GAA Betting Thread

Clareman · 20-05-2012 4:31pm #1

I thought it would be a good idea to keep all betting tips to 1 thread for the season as it works in other sporting forums.

For today's games

DONEGAL
LIMERICK
LAOIS
LOUTH "ALL GAA FOOTBALL MATCHES"

€20 pays €105 on Paddy Power

calvin_zola · 21-05-2012 3:31pm

football
Meath vs. Wicklow
Tipperary vs. Kerry
Monaghan vs. Antrim
hurling

Tipperary vs. Limerick

what do people think of the outcomes of this weekends matches?

ShamoBuc · 21-05-2012 6:00pm

calvin_zola wrote: »

football
Meath vs. Wicklow
Tipperary vs. Kerry
Monaghan vs. Antrim
hurling

Tipperary vs. Limerick

what do people think of the outcomes of this weekends matches?

Meath, Kerry, Monaghan, Tip.

Meath should be good enough to beat Wicklow. Kerry should win by 8-10 pts. Monaghan should win and Tip will win by 8-10 pts aswell I reckon.

Both the Meath and Monaghan games have a bit of unpredicatability about them and should be tight enough for most of the game, while the other 2 should be reasonably comfortable vistories.

First games of the season for any county have an extra bit of trepidation built in so hopefully my predictions aren't as clear cut as the actual results:pac:

aidan24326 · 21-05-2012 6:29pm

what do people think of the outcomes of this weekends matches?

Meath v Wicklow - Normally you'd have this down as a Meath banker but the current Meath team is hardly the greatest they've ever had and Wicklow will know they're there for the taking. I'd still go for Meath to prevail but not without a fight. Meath by 4-5 pts

Tipp v Kerry - This should be straightforward for Kerry. Tipp got relegated to div 4 scoring only 1 goal in their 7 games. Kerry at a canter you'd have to think. Kerry by 14 pts or so

Monaghan v Antrim - Monaghan had quite a poor league and are a team that seems to have gone backwards in the last year or so. But they should still have enough to beat Antrim. Monagahan by 5 pts

Tipp v Limerick - I'd expect Limerick will put it up to Tipp and it'll be no thrashing. But Tipp's greater scoring power should see them home. Tipp by 7 pts

The accum on those 4 results pays 7/5, which is just slightly bigger than 11/8. Not much of a price but all 4 should win. If there's to be a shock it could be in Carlow where I fancy Wicklow might put it up to Meath. But in all likelihood those 4 teams should win.

My tip would be to back Kerry (-11) at Evs. That looks banker material to me as Kerry will surely win easily.

ciarriaithuaidh · 21-05-2012 7:32pm

Kerry -11, Tipp (Hurling) -6 double...pays 3/1 on Boyles is worth a shot I think.
Meath v Wicklow, would expect Meath to win narrowly but can't trust them given form.
Monaghan v Antrim, dodgy and very even especially given Darren Hughes is now out for Monaghan.

ShamoBuc · 21-05-2012 8:03pm

ciarriaithuaidh wrote: »

Kerry -11, Tipp (Hurling) -6 double...pays 3/1 on Boyles is worth a shot I think.
Meath v Wicklow, would expect Meath to win narrowly but can't trust them given form.
Monaghan v Antrim, dodgy and very even especially given Darren Hughes is now out for Monaghan.

That's a good price and is certainly in with a good chance of coming off.

aidan24326 · 22-05-2012 4:02pm

ShamoBuc wrote: »

That's a good price and is certainly in with a good chance of coming off.

Tipp are certainly capable of covering a -6 handicap if in the mood but what's the vibe from Limerick coming into this? Is anyone giving them much of a chance?

ShamoBuc · 22-05-2012 4:26pm

Limerick are fairly quiet at the moment, maybe trying to come in under the radar a little. I expect them to give it their all but begin to fade away with 15 mins left.

premierstone · 22-05-2012 4:35pm

aidan24326 wrote: »

Tipp are certainly capable of covering a -6 handicap if in the mood but what's the vibe from Limerick coming into this? Is anyone giving them much of a chance?

Im sure some of our Limerick posters will have a better idea, but just looking in from the outside, the whole incident with Ciaran Carey, how badly they faded in the league final and the loss of Seamus Hickey are big negatives, their forward line looks potentailly very good but I think they will concede far too much.

Kerrydude1981 · 22-05-2012 7:48pm

Looks a good accum for the weekend with Paddy Power
Kerry (-11) @ evens
Meath (-3) @ 10/11
Monaghan (-2) @ 11/10
Tipp (-6) @ 10/11

10 euro stake pays out 153 euro,not bad.

Only one id be worried about is Wicklow against Meath,but you would think Meath should have enough

ebbsy · 22-05-2012 9:54pm

PP Wicklow specials :

Score first lead HT win FT 14/1
HT FT 8/1

Tasty !

paddymayoman · 25-05-2012 12:47pm

Was thinking of doing a 3 or 4 fold maybe
Kerry -11 points
Tipp -6 points for the hurling
Overs in the Leinster match(not up yet but i reckon it should be 35- 40)
and maybe meath -2 points
What do ye think,each one is around evens?

aidan24326 · 25-05-2012 1:51pm

premierstone wrote: »

Im sure some of our Limerick posters will have a better idea, but just looking in from the outside, the whole incident with Ciaran Carey, how badly they faded in the league final and the loss of Seamus Hickey are big negatives, their forward line looks potentailly very good but I think they will concede far too much.

From what I've heard over the last couple of days the vibes coming from the Limerick camp are not good at all and Tipp -6 could be the bet of the weekend I think. Limerick are (seemingly) not going well at all and if Tipp hit form I think ye could give them a beating. Evs for the -6 handicap looks very tempting to me.

paddymayoman wrote: »

Was thinking of doing a 3 or 4 fold maybe
Kerry -11 points
Tipp -6 points for the hurling
Overs in the Leinster match(not up yet but i reckon it should be 35- 40)
and maybe meath -2 points
What do ye think,each one is around evens?

Not sure what you mean by that?

paddymayoman · 25-05-2012 2:19pm

aidan24326 wrote: »

premierstone wrote: »

Im sure some of our Limerick posters will have a better idea, but just looking in from the outside, the whole incident with Ciaran Carey, how badly they faded in the league final and the loss of Seamus Hickey are big negatives, their forward line looks potentailly very good but I think they will concede far too much.

From what I've heard over the last couple of days the vibes coming from the Limerick camp are not good at all and Tipp -6 could be the bet of the weekend I think. Limerick are (seemingly) not going well at all and if Tipp hit form I think ye could give them a beating. Evs for the -6 handicap looks very tempting to me.

paddymayoman wrote: »

Was thinking of doing a 3 or 4 fold maybe
Kerry -11 points
Tipp -6 points for the hurling
Overs in the Leinster match(not up yet but i reckon it should be 35- 40)
and maybe meath -2 points
What do ye think,each one is around evens?

Not sure what you mean by that?

In the over/under total points category for example:
Over 37.5 points or under 37.5 points.if you bet over,you win for 38 points or over but lose if it has a total of 37 points

aidan24326 · 25-05-2012 3:02pm

paddymayoman wrote: »

In the over/under total points category for example:
Over 37.5 points or under 37.5 points.if you bet over,you win for 38 points or over but lose if it has a total of 37 points

Oh right, I thought it might be something like that.

But do you really think there will be a points total of 35-40 in the Meath v Wicklow game? That seems a little on the high side.

paddymayoman · 25-05-2012 3:11pm

aidan24326 wrote: »

paddymayoman wrote: »

In the over/under total points category for example:
Over 37.5 points or under 37.5 points.if you bet over,you win for 38 points or over but lose if it has a total of 37 points

Oh right, I thought it might be something like that.

But do you really think there will be a points total of 35-40 in the Meath v Wicklow game? That seems a little on the high side.

Shouldve put in that its the leinster ospreys rugby match my mistake

ShamoBuc · 25-05-2012 11:01pm

Tipp -6 is nearly a shoe in I think.
Kerry -11 could be a tad dodgy now, given the way the Kerry team is supposed to line out.
Meath -2 is a tight enough bet but could come off I reckon.

paddymayoman · 26-05-2012 12:54am

ShamoBuc wrote: »

Tipp -6 is nearly a shoe in I think.
Kerry -11 could be a tad dodgy now, given the way the Kerry team is supposed to line out.
Meath -2 is a tight enough bet but could come off I reckon.

11points is a big handicap to beat but if kerry show up it should be alot more than 11.
Is McEananey still manager of meath or is it Boylan?

ShamoBuc · 26-05-2012 1:57pm

paddymayoman wrote: »

11points is a big handicap to beat but if kerry show up it should be alot more than 11.
Is McEananey still manager of meath or is it Boylan?

True, but the Kerry lineup is a bit ....allover the place to be honest. It looks a bit thrown together. That said if they all perform -11 looks ok but the teamsheet added a bit of doubt for me.

ShamoBuc · 27-05-2012 5:51pm

I went with a treble of Tipp -5, Meath -3 and Monaghan -2 in the end.
Bloody typical that the one that let me down was the one I was most confident of, typical!!

calvin_zola · 27-05-2012 5:54pm

ShamoBuc wrote: »

I went with a treble of Tipp -5, Meath -3 and Monaghan -2 in the end.
Bloody typical that the one that let me down was the one I was most confident of, typical!!

I did a Yankee, antrim +2, tipp footballers +10, tipp hurlers -6, meath -3

got my money back at least

calvin_zola · 27-05-2012 6:06pm

Next weeks fixtures -

London v Leitrim 7/4 15/2 4/7
Wexford v Longford 8/13 15/2 13/8
Fermanagh v Down 15/8 15/2 8/15

Dublin v laois 1/20 20/1 9/1
Offaly v Wexford 1/2 9/1 15/8
Westmeath v Galway 10/1 33/1 1/40

Mountainlad · 27-05-2012 8:45pm

All I can say is I'm glad I'm not a betting man, lads!

shawnee · 27-05-2012 10:37pm

Handicap betting is designed by Bookmakers and is only used by Mugs;) Pick your team and back them to win !

paddymayoman · 27-05-2012 10:43pm

shawnee wrote: »

Handicap betting is designed by Bookmakers and is only used by Mugs;) Pick your team and back them to win !

Betting is for mugs full stop haha
i had kerry(-11) tipp(-5) and meath/meath ht/ft.
Kerry surprised me the most,honestly didnt think they could play as bad as they did.Fair play to tipp footballers though for making them struggle.

ShamoBuc · 27-05-2012 10:51pm

shawnee wrote: »

Handicap betting is designed by Bookmakers and is only used by Mugs;) Pick your team and back them to win !

Betting on a team to win is also designed by Bookmakers;)

Next week.....

paddymayoman · 28-05-2012 12:42am

ShamoBuc wrote: »

shawnee wrote: »

Handicap betting is designed by Bookmakers and is only used by Mugs;) Pick your team and back them to win !

Betting on a team to win is also designed by Bookmakers;)

Next week.....

Would anyone have backed kerry at1/66 i wonder

keane2097 · 28-05-2012 12:00pm

shawnee wrote: »

Handicap betting is designed by Bookmakers and is only used by Mugs;) Pick your team and back them to win !

lol

martyeds · 28-05-2012 3:39pm

shawnee wrote: »

Handicap betting is designed by Bookmakers and is only used by Mugs;) Pick your team and back them to win !

But i backed Tipp +11 v Kerry.

KevIRL · 28-05-2012 10:31pm

shawnee wrote: »

Handicap betting is designed by Bookmakers and is only used by Mugs;) Pick your team and back them to win !

Not quite but doing accums of handicaps is bonkers and just handing over money to the bookies. Far too many variables in a 3 or 4 team handicap accum to make the price worth it.

ShamoBuc · 28-05-2012 11:22pm

paddymayoman wrote: »

Would anyone have backed kerry at1/66 i wonder

I really doubt it.

paddymayoman · 29-05-2012 1:00am

KevIRL wrote: »

shawnee wrote: »

Handicap betting is designed by Bookmakers and is only used by Mugs;) Pick your team and back them to win !

Not quite but doing accums of handicaps is bonkers and just handing over money to the bookies. Far too many variables in a 3 or 4 team handicap accum to make the price worth it.

Its far easier watching a match and handicap betting in play but with the way fixtures have worked out so far,most of the games have been 3 30 or 4 throw in, with the kerry tipp match being an exception.
Id say anyone who had leinster to win couldnt have seen them losing a 9 point lead with 10 minutes left or limerick losing a 7 point lead and to then lose by 4.

aidan24326 · 29-05-2012 8:52am

shawnee wrote: »

Handicap betting is designed by Bookmakers and is only used by Mugs;) Pick your team and back them to win !

Sure. So did you back Kerry at 1/66 on Sunday? Will you back Galway hurlers at 1/40 next Sunday? In those kind of games handicap betting is the only option if you want to have a bet.

keane2097 · 29-05-2012 10:29am

Some gold in this thread so far, I can see it's going to be a profitable summer.

paddymayoman · 29-05-2012 8:02pm

keane2097 wrote: »

Some gold in this thread so far, I can see it's going to be a profitable summer.

Watch out lads we have a comedian over here

keane2097 · 29-05-2012 9:38pm

paddymayoman wrote: »

Watch out lads we have a comedian over here

I'm sure they could have spotted that on their own, it's not like the thread is full of morons.

keysersoze0330 · 08-02-2013 9:51pm

Don't know if this is the most recent thread, but Monaghan to win tomorrow v Cavan at 8/13 is great value. Having a lump on this and bit on -2 points at 6/5. Also sticking a €5 longshot on Monaghan to win by 16points or more at 33/1.

Monaghan had a good win over Meath last weekend and according to a mate from Cavan they are not in great shape, and won't be able to live with the Monaghan forwards. With this i agree.

Tom Joad · 08-02-2013 10:13pm

keysersoze0330 wrote: »

Don't know if this is the most recent thread, but Monaghan to win tomorrow v Cavan at 8/13 is great value. Having a lump on this and bit on -2 points at 6/5. Also sticking a €5 longshot on Monaghan to win by 16points or more at 33/1.

Monaghan had a good win over Meath last weekend and according to a mate from Cavan they are not in great shape, and won't be able to live with the Monaghan forwards. With this i agree.

Monaghan will probably win so safe enough bet based on form etc - but a 16points win - not a chance in my opinion.

1. Its a local derby, Cavan won't role over - Cavan haven't actually been that far off this year - its just having the confidence to go on and win is missing.

2. Meath were terrible - even Cavan won't play that bad and to be fair Meath won't either.

3. Cavan play a blanket Donegal/Tyrone kind of game - there problem is not having enough scoring power rather than being poor defensively.

In saying that would back Monaghan but can't see them winning by more than 3 or 4 points.

Niallers87 · 08-02-2013 11:19pm

How do ye fancy Kildare at 21/10 to beat cork in cork tomorrow, Kildare looked pretty impressive at times against donegal last week whilst cork didnt look too interested against dublin

ShamoBuc · 09-02-2013 12:55am

Niallers87 wrote: »

How do ye fancy Kildare at 21/10 to beat cork in cork tomorrow, Kildare looked pretty impressive at times against donegal last week whilst cork didnt look too interested against dublin

There's a reason they are 21/10....they are playing Cork in Cork - after Cork lost their first match. I cannot see anything other than a Cork win to be honest.
Having won the last few league titles I expect we will be turned over a few times away from home this year. Thought we could nick it against dublin last week but were not at the races at all.
There might be value laying Cork away from home this year - but I don't think Kildare will get near Cork this weekend.

Treble20 · 09-02-2013 1:43am

Cookstown at 6/4 are great value against Finuge in the All Ireland Club Intermediate football final later this evening in Croke Park. Kerry club teams have a poor enough record against Tyrone teams just like their county team and I think once again the Tyrone team here will have too much for the North Kerry side.

68Murph68 · 09-02-2013 2:02am

Treble20 wrote: »

Cookstown at 6/4 are great value against Finuge in the All Ireland Club Intermediate football final later this evening in Croke Park. Kerry club teams have a poor enough record against Tyrone teams just like their county team and I think once again the Tyrone team here will have too much for the North Kerry side.

Cookstown beat Spa when they won the All Ireland Club Intermediate football final last time out. Spa and Finuge would be very very different types of teams from Kerry.

Spa's success in getting to the final was built on a decent attack and would be more of a standard Kerry football team.

Finuge are a very different outfit with their success built on an outstanding defensive unit and would be far better equipped for a game against Cookstown. They are very much an atypical Kerry club side - they rarely if ever put up big scores but they seldom allow a side put up a decent score.

Using the reasoning of Finuge being a Kerry team and Kerry teams poor record against Tyrone teams is a very poor reason for tipping Cookstown.

I expect a low scoring dour affair between two pretty defensive sides. I definitely don't think that Cookstown at 6/4 represents value.

MfMan · 09-02-2013 2:22am

St. Thomas' at slight odds against of 11/10 aren't a bad bet for today's semi' v Loughgiel. Yes, they're giving away ground in terms of experience and a tighter, heavier Parnell park pitch mightn't be ideal for them; on the other hand, lack of experience isn't necessarily a deficit in a younger team, Thomas' came through last year's county semis and final in equally bad conditions and, unlike last year's Galway representatives Gort, they have their better players in attack. Not a bad bet at all.

keane2097 · 09-02-2013 2:46pm

Niallers87 wrote: »

How do ye fancy Kildare at 21/10 to beat cork in cork tomorrow, Kildare looked pretty impressive at times against donegal last week whilst cork didnt look too interested against dublin

I like that price fwiw.

keane2097 · 09-02-2013 3:10pm

keane2097 wrote: »

I like that price fwiw.

Actually having looked a bit closer that game is a no bet for me.

manafana · 09-02-2013 6:21pm

Kildare looked bit off it at times in their opening game will need ensure dont go asleep against side of corks quality.

Monaghan does look great bet, meath might been crap but their still higher standard than cavan.

Niallers87 · 09-02-2013 9:32pm

Kildare are on a bit of a role!!!

keysersoze0330 · 09-02-2013 9:33pm

What a disaster:mad:. Not a good day

Smithwicks Man · 09-02-2013 9:47pm

Thought Monaghan looked a decent bet earlier but didn't go for it in the end. Good result for Cavan. 5 men sent off in one game is a bit of a joke though

Niallers87 · 09-02-2013 9:50pm

big result for waterford too, i didnt think they would beat tipperary

Smithwicks Man · 09-02-2013 9:51pm

Yeah, they'll have to be happy with that. Could be a tighter run in than I first thought

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