Season long bets/accumulators (2014/15)

Looking over an 11 leg season long accum I put on at start of season at thought it was worth posting. Funny looking at some of those prices now - 5 euro returns 4487:

1. Southampton to get more than 46 points 10/11 - currently on 46
2. Spurs to finish ahead of Everton 8/11 - 16 points ahead
3. Newcastle to finish ahead of Sunderland 8/15 - 8 points ahead
4. Chelsea to finish ahead of Man City 10/11 - 7 points ahead
5. Leicester to finish below QPR or Burnley 1/1 - 5 behind QPR, 4 behind Burnley
6. Stoke to get more than 44 points 10/11 - on 33 after 25 games (at current rate would reach 50)
7. WBA to finish ahead of Villa - 10/11 - WBA 4 points ahead
8. West Ham to finish ahead of Swansea 10/11 - 4 points ahead

Here's where the problems start:

9. Arsenal to finish above Man Utd 10/11 - currently 2 points behind
10. Liverpool to finish top 4 10/11 - currently 5 points behind Man Utd
11. Hull to finish ahead of Palace 10/11 - currently 4 points behind

Can see Arsenal finishing ahead of Utd but think 10 & 11 are very unlikely. That said odds on same bet would be a lot less than 900/1 at this stage so will keep my fingers crossed.

Last few games have changed my season long accum quite a bit - 5 euro returns 4487. Have numbered them in probability of coming off:

1. Southampton to get more than 46 points 10/11 - Done
2. Spurs to finish ahead of Everton 8/11 - 19 points ahead
3. Stoke to get more than 44 points 10/11 - On 42 points with 10 games to go
4. Newcastle to finish ahead of Sunderland 8/15 - 9 points ahead
5. Chelsea to finish ahead of Man City 10/11 - 5 points ahead with a game in hand
6. Leicester to finish below QPR or Burnley 1/1 - 4 points behind both
7. WBA to finish ahead of Villa - 10/11 - WBA 5 points ahead
8. Arsenal to finish above Man Utd 10/11 - currently 2 points ahead

9. Liverpool to finish top 4 10/11 - currently 2 points behind Man Utd
10. West Ham to finish above Swansea - one point behind
11. Hull to finish ahead of Palace 10/11 - currently 3 points behind

Liverpool are looking good and Utd have a tough run of fixtures, bookies have them evens and Man Utd 5/6 for top 4 - Spurs or Southampton could have a say in this one too. Liverpool - Utd on March 22nd will be an important one.

West Ham/Swansea is a coin toss - both have decent fixtures - Big Sam is apparently a dead man walking which may cause players to down tools but they have 5 of bottom 6 to play so hopefully they will pull it out of the bag.

Crystal Palace/Hull is the one which I have almost given up on. 7 of Hull's last 10 are against teams in the top 8, My only hope is that the other 3 are against Leicester, Burnley and Palace themselves on April 25th. Palace are going well under Pardew and Hull's fixture list points toward relegation but just gotta hope for an unlikely turnaround with this one.

inforfun wrote: »

Not sure whether those bottom team matches will help you. West Ham's season looks done and dusted. Cant win, cant lose. Those bottom teams have it all to play for.

No cashout available?

Nah done it in shop - yeah if I could choose again I'd go West Ham and Palace but results can be quite random at this time of the year so thats the only hope I'm clinging to. What would say the current cashout value might be?

inforfun wrote: »

Couldnt help myself and did a little yankee last night

Wolfsburg > EL winner @7.5
Barca > CL winner @4.5
Eibar to relegate > @7.5
Cork +6 > @9


Especially like Eibar to go down @7.5
Lost their last 6 and a quick browse over their remaining matches tells me they will not win a lot more.
This weekend it is Levante - Eibar and if Eibar lose that, i am sure the odds will drop.

I like it - will follow.

culline wrote: »

If anyone has a minute to look at fixtures, who scores more goals - Kun or Kane?

Fixtures don't need to be taken into account here.

Aguero scores more.

Shanotheslayer wrote: »

Everton top 10 finish 5/4 with PP lads. Think it's a great price looking at fixtures and teams around us.

We're hitting a decent run of form. Palace have tough fixtures, bit tougher than ours, but I think we're good enough to do it.

Good tip!

Bournemouth are a point behind leaders Watford. 2 games to go and Bournemouth are +8 better off in terms of GD

Is 6/4 to finish top of championship with 2 games to go worth it?

Anyone know how far each way extends for a top scorer bet? Am on Callum Wilson in the championship and he's currently joint third. And if it's only down to second what chance would you give him of catching/passing out Deeney who's one goal ahead at the weekend?:P

fuzzydunlop85 wrote: »

Pretty sure it's top 4.

Cheers that's made my morning. Probably only a pittance if it comes through but still worth more than my Sturridge top scorer & Newcastle top 6 season bets...

lamoss wrote: »

As we all know anything can happen over a seasons football so I have done these 3 bets to run over the new season . Nothing too serious .......a bit of fun to keep me entertained

Relegation accum.

Premiership -Southampton @9/2
Championship-Leeds @ 7/2
L1-Oldham @5/2
L2- Morecambe @5/1

€ 10 acca , all teams to be relagated..........Pays about 5100

.....................................................................................................

Promotion treble
Championship- Derby @3/1
L1 -Bristol city- @10/3
L2- Portsmouth- @ 2/1

€ 20 Treble , all teams to be promoted...........pays about 1030

....................................................................................................

All teams to be promoted

Championship - Fulham @3/1
L1 - Doncaster @10/3
L2 - Cambridge @ 6/1
Conference premier - Grimsby @ 6/1

€ 10 accum ..........................pays about 7200.

If any of the above come in I will have a bloody good holiday .:pac:

That was a roller coaster ride over the season, The nearest I got was the middle treble, 1 in, 1 with a squeak , and 1 down and out.
Oh well, no big holiday for me...........A week in a caravan in Tramore if I am lucky

Good luck to all who are still in with a chance.

Loafing Oaf wrote: »

Cheers that's made my morning. Probably only a pittance if it comes through

Well he crept in joint fourth and I ended up €5.41 up on the deal. Really worth doing those each ways:rolleyes:

Now I'm waiting on Chelsea-City-Arsenal and Chelseas-Arsenal-City tricasts, hoping United don't mess things up for me.

Also on Burnley-QPR-Villa for relegation but not holding out too much hope there if Villa hold on for the win today...

Looking like I'm in a decent position. In my predictor I have Burnley/Leicester/Sunderland to go down. 200points each.

Have Newcastle at 20/1 to be relegated. So once Hull Don't fck up. I'll be happy either way.

Made an extra 20 points in predictor on people a head of me this week With Lukaku scoring.

Going to go down to the wire. Stay tuned:P

fuzzydunlop85 wrote: »

Going in again on another ante post bet. Sevilla for Europa, Barca Cl, Preston , Norwich , Southend for promotion. Trebles, 4folds and accum. Anyone any opinions on the play offs lads? Preston are habitual bottlers in the play offs but they've done well for me through the season and finding it hard to go against them!

Was gonna ask about the championships meself. Won on the 2 finalists last year, but the obvious one this year, Norwich/Middlesborough, is only 6/4...

Well I'm on a roll now.:P Anyone like the look of Sunderland to go down at 11s? Surely they're nailed on to lose the last two, maybe even by enough to close the GD gap with Newcastle...