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UK Elections - Exit polls / First impressions / Constituency Results

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  • 06-05-2010 10:00pm
    #1
    redout
    Registered Users Posts: 11,435 ✭✭✭✭


    First Exit Poll: Joint Sky News/BBC/ITV Exit Poll

    Conservative - 307
    Labour - 255
    Lib Dems - 59

    Hung Parliament


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Comments

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    #2
    dreamer_ire
    Registered Users Posts: 1,894 ✭✭✭dreamer_ire


    Anyone have any idea what time the Northern Ireland seats are expected to be announced?


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    #3
    Hamlet.
    Registered Users Posts: 92 ✭✭Hamlet.


    Exit polls 307 for Tories.

    No majority but could form a minority.

    Just makes tonight more exciting. Anything could happen.

    Good luck Dave!


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    #4
    LordSutch
    Closed Accounts Posts: 12,078 ✭✭✭✭LordSutch


    When is Peter Snow on with his swingometer ?

    My prediction a 'Hung Parliament' with the Conservatives as the largest party, to be propped up by the liberals + two possible UUP seats :eek:


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    #5
    BroomBurner
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,737 ✭✭✭BroomBurner


    Going by that Exit Poll, the LibDems are this year's Portillo.

    I sincerely hope the poll is wrong.


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    #6
    steelcityblues
    Registered Users Posts: 4,630 ✭✭✭steelcityblues


    Must admit, i'm shocked by the LibDems projected total!


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    #7
    sink
    Registered Users Posts: 4,314 ✭✭✭sink


    Only 59 for Lib Dems, shocking and disappointing. I hope this exit is wrong.


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    #8
    naughto
    Registered Users Posts: 7,316 ✭✭✭naughto


    ive no clue about poltics so how do they get out of hung parliament


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    #9
    Inquitus
    Registered Users Posts: 13,730 ✭✭✭✭Inquitus


    That exit Poll has to be complete bollox tbh, I'll be really surprised if it stands up. I cant see the lib dems losing seats on last time. It was done by UNS as well, which wouldnt stand up well in a 3 horse race.


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    #10
    BroomBurner
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,737 ✭✭✭BroomBurner


    They could team up with another party/parties to make up the seats, similarly to what FF did with the Greens and independents.

    Otherwise, they could request for the Queen to award them a minority government.

    Jesus, even adding Lab and LibDem, they still wouldn't get a majority going by that poll. I sincerely hope they're wrong.


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    #11
    LordSutch
    Closed Accounts Posts: 12,078 ✭✭✭✭LordSutch


    Conservative = 307

    Labour = 255

    Lib Dems = 59

    Others = 29


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    #12
    sink
    Registered Users Posts: 4,314 ✭✭✭sink


    Looking at that exit poll even a Lab/LD coalition wouldn't have a majority.


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    #13
    BroomBurner
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,737 ✭✭✭BroomBurner


    Inquitus wrote: »
    That exit Poll has to be complete bollox tbh, I'll be really surprised if it stands up. I cant see the lib dems losing seats on last time. It was done by UNS as well, which wouldnt stand up well in a 3 horse race.

    The poll was conducted by IPSI/Mori, on behalf of the BBC, ITV and Sky combined.


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    #14
    owenc
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 5,524 ✭✭✭owenc


    What's this now I thought the first results weren't in till 11


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    #15
    Inquitus
    Registered Users Posts: 13,730 ✭✭✭✭Inquitus


    BroomBurner wrote: »
    The poll was conducted by IPSI/Mori, on behalf of the BBC, ITV and Sky combined.

    UNS means Uniform National Swing ergo it doesnt take into account the vaguaries of a potential 3 horse race.


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    #16
    redout
    Registered Users Posts: 11,435 ✭✭✭✭redout


    Possible Lab/Lib Dem/DUP on the cards perhaps ?


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    #17
    BroomBurner
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,737 ✭✭✭BroomBurner


    Inquitus wrote: »
    UNS means Uniform National Swing ergo it doesnt take into account the vaguaries of a potential 3 horse race.

    Sorry, I should have included the line "make of that what you will", I was stating who conducted the poll in terms of your comment about it being bollix! :)


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    #18
    steelcityblues
    Registered Users Posts: 4,630 ✭✭✭steelcityblues


    Real story could be the LibDems stalling this time around.

    On that seat count, we may have at least one of Lucas, Farage or Griffin getting elected for the smaller parties!

    Unpredictable night ahead!


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    #19
    Hamlet.
    Registered Users Posts: 92 ✭✭Hamlet.


    I'd happily take the exit polls but no way can LD lose seats surely? They don't include postals and that could be alot of LD fans who were going by first debate.

    It's too close. Very nervewracking night ahead. Didn't expect anything different.


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    #20
    apoch632
    Registered Users Posts: 357 ✭✭apoch632


    http://blogs.ft.com/westminster/2010/05/seven-reasons-to-be-wary-of-the-exit-poll-tonight/


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    #21
    BroomBurner
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,737 ✭✭✭BroomBurner


    Voters were turned away from lots of polling stations, including Clegg's own constituency, due to the long queues and not everyone getting in before 10pm.

    Could be an issue raised if things go awry.


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    #22
    steelcityblues
    Registered Users Posts: 4,630 ✭✭✭steelcityblues


    People refusing to leave poll stations around Hillsborough, Sheffield area!


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    #23
    redout
    Registered Users Posts: 11,435 ✭✭✭✭redout


    Lovin it :D

    "The Terminator has spoken" - Adam Boulton

    Arnold Schwarzenegger has tweeted his congratulations to David Cameron on his victory.


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    #24
    sceptre
    Registered Users Posts: 19,608 ✭✭✭✭sceptre


    Some posts moved from the other thread, title of this one modified. is where the night owls can provide views as the poll results start coming in with Sunderland. Discussion with reasonable-ish focus desired please:)

    /mod


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    #25
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Sounds like too mnay voters and not enough polling stations (or more likely too may fools leaving it till the last minute, 70%+ turnout). The Exit Poll is almost certainly completely wrong, quite why its wrong will no doubt be discussed tomorrow - if it is!


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    #26
    Euro_Kraut
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,957 ✭✭✭Euro_Kraut


    The first results from Sunderland will be fascinating. If they are consistent with the swing in the exit poll than its game on the Cameron.

    The percentage equivalent of the Exit poll seats is:

    CON: 39.1%
    LAB: 30.2%
    LIB: 22.6%
    Others: 8%


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    #27
    BroomBurner
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,737 ✭✭✭BroomBurner


    A lot of people couldn't make it earlier, but started queuing at around 9pm. One guy got in to the centre,but the polls were closed.

    Very badly organised.


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    #28
    LordSutch
    Closed Accounts Posts: 12,078 ✭✭✭✭LordSutch


    Euro_Kraut wrote: »
    The first results from Sunderland will be fascinating. If they are consistent with the swing in the exit poll than its game on the Cameron.

    Indeed, but who will he have to get into bed with ? (metaphorically speaking).


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    #29
    Inquitus
    Registered Users Posts: 13,730 ✭✭✭✭Inquitus


    BroomBurner wrote: »
    A lot of people couldn't make it earlier, but started queuing at around 9pm. One guy got in to the centre,but the polls were closed.

    Very badly organised.

    Hmmm "cba to Q it looks a bit long, will come back later", smacks of "cba to queue" rather than bad organisation.


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    #30
    BroomBurner
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,737 ✭✭✭BroomBurner


    Ah yeah, there is a smattering of that. However, what they could have done was stop allowing people to queue once it was 10pm, but allow all those present to cast.

    Looks like noone believes te exit poll.


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    #31
    amacachi
    Closed Accounts Posts: 23,316 ✭✭✭✭amacachi


    Exit poll just can't be correct.


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