The Football Tips Thread IV

tip74 · 27-01-2013 11:24am

Injuries and suspensions:
VfB Stuttgart v Bayern München
VfB Stuttgart: Boka (12/0 d), Hoogland (2/0 d), Sakai (14/0 d), Cacau (5/1 f), Hemlein (0/0 f)
Bayern München: Starke (0/0 g), Badstuber (12/0 d)
pick 2

Sporting Lisboa v Vitória Guimarães
Sporting Lisboa: Insúa (13/0 d) (left the club), Marcos Rojo (14/0 d), Schaars (5/0 m), Martins (4/0 m)
Vitória Guimarães: Olímpio (12/0 m), Kanu (2/0 d), André (13/1 m), Hernâni (0/0 f), Amorim (0/0 d), Ribeiro (11/3 m), NDiaye (9/1 d), Soudani (8/2 f), El Adoua (12/0 d)
pick 1

GD Estoril v SC Olhanense
GD Estoril: João Paulo (7/0 f), Hugo Leal (6/0 m), Jefferson (15/2 d)
SC Olhanense: Fernando Alexandre (14/1 m), Piloto (8/1 m), Ivanildo (9/2 f), Abdi (13/4 f), Yontcha (12/1 f), Babanco (11/0 m), David Silva (9/1 m), Djaniny (8/0 f)
pick 1

Rayo Vallecano v Real Betis
Rayo Vallecano: Leo (18/6 f), Rodri (4/0 d), Labaka (10/0 d), Nacho (6/1 d)
Real Betis: Ruben Pérez (15/0 m), Juan Carlos (14/0 m), Alex (8/0 d), Pozuelo (9/1 m), Vilarchao (1/0 m), Mario (12/0 d), Ángel (3/0 d), Paulao (11/2 d) (doubtful)
pick 1

Barcelona B v Real Madrid Castilla
Barcelona B: Agostinho Cá (1/0 m), Sergi Roberto (12/1 m), Juste (0/0 d)
Real Madrid Castilla: Antonio Martínez (0/0 m), Pacheco (0/0 g), José Rodríguez (15/0 m), Mateos (15/0 d), Jesé (20/11 f, top scorer)
pick 1

Xerez CD v UD Almería
Xerez CD: Íñigo Vélez (7/1 f), Chema (13/0 first goalkeeper), Álvaro Rey (16/3 m), Rueda (13/1 m), Keita (13/0 m)
UD Almería: Mejia (19/1 d), Rafita (13/0 m), Marcelo Silva (7/0 d)
pick X2

tip74 · 27-01-2013 11:25am

TiltedBrain wrote: »

cheers, really appreciate your work

Thanks mate:)

Kevwoody · 27-01-2013 12:44pm

Gone for this today, not a massive return for a 5 game accum, but it'll do!

Real Madrid
Barca
Liverpool
Spurs
Chelsea

€28 returns €101

deadeye187 · 27-01-2013 2:48pm

Going for: Bayern, Hamburg, Psg and Liverpool 5/1

Rekop dog · 27-01-2013 2:50pm

Got to lay Napoli at current prices, Parma unbeaten at home all season, actually in their last 15 home games spanning back to March. Napoli are also notoriously bad at taking advantage of other teams above them in the table slipping up, never seem to cope with the pressure when push comes to shove.

Kevwoody · 27-01-2013 2:56pm

Kevwoody wrote: »

Gone for this today, not a massive return for a 5 game accum, but it'll do!

Real Madrid
Barca
Liverpool
Spurs
Chelsea

€28 returns €101

Chelsea you absolute pricks

Drac the Bassman · 27-01-2013 2:58pm

Kevwoody wrote: »

Chelsea you absolute pricks

Totally agree but what can you expect with their owner/managerial set up.

Fanny Biscuit · 27-01-2013 3:00pm

Spurs and Lennon wincast 4/1

Fowler87 · 27-01-2013 4:09pm

Very strong Liverpool team. So going for over 1.5 first half goals @ 11/10. Hopefully few early goals

brilou23 · 27-01-2013 4:23pm

whats the liverpool team

brilou23 · 27-01-2013 4:28pm

brilou23 wrote: »

whats the liverpool team

just saw it going liverpool -2 @6/4 thinkin goin suarez and sturridge to both score at 6/4 on pp

Luap · 27-01-2013 4:38pm

Jones, Wisdom, Robinson, Coates, Skrtel, Allen, Henderson, Sterling, Borini, Sturridge, Suarez.

Subs: Gulacsi, Carragher, Shelvey, Lucas, Downing, Gerrard, Suso.

Borini First goal for the craic! 5/1

Fowler87 · 27-01-2013 5:20pm

Fowler87 wrote: »

Very strong Liverpool team. So going for over 1.5 first half goals @ 11/10. Hopefully few early goals

In nice and early anyhow

brilou23 · 27-01-2013 5:23pm

like the look of Atromitos @ 11/8 Panathinaikos have been pretty poor this year

Lasagna Diarra · 27-01-2013 6:45pm

Lens double chance (vs Dijon tomorrow) @ 1.57

Lens are unbeaten in 16 games and play the best football in the league imo. Dijon will be without their top scorer Tavares (6 goals in 10 games) who's at the ACN with Cape Verde.

I'll probably put that in a double with Porto.

Fanny Biscuit · 27-01-2013 6:53pm

Anyone know if PSG are back to full strength tonight?

Lasagna Diarra · 27-01-2013 7:04pm

Fanny Biscuit wrote: »

Anyone know if PSG are back to full strength tonight?

Alex, Thiago Silva and Gameiro are out.

brilou23 · 27-01-2013 7:15pm

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Alex, Thiago Silva and Gameiro are out.

have lille many at the african nations

Kevwoody · 27-01-2013 7:25pm

Kevwoody wrote: »

Gone for this today, not a massive return for a 5 game accum, but it'll do!

Real Madrid
Barca
Liverpool
Spurs
Chelsea

€28 returns €101

What a disaster!

deadeye187 · 27-01-2013 7:26pm

anyone backing PSG?..need to recoup my losses for today! But PSG hmmmmm

Corholio · 27-01-2013 7:30pm

Any thoughts on Bilbao v A.Madrid and Mallorca v Malaga?

Thinking of a A.Madrid/Malaga double

Fanny Biscuit · 27-01-2013 7:31pm

deadeye187 wrote: »

anyone backing PSG?..need to recoup my losses for today! But PSG hmmmmm

Missing a few players so i'll probably avoid this game.

magherakid · 27-01-2013 7:31pm

inforfun wrote: »

1st bet of the day for me:

Double of any player to score 2 in the Barca and Real matches @4.97

Which is funny because if you pick Ronaldo and Messi to do that it works out @3,5 on bet365

Last 6 H2H Real - Getafe had 4x times a player to score 2 or more
Last 6 H2H Barca - Osasuna had also 4x a player to score 2 or more (1x this needed an Osasuna to do so, 2 matches where there were 2 players who scored 2 or more)

And a tiny stake on a hat trick in both @36.1

Nice one another Messi goal and your laughing

brilou23 · 27-01-2013 7:32pm

deadeye187 wrote: »

anyone backing PSG?..need to recoup my losses for today! But PSG hmmmmm

same feelin it feels dirty backin them lol

Lasagna Diarra · 27-01-2013 7:39pm

brilou23 wrote: »

have lille many at the african nations

Only Kalou and Mendes. Their defensive midfielder Mavuba is out injured.

The missings for PSG aren't very important except for Thiago Silva. He'll be replaced by Armand who's a decent player. PSG were amazing against Toulouse in the cup, if they play that way again, Lille won't stand a chance tonight... If they play like they did vs Bordeaux though, they might find it hard to beat Lille.

brilou23 · 27-01-2013 7:53pm

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Only Kalou and Mendes. Their defensive midfielder Mavuba is out injured.

The missings for PSG aren't very important except for Thiago Silva. He'll be replaced by Armand who's a decent player. PSG were amazing against Toulouse in the cup, if they play that way again, Lille won't stand a chance tonight... If they play like they did vs Bordeaux though, they might find it hard to beat Lille.

thanks made up my mind lol

inforfun · 27-01-2013 8:18pm

inforfun wrote: »

1st bet of the day for me:

Double of any player to score 2 in the Barca and Real matches @4.97

Which is funny because if you pick Ronaldo and Messi to do that it works out @3,5 on bet365

Last 6 H2H Real - Getafe had 4x times a player to score 2 or more
Last 6 H2H Barca - Osasuna had also 4x a player to score 2 or more (1x this needed an Osasuna to do so, 2 matches where there were 2 players who scored 2 or more)

And a tiny stake on a hat trick in both @36.6

Get the **** in!!!!!

Too bad about the double of 2 goals as apparently that had to be precisely 2

Lasagna Diarra · 27-01-2013 8:30pm

PARIS-SG : Sirigu - Jallet, Sakho, Armand, Maxwell - Thiago Motta, Matuidi - Ménez, Lucas, Ibrahimovic, Lavezzi
LILLE : Elana - Sidibe, Chedjou, Basa, Digne - Balmont, Gueye, Martin - Rodelin - Roux, Payet

Bar Armand this is the best PSG line up.

I'm keeping my money for Lens tomorrow, but PSG should win this imo.

mailburner · 27-01-2013 9:02pm

inforfun wrote: »

Get the **** in!!!!!

Too bad about the double of 2 goals as apparently that had to be precisely 2

Wtf?
thats ridiculous
relieved for you the hatrick came in

francie81 · 27-01-2013 9:20pm

I'll never put Liverpool in a bet for a long time to come:mad:

Lord TSC · 27-01-2013 9:33pm

Or Spurs....

Or Chelsea....

greenman09 · 27-01-2013 10:54pm

Or atl Madrid. Cnuts

grohlisagod · 28-01-2013 5:26am

Stoke V Wigan

Wigan double chance 1.78

Main reasoning here is that Wigan are unbeaten in the last 7 meetings, including the last 3 at the Brittania.

Neither side is in particularly inspiring form but Wigan are in slightly better shape. Stoke have only 1 win (excluding Palace as that was in extra time) in the last 11, while Wigan have lost just 2 of the last 7, albeit 3 of those games were against lower league opposition.

On top of that Wigan are unbeaten in 4 on the road with their last defeat coming against Everton, a game they could easily have taken something from.

Tempted by the draw in this one too at 12/5. 6 of the last 9 meetings have been draws and with neither side in great form a draw looks a strong possibility again here.

inforfun · 28-01-2013 9:06am

mailburner wrote: »

Wtf?
thats ridiculous
relieved for you the hatrick came in

These were the bets:

18:00 Football / Spain / Primera Division / Barcelona vs Osasuna / Player To Score 3 Or More Goals - Yes @ 6.10
11:00 Football / Spain / Primera Division / Real Madrid vs Getafe / Player To Score 3 Or More Goals - Yes @ 6.00

18:00 Football / Spain / Primera Division / Barcelona vs Osasuna / Player To Score 2 Goals - Yes @ 2.16
11:00 Football / Spain / Primera Division / Real Madrid vs Getafe / Player To Score 2 Goals - Yes @ 2.30

See the lack of "or more" with the 2 goal bets?

Guess it makes sense, still annoying.

CucaFace · 28-01-2013 5:21pm

Thinking of a Sevilla and Porto (-1) double tonight at slightly over Evens.

Thoughts?

Keano! · 28-01-2013 5:44pm

Gonna stick my dosh on this little accy today.

Ghana
Mali

Both sides need to win to secure qualification to the next round. Gonna go ahead with these two for the accy. Mali lost 1st and won 2nd. Ghana won 1st and drew 2nd.

Exeter City

Torquay have only won twice away from home all season, and one of those victories against bottom of the table Wimbeldon. Exeter have been incredible away from home, although their home form leaves a lot to be desired unfortunatley. With a win in their last home outting against Southend (chasing them in the playoffs) I reckon they've got enough about them to dispatch Torquay.

Porto

Won their last 16 home competitive games in all competitions, and haven't lost at home in the League since 25/10/2008!! That's a total of 65 games unbeaten at home!) Gil Vicente never beaten Porto away in their history either, and find themselves in 12th a point above the drop zone, while Porto are 2nd 3 points behind Benfica with a game in hand, which is this one tonight.

Sevilla

Probably the one that will let me down on this accy I'm guessing, but decent price and they should be beating Granada. 3 points ahead of them, and they're coming into this game on the back of a 4-0 win over Zaragoza in the Cup. No injury concerns for either side.

Ghana
Mali
Exeter City
Porto
Sevilla

On PP and it comes up as, 9.49.

If anyone follows with me, best of luck!

Kevwoody · 28-01-2013 6:10pm

Keano! wrote: »

Gonna stick my dosh on this little accy today.

Ghana
Mali

Both sides need to win to secure qualification to the next round. Gonna go ahead with these two for the accy. Mali lost 1st and won 2nd. Ghana won 1st and drew 2nd.

Exeter City

Torquay have only won twice away from home all season, and one of those victories against bottom of the table Wimbeldon. Exeter have been incredible away from home, although their home form leaves a lot to be desired unfortunatley. With a win in their last home outting against Southend (chasing them in the playoffs) I reckon they've got enough about them to dispatch Torquay.

Porto

Won their last 16 home competitive games in all competitions, and haven't lost at home in the League since 25/10/2008!! That's a total of 65 games unbeaten at home!) Gil Vicente never beaten Porto away in their history either, and find themselves in 12th a point above the drop zone, while Porto are 2nd 3 points behind Benfica with a game in hand, which is this one tonight.

Sevilla

Probably the one that will let me down on this accy I'm guessing, but decent price and they should be beating Granada. 3 points ahead of them, and they're coming into this game on the back of a 4-0 win over Zaragoza in the Cup. No injury concerns for either side.

Ghana
Mali
Exeter City
Porto
Sevilla

On PP and it comes up as, 9.49.

If anyone follows with me, best of luck!

Jumped on this too, had a small win on the nags earlier so feck it!

Added in Borussia Dortmund also, puts it up to 15.8

magherakid · 28-01-2013 7:48pm

Exeter v Torquay
Jamie Cureton anytime 5/4 16 league goals this season for Exeter

Fanny Biscuit · 28-01-2013 7:51pm

Going with Exeter at evens.

Fowler87 · 28-01-2013 7:54pm

magherakid wrote: »

Exeter v Torquay
Jamie Cureton anytime 5/4 16 league goals this season for Exeter

Is he free from suspension? Can't believe he's 37 :eek: An old FM favourite

magherakid · 28-01-2013 7:56pm

Yes he's back tonight

magherakid · 28-01-2013 8:06pm

magherakid wrote: »

Exeter v Torquay
Jamie Cureton anytime 5/4 16 league goals this season for Exeter

no bet doesnt start on the bench

brilou23 · 28-01-2013 8:45pm

magherakid wrote: »

Exeter v Torquay
Jamie Cureton anytime 5/4 16 league goals this season for Exeter

5/2 special wincast for him on pp mobile site

mrdmb · 28-01-2013 8:45pm

friendly game btween

rapid vienna vs skenderbeu from Albania..

rumors its a fixed game....

for goals over 3.5 at 1.8

plus other tips suggested by some of their fans..but they dont look interesting...

mrdmb · 28-01-2013 8:56pm

price for over 3.5 a few minutes from the start dropped in some bookies from 1.95 to 1.57 !!

i guess I'll wait for the inplay price and double it with Porto win

mrdmb · 28-01-2013 9:08pm

something strange in this game..after 2 mins..odds for over 3.5 jumped again to 1.9 or evens...
better to keep away lol

inforfun · 29-01-2013 8:41am

Tonight in the Dutch cup:

Den Bosch - AZ

Az win is banker or accumulator filler imo.
I was matched @1,49 on betfair 2 days ago and since then odds are dropping.

This will be AZ's best chance to qualify for Europe directly seeing as 4th spot in the league will be out of reach for them.
2 of Feyenoord\Ajax\Vitesse\PSV will not make it to the semi final as they are playing eachother.
Den Bosch has not had a competitive game since december 21st and is currently in 14th position in the 1st division.
AZ is 2 wins from 2 since the break and are playing really well

Also considering AZ -1 Ah (no idea about odds) as they score for fun since the break as well, 8 in 2.

AZ will not put a weakened side on the pitch, it is not in their managers book to play 2nd string because an opponent might be not that great. Plus Twente is the example of what can happen when you dont field your strongest team in the cup against Den Bosch.

Kevwoody · 29-01-2013 11:42am

This weeks medium wager:

Man Utd - Win
Chelsea - Win
Arsenal - DNB
Everton - Win
Man City - Win

€50 returns €358

Usually hit these accums win lose win lose etc, and I lost my last one

brilou23 · 29-01-2013 1:40pm

im on arsenal tomorrow at 3/1 special on pp text bet u can get it on page 909 on sky text

Drac the Bassman · 29-01-2013 1:45pm

Sunderland, Fulham, Everton and Man utd

pays around 9/2+

The Football Tips Thread IV

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