The Football / Soccer Tips Thread v2

kryogen · 30-04-2012 11:41am

I will be watching with anticipation of a nice betting angle

grohlisagod · 30-04-2012 12:11pm

I won't be betting on the match tonight but this caught my eye.

City to win and both teams to score 3/1.

Both sides have scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings.

SteelyDanJalapeno · 30-04-2012 12:41pm

inforfun wrote: »

**** is going to get weird in the Dutch league.
If on wednesday both Feyenoord and Heerenveen win their matches, the last game of the season Heerenveen - Feyenoord could turn into a fix.
Of course we dont do fixes in Holland....

You think Feyenoord will allow Herenveen the win? and leave them level on points?

BQQ · 30-04-2012 12:48pm

reports of two 5-man midfields tonight in Manchester.
Draw would suit utd. Can't see them taking any risks. Add to that Mancini's Italian blood and It all points to a snore-draw.

Under 1.5 goals (to be on the safe side) @3/1. :pac:

SteelyDanJalapeno · 30-04-2012 12:52pm

BQQ wrote: »

reports of two 5-man midfields tonight in Manchester.
Draw would suit utd. Can't see them taking any risks. Add to that Mancini's Italian blood and It all points to a snore-draw.

Under 1.5 goals (to be on the safe side) @3/1. :pac:

Any link to these "reports"?

inforfun · 30-04-2012 12:59pm

TiltedBrain wrote: »

You think Feyenoord will allow Herenveen the win? and leave them level on points?

No, the other way around.

Bit complicated
Facts:
Cup final was PSV - Heracles which PSV won.
PSV > always EL but could still finish 2nd. In that case Heracles > EL

If they( F&H) both manage to win on wednesday, Heerenveen is best off losing against Feyenoord.
Feyenoord will then finish 2nd, PSV will pick up the EL from the cup.

Important in the league is 5th spot.

Feyenoord 2nd = 5th will qualify for EL
PSV 2nd = 5th will have to play play offs for EL.

But this is only going to be an issue if Heereveen wins away to Twente.
Cant say that happening to be honest.
Also Feyenoord will have it tough enough a home against Heracles since Heracles will have a lot to win if they manage to stop feyenoord remaining in 2nd place.

Feyenoord will miss Guidetti and most likely Fernandez.
But, an evening match in a packed Feyenoord stadium is something else. Opponents are intimidated by the atmosphere most of the times.

Actually wanted to wait with posting this scenario until after wednesdays matches.
But since you asked...

kryogen · 30-04-2012 1:12pm

BQQ wrote: »

reports of two 5-man midfields tonight in Manchester.
Draw would suit utd. Can't see them taking any risks. Add to that Mancini's Italian blood and It all points to a snore-draw.

Under 1.5 goals (to be on the safe side) @3/1. :pac:

Would strongly advise against that, Mancini being Italian or not City have got to win, they will be attacking, the players (Aguero, Tevez Yaya, Silva etc) are not Italian and in front of their home fans they will be going for this.

A draw is no good to City, they may as well lose as draw so defensive tactics from them make no sense

Headshot · 30-04-2012 1:15pm

kryogen wrote: »

Would strongly advise against that, Mancini being Italian or not City have got to win, they will be attacking, the players (Aguero, Tevez Yaya, Silva etc) are not Italian and in front of their home fans they will be going for this.

A draw is no good to City, they may as well lose as draw so defensive tactics from them make no sense

Spurs last year and Arsenal this year. Both were must win games but like the Italian way they were overly cautious

kryogen · 30-04-2012 1:21pm

Headshot wrote: »

Spurs last year and Arsenal this year. Both were must win games but like the Italian way they were overly cautious

I disagree but don't have time to elaborate at the mo!

This game is at home, its for all intents and purposes a winner takes all and as much as I'd love to have it in my head a possibility that Mancini thinks a draw is ok, he simply can't.

They cannot be cautious tonight, they can't be reckless obviously, but to do anything other then do all they can to win is unthinkable.

SteelyDanJalapeno · 30-04-2012 1:39pm

Couple of Balotelli bets popping up, didnt Mancini say he would never play him again?

Alpish · 30-04-2012 1:43pm

Tevez first scorer 9/1 with PP, worth a punt?

kryogen · 30-04-2012 2:12pm

TiltedBrain wrote: »

Couple of Balotelli bets popping up, didnt Mancini say he would never play him again?

No he never said he would never play him again, it was reported alright but they were false reports, Mancini himself has said recently he may play him against United.

BQQ · 30-04-2012 2:49pm

TiltedBrain wrote: »

Any link to these "reports"?

http://www.independent.co.uk/sport/football/premier-league/alex-ferguson-ponders-playing-jisung-park-against-manchester-city-to-add-solidity-to-united-midfield-7689082.html

SteelyDanJalapeno · 30-04-2012 2:53pm

BQQ wrote: »

http://www.independent.co.uk/sport/football/premier-league/alex-ferguson-ponders-playing-jisung-park-against-manchester-city-to-add-solidity-to-united-midfield-7689082.html

Interesting, surely be crazy to start Park?

madma · 30-04-2012 3:07pm

anyone know when the pp enchancement special might go up or is iut at random times?

Blatter · 30-04-2012 3:12pm

madma wrote: »

anyone know when the pp enchancement special might go up or is iut at random times?

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/novelty-betting/mcfc-enhanced-special/mcfc-enhanced-special?AFF_ID=10064661&ev_oc_grp_ids=610098&aff_id=10064661

It's up, City to win 3/1 max stake €12.35.

madma · 30-04-2012 3:14pm

ha that was quick

im a united fan so ill be avoiding that.. i fancy a draw tonight

Blatter · 30-04-2012 3:27pm

madma wrote: »

ha that was quick

im a united fan so ill be avoiding that.. i fancy a draw tonight

So am I, but I'll be damned if I'm turning down triple value like that.

madma · 30-04-2012 3:29pm

Blatter wrote: »

So am I, but I'll be damned if I'm turning down triple value like that.

judas!!!

i think the pressure is on city to win and can see a draw or even a united win.. well my heart says that!

upandcumming · 30-04-2012 3:29pm

Longford Town playing Wexford Youths on Saturday. I know its a while away in betting land, but 9 out our 11 games have been over 2.5, with us scoring first in every game!
Lumping on over 2.5 when I can.

user2011 · 30-04-2012 3:51pm

Anyone here anything about this game yesterday > http://uk.eurosport.yahoo.com/30042012/58/world-football-top-portuguese-team-plays-eight-men.html

SteelyDanJalapeno · 30-04-2012 3:55pm

user2011 wrote: »

Anyone here anything about this game yesterday > http://uk.eurosport.yahoo.com/30042012/58/world-football-top-portuguese-team-plays-eight-men.html

You on the FB page? Paddy mentioned it there,

SteelyDanJalapeno · 30-04-2012 3:56pm

Leiria president Joao Bartolomeu said in the post-match news conference that Malian midfielder Keita, who was expected to take part in the match, stole a suitcase of money from the club just before the game started.

bizarre, WTF are the club doing leaving suitcases of money lying around?

Shane St. · 30-04-2012 3:58pm

SURPRISE! Roonety enhanced to a RIDICULOUS 9/1 to score first for a limited time >> http://bit.ly/JWzCiC

user2011 · 30-04-2012 4:00pm

Haven't been accepted on the FB page

. What kinda of bets were made? Hopefully the books took a nice hit from boards bettors.

ShaneU · 30-04-2012 4:01pm

Man City to beat Utd 3/1 pp Limited time

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/novelty-betting/mcfc-enhanced-special/mcfc-enhanced-special?bet_uid=620a0b104271c34f9e9e2b00b771&login_bet_place=1&bs_place=1&AFF_ID=10064661&use_gp=true&ev_oc_grp_ids=610098&aff_id=10064661

SteelyDanJalapeno · 30-04-2012 4:02pm

That is ridiculous, he's 17/2 in some places,

8/1 on William Hill

user2011 · 30-04-2012 4:04pm

TiltedBrain wrote: »

bizarre, WTF are the club doing leaving suitcases of money lying around?

Porbably looking too throw a few €€€'s on the opposition

SteelyDanJalapeno · 30-04-2012 4:05pm

user2011 wrote: »

Haven't been accepted on the FB page . What kinda of bets were made? Hopefully the books took a nice hit from boards bettors.

pm me with your FB if you want

Copper_pipe · 30-04-2012 4:42pm

50 on the under 4.5 second half goals in the derby for the free bet

PurpleSt4in · 30-04-2012 4:45pm

Money-Back Special
If Wayne Rooney scores at anytime, Paddy Power will refund all losing First Goalscorer, Last Goalscorer, Correct Score & Scorecast singles on the match.

Kinda tempting me to chance a FGS bet! Aguero @ 7/1 particularly

kryogen · 30-04-2012 5:06pm

I'm aware there are other safer bets out there, but for tonight I have decided to put my 50 on BTTS at 8/13 and will probably end up putting the other 50 on a 2-2 draw

mailburner · 30-04-2012 5:09pm

3s on mancity on again
25max
delighted

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/novelty-betting/facebook-enhanced-specials/enhanced-facebook-special?ev_oc_grp_ids=479315

manual_man · 30-04-2012 5:12pm

Blatter wrote: »

So am I, but I'll be damned if I'm turning down triple value like that.

Marcos Traitorelli :pac: The pre-match nerves are building!!

FlawedGenius · 30-04-2012 5:16pm

mailburner wrote: »

3s on mancity on again
25max
delighted

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/novelty-betting/facebook-enhanced-specials/enhanced-facebook-special?ev_oc_grp_ids=479315

Sites gone down the one time im on it!!!!:mad::(:eek:
Rang up he said itl be there till kick off but I doubt it!:mad:

mailburner · 30-04-2012 5:16pm

sorted tonite with all these freebies and enhanced bets

50 on city 3s
layed city 50 at 2.18 freeroll

then ive got two free 50 in play with bet365
dunno what to bet on there

manual_man · 30-04-2012 5:20pm

mailburner wrote: »

3s on mancity on again
25max
delighted

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/novelty-betting/facebook-enhanced-specials/enhanced-facebook-special?ev_oc_grp_ids=479315

Nice one! Just about got in there server overload!!

FlawedGenius · 30-04-2012 5:22pm

Got on it in time aswel.. I now have 40 pre match 40 in play on bet365. Anyway now to guarantee decent profit?

manual_man · 30-04-2012 5:27pm

FlawedGenius wrote: »

Got on it in time aswel.. I now have 40 pre match 40 in play on bet365. Anyway now to guarantee decent profit?

Gonna wait a bit and try and get a feel for the match. put my 50 pre-match on City to score a peno myself 6/1. Hopefully can make that back with the in-play bet if that doesn't come through anyway

Fizman · 30-04-2012 5:54pm

Last week was terrible for me from a gambling point of view, so tonight will be my last for a while if things go pear shaped.

Have put on 3 singles to cover myself for first goalscorer. 20 each on

Tevez @ 15/2
Aguero @ 7/1
Rooney @ 7/1

Also put 40 on BTTS.

Hamadeusentman · 30-04-2012 6:02pm

Just put €15 on Aguero anytime in Bambury's shop. 7/4.

Avfctom · 30-04-2012 6:13pm

just need

sporting lisbon
man city

for 100 quid

alfalion · 30-04-2012 6:16pm

manual_man wrote: »

Gonna wait a bit and try and get a feel for the match. put my 50 pre-match on City to score a peno myself 6/1. Hopefully can make that back with the in-play bet if that doesn't come through anyway

United have had more penos recently, would have went that way to be honest.

i think overs in goals is a good in-play be

manual_man · 30-04-2012 6:19pm

alfalion wrote: »

manual_man wrote: »

Gonna wait a bit and try and get a feel for the match. put my 50 pre-match on City to score a peno myself 6/1. Hopefully can make that back with the in-play bet if that doesn't come through anyway

United have had more penos recently, would have went that way to be honest.

i think overs in goals is a good in-play be

It's at the Etihad though. Evans and Ferd will be nervous after conceding 4, Aguero Silva and Tevez will be running at them from all angles, that's the way I see it anyway

Keano! · 30-04-2012 6:24pm

My prediction to mates all week was 1-1, but I've stuck a small fiver on United to win, Under 11 corners and card index of less than 70.

Returns 60

FlawedGenius · 30-04-2012 6:28pm

If Balotelli doesnt start.. Aguero will take the pens wouldnt he?? Im liking the look of him to score 2 or more goals 12/1.

shocksy · 30-04-2012 6:29pm

Anyone have any stats for the derby on corners tonight?

I think over 11 corners at evens could be a shout, im taken no chances on goals etc so might chance corners instead.

kryogen · 30-04-2012 6:37pm

FlawedGenius wrote: »

If Balotelli doesnt start.. Aguero will take the pens wouldnt he?? Im liking the look of him to score 2 or more goals 12/1.

Tevez may take the penalty if City do get one

keysersoze0330 · 30-04-2012 6:39pm

2 bets tonight

Aguero 1st score pp (mbs if rooney scores 1st).
Over 3.5 goals 7/4

inforfun · 30-04-2012 6:39pm

shocksy wrote: »

Anyone have any stats for the derby on corners tonight?

I think over 11 corners at evens could be a shout, im taken no chances on goals etc so might chance corners instead.

http://www.simplesoccerstats.com/Console2.html

City averages 7.4 at home.
Utd 4.9 away

The Football / Soccer Tips Thread v2

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