderos. Dembele will have to be added to card list too

I've been a big fan of Luiz on the cards for a while now so really hoping he starts tomorrow? Can AVB trust him in such a big match? Strongly fancy cards in game regardless who starts.

AVB seems to trust Luiz alot and Alex handed in a transfer request so I dont think he'll be playing

I think Luiz is a certain to start hopefully

magherakid · 05-12-2011 11:29pm

Yardie wrote: »

Bet cancelled..For feck sake

have we a leg to stand on here?

MikeyGorse · 05-12-2011 11:30pm

Over 2.5 @ 1/2
Barcelona v FC Bate
Total Goals U/O 2.5

Yes @ 8/11
Chelsea v Valencia
Both Teams To Score

Napoli @ 8/11
Villarreal v Napoli
Match Betting

Man City @ 8/13
Man City v Bayern Munich
Match Betting

Lille @ 8/15
Lille v Trabzonspor
Match Betting

Man United @ 4/7
FC Basel v Man United
Match Betting

Real Madrid @ 5/4
Ajax v Real Madrid
Match Betting

Over 2.5 @ 1/2
Benfica v Otelul Galati
Total Goals U/O 2.5

Total stake € 5.00
Estimated return € 293.94

SteelyDanJalapeno · 05-12-2011 11:30pm

Mines gone too, the *****

take over 60 @ 6/5 to avoid an absolute nightmare?

there'll never be exactly 6 surely...........

Yardie · 05-12-2011 11:33pm

magherakid wrote: »

have we a leg to stand on here?

I'm working on it ..gonna get them to reinstate bet at price market rate at time around 10/11..should break even..maybe get a slightly better price

PaddyTheNth · 05-12-2011 11:34pm

Headshot wrote: »

AVB seems to trust Luiz alot and Alex handed in a transfer request so I dont think he'll be playing

That's a definite I'd say - link

Read another article earlier which said that Anelka and Luiz are only allowed to train with reserves and have had their lockers cleared out in the first team dressing room, can't find the link now though.

SteelyDanJalapeno · 05-12-2011 11:35pm

might want to keep big arbs private from now on......

magherakid · 05-12-2011 11:42pm

Yardie wrote: »

I'm working on it ..gonna get them to reinstate bet at price market rate at time around 10/11..should break even..maybe get a slightly better price

Let us know how you got on

Patsy fyre · 05-12-2011 11:49pm

Regarding the Kettering game tomorrow night.
Can be got at 9/5 -2 on P power.
Should be considered aslong as the game goes ahead.

http://www.footballtradedirectory.com/news/2011/december/conference-side-may-struggle-to-field-a.html

Esox Lucias · 05-12-2011 11:50pm

TiltedBrain wrote: »

might want to keep big arbs private from now on......

A shame, but fully understandable.

EdenHazard · 05-12-2011 11:54pm

liverpool are very lucky that scidhffhsjkgbji or whatever they called in denmark didnt score, they would cost me some serious money

Headshot · 06-12-2011 12:02am

Patsy fyre wrote: »

Regarding the Kettering game tomorrow night.
Can be got at 9/5 -2 on P power.
Should be considered aslong as the game goes ahead.

http://www.footballtradedirectory.com/news/2011/december/conference-side-may-struggle-to-field-a.html

what has me worried is the away team looks pretty bad

Yardie · 06-12-2011 12:12am

magherakid wrote: »

Let us know how you got on

Drama Drama Drama

Many apologies about this clusterfvk lads.

It is very difficult to get a straight answer out of Sporting Bet and am in contact with supervisor now.

I have a solution but Please DM me as I don't want this going public.

Again sorry for the hassle lads but should be grand

ff9999 · 06-12-2011 12:51am

Useful advice on this treble for Champions League? What would you be having on instead?

Man City v Bayern BTTS 4/6
Porto v Zenit BTTS 8/11
Chelsea v Valencia OVER 2.5 4/5
@ 4/1

razor425 · 06-12-2011 1:04am

Genk +1 @ 7/5 - Unbeaten at home in Champions League so far and will want to put in a good performance after being humiliated in the last round. Great value here especially considering Leverkusen's patchy away form.

Also keep an eye on Arsenal team for tomorrow, available +1 at 5/6 at the minute and Olympiacos have a massive injury list currently.

Also Genk on the corner match bet are usually fairly good, can't find any odds now though.

Soby · 06-12-2011 1:09am

Bleh neither PP or Bet have player bookings for Chelsea tomorrow.I'd be all over Luiz otherwise

Yardie · 06-12-2011 1:27am

Ok lads proper business for tomorrow night:

Olympiakos vs Arsenal:

Over 3.5 cards @ 4/5 on bet 365 and 50 points or more @15/8 or Paddy's.

Mallenco in charge is pretty card happy. Huge game for Olympiakos as they can still qualify so by no means a dead rubber. Arsenal playing some B string lads so will be keen to impress and will be under serious pressure in hostile stadium. frimpong likely to start to defo on him to be booked if PP give a price. 5 cards in first tie between sides. Same again tomorrow will do nicely

Porto vs Zenit

Over 6 Asian cards @ 1.950 on bet365

Gutted that sporting bet took away bg price and still looking for answer form them. Arb resolved hope anyone who followed sorted it and isn't hoping for unders as this should be cards fest.
Winner takes all with strict Spaniard Velasco in charge. 65 points first time sides met. Both of Porto's home games have seen 90 points or more.

Chelsea/ Valencia

Over 56 booking points @ 11/10 on Stanjames

Rocchi the ref is not too strict but with so much at stake and so many card candidates on both sides it should have decent chance of 6 yellows. 6 cards the first leg of this tie. As Headshot pointed out David Luiz is an essential bet to see yellow, good chance of red for the lad.

Large singles and also small bit on treble is 5.66/1 on bet365

kryogen · 06-12-2011 2:22am

Would the Porto game translate to over 60 pts with paddypower? apologies but these markets are new to me

Fowler87 · 06-12-2011 3:02am

Having a fiver on these two in form strikers for tomorrow...

Hulk insurebet @ 13/5
Lewandowski insurebet @ 4/1

bradlente · 06-12-2011 8:27am

Time to lose some money:o

Bayer should have too much for Genk and will want to top their group with a win.

Olympiakos need to beat a second string Arsenal side at home to have a chance of qualifying.Some interesting opta stats:
The Gunners have lost two and drawn one of their last three Champions League matches away at Greek sides, failing to score in both of the defeats.
Arsenal have failed to win any of their last eight final group games which have been away from home (L7 D1). Their last defeat on the final matchday away from home was against Olympiakos in December 2009.

7 out of 10 zenit away games have gone over,7 out of 8 Porto home games.Even though a draw will do Zenit I expect goals,Both sides will be raring to go haven't played in over a week

Milan are the only team to score at the Nou Camp this season.Barca to win to nil is evens tonight on pp.With Real coming up on Saturday they're bound to rest a few players,But the price is still decent.Depends on team news of course.

A double of olympiakos and porto zenit overs and depending on the Barca team will probably go for a double of them to win to nil and Bayer

Lasagna Diarra · 06-12-2011 11:43am

2 singles for me today:
Barcelona - BATE : under 2.5
Viktoria Plzen - Milan: draw at HT

Barcelona will play with their youth team as all the first teamers will be rested for the Clasico. I remember the last game of the season last year where they played with their youth team vs Deportivo, they were just passing the ball around in their own half for 90 min, the game ended 0-0. Also, Barca only beat Hospitalet 1-0 and Viktoria Plzen 2-0 at home, they even recently lost 1-0 vs Getafe.
BATE must win if they want to have a chance of finishing 3rd. They only lost 2-0 away to Milan. I think it will be a similar game to BATE's 0-0 draw away to PSG last year where they played very cautiously knowing that all they needed was 1 goal.

As for Viktoria Plzen, this is what their coach said in the press conference:
If we get a point we will be through to the Europa League. We are up against tough opponents tomorrow, but I believe it will be a happy ending and we will be playing in Europe after Christmas. That would make us all proud of our performance as newcomers in Europe.The maths is clear. One point will be enough and we will do everything to grab it. We want to win in front of our great fans, who have supported us throughout our Champions League campaign. We would like to play more attacking football, but we are all aware of what is required so we won't take any risks tomorrow.

I think draw at HT is less risky than FT draw, plus the score was 0-0 at HT in the corresponding fixture.

ps: Sorry for the long post

seklly · 06-12-2011 11:55am

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

ps: Sorry for the long post

Posts which are thought out and provide information and reasoning on a selection are far more helpful than I've gone for x or y on a hunch.

It allows everyone to make more informed decisions, thanks for the info.

PaddyTheNth · 06-12-2011 12:04pm

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

2 singles for me today:
Barcelona - BATE : under 2.5
Viktoria Plzen - Milan: draw at HT

...............

ps: Sorry for the long post

I was looking at these fixtures last night and trying to work out bets that I liked - these are better than anything I came up with. Thanks!

magherakid · 06-12-2011 12:05pm

Anyone know what way Asian Cards work on bet365 say i do over 6 and the game ends with 6 cards do i get my stake back?

bradlente · 06-12-2011 12:12pm

gna stick bayer in with lasagnas draw ht bet in the milan game.Better chance of happening than the barca to nil maybe,With the team they're lining out that could go a few ways,the 0-0 might be worth a shout.

seklly · 06-12-2011 12:38pm

magherakid wrote: »

Anyone know what way Asian Cards work on bet365 say i do over 6 and the game ends with 6 cards do i get my stake back?

That's it

ff9999 · 06-12-2011 12:52pm

Small stake on Half with Most Goals (2cd half) @15/1. With so much at stake I can see the first halves of these matches being tight affairs with the game opening up come second half as both sides push on. (Hopefully)

Man City v Munich EVS
FC Basel v United EVS
Porto v Zenit EVS
Chelsea v Valencia EVS

razor425 · 06-12-2011 2:40pm

Chelsea to win to nil at 21/10 worth a small bet.
Valencia struggle for goals away from home, only 1 against Genk and Leverkusen combined despite beating both fairly easily at home. Only a small stake as I have some slight worries about Chelsea's defence(i.e Luiz)

beretta_better · 06-12-2011 3:23pm

hi,

waz up, lads ? say hello to the newbie

ff9999 · 06-12-2011 3:37pm

razor425 wrote: »

Chelsea to win to nil at 21/10 worth a small bet.
Valencia struggle for goals away from home, only 1 against Genk and Leverkusen combined despite beating both fairly easily at home. Only a small stake as I have some slight worries about Chelsea's defence(i.e Luiz)

Takes a brave man to bet on Chelsea to keep a clean sheet this season;)

beretta_better · 06-12-2011 3:38pm

OLYMPIAKOS

Probable Line-Up: Megyeri, Maniatis, Mellberg, Papadopoulos, Torosidis Potouridis, Holebas, Orbaiz, Abdoun, Pantelic, Djebbour

ARSENAL

Probable Line-Up: Fabianski, Koscielny, Vermaelen, Squillaci, Santos, Coquelin, Frimpong, Benayoun, Oxlade-Chamberlain, Chamakh, Arshavin

Over 2,5 @2.15 is a MUST

GL

keane2097 · 06-12-2011 3:47pm

razor425 wrote: »

Chelsea to win to nil at 21/10 worth a small bet.
Valencia struggle for goals away from home, only 1 against Genk and Leverkusen combined despite beating both fairly easily at home. Only a small stake as I have some slight worries about Chelsea's defence(i.e Luiz)

Don't like this at all personally fwiw.

razor425 · 06-12-2011 3:50pm

Takes a brave man to bet on Chelsea to keep a clean sheet this season

Brave or stupid?

I feel Chelsea may have turned a corner at the weekend and Valencia seem very poor away from home. 8 away games in La Liga and Chmapions League this season and only 8 goals. 4 of the league games were against teams in bottom 5/6 of La Liga. At 21/10 I see a little bit of value here. Worth 5 euro imo.

Also Valencia missing a few key players.

The Football / Soccer Tips Thread v2

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