The Football / Soccer Tips Thread v2

keysersoze0330 wrote: »

Give it up will ya

x MarK x is back it seems...

small stakes on Under 2.5 goals in Rio Ave v Sporting Lisbon @ 17/20

4/6 (67%) of Rio's home games in Superliga have been under (7/13 in all)
5/7 (71%) of Lisbons away games in Superliga have been under (7/13 in all)

Last 5 games between two sides in Rio been: 2-3, 0-0, 2-2, 0-1, 0-1.- (Average 2.2 goals)

using small stakes as this as is a cup game, but if was in the league I'd be quietly confident

EDIT: 1-1 FT. It always seems when I put small stake on it goes according to how stats predict.. Moment I put decent stake on, it'll go belly up no matter how much research put in

Small Stakes on Tomorrows game- Spurs V WBA- Over 2.5 @ 8/13

5/8 (63%) of Spur's home games in Prem been over (12/18 in all)
7/9 (78%) of WBA's away games in Prem been over (11/19 in all)

Last 5 games between two sides in White Hart Lane been: 2-2, 1-0, 2-1, 1-1, 3-1 (Average 2.8 goals)

Sivasspor (11th) –v- Karabukspor (16th)
The last two meetings between these two resulted in Karabukspor winning both of those were at home though. Karabukspor bad position is due to their shocking away form this season, 0 Wins, 1 Draw , 8 Losses . While Sivasspor are 8 games since a home lost. Luton Shelton and Nordin Amrabat are missing for Karabukspor, both regarded as important players.


Galatasaray (1st) –v- Istanbul (9th)
Galatasaray are on a serious run of form, 6 wins in a row. While their home record is fairly impressive with 6 Wins, 1 Draw and 1 Loss. While Istanbul haven’t won in 5 matches, their away record isn’t the best with 3 Wins, 1 Draw and 5 Losses.


Mersin Idman Yurdu (6th) –v- Ankaragucu (18th)
The home team here won the first game between these two in September 2-1 and look to beat them again. Ankaragucu have yet to win on the road this season with 2 Draws and 7 Losses. The away side can’t see to keep the ball out of their net, having conceded 2+ goals in 12 out of their 17 matches, and only have 2 clean sheets all season. They haven’t won in 6 and haven’t scored in 4.

Someone also noted over on the BettingAdvice.com forum that the away side will be fielding mainly B team players, didn’t say why but presume it’s due to injuries. EDIT: 6 players missing for them.


AEK Athens (3rd) –v- Doxa Dramas (16th)
Doxa Dramas are one of the teams to be promoted mid season over in Greece (hence only have played 8 games compared to AEK 14), but in 8 games they’ve they managed to only notch up 1 point, scoring only 1 goal on the road while conceding 11. On contrast, AEK have won an impressive home record this season, 6 Wins, 1 Draw, 0 Losses and only conceding 3 times in 7 matches at home.


All 4 home sides should win while the -1 handicap looks nailed on in all these matches, all 4 teams should be able to keep clean sheets.



Man City look good for the win, as they look to keep their 100% home record, averaging over 3 goals a game at home. Although Liverpool have notched up 16 out of 27 points on the road this season.

Spurs look likely to beat West Brom.

robbie1977 wrote: »

Any opinions on corners in the Liverpool game tonight.?

I was thinking of putting the free 50 on liverpool to get most corners in play currently 7/4 pre game.
Or wait and hope City get the first corner then liverpool will be 3/1 ish.

Just back City pre-match and in-running IMO.

yesno1234 wrote: »

If City don't win then you're down 50, much better off putting 50 pre match on a sure thing (over0.5 goals in match or under3.5 1st half) and then backing City in play so you're breaking even bar a scoreless match or 4 goal 1st half.

The point of gambling is to back value bets, City at an augmented price of 10/6 are the value bet of the season so far in this spot, if you're not prepared to stand a bet like that just cash out and buy lollipops.

yesno1234 wrote: »

I'd much prefer to minimise my losses tbh.

Best of luck with it.

Just a couple of early taughts from me, but I'll be waiting to see the starting line up.

I'm thinking maybe Spearing to be booked anytime and also thinking Carroll to score anytime (only if he starts and I'm using the same reason as my Morrison to score anytime the other week, also he has a good record against City, 4 goals in three starts against City)

I also like Liverpool could be worth a punt, they don't conceded a lot and also they are due to score a couple (I know they got 3 last week)

So far for tonights games ive went with Sunderland Dnb (will be up for it after beating city, although as chelsea found out wigans a tough place to go)

Spurs West Brom over 2.5 goals (Spurs have being scoring for fun at home and with shane long for WBA theres a goal in it for them.

Now the 3rd part of my treble im thinking of doing Liverpool on the corner handicap as it has proved valuable in the past. Any opinions on it they are 11/10 +1 corner or 9/4 -1. looking for something to complete my treble.

Patsy fyre wrote: »

So whats the feelings on the free bet for the city game.

I like what yessno is proposing by just playing it safe and then taking a risk with the free 50. Its very easy to get roped into gambling away 50 euro simply because there was an offer.

I also like the look of the low risk under 3.5 1st half goals at 1/80 for the first 50 but Im more inclined to take a bit of a chance with the in play bet.

I usually go for a 1/1 shot in running with the free 50 but tonight Im gona look for something around 3/1'ish .

With the way the results have been going, I am tempted to do West brom and wigan in 2 singles and a small double.

Encase people don't know Suarez isn't playing tonight. He accepted the eight game ban. I got through 55 pages of the 115 page report today, it's actually not a bad read.

Man City Hart, Richards, Kolo, Kompany, Clichy, Yaya, Barry, Silva, Milner, Aguero, Dzeko

subs : Pantilimon, Lescott, A. Johnson, Kolarov, Zabaleta, Savic, de Jong






Liverpool: Reina, Enrique, Johnson, Skrtel, Agger, Spearing, Adam, Downing, Henderson, Kuyt, Carroll.
Subs: Doni, Gerrard, Maxi, Carragher, Shelvey, Kelly, Bellamy.