New Hampshire Primary

Suryavarman · 10-01-2012 5:12pm #1

Today is the big day in New Hampshire.

The last poll from Suffolk University has Romney leading with 37%, Paul second with 18%, Huntsman third with 16% and Santorum, Gingrich & Perry with 11%, 9% and 1% respectively. 7% were undecided.

So what do people think the results will be? I'm thinking that the above poll has it about right although I'd be interested to see how Romney's "I like being able to fire people" comment goes down with the electorate.

Check here for the results as they come in.

jank · 11-01-2012 12:11am

Easy win for Mitt. South Carolina will be the big test. Newt seems bent on destroying him, Obama must be pissing himself laughing

Anywhere one can watch live streaming of these results?

Suryavarman · 11-01-2012 12:31am

jank wrote: »

Easy win for Mitt. South Carolina will be the big test. Newt seems bent on destroying him, Obama must be pissing himself laughing

Anywhere one can watch live streaming of these results?

The link in the last line of the OP will have the results as they come in. You can watch the Fox coverage online as well.

timesnap · 11-01-2012 12:32am

jank wrote: »

Easy win for Mitt. South Carolina will be the big test. Newt seems bent on destroying him, Obama must be pissing himself laughing

Anywhere one can watch live streaming of these results?

Hi jank, here is a link to C-span 1,2.3 and radio.
i think channel 3 will devote its time to NH.

http://www.c-span.org/Live-Video/C-SPAN3/

it is not geoblocked in Ireland do not think it is geoblocked at all.

if it does not work try googling Beeline TV, scroll down and click on all english language channels.

it is a legit site as is justin.tv where you may find somebody mistakingly broadcasting a US network that is covering it.

Jimmy Iovine · 11-01-2012 1:03am

Right well I won't be staying up till the early hours again this week. I'm still wrecked after last week. Hopefully Romney just wraps it up and it doesn't go down to the wire again.

It'll be interesting to see how Romney's comments affect him, if they affect him at all.

Jimmy Iovine · 11-01-2012 1:09am

I'm also interested to see how Vermin Supreme gets on :pac:. Had a great laugh at some of the videos up about him on youtube. His policy for the ponies is a laugh.

spagboll · 11-01-2012 1:20am

yowza Ron Paul is polling strongly, early days but Mitt is sub-40%

spagboll · 11-01-2012 1:21am

im watching live politico, its a bit high brow for my junky needs, fox any good?

Manach · 11-01-2012 1:26am

Jimmy Iovine wrote: »

I'm also interested to see how Vermin Supreme gets on :pac:. Had a great laugh at some of the videos up about him on youtube. His policy for the ponies is a laugh.

Well if ponies are the only thing between one and the forth coming zombie apocalypse (another of Mr. Supreme's issues) perhaps he should take Michelle Bachmann's place in the debates.

Suryavarman · 11-01-2012 1:27am

spagboll wrote: »

im watching live politico, its a bit high brow for my junky needs, fox any good?

It's not playing for me anymore, think it's back at half past though. It was a decent watch last week so I'd say it'll be good again this week.

spagboll · 11-01-2012 1:28am

yeahs it back in like 2 minutes

Jimmy Iovine · 11-01-2012 1:31am

Manach wrote: »

Well if ponies are the only thing between one and the forth coming zombie apocalypse (another of Mr. Supreme's issues) perhaps he should take Michelle Bachmann's place in the debates.

He sounds great up on stage and a hell of a lot better than some of the other candidates. The mandatory brushing of teeth is a classic.

He's on 8 votes at the moment. It's be a laugh if he came second to Obama.

Jimmy Iovine · 11-01-2012 1:43am

Quick question, what are the 'write in votes' that are appearing on the results page?

Suryavarman · 11-01-2012 1:46am

Jimmy Iovine wrote: »

Quick question, what are the 'write in votes' that are appearing on the results page?

In New Hampshire, you can write in a candidate's name on the ballot I believe.

spagboll · 11-01-2012 1:48am

Jimmy Iovine wrote: »

Quick question, what are the 'write in votes' that are appearing on the results page?

not all of them, see map

http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/Primary/NH

spagboll · 11-01-2012 1:49am

paul is beating romney in 2 counties! and romney isnt above 40% ANYWHERE........with ~6% reporting:rolleyes:

Suryavarman · 11-01-2012 1:53am

spagboll wrote: »

paul is beating romney in 2 counties! and romney isnt above 40% ANYWHERE........with ~6% reporting:rolleyes:

I'm predicting a big Ron Paul victory in Cheshire county. Hillsborough county should be a good indicator as well, it's home to a third of the states population.

spagboll · 11-01-2012 1:55am

Suryavarman wrote: »

I'm predicting a big Ron Paul victory in Cheshire county. Hillsborough county should be a good indicator as well, it's home to a third of the states population.

what info do you have for cheshire??

Jimmy Iovine · 11-01-2012 1:58am

Suryavarman wrote: »

In New Hampshire, you can write in a candidate's name on the ballot I believe.

Seems a bit strange.

Vermin is holding his own. He's not far off 2nd place at the moment. Hope he lasts the pace.

Suryavarman · 11-01-2012 1:59am

spagboll wrote: »

what info do you have for cheshire??

Keene is the county seat. It's meant to have a large libertarian population and was a main destination for people taking part in the Free State Project.

On second thoughts big victory was probably an overstatement, maybe a draw/slight victory.

timesnap · 11-01-2012 2:01am

spagboll wrote: »

paul is beating romney in 2 counties! and romney isnt above 40% ANYWHERE........with ~6% reporting:rolleyes:

even so having watched some of the debates Ron Paul is the candidate i would most like to 'have a drink with'.

imagine that has become the Litmus test to be POTUS:(

FOX about to project winner.

Suryavarman · 11-01-2012 2:04am

Fox is predicting the top three to stay the same for the night.

Jimmy Iovine wrote: »

Seems a bit strange.

Vermin is holding his own. He's not far off 2nd place at the moment. Hope he lasts the pace.

By the looks of it, it's pretty easy to get on the ballot up there so it's not really too surprising to allow write-ins. As far as I know, a lot of states allow write-in candidates.

In fairness, Vermin Supreme has to be one of the best joke candidates ever. Couldn't believe it when I saw a video of him yesterday.

kmart6 · 11-01-2012 2:10am

Don't think we'll have bingo numbers tonight!

spagboll · 11-01-2012 2:14am

All week new soutlets have been saying "if romney doesn't get 40% it's a disaster", now all they are saying is he is the clear winner

muppets, the top tier tonight is two people, RP and MR, no mention of this, I'm not a RP fanatic like 80% of the internet. But there is such a ridiculous bias against him, really making me ask questions of the press, especially CNN, I think Fox know the spot light is on them and they don't want to piss of the TPers so they're being careful to slightly lick up to RP

yikes

spagboll · 11-01-2012 2:16am

you're right about cheshire with ~4% reporting

timesnap · 11-01-2012 2:19am

Sky News showing Romney's HQ celebrating already.
projected percentage 36%.
anybody know off hand how many NH winners from either party have secured the nomination?

Jimmy Iovine · 11-01-2012 2:19am

Suryavarman wrote: »

In fairness, Vermin Supreme has to be one of the best joke candidates ever. Couldn't believe it when I saw a video of him yesterday.

He is the best that I've ever seen. He's well able to handle himself when he's questioned on his policies.

I'll have to go and watch the video of him at the debate again I think. It's just pure genius imo.

kmart6 wrote: »

Don't think we'll have bingo numbers tonight!

I know. I was hoping for another game. I won €20 the last week. Was delighted with myself.

spagboll · 11-01-2012 2:19am

I've been in NH, it's a seriously honky state, surprised that Perry is having such a mare

Suryavarman · 11-01-2012 2:22am

timesnap wrote: »

Sky News showing Romney's HQ celebrating already.
projected percentage 36%.
anybody know off hand how many NH winners from either party have secured the nomination?

Since 1972 anybody from either party that has won NH and Iowa has gone on to win the nomination. Bill Clinton and George McGovern are the only two to win the nomination without winning both.

spagboll · 11-01-2012 2:24am

NH got it right for the nomination 6 out of the past 8 times

Jimmy Iovine · 11-01-2012 2:25am

timesnap wrote: »

Sky News showing Romney's HQ celebrating already.
projected percentage 36%.
anybody know off hand how many NH winners from either party have secured the nomination?

9 from 16 for Democrats.

13 from 18 for Republicans.

A lot of both of them were unopposed.

Shamelessly robbed from Wikipedia. Not off my own hand.

timesnap · 11-01-2012 2:27am

Suryavarman wrote: »

Since 1972 anybody from either party that has won NH and Iowa has gone on to win the nomination. Bill Clinton and George McGovern are the only two to win the nomination without winning both.

Cheers Suryavarman and great knowledge there by you.

i cannot use the thanks option until 25 posts but wanted to know i appreciated the reply.:)

timesnap · 11-01-2012 2:31am

spagboll wrote: »

NH got it right for the nomination 6 out of the past 8 times

TY:)

Jimmy Iovine wrote: »

9 from 16 for Democrats.

13 from 18 for Republicans.

A lot of both of them were unopposed.

Shamelessly robbed from Wikipedia. Not off my own hand.

TY:)

spagboll · 11-01-2012 2:31am

i absolutely hate Mitt Romney

Suryavarman · 11-01-2012 2:33am

timesnap wrote: »

Cheers Suryavarman and great knowledge there by you.

i cannot use the thanks option until 25 posts but wanted to know i appreciated the reply.:)

No problem. It's also worth noting that South Carolina has got the Republican nomination right every time since 1980.

spagboll · 11-01-2012 2:37am

kmart6 · 11-01-2012 2:38am

Jimmy Iovine wrote: »

I know. I was hoping for another game. I won €20 the last week. Was delighted with myself.

Too boring now so I won't be watching!

spagboll · 11-01-2012 2:53am

BBC news about to show RP speech

spagboll · 11-01-2012 2:56am

spagboll wrote: »

BBC news about to show RP speech

oh wait they just need to catch up with all the weather news

Suryavarman · 11-01-2012 3:00am

spagboll wrote: »

BBC news about to show RP speech

CNN have his headquarters live here:

http://edition.cnn.com/video/flashLive/live.html?stream=stream1

Pity it's a pop out window

spagboll · 11-01-2012 3:07am

Ron Paul will never be president but he has started a movement that will get a man into the white house in the next 20 years

Suryavarman · 11-01-2012 3:19am

spagboll wrote: »

Ron Paul will never be president but he has started a movement that will get a man into the white house in the next 20 years

It's like the movement that helped get Goldwater nominated in 1964. As far as I am aware that was made up of a lot of young people and helped get Reagan the nomination and elected in 1980. Goldwater also helped change the direction of the Republican party back towards a small government position.

I wouldn't be surprised to see Rand get the nomination if Obama gets back in this year.

Jimmy Iovine · 11-01-2012 3:24am

The battle between Vermin and Cowan for second place is almost as exciting as Romeny/Santorum last week. Come on Vermin, you can do it my son.

337 - 323 in favour of Cowan at the moment.

kmart6 · 11-01-2012 3:40am

Jimmy Iovine wrote: »

The battle between Vermin and Cowan for second place is almost as exciting as Romeny/Santorum last week. Come on Vermin, you can do it my son.

337 - 323 in favour of Cowan at the moment.

So it begins....

Jimmy Iovine · 11-01-2012 3:46am

kmart6 wrote: »

So it begins....

Oh god no, please. I'm going to bed now. Cowan has a 24 vote lead over my man. Hopefully when I wake up tomorrow Vermin Supreme will be announced as having come second to Obama in an election. That would make my week :pac:.

FreudianSlippers · 11-01-2012 1:17pm

That's a pretty good result for Romney, but I think he will be disappointed that he didn't get over 40% and closer to 50%. It may seem like a clear numbers win over Ron Paul, but it is not good enough to make this a cut and dry race yet.
Paul won't do as well in South Carolina and you can expect Santorum to do MUCH better in SC.

Killer Pigeon · 11-01-2012 5:20pm

I wonder who the people who voted for Santorum, Perry and Gingrich will give their second preferences to...

I say that Ron Paul could do better in the Southern States.

K-9 · 11-01-2012 5:50pm

Killer Pigeon wrote: »

I wonder who the people who voted for Santorum, Perry and Gingrich will give their second preferences to...

I say that Ron Paul could do better in the Southern States.

How is Paul polling there? New Hampshire would seem to have a large libertarian base so his vote came as no big surprise.

FreudianSlippers · 11-01-2012 5:53pm

K-9 wrote: »

How is Paul polling there? New Hampshire would seem to have a large libertarian base so his vote came as no big surprise.

Romney is ahead in the polls. He was backed by 37 percent of those likely to vote in the South Carolina primary, according to a CNN/Time/ORC International poll taken Jan. 4-5. Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum was second with 19 percent, followed by onetime U.S. House Speaker Newt Gingrich at 18 percent, U.S. Representative Ron Paul of Texas at 12 percent and Perry at 5 percent, in a survey that had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.

Basically like I said a bit earlier, Santorum and Paul will flip in position in SC compared to NH. Paul is just not socially conservative enough for the true right-wing republicans.

EDIT: Source

Killer Pigeon · 11-01-2012 7:49pm

People seem to be voting for Romney because "he's a great business man, good business track record, he has the know-how to fix the economy". They don't seem to care too much about the fact that he has flip-flopped on a lot of issues.

A business man who flip-flops on a lot of issues seem to me to be someone who's just trying to please the people to get elected and forward his own vested interests in corporate America.

If he became president, he'll turn out just like Obama. How Republican voters are unable to see through his facade is just beyond me.

FreudianSlippers · 11-01-2012 7:53pm

Killer Pigeon wrote: »

People seem to be voting for Romney because "he's a great business man, good business track record, he has the know-how to fix the economy". They don't seem to care too much about the fact that he has flip-flopped on a lot of issues.

A business man who flip-flops on a lot of issues seem to me to be someone who's just trying to please the people to get elected and forward his own vested interests in corporate America.

If he became president, he'll turn out just like Obama. How Republican voters are unable to see through his facade is just beyond me.

That's the big problem with Romney and why he shouldn't be happy finishing under 40% - it's not enough to secure the far-right and the moderates may choose Obama in the main event.

New Hampshire Primary

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