The Football Tips Thread v3

crustyjuggler · 23-05-2012 7:53pm

TiltedBrain wrote: »

Two interesting games on tomorrow:

Its the final game day in the Swiss challenge league(English Championship equivalent), 2 teams tied in 2nd place on pionts and goal difference are Aarau and Bellinzona.

Table:
http://www.soccerway.com/national/switzerland/challenge-league/2011-2012/regular-season/tables/

Both sides play 2 clubs in the relegation zone tomorrow with now way out, effectively their opposition has nothing to play for. Expecting both sides to win tomorrow is very likely, only 1st and 2nd has a shot at Europe so it will be down to goal difference between these 2 sides tomorrow for 2nd place, so i'd expect Obvious home wins and both home sides trying to score as many goals as possible to get that important 2nd place.

The odds aren't great on straight home wins, and even over 3.5 is poor at 1/2,

2 good looking selections are:

Aarau ht/ft @ 4/7 PP
Bellinzona ht/ft @ 13/10 PP

A double with these could be good too.

Aarau game:

http://www.soccerway.com/matches/2012/05/23/switzerland/challenge-league/fc-aarau/etoile-carouge-fc/1239223/

Bellinzona game:

http://www.soccerway.com/matches/2012/05/23/switzerland/challenge-league/ac-bellinzona/fc-wohlen/1239224/

I've gone medium size bet on this double : Bellinzona win @ 1.50 and Aarau Asian h/cap (-2) @ 1.850, Double comes in around 2.66

Thank you . Only bet a tenner though

Radonman · 23-05-2012 9:01pm

Deportive half time full time @ evens, Top v bottom with Gimnastic at home should be a straight foward victory for Deportivo who are looking to get within 1pt of promotion

Radonman · 23-05-2012 9:14pm

Radonman wrote: »

Deportive half time full time @ evens, Top v bottom with Gimnastic at home should be a straight foward victory for Deportivo who are looking to get within 1pt of promotion

Hate turning on a live feed and hearing Goooooaaaal - and its for the wrong side

seanhynes · 23-05-2012 9:14pm

1-0 down flip,looking at Gimnastics home form they dont get thrashed too often

SteelyDanJalapeno · 23-05-2012 9:16pm

TiltedBrain wrote: »

Two interesting games on tomorrow:

Its the final game day in the Swiss challenge league(English Championship equivalent), 2 teams tied in 2nd place on pionts and goal difference are Aarau and Bellinzona.

Table:
http://www.soccerway.com/national/switzerland/challenge-league/2011-2012/regular-season/tables/

Both sides play 2 clubs in the relegation zone tomorrow with now way out, effectively their opposition has nothing to play for. Expecting both sides to win tomorrow is very likely, only 1st and 2nd has a shot at Europe so it will be down to goal difference between these 2 sides tomorrow for 2nd place, so i'd expect Obvious home wins and both home sides trying to score as many goals as possible to get that important 2nd place.

The odds aren't great on straight home wins, and even over 3.5 is poor at 1/2,

2 good looking selections are:

Aarau ht/ft @ 4/7 PP
Bellinzona ht/ft @ 13/10 PP

A double with these could be good too.

Aarau game:

http://www.soccerway.com/matches/2012/05/23/switzerland/challenge-league/fc-aarau/etoile-carouge-fc/1239223/

Bellinzona game:

http://www.soccerway.com/matches/2012/05/23/switzerland/challenge-league/ac-bellinzona/fc-wohlen/1239224/

I've gone medium size bet on this double : Bellinzona win @ 1.50 and Aarau Asian h/cap (-2) @ 1.850, Double comes in around 2.66

Well I never! UNBEEELLLIEEEEEVAAAABBBLLLEEEE!!!!!!!! (insert gary neville orgasm!)

7-0 Aarau, 5-0 Bellinzona

Radonman · 23-05-2012 9:17pm

Not looking for them to thrash Gimnastic just to win ht / ft - still reckon deportive will come good but probably not for my bet:(

albert kidd · 23-05-2012 10:36pm

thoughts on flum 2nite against boca?

i thought flum were doing pretty well up to the red card last week.

anyone fancy their chances to go through?..i probably just back them to win the game outright.

seanhynes · 23-05-2012 11:03pm

throwing 50 on Result Corinthians and Total Goals Under 2.5 Double 12/5 later on tonight.. Corinthians are one of the boringest and meanest teams in Brazil,after the 0-0 draw last week i can see more of the same albeit the surface will be much better at Corinthians,they do tend to do just enough cant see many goals

Nuri Sahin · 23-05-2012 11:25pm

NY Red Bulls HT/FT @ 7/5

SteelyDanJalapeno · 24-05-2012 12:07am

Five teams that should be good for a win tomorrow, odds will move by then, they already are on Bate,

Bate Borisov @ 8/15
HJK @ 4/7
Stjarnan @ 4/5
Elfsborg @ 10/11 moving in quick
Molde @ 5/6

MoscowFlyer · 24-05-2012 12:34am

-Ade- wrote: »

NY Red Bulls HT/FT @ 7/5

Just seen this and Im a bit late. Still 0-0 so I've went Draw/NY @ 2/1 in running.

seanhynes · 24-05-2012 3:58am

seanhynes wrote: »

throwing 50 on Result Corinthians and Total Goals Under 2.5 Double 12/5 later on tonight.. Corinthians are one of the boringest and meanest teams in Brazil,after the 0-0 draw last week i can see more of the same albeit the surface will be much better at Corinthians,they do tend to do just enough cant see many goals

happy days 1-0 FT

ForeverYoung90 · 24-05-2012 4:33am

As a matter of interest how are ye guys doing profit wise?I just checked my pp history and calculated I am down 90e since I opened my account in jan 2011.

SteelyDanJalapeno · 24-05-2012 9:50am

ForeverYoung90 wrote: »

As a matter of interest how are ye guys doing profit wise?I just checked my pp history and calculated I am down 90e since I opened my account in jan 2011.

I'd a fairly big win yesterday which probably skews mine, but my withdrawals are up about 40-50% against the value of deposits for the last 12 months

Nuri Sahin · 24-05-2012 11:38am

Some timing for NY to go and **** up bets.

ForeverYoung90 wrote: »

As a matter of interest how are ye guys doing profit wise?I just checked my pp history and calculated I am down 90e since I opened my account in jan 2011.

I do a total review of football bets, profits, etc in August, just before the start of the EPL season. But last couple of months profit has been more than very nice.

Nuri Sahin · 24-05-2012 11:47am

Few bits of info for tonight's games in the Segunda..

All eyes of Valladolid's home game with Rec Huelva tonight, a defeat for the Pucela means Deportivo will be promoted.

Anything other than a defeat for Valladolid will mean Depor can secure promotion in front of their own fans on Sunday vs Huesca.

and

Almeria are now 6 points behind Cordoba in the last play off spot, they host Numancia tonight & really need a win.

Nuri Sahin · 24-05-2012 12:01pm

Gone for Elfsborg and Molde double @ 2/1 and BATE -1 @ 11/10. Decide on Segunda later.

MoscowFlyer · 24-05-2012 12:16pm

Halmstad could be worth a look today in the Swedish 2nd div. At home to Brommapojkarna who don't have a great away record. P4 W1 L3 F5 A11 so they concede goals.

Halmstad have won 3 and drawn 1 at home scoring 8 and conceding 3.

Around the EVEN money mark.

Thinking of doubling them with Molde so around 2.5/1

seanhynes · 24-05-2012 1:00pm

thinking Haugesund in Norway could be a decent shout,cant see how Elfsborg can be a safe bet,Hacken are doing well lately

stingerro · 24-05-2012 1:24pm

seanhynes wrote: »

thinking Haugesund in Norway could be a decent shout,cant see how Elfsborg can be a safe bet,Hacken are doing well lately

Artificial grass vs natural grass, plus Hacken is missing their most influential midfielder (Ericsson, 5 assists this season - top in Allsvenskan).

SteelyDanJalapeno · 24-05-2012 2:01pm

seanhynes wrote: »

thinking Haugesund in Norway could be a decent shout,cant see how Elfsborg can be a safe bet,Hacken are doing well lately

Elfsborg at home on the plastic pitch are a force, Hacken are scoring goals though, over 2.5 @ 1.90 looks great

Lasagna Diarra · 24-05-2012 6:20pm

Treble for tomorrow & Saturday:
Under 2.5 in Zalgiris v Ekranas
Under 2.5 in Dainava v Suduva
Under 3.5 in Denmark v Brazil
@ 4.34

eh i dunno · 24-05-2012 7:14pm

http://www.soccerway.com/matches/2012/05/24/belgium/play-offs-12/kv-red-star-waasland/kvc-westerlo/1281813/

Home team value here at evens?

Nuri Sahin · 24-05-2012 7:50pm

-Ade- wrote: »

Gone for Elfsborg and Molde double @ 2/1 and BATE -1 @ 11/10. Decide on Segunda later.

Bouncebackability.

Gutted I forgot about the Almeria KO, lost track of time.

eh i dunno · 24-05-2012 7:52pm

Double of Selfoss and Vallodolid at around evens

MoscowFlyer · 24-05-2012 7:58pm

Stjarnan/ÍA Ov 2.5 @ 1/2
Keflavík/ÍBV BTTS @ 4/6

Double

Nuri Sahin · 24-05-2012 8:06pm

I'm gonna show faith in Santos to get the job done.

Santos -1 @ 17/10, they haven't failed to beat -1 in their 4 home games in the Copa Libertadores this season.

MoscowFlyer · 24-05-2012 8:08pm

MoscowFlyer wrote: »

Halmstad could be worth a look today in the Swedish 2nd div. At home to Brommapojkarna who don't have a great away record. P4 W1 L3 F5 A11 so they concede goals.

Halmstad have won 3 and drawn 1 at home scoring 8 and conceding 3.

Around the EVEN money mark.

Thinking of doubling them with Molde so around 2.5/1

Good stuff!

Molde 3-1
Halmstad 2-0

IncognitoMan · 24-05-2012 9:03pm

What does everyone think of the U de chile, santos double for tonight?

inforfun · 24-05-2012 9:12pm

U de Chile should be fine.
Not too sure about Santos. Cant explain why, just a feeling i have.

happydayz182 · 24-05-2012 9:36pm

thinking of going big on England 2.10 against Norway in a double with Tipperary on Saturday..any thoughts

IncognitoMan · 24-05-2012 9:40pm

inforfun wrote: »

U de Chile should be fine.
Not too sure about Santos. Cant explain why, just a feeling i have.

are Velez Sarsfield any good away from home?

shamrock55 · 24-05-2012 10:05pm

IncognitoMan wrote: »

are Velez Sarsfield any good away from home?

they have best away record in argentina anyway P7 W4 D3 L0 F14 A4

Nuri Sahin · 24-05-2012 10:20pm

inforfun wrote: »

U de Chile should be fine.
Not too sure about Santos. Cant explain why, just a feeling i have.

Yeah I'll be on Uni de Chile -1 later on as well. Santos have been too good to me at home especially, gotta stay loyal

MoscowFlyer · 24-05-2012 11:07pm

Tempted to do Uni de Chile -1 HT @ 7/2!

markc91 · 24-05-2012 11:09pm

Anyone able to get odds on Neymar anytime? Tried Boyles but they werent giving odds?

jodi_geelan · 24-05-2012 11:24pm

Ive the bag of popcorn at the ready and few cans of Fizzy Orange cooling in the fridge for this glorious exhibition Santos are about to display upon us. Have a cheeky €1 on a santos win @4/7 to make the night an interesting and entertaining one (I really think they can win this) I remember watching Brasil national team lift a big trophy there a few years back and let me tell you, them boys can kick ball... Im confident their fellow compatriots can do the trick tonight. Best of Luck to all who have bets placed tonight

Lasagna Diarra · 24-05-2012 11:27pm

Treble for tomorrow and Monday:
Under 2.5 in Zalgiris v Ekranas
BTTS in IF v B36 (Faroese league)
BTTS in HB v KI (Faroese league)
@ 3.46

Zalgiris v Ekranas: 1st vs 2nd, these games usually go under 2.5 goals, Zalgiris' games often go under 2.5 too > http://www.soccerway.com/teams/lithuania/fk-zalgiris-vilnius/

BTTS seems the best bet in the Faroese league, these teams score and concede in almost every game...
HB > http://www.soccerway.com/teams/faroe-islands/havnar-boltfelag-torshavn/
B36 > http://www.soccerway.com/teams/faroe-islands/b36-torshavn/

Shane St. · 24-05-2012 11:52pm

Cluess about S American football but I stucka 5r on Santos -1 U De CHile -1 double
Gluck lads

IncognitoMan · 25-05-2012 2:58am

jodi_geelan wrote: »

Ive the bag of popcorn at the ready and few cans of Fizzy Orange cooling in the fridge for this glorious exhibition Santos are about to display upon us. Have a cheeky €1 on a santos win @4/7 to make the night an interesting and entertaining one (I really think they can win this) I remember watching Brasil national team lift a big trophy there a few years back and let me tell you, them boys can kick ball... Im confident their fellow compatriots can do the trick tonight. Best of Luck to all who have bets placed tonight

Congratulations on the win

magherakid · 25-05-2012 11:43am

Athletic Bilbao v Barcelona
Messi to score 2 or more 13/8

Nuri Sahin · 25-05-2012 11:46am

Disappointing to wake up to the U de Chile result. Anywhoo, gone with Belgium and Randers @ tad over Evens, Uruguay @ 2/1 and Messi FGS @ 11/5.

SteelyDanJalapeno · 25-05-2012 12:22pm

:eek: forgot about the copa del ray

the whole year inn · 25-05-2012 1:19pm

TiltedBrain wrote: »

:eek: forgot about the copa del ray

will there be a full squad out?

DiarmuidBoy89 · 25-05-2012 3:17pm

Anyone have any tips on the copa del ray tonight?
Athletico are 8/1 to win?
Also anyone see Brazil beating Denmark tomorrow as a safe enough bet?

Shane St. · 25-05-2012 4:36pm

Im lumping on Bilbao +2, the bet has come in four of their last 5 meetings.... Barca looked tired and out of ideas when I've watched them play recently.. Think that's a cracking price at evens... goodluck all

Lasagna Diarra · 25-05-2012 4:47pm

DiarmuidBoy89 wrote: »

Also anyone see Brazil beating Denmark tomorrow as a safe enough bet?

Not at all, they have a pretty weak squad for this game : http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brazil_national_football_team#Current_squad
and Denmark are not a bad team, they finished above Portugal.

opr · 25-05-2012 5:09pm

Gone for Uruguay draw no bet against Russia at 11/10. I know betting on friendlies is usually a road to the poor house but I'm not sure the word exists in the competitive nature of the Uruguayans. Unbeaten in the last 14 matches which have included recent on the road wins in places like Italy and the Ukraine. Strong team out I think they look good value.

Opr

Lasagna Diarra · 25-05-2012 5:27pm

Double:
Under 2.5 in Russia v Uruguay
Under 2.5 in Zalgiris v Ekranas
@ 2.51

stingerro · 25-05-2012 5:52pm

Didn't check other bookies, but bwin has Athletic Bilbao three yellow cards or more in 2nd half for 23/20. Good bet IMO, for example against Atletico in Europe League final they've got 3 in 2nd half.

The Football Tips Thread v3

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