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RTÉ exit poll innaccurate

  • 26-02-2011 4:04pm
    #1
    namloc1980
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,330 ✭✭✭✭


    It seems the the RTÉ exit poll is significantly wrong, at least in Dublin in relation to the FF vote. Seems some of the hardcore FFers were too mortified to tell the exit pollsters that the voted FF.


Comments

  • #2
    meglome
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,980 ✭✭✭meglome


    namloc1980 wrote: »
    It seems the the RTÉ exit poll is significantly wrong, at least in Dublin in relation to the FF vote. Seems some of the hardcore FFers were too mortified to tell the exit pollsters that the voted FF.

    I wondered about that earlier. I can hope they'll still get wiped though.


  • #3
    Ray Burkes Pension
    Registered Users Posts: 171 ✭✭Ray Burkes Pension


    Tbh I was a bit surprised so many people have so much faith in a poll of 3,000 people.


  • #4
    later12
    Closed Accounts Posts: 11,299 ✭✭✭✭later12


    Yes I saw John Bowman make this point a while ago.

    The exit poll was out by up to 7% in the one Dublin constituency for which we have the official poll, Dublin West. There, twice as many people voted FF as the exit poll indicated, and the exit poll is out by similar amounts elsewhere in Dublin.

    Shy Fianna Fail syndrome?


  • #5
    Cavehill Red
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,109 ✭✭✭Cavehill Red


    I predicted this yesterday. FF voters, like Tories and DUP voters, don't tell the truth to pollsters.


  • #6
    later12
    Closed Accounts Posts: 11,299 ✭✭✭✭later12


    Ray Burkes Pension wrote: »
    Tbh I was a bit surprised so many people have so much faith in a poll of 3,000 people.
    3,000 samples from a wide spread would be considered significant enough to omit random sampling errors. Many accurate Irish polls have previously been based on fractions of that.


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  • #7
    Laminations
    Registered Users Posts: 4,693 ✭✭✭Laminations


    The cognitive dissonance, the mental shame that must be going on in these liars heads. I'd understand hiding your vote under a regime where you could be killed for showing certain views but this is sheer embarrassment. If you are embarrassed about something it's usually because you know it is wrong. So these people should be ashamed that they continue to vote FF for what can only be interpreted as blind loyalty.


  • #8
    Laminations
    Registered Users Posts: 4,693 ✭✭✭Laminations


    Ray Burkes Pension wrote: »
    Tbh I was a bit surprised so many people have so much faith in a poll of 3,000 people.

    It was accurate to 0.05% last time out. And it is accurate this time. It's accurately shown FFers are lying self servicing gombeens


  • #9
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,780 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Think Daragh O'Brien has a squak in Dub North but Farrell will prob get in.


  • #10
    Lucifer_666
    Registered Users Posts: 37 ✭Lucifer_666


    namloc1980 wrote: »
    It seems the the RTÉ exit poll is significantly wrong, at least in Dublin in relation to the FF vote. Seems some of the hardcore FFers were too mortified to tell the exit pollsters that the voted FF.

    If that's true?... what is with these people who seem to just be preprogrammed to vote FF? Like what do politicians need to do to lose these people's support? Kill someone? They have already proved that they can kill an economy and that seems to be now not enough :confused:

    Hopefully the tally is correct though


  • #11
    namloc1980
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,330 ✭✭✭✭namloc1980


    Lucifer_666 wrote: »
    If that's true?... what is with these people who seem to just be preprogrammed to vote FF? Like what do politicians need to do to lose these people's support? Kill someone? They have already proved that they can kill an economy and that seems to be now not enough :confused:

    Hopefully the tally is correct though

    Exit poll had FF on 8% in Dublin but first counts/tallies have them on 12%+. They also appear to be up in the rest of the country compared to the exit poll. Shame on these people.


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  • #12
    limklad
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,980 ✭✭✭limklad


    namloc1980 wrote: »
    It seems the the RTÉ exit poll is significantly wrong, at least in Dublin in relation to the FF vote. Seems some of the hardcore FFers were too mortified to tell the exit pollsters that the voted FF.
    Yea, if you voted for FF you would be mortified to admit that too to anybody.


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