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Universal FTTH costings. A recent example from France.

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  • 06-08-2010 5:02pm
    #1
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭


    The county of Seine et Marne is now deploying a universal FTTH network, imagine it as a more densely populated Meath outside Paris and with no visionary Noel Dempsey type in charge of Communications policy.

    A consultant presented some interesting metrics on FTTH costs.

    http://www.eett.gr/conference2010/files/Caparroy.pdf

    The initial backbone network is 1200km and cost €85m but they had no ducting in place. It serves 143 exchanges too.

    To complete the task they must build 76 PON and Active access points in the whole county ( less than the 143 exchanges minimum they have now. This in an area around a 10th the size of the Irish State and around teh size of the Pale.

    a) The entire project will serve 570,000 households and businesses.
    b) It will cost €1300 per premises including very rural ones
    c) It will cost €740m but the ducts will be rented to other users in certain cases on an IRU ( long lease) reducing this below €700m.

    The population living in the residential portion of the 570,000 premises is 1.3m.

    Instructively the population of around 130 urban areas in Ireland, most of which towns already have a MAN ( backbone) in census 2006 was

    http://beyond2020.cso.ie/Census/TableViewer/tableView.aspx?ReportId=111833

    Towns Pop 5000-9999 125,000
    Towns Pop 10k + but not cities 360,000
    Cities Cities ( 6) 1.5m

    Total = 2m ish people

    These are spread across the following housing units

    http://beyond2020.cso.ie/Census/TableViewer/tableView.aspx?ReportId=76513

    Towns Pop 5000-9999 100,000
    Towns Pop 10k + but not cities 215,000
    Cities ( 6) 530,000

    Total 845,000 Premises + maybe 20,000 business premises , lets say 870,000 premises Total.

    Interestingly the Seine et Marne cost outliers are.

    €10m for the 27,000 (5%) least expensive access points
    €100m for the 27,000 (5%) most expensive access points

    FTTH connections are categorized based on the deployment costs showing percentiles grouped by average cost per connection which is 1.300 euros:
    • €250 to 700 23%
    • €701 to 1,000 20%
    • €1,001 to 1,500 25%
    • €1,501 € to 3,000 26%
    • €3,000+ 5%
    The costs in towns of 5000 or above, most of which have MANs would come in just below €1,000 per premises in Ireland averaged. Seine et Marne did rural areas and villages too meaning we can discount the higher cost installs shown there.

    Such a scheme ( including completing a National (dark fibre) Ducting Network linking these MAN towns by building on NRA ducts) and serving 870,000 premises including most significant employers in the state would cost €1bn or a bit more at those rates. Certainly no more than €1.3bn

    Now there is a scheme worth doing...but probably not on Eamon Ryans watch because Eamon does not give a flying damn does he :(


Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 32,417 ✭✭✭✭watty


    Haven't "we" (folks contributing to IOffL) always said about €1.5B?

    This is just more proof that we are not too optimistic.

    Also the French don't have a huge Swiss/German reputation for efficiency. Nor are they short of mad Politicians and Bureaucracy.

    So it's a very realistic comparison.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    Rather good Feb 2010 summary of what the world is at , data from June 2009

    http://www.forum-thd.com/2010/res/SP1_IDATE_FTTH_Global_Panorama.pdf

    This "Idate FTTH Panorama" is updated periodically with a revision due presently. €88 per premises to fibre Hong Kong ....where most premises are in massive tower blocks and where they use GEPON rather than the rather more expensive GPON gear eircom proposes to use.

    The lternatives are

    GPON or GEPON, shared fibre to the premises like Cable Internet.
    EP2P , single fibre to the premises like a Telephone line from an Exchange

    I feel EP2P will get us nowhere in Ireland save in business parks and business districts, it should be GPON or GEPON in most cases.

    A long document was prepared by Analysys on GPON and unbundling scenarios for Ofcom here

    http://stakeholders.ofcom.org.uk/binaries/research/technology-research/Analysys_Mason_GPON_Final_R1.pdf


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