The Football Tips Thread V

English Premier League: Outright Winner Betting Market


-Liverpools have 4 games remaining, two of which are against poor mid-table teams who have nothing to play for in Crystal Palace and Newcastle.
-Liverpools other game is against Norwich who are fighting relegation and are lucky Fulham and Sunderland collapsed this year or they would certainly be relegated.
-Liverpools remaining fixture is against Chelsea and crucially for this bet, the match will be played at Anfield where Liverpool have a record of 15-1-1 and are playing a Chelsea team that have won less than 50% of their away games and their most important creative player, Hazard, has a calf/shin injury and is without an expected return date and could miss this match.
-Man City have 5 games remaining which includes a very tough trip to Everton who have a record at home of 12-3-2 while Chelsea are still in the Champions League and have a very tough draw against Atletico Madrid which will increase their chances of dropping points in the final stages of the Premier League.
-Assuming Liverpool draw with Chelsea and win their remaining fixtures they will win the league after Man City were held to a draw with Sunderland tonight.


Bet: Liverpool To Win The Premier League 13/14
Stake: 98
Bookmaker: BetVictor
Odds: 1.57

PuntersAdvice wrote: »

English Premier League: Outright Winner Betting Market


-Liverpools have 4 games remaining, two of which are against poor mid-table teams who have nothing to play for in Crystal Palace and Newcastle.
-Liverpools other game is against Norwich who are fighting relegation and are lucky Fulham and Sunderland collapsed this year or they would certainly be relegated.
-Liverpools remaining fixture is against Chelsea and crucially for this bet, the match will be played at Anfield where Liverpool have a record of 15-1-1 and are playing a Chelsea team that have won less than 50% of their away games and their most important creative player, Hazard, has a calf/shin injury and is without an expected return date and could miss this match.
-Man City have 5 games remaining which includes a very tough trip to Everton who have a record at home of 12-3-2 while Chelsea are still in the Champions League and have a very tough draw against Atletico Madrid which will increase their chances of dropping points in the final stages of the Premier League.
-Assuming Liverpool draw with Chelsea and win their remaining fixtures they will win the league after Man City were held to a draw with Sunderland tonight.


Bet: Liverpool To Win The Premier League 13/14
Stake: 98
Bookmaker: BetVictor
Odds: 1.57

great writeup just be wary of the 'nothing to play for ' idea.

Theres 1MILLION sterling for everyplace up the league table you finish.
That win last night for Palace could be woth 1Million quids... hardly nothing to play for, and there probably bonuses on offer too...

bradlente wrote: »

St.Etienne would've been a great bet a few days ago home to Rennes,1.67 now,not the best price but still might go for it.Can imagine Rennes will be a bit tired and Etienne still gunning for 3rd spot/trying to keep fourth.

Some good news for you, Rennes are without a bunch of players: their best striker Toivonen, two of their regular defenders (Danzé and Kana-Biyik) as well as Pitroipa and Romero, which means that their striker will be Oliveira and he sucks.

St Etienne are without Brandao.

bradlente wrote: »

You going for them yourself las?I'm not sure.Looking at Erdinc anytime 2.6,he'll surely be the focal point tomorrow,up against his old club too.

edit-Erdinc was taken off after 20 minutes in their last match,duno what that was all about.If he starts I think I'll go for it.

Well everything points to a St Etienne win, it'll be Rennes's 3rd game in 7 days, the players probably have their minds on the French Cup final, St Etienne need points more than Rennes do as they're battling with Lyon for the 4th place... But I don't trust them, they had to win the last 2 games if they wanted to catch Lille but they choked twice...

Erdinc is fit according to L'equipe, wouldn't take him anytime though, he's an extremely poor finisher.

bradlente wrote: »

Any idea who takes penalties for them?Just judging it by who's most likely to come up with a goal,doesn't look like many can and he's got few to his name.With Rennes missing a few centre-halves he'll surely get a few chances.You being against him and that early substitution last week are making me think twice though.

They had one 2 weeks ago and Gradel took it, I remember Erdinc taking one too, don't think they have a designated penalty taker. Their right winger Hamouma is the club's top scorer, that should tell you how bad their strikers are Erdinc will have chances tomorrow since he'll be their lone striker so he might score... but the odds are too low imo considering how wasteful he is.

tinodz wrote: »

2 bets for me in upcoming game...

Ings FGS @ 5.00 / Anytime @ 2.10 (Burnley)

Scored 19 in the league this season 14 of them FGS

No luck on this today. Sorry if anyone followed.

Do not think I will get involved int he Derby game.

English Premier League: Chelsea v Sunderland


-Chelsea are undefeated in their last 26 home matches in the Premier League.
-Chelsea have kept a clean sheet in their last 6 home matches in the Premier League.
-Chelsea have won 8 of their last 9 home matches against Sunderland in all competitions.
-Sunderland have conceded at least 2 goals in their last 5 away matches in the Premier League.
-Sunderland have failed to win their last 9 matches in the Premier League.
-Expect plenty of passion from the visitors but Mourinho won't let his side take any games for granted and knowing that 4 wins will secure the title is incentive enough to ensure they don't slip up before the crucial match against Liverpool.
-Eden Hazard is injured and has been Chelsea's most creative player this season.
-Chelsea have a Champions League game against Atletico Madrid and a Premier League game against Liverpool which could decide the title in the following week and Mourinho has shown a tendency to revert to a very defensive formation when he gets the lead and save his players energy.


Bet: Chelsea To Win & Under 3.5 Goals
Bookmaker: Bet365
Odds: 2.00

Roma to score a goal in the 1st half: Evens with Bet365. They've done so in each of their previous 7 games.

Dio On The Doubles wrote: »

8 in the morn in J League 2 is Shonan Belmare v Oita Trinita

I'm on Shonan win and BTTS 11/4 on bet365

http://ie.soccerway.com/matches/2014/04/20/japan/j2-league/shonan-bellmare/oita-trinita/1643931/head2head/

Shonan flying high with 7 straight wins of the 7 games so far this season. Only conceded in 2 games. However BTTS has collected for all 6 H2H on soccerway and Oita have only failed to score once this season. Also Shonan win and BTTS had collected last 3 H2H.

Pretty decent odds I think but I guess that's cause of the amount of clean sheets they've been keeping.

4-0 sorry Brad or anyone else that followed.

I thought Oita could be trusted because of the stats above and because the were in the J 1 league with Shonan last year.

However taking the silver lining that's 6/8 that win to nill has come in for Shonan.. Backing this every week would pay off well.

tinodz wrote: »

I am on Over 40 Card Index @ 3.10 (City/Albion). The right and left backs for Albion will have trouble with City's pace. Zabaleta and Olsson both have the most Yellows of anyone in the league this season (10 each). Demichelis Always has a card in him. Think there is a good chance of this coming in personally. Giving it a shot.

5 is a lot for the premiership coz the refs are thick as planks ,hope it wins though

seanhynes wrote: »

5 is a lot for the premiership coz the refs are thick as planks ,hope it wins though

I agree with the rubbish refs, but with at least one player for each team here consistent in getting cards this season - and the refs been told by their bosses to be consistent with theircards, I hope there is some consistency with this game. If so I think the cards have a solid chance.

Dowd also gave out two reds in his last four games, and three of those had a Card Index over 40 (55, 60 and 95!!!). Won't talk about the 20 Index one....

Fingers crossed!

edit - Thanks for the above bradlente. Was writing mine when you wrote that!

The Reservoir Dubs Anchorman wrote: »

If Norwich get out of it you might want to start worrying about your boys Tom. They have been absolutely abysmal the last 5 games and finish the season away to Man City and Spurs.

Iv worried about our boys from the minute benteke got injured with the takeover supposedly imminent in the summers villa have to stay up

The Reservoir Dubs Anchorman wrote: »

Yeah would agree have to stay up moneywise. Good news for you though is Moyes is now available when Lambert gets the bullet.

I'm one of the few that likes Moyes great manager built a reputation over ten years destroyed in under a year players and board just as much to blame back to tips anyway Real Madrid win both to score a able at 4/1 on messenger app also anyone new to the messenger app send me a pm can get a free bet