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18-10-2017, 14:05   #1
DOCARCH
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Heavy Rain - Munster & Leinster - Thu 19 October

As if we don't have enough threads going....here's another one!

Met Eireann have issued a yellow warning for heavy rainfall Warning for Munster, Dublin, Carlow, Kildare, Kilkenny, Louth, Wexford, Wicklow and Meath.

Heavy rain is expected with accumulations between 30 and 50 mm possible tomorrow, Thursday.

Note that this is separate to potential wet and windy weather forecast for Friday/Saturday.
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18-10-2017, 14:33   #2
MJohnston
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ARPEGE accumulations till Friday:


Last edited by MJohnston; 18-10-2017 at 14:38.
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18-10-2017, 14:48   #3
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WRF:

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18-10-2017, 15:04   #4
pad199207
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DOCARCH View Post
As if we don't have enough threads going....here's another one!

Met Eireann have issued a yellow warning for heavy rainfall Warning for Munster, Dublin, Carlow, Kildare, Kilkenny, Louth, Wexford, Wicklow and Meath.

Heavy rain is expected with accumulations between 30 and 50 mm possible tomorrow, Thursday.

Note that this is separate to potential wet and windy weather forecast for Friday/Saturday.
Potential for it to be upgraded to Orange Level according to Joanna
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18-10-2017, 16:41   #5
 
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ARPEGE accumulations till Friday:

I don't see why there is a warning for Dublin on that, I presume other forecasts are showing it differently
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18-10-2017, 17:38   #6
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My concern at the moment is localised flooding. There is still a lot of debris left over from Monday.

Street drainage will be put to the test in urban areas. I’m sure rural areas will struggle with blocked culverts.
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18-10-2017, 18:39   #7
MJohnston
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I don't see why there is a warning for Dublin on that, I presume other forecasts are showing it differently
The warning level for yellow in regard to rain is 20mm in 6 hours, or 25mm in 12 hours. But there were a few other models showing heavier totals, ICON I think.
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18-10-2017, 18:44   #8
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The warning level for yellow in regard to rain is 20mm in 6 hours, or 25mm in 12 hours. But there were a few other models showing heavier totals, ICON I think.
Also, there will be heavy rain over the Dublin mountains, and I guess that would be enough to trigger a warning for the whole “county”
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18-10-2017, 19:58   #9
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A shortwave trough over Ireland tomorrow introducing cold upper temperatures. Met Eireann mentioning the possibility of thundery rain.

The HIRLAM showing high accumulations in the SE, E














Slow to leave the E coast.


Last edited by Meteorite58; 18-10-2017 at 20:19.
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19-10-2017, 00:09   #10
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Most recent Hi Res accumulation predictions for tomorrow




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19-10-2017, 00:11   #11
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Thunderstorm rain in the Shannon and Cork Airport forecasts from morning to early afternoon. Albeit at a 30% prob.
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19-10-2017, 01:27   #12
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Heavy rain arriving now in from the Kerry coast.
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19-10-2017, 01:46   #13
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Heavy rain arriving now in from the Kerry coast.
Don’t make unnecessary journeys
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19-10-2017, 02:18   #14
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https://twitter.com/MetEireann/statu...19765148639232
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19-10-2017, 08:28   #15
Darwin
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I don't understand why Laois is left out of the yellow warning counties - yr.no is showing over 40mm for my location.
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