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Tour de France betting **Please use spoiler tags before midnight**

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Comments

  • #102
    Taxuser1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,691 ✭✭✭Taxuser1


    daramike wrote: »
    I think the cobbles are being over-estimated. They are not as hard as last year, we won't have anywhere near the bad weather and they are further from the finish. I expect a reduced sprint of 50 riders myself. I think Degenkolb, Kristoff, Sagan and Greipel are the big stand out favourites. T Martin is interesting at a big price 66/1. He finished top 20 last year in the cobbles and has 13K after the last section to go for the win and yellow jersey. Trentin is my other outside pick at 66/1. Finished 9th in last years stage would have been higher only for a Kwiatkowski puncture. He is very strong in these longer stages and won a reduced sprint stage last year in the Tour. Of the favourites Sagan at 7/1 for the win. He finished 4th in the similar stage last year. He nearly caught Griepel on the line in stage 2 so is very strong.
    its apparently drizzling over the cobbles - they might have more of an impact than thought.

    the cobbles are one thing but the distance is another and their placement in the final 30 or so kms after 3 hard days of racing. I think there will still be gaps, 50 or so riders seems a little high, almost a third of the peloton?


  • #103
    daramike
    Registered Users Posts: 77 ✭✭daramike


    Taxuser1 wrote: »
    its apparently drizzling over the cobbles - they might have more of an impact than thought.

    the cobbles are one thing but the distance is another and their placement in the final 30 or so kms after 3 hard days of racing. I think there will still be gaps, 50 or so riders seems a little high, almost a third of the peloton?

    my prediction of 50 was loosely said, your right it will be less probably 20 to 30 if T Martin hasn't the stage won already;)


  • #104
    retalivity
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,514 ✭✭✭✭retalivity


    retalivity wrote: »
    Stage Matchups
    Contador to beat quintana
    Thomas to beat valverde
    Greipel to beat cav
    3.4 treble
    Contador the only one to come in


  • #105
    GetWithIt
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,081 ✭✭✭GetWithIt


    GetWithIt wrote: »
    The current yellow jersey is 11/1 to still be in yellow after tomorrow's stage. I'm not saying he'll be contesting a sprint finish but those odds look wrong to me.
    The odds were wrong but a lose is a lose.


  • #106
    daramike
    Registered Users Posts: 77 ✭✭daramike


    daramike wrote: »
    I think the cobbles are being over-estimated. They are not as hard as last year, we won't have anywhere near the bad weather and they are further from the finish. I expect a reduced sprint of 50 riders myself. I think Degenkolb, Kristoff, Sagan and Greipel are the big stand out favourites. B]B][B]T Martin is interesting at a big price 66/1. He finished top 20 las[/B[Bt year in the cobbles and has 13K after the last section to go for the win [/B]and yellow jersey[/B]. [/B]Trentin is my other outside pick at 66/1. Finished 9th in last years stage would have been higher only for a Kwiatkowski puncture. He is very strong in these longer stages and won a reduced sprint stage last year in the Tour. Of the favourites Sagan at 7/1 for the win. He finished 4th in the similar stage last year. He nearly caught Griepel on the line in stage 2 so is very strong.

    Ah lovely worked out perfectly.


  • #107
    spock.
    Closed Accounts Posts: 8,502 ✭✭✭spock.


    Double for tomorrow:

    Greipel to beat Kristoff
    Dekenkolb to beat Bouhanni
    Odds of 12/5


  • #108
    Brian?
    Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 21,570 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    spock. wrote: »
    Double for tomorrow:

    Greipel to beat Kristoff
    Dekenkolb to beat Bouhanni
    Odds of 12/5

    Looks fairly flat and straight forward tomorrow. I reckon Cav is the man.

    they/them/theirs


    And so on, and so on …. - Slavoj Žižek




  • #109
    spock.
    Closed Accounts Posts: 8,502 ✭✭✭spock.


    Brian? wrote:
    Looks fairly flat and straight forward tomorrow. I reckon Cav is the man.

    It will be interesting how focused Etixx are on Cavendish with the yellow jersey to defend.
    I fancy Greipel to do it again.


  • #110
    Taxuser1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,691 ✭✭✭Taxuser1


    i wonder will Greipel miss his lead out man Greg Henderson

    weather is atrocious today. cross winds for first 100 kms in pissing rain

    headwind final 90kms though so probably will be a bunch sprint in the rain.

    Kristoff and Sagan for me today


  • #111
    daramike
    Registered Users Posts: 77 ✭✭daramike


    Happy enough with Martin winning yesterday. I wouldn't touch Greipel to be honest with Henderson injured. Renshaw will lead Cav out if he waits long enough he wins this. Kristoff 7/1 and Bouhanni 10/1 are my 2 picks for today.


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  • #112
    spock.
    Closed Accounts Posts: 8,502 ✭✭✭spock.


    **** forgot about Henderson. I didn't back Greipel anyway as he was too short but the double could be in trouble.


  • #113
    spock.
    Closed Accounts Posts: 8,502 ✭✭✭spock.


    spock. wrote: »
    Double for tomorrow:

    Greipel to beat Kristoff
    Dekenkolb to beat Bouhanni
    Odds of 12/5
    Boom!
    A bit sickened now that I didn't back Greipel for the win but I guess I got lucky with Bouhanni crashing.


  • #114
    Pudsy33
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,795 ✭✭✭✭Pudsy33


    Coquard at 33s for tomorrow. Might see Bennett and martin involved


  • #115
    spock.
    Closed Accounts Posts: 8,502 ✭✭✭spock.


    Boasson-Hagen @ 16/1 for me

    Bennett e/w @ 150/1 aswell.


  • #116
    Darkglasses
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,526 ✭✭✭✭Darkglasses


    spock. wrote: »
    Boasson-Hagen @ 16/1 for me

    Bennett e/w @ 150/1 aswell.

    That's crazy good value from Bet365. Bennett is 33/1 on PP, tight.


  • #117
    manafana
    Registered Users Posts: 3,486 ✭✭✭manafana


    two nice bets with paddys if u can get more than few quid on, boasson hagen to beat demare 6/4 paddys
    cimolai to beat bennett 6/5 paddys


  • #118
    Darkglasses
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,526 ✭✭✭✭Darkglasses


    manafana wrote: »
    two nice bets with paddys if u can get more than few quid on, boasson hagen to beat demare 6/4 paddys
    cimolai to beat bennett 6/5 paddys

    Thanks for the heads up, I've jumped on both of those.


  • #119
    Pudsy33
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,795 ✭✭✭✭Pudsy33


    manafana wrote: »
    two nice bets with paddys if u can get more than few quid on, boasson hagen to beat demare 6/4 paddys
    cimolai to beat bennett 6/5 paddys
    Cheers for that, Demare and Bennett are MIA so seems very good odds.

    Taken the gorilla at 10/3 and degers at 9s


  • #120
    retalivity
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,514 ✭✭✭✭retalivity


    Went to check my pp account as theres nothing atanding out on bet365 matchups...and I'm limited to a max bet of €4 on each.

    Screw you paddy!!


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  • #121
    manafana
    Registered Users Posts: 3,486 ✭✭✭manafana


    Pudsy33 wrote: »
    Cheers for that, Demare and Bennett are MIA so seems very good odds.

    Taken the gorilla at 10/3 and degers at 9s

    took sagan and degenkolb myself 5/1 and 12/1, but my main trader is the 80s i got on boassen hagen (with some 75s)


  • #122
    Darkglasses
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,526 ✭✭✭✭Darkglasses


    manafana wrote: »
    two nice bets with paddys if u can get more than few quid on, boasson hagen to beat demare 6/4 paddys
    cimolai to beat bennett 6/5 paddys
    Janey, we were close to getting nothing at all from that!


  • #123
    manafana
    Registered Users Posts: 3,486 ✭✭✭manafana


    Darkglasses wrote: »
    Janey, we were close to getting nothing at all from that!

    indeed, worse thing is pinnacle didn't go up last night before bed with prices so had small bets only on some 50:50 type bets at odds against with 365 with of course 4out5 there


  • #124
    Pudsy33
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,795 ✭✭✭✭Pudsy33


    Paddy power offering 13/8 on Talansky to beat Gallopin in the GC. He's two minutes or so behind but surely hats free money? Tony could well lose that tomorrow!


  • #125
    MPFG
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,606 ✭✭✭MPFG


    Pudsy33 wrote: »
    Paddy power offering 13/8 on Talansky to beat Gallopin in the GC. He's two minutes or so behind but surely hats free money? Tony could well lose that tomorrow!

    Depends on Talanskys frame of mind ...If he is up fo rit he can beat Gallopin easily esp in the Alps but he may thow in the towel on GC and go all out on satge wins and Gamin blowing the race apart


  • #126
    Pudsy33
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,795 ✭✭✭✭Pudsy33


    MPFG wrote: »
    Depends on Talanskys frame of mind ...If he is up fo rit he can beat Gallopin easily esp in the Alps but he may thow in the towel on GC and go all out on satge wins and Gamin blowing the race apart
    He lost a shed load of time today, glad I didn't take this.


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