Premiership Top Scorers

Bets placed just before KO of City v Southampton and as I type Toure scores a penalty. Unfortunately didn't back him this week. Fancied taking a punt with higher odds player. Only two selections due to players involved in same matches or injured. For some reason I have a €12.10 free bet with BetVictor so have used that for my anytime double and done two €10 FGS singles and €10 FGS double.

Manchester City v Jay Rodriguez @ 12/1 and 31/10
West Ham v Suarez @ 10/3 and 4/6

Currently six players on 15 goals or more putting them in the top four. However, Suarez, Sturridge, Aguero and Toure are all involved in the same match, Rodriguez is injured and Rooney doesn't have a game so only one selection available. Have done €15 FGS single and same stake anytime bet. Money back as a free bet on the FGS bet if City win. Bets with Paddy Power.

Liverpool v Toure @ 17/2 and 23/10

Collie D wrote: »

Currently six players on 15 goals or more putting them in the top four. However, Suarez, Sturridge, Aguero and Toure are all involved in the same match, Rodriguez is injured and Rooney doesn't have a game so only one selection available. Have done €15 FGS single and same stake anytime bet. Money back as a free bet on the FGS bet if City win. Bets with Paddy Power.

Liverpool v Toure @ 17/2 and 23/10

No goal from Toure and for second week running I give a player the kiss of death by backing him, seing an early goal by the opposition and then that player hobbling off before the 20th minute.

Total staked: €800
Profit/Loss: +€52.94
ROI: +6.62%

chompdown wrote: »

This system seemed to work best at the start of the season, but as the season went on and the timelines got longer the bets started losing.

Have you considered only taking the last 8 games into consideration so that you are picking form players?

That actually sounds like a good shout. I do think I could do better if I could get back to four selections each week and a Lucky 15 as would only need two out of four to make a profit. All of my earlier season bets consisted of four but current system not allowing it. Should be back to three selections anyway this weekend.

I'm currently up to neck in work so also don't really get time to research my bets any more. Haven't had a serious bet on football in a couple of months as I haven't had chance to look at anything. Did get some time to review the Masters last week though, thankfully.

My only aim now is to get to end of season in profit. If I'm in profit by end of season I'll continue on next season and have a look at adjusting system. If even one cent in the red I'll quit. Will continue on until then anyhow. Being optimistic, I suppose I can look at the dire run I've had since Xmas and be happy that overall I've never been in negative. Two more weeks guaranteed before that happens.

Collie D wrote: »

Three selections this week. Bets with Coral. Oddschecker crashed on me but the couple of minutes I got it looked like they were best prices. €3 FGS patent adn €9 anytime treble.

Norwich v Suarez @ 11/4 and 4/7
Everton v Rooney @ 9/2 and 6/5
Aguero v West Brom @ 3/1 and 8/11

Rooney let me down for the anytime treble but neither of the other two scored the first so loss of €30.

Total staked: €830
Profit/Loss: +€22.94
ROI: +2.76%

Lowest point in terms of cash profit and ROI. Could be about to hit a loss for the first time this weekend.

Collie D wrote: »

Waited to put these bets on in case Sturridge was a starter. Just two available selections this weekend. Four bets of €7.50 each. Two FGS singles, an FGS double and an anytime double. Was hoping that Toure would be confirmed as a starter but everything I've read points to the fact that he will play. Bets with 888 today. Need at least one winning bet to keep me in profit.

Suarez v Chelsea @ 13/4 and evens
Crystal Palace v Toure @ 13/2 and 21/10

Well it has been coming since Xmas. Toure scores the second but Suarez doesn't score at all (but as a United fan quite happy to lose this particular bet). Loss of €30 to leave me in the red for the first time. Reading back to my first post the hope was to have one big win without losing too much overall. Might continue in that hope.

Will play last two rounds of the season and if in profit will continue next season. If still in the red I'll review but might continue in hope of that one big win. I'm actually happy enough doing these bets as I have stopped doing random bets on other things just "for an interest".

Total staked: €860
Profit/Loss: -€7.06
ROI: -0.82%

Collie D wrote: »

Four bets of €7.50 each. Two FGS singles, an FGS double and an anytime double. Bets done with Bet365. Ladbrokes have better prices but was having issues with their deposit page so have gone for next best. A difference of three points between the two if all bets come in.

Everton v Toure @ 6/1 and 8/5
Crystal Palace v Suarez @ 10/3 and 5/6

Suarez scores but not the first. Nothing from Toure. Loss of €30. Need a good week next week. At lowest point in terms of cash balance and ROI.

Total staked: €890
Profit/Loss: -€37.06
ROI: -4.16%

Collie D wrote: »

Last chance to get back into the black for the season. Four €7.50 bets. Two FGS singles, an FGS double and an anytime double. Top price with Bet365.

Sturridge v Newcastle @ 15/4 and 4/6
Toure v West Ham @ 6/1 and 20/21

Only Sturridge scored and it wasn't the first. Loss of €30.

Total staked: €920
Profit/Loss: -€67.06
ROI: -7.29%

Review to follow at some point later in week.

Working tomorrow morning so getting these on early without line-ups but no injury worries for any of the selections.

One player leads on two goals and a whole bunch tied for second on one goal each so have gone for the four longest odds. Bets placed with Paddy Power this week. Have done four €1 FGS singles, a €1 FGS Yankee and a fiver anytime accum. Refunds on the FGS singles in the Everton-Arsenal game if Lukaku scores and on the Hull-Stoke game if it ends a draw.

Not expecting much from these guys but giving a it a go nonetheless. One first goal will equal profit for the week.

Brede Hangeland v West Ham @ 33/1 and 14/1
Nathaniel Clyne v West Brom @ 40/1 and 14/1
Everton v Laurent Koscielny @ 40/1 and 14/1
James Chester v Stoke @ 33/1 and 14/1

I was away last week so didn;t get to post. I did however manage to get a bet on. I did the FGS Lucky 15 but was too late for the anytime accum. Used free €1 bet so only cost me €14. Only one of the four scored but it wasn't the first so a loss of €14.

Total staked: €974
Profit/Loss: -€120.06
ROI: -12.33%

Collie D wrote: »

Got called into work today so again no research into line ups or best prices. Had to nip into local Paddy Power and do a docket. Usual euro lucky fifteen and fiver accumulator on first goal and anytime.

On phone so will post screen shot of docket if in profit but couple of outsiders this week

Only one scorer and it wasn't the first so a loss of €20.

Total staked: €994
Profit/Loss: -€140.06
ROI: -14.09%

Collie D wrote: »

Think this is only the second time this season I've had a free Saturday to relax, make my picks and watch...so of course three of my players are on tomorrow

Anyway...bets with BetVictor


Swansea City v Morgan Schneiderlin @ 19/1 and 13/2
Nacer Chadli v West Brom @ 8/1 and 12/5
Sergio Aguero v Chelsea @ 5/1 and 29/20
Steven Naismith v Crystal Palace @ 11/2 and 31/20

Another blank week. None of the above scored but Naismith didn;t start so he's a non-runner for FGS. Loss of €19.

Total staked: €1,014
Profit/Loss: -€159.06
ROI: -15.69%

Collie D wrote: »

Bets this week with BetVictor again. Have a free fiver bet with them so used that for the anytime accum and increased FGS stake to €1.33 for an outlay of €19.95.

Liverpool v Naismith @ 11/1 and 31/10
Schneiderlin v QPR @ 14/1 and 9/2
Sunderland v Nathan Dyer @ 12/1 and 22/5
Arsenal v Chadli @ 16/1 and 5/1

Chadli bags the first goal, everybody else draws a blank. First profit of the season, albeit a small one of €2.66.

Total staked: €1,033.95
Profit/Loss: -€156.40
ROI: -15.13%

Collie D wrote: »

Bets with BetVictor again this week.

Leonardo Ulloa v Burnley @ 22/5 and 11/8
Aston Villa v Aguero @ 18/5 and 19/20
Diego Costa v Arsenal @ 17/5 and 9/10
Chadli v Southampton @ 21/2 and 7/2

Both Aguero and Costa scored but neither got the first so loss of €20.

Total staked: €1,053.95
Profit/Loss: -€176.40
ROI: -16.74%

Collie D wrote: »

Only three selections this week as there's a West Brom player in top four and I don't bet against United. €2 FGS Patent and €6 anytime treble.

Aguero v Tottenham Hotspur @ 4/1 and 37/40
Crystal Palace v Costa @ 7/2 and 19/20
Newcastle United v Ulloa @ 6/1 and 7/4

Aguero gets the first, Costa was a non-runner and Ulloa didn't score giving a profit of €2.

Total staked: €1,073.95
Profit/Loss: -€174.40
ROI: -16.24%