The Football / Soccer Tips Thread v2

Football Friend wrote: »

Random enough question relating to the FA cup final earlier today.

I had a €10 bet on Ramires to score first and Chelsea to win 2:0 @100/1 which obviously didnt come through ( and as such Im hoping doesnt count as after timing seeing as it didnt win but I can provide a pic if needs be mods)

My question to the more experienced guys here is when the game was 2:0 should I have offset it against a bet of maybe over 2.5 goals? maybe put €500 down on that? Or what odds would that of been at that stage roughly?

Or what way would ye guys have played it? Just looking for advice so I know what to do if it happens again!

Yeah over 2.5 goals would have been the only way you could have. BUT odds on over 2.5 goals after the 2nd goal, 52nd min, would have been ~4/11 at an educated guess. €500 on that would have returned €680 so that's profit of €170 worst case scenario or €500 best case. Hard to say if anyone would trade out at that price. IMO I probably would have been greedy (stupid?:P) and let it run until about the 70th minute, and of course with the Carrol goal lost all profit. It also depends on whether you would have had the funds to throw down €500 extra, which many wouldn't.

Edit: Maybe I'm a bit off with the 4/11 but definately wouldn't be over 1/2-4/6

Football Friend wrote: »

Random enough question relating to the FA cup final earlier today.

I had a €10 bet on Ramires to score first and Chelsea to win 2:0 @100/1 which obviously didnt come through ( and as such Im hoping doesnt count as after timing seeing as it didnt win but I can provide a pic if needs be mods)

My question to the more experienced guys here is when the game was 2:0 should I have offset it against a bet of maybe over 2.5 goals? maybe put €500 down on that? Or what odds would that of been at that stage roughly?

Or what way would ye guys have played it? Just looking for advice so I know what to do if it happens again!

unlucky man
that wouldnt have been a bad idea but there was only 6 mins till
the next goal and i always found myself waiting a little bit too long
for more favourable odds and losing out so that little bit of greed cost me.
I would guess that with about half an hour to go that over 2.5 would
have been around evens to 6/4 so that would have been the way
to go

I was sure his original post read Ramires 1st scorer in a 2-1 win, my bad lads. Dont ate me!

And yes so, I've of gone big on overs

TiltedBrain wrote: »

I was sure his original post read Ramires 1st scorer in a 2-1 win, my bad lads. Dont ate me!

And yes so, I've of gone big on overs

Don't let it happen again :mad::P

mailburner wrote: »

now im really curious as to what the odds were at that stage
was thinking around evens myself

Just had a look on a tracker there, over 3.5 after the 2nd goal was at 9/10

Double for tomorrow:

Spurs 5/6 & QPR 10/11

pays 5/2

Headshot wrote: »

Udinese v Genoa
Di Natale to score and Udinese to win 6/5. Loving those odds. They're up against a team fighting relegation but I just cant see past Udinese

ffs I was just about to place this bet and I see its already gone down to 4/5

I cant tell ye lot anything lol

damn it

Blatter wrote: »

Just saw there that Cisse is 16/1 on PP to score 2 or more in the City game today. Value?

10 euro on that

inforfun wrote: »

I dont have the balls to do it but some of you might.

Posted this a few times already this week.

Heeerenveen - Feyenoord will not end in a draw since Heerenveen will most likely end up playing EL play offs then and Feyenoord will miss out on CL qualifiers. Depends only on PSV to win at Excelsior.

A win for Feyenoord will give both clubs there most desired outcome. Feyenoord CL, Heerenveen EL

Only thing to win for Heerenveen with a win is 1 round later start in the EL

With Heerenveen @4 and Feyenoord @1.61 there must be some profit to be made.

Now if it was Italy i would put money on a 1-0 Feyenoord win...

No guarantees of course.

Can't see Heerenveen just allowing Feyenoord to win, they won't want to come back to pre season training early for a play off Europa League match which they are not guarenteed to win. Don't see it myself, I'd presume both teams will be going for the win to ensure as long a summer holiday as possible. Just my thoughts, of course Feynoord could win, because they're the better team.

Almost guaranteed a 1-1 draw now.

Whats the opinion on everton today?

Double:
Under 3.5 in Ekranas v Vilnius (Lithuanian league)
Ludogorets (Bulgarian league)
@ 1.80

Ekranas (top of the league) rarely scores more than 3 goals, while Vilnius don't concede too many goals, they lost 2-1 vs Zalgiris (2nd) and drew 0-0 with Suduva (3rd), these 2 teams met in a cup game 2 weeks ago and Ekranas won 2-0.

Any other result than a Ludogorets win would be a big surprise, they have to win to keep their title hopes alive and their opponents are crap.