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Call it!

  • 31-05-2012 10:32pm
    #1
    PopeBuckfastXVI
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,155 ✭✭✭


    All over now bar the counting, lets see your predictions.

    Mine is Yes 46 : No 54


«13

Comments

  • #2
    drunkmonkey
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,330 ✭✭✭✭drunkmonkey


    Yes 62 No 38


  • #3
    Technocentral
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,106 ✭✭✭Technocentral


    57% Yes, 43% No.

    I consulted The Count off Sesame Street to check those figures added up before posting them this time.


  • #4
    jmcc
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,452 ✭✭✭jmcc


    ~50% turnout:

    No 50.25
    Yes 49.75

    55% Turnout:
    Yes 52%
    No 48%

    Regards...jmcc


  • #5
    Seth Brundle
    Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 40,286 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    Yes: 37%
    No: 32%
    No but I'll vote yes next time: 31%


  • #6
    rabjoshu
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 182 ✭✭rabjoshu


    Yes 45 No 55


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  • #7
    oscarBravo
    Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 28,820 Mod ✭✭✭✭oscarBravo


    Yes 50.5%, no 49.5%, followed by claims that the government don't have a mandate to ratify with such a narrow margin and low turnout.


  • #8
    Scioch
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,249 ✭✭✭Scioch


    51.9% Yes - 48.1% No

    Pretty close I'd imagine if its a poor turnout.


  • #9
    steelcityblues
    Registered Users Posts: 4,630 ✭✭✭steelcityblues


    53.2% YES - 46.8% NO.

    Hope I am wrong, though.


  • #10
    [-0-]
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,981 ✭✭✭[-0-]


    48% turnout.
    No 55 Yes 45.


  • #11
    steelcityblues
    Registered Users Posts: 4,630 ✭✭✭steelcityblues


    drunkmonkey wrote: »
    Yes 62 No 38

    I think I can safely say, you will be wrong.


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  • #12
    gandalf
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,458 ✭✭✭✭gandalf


    No 55% Yes 45%

    49% turnout


  • #13
    Atlantis50
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 517 ✭✭✭Atlantis50


    Yes victory by 2 to 3%.


  • #14
    Permabear
    Closed Accounts Posts: 39,022 ✭✭✭✭Permabear


    This post has been deleted.


  • #15
    20Cent
    Registered Users Posts: 8,939 ✭✭✭20Cent


    yes 52
    no 48


  • #16
    Richard Hillman
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,033 ✭✭✭✭Richard Hillman


    No 54% Yes 46%


  • #17
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,780 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Yes: 61.4% No 38.6%


  • #18
    reverselogic
    Registered Users Posts: 14 ✭reverselogic


    Permabear wrote: »
    This post had been deleted.

    The problem is, it wasn't a poll conducted by the Government. It was the Government that were polled! :D

    Edit: Also, my guess is 61% No - 39% Yes.


  • #19
    steelcityblues
    Registered Users Posts: 4,630 ✭✭✭steelcityblues


    Permabear wrote: »
    This post had been deleted.

    Quick question - do you trust the government?


  • #20
    Permabear
    Closed Accounts Posts: 39,022 ✭✭✭✭Permabear


    This post has been deleted.


  • #21
    Permabear
    Closed Accounts Posts: 39,022 ✭✭✭✭Permabear


    This post has been deleted.


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  • #22
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,780 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Permabear wrote: »
    This post had been deleted.

    think they are just citing an out of date report, which was taking the latest opinion poll as valid data!


  • #23
    steelcityblues
    Registered Users Posts: 4,630 ✭✭✭steelcityblues


    Permabear wrote: »
    This post had been deleted.

    Only because they are usually wrong, as it is. Mainstream media nearly always takes governments words.Thought a libertarian like yourself would know all of this.


  • #24
    glenkeo
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 69 ✭✭glenkeo


    Yes 63 no 37

    Turn out around 50% same has most other ref bar one (nice1 or lisbon1) which was around 43 % and a no


  • #25
    nkay1985
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,975 ✭✭✭nkay1985


    Yes 54.5% - No 45.5%


  • #26
    My name is URL
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,069 ✭✭✭✭My name is URL


    Permabear wrote: »
    This post had been deleted.

    I have a suspicion that those figures are based on a polling forecast which was published in the Telegraph yesterday

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financialcrisis/9301109/Dublin-forecasts-60pc-of-voters-will-back-EU-fiskalpakt.html

    Could be wrong though.


  • #27
    Ozymandius2011
    Registered Users Posts: 1,149 ✭✭✭Ozymandius2011


    David McCullagh has tweeted that no reputable company did an exit poll this week, according to Spotty on politics.ie. I am sick of this lazy journalism where elements of the media report rumours as facts. Euronews is doing the same.

    My prediction is 52% Yes 48% no but as I have a bet on a no vote and want to retain Irish sovereignty I hope for a no vote. I am disappointed at the low turnout in places like Donegal and that the turnout in hotbeds of Federalism in parts of Dublin was no lower.


  • #28
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 25,611 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    What a bloody shambles the media and their cohorts in this country are that none could get their **** together for an exit poll.

    Anyway, 55-45 no.


  • #29
    Ozymandius2011
    Registered Users Posts: 1,149 ✭✭✭Ozymandius2011


    David McCullagh arguing with Bruno Waterfield on Twitter on whether the 60:40 poll exists. Waterfield saying “I’m making my own calls”. Oddly Waterfield claims its ‘presumably based on reports from returning officers’. http://twitter.com/#!/brunobrussels


  • #30
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,972 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    57/43 yes.


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  • #31
    meglome
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,980 ✭✭✭meglome


    I'll have to admit given the sea of poop on this treaty I have never been sure of a Yes. I'm still thinking 57:43 no, though I hope I'm wrong.

    And me a big Yes whore :)


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