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29-02-2016, 01:28   #1
Kermit.de.frog
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Storm Jake - 01/02 March - High Winds West Coast & Widespread Snow Risk

Also Tuesday night could see a covering for some before dawn. We have been here before of course this winter but it's close enough to be reasonably confident.

A complicated depression from the northwest moving over the country on Thursday is bringing some unusually cold air with it off the Atlantic. Should be snowfall to be had within the fronts associated with this. Higher ground is a given.

And we need at least one scare mongering thread this season!

More tomorrow.

Last edited by Kermit.de.frog; 29-02-2016 at 04:21.
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29-02-2016, 07:38   #2
Bejubby
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Any charts pic's
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29-02-2016, 07:41   #3
screamer
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I'll believe it when I see it. Till then I won't hold my breath.
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29-02-2016, 08:32   #4
lapua20grain
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Where do you see this affecting Kermit?
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29-02-2016, 09:07   #5
highdef
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Current GFS models show lying snow in many parts of the country on Tuesday night, except perhaps for the south and west coasts and also the south west part of the country.
Will be interesting how the next run goes to see if the trend continues as it's usually around this run that things fall apart, if they are going to do so.
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29-02-2016, 09:54   #6
highdef
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As I kinda expected, the latest GFS charts show a fairly big downgrade with regards to lying snow potential on Tuesday night/Wednesday morning. Fingers crossed that an upgrade pops up.
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29-02-2016, 11:55   #7
Pangea
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Snow in Donegal today
http://www.donegaldaily.com/2016/02/...vernight-snow/
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29-02-2016, 12:02   #8
highdef
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I think this may in the wrong thread. This thread is for discussing "Risk of some significant snowfall Tuesday and Thursday nights".
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29-02-2016, 16:50   #9
nacho libre
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The BBC precipitation radar shows snow across, the northwest, centre, and down into Wicklow on Tuesday night. I hope it's not all gone by Wednesday morning. Sill there might be further chances on Thursday to see snow.
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29-02-2016, 17:53   #10
Oneiric 3
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Hirlam going for a very gusty night Tues night/Wed morn as a small trough bears down over the country. Positioning not nailed on yet though but given that the tightest isobar gradient will be occurring in a relatively cold air mass, actual gustyness would be noticeable and projected to peak early on Wed morning with potential for 60/70 knots on N/W Munster coasts.




Track of shallow low will be key but it could become wild in places for a short while if its track pans out something like this.
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29-02-2016, 18:21   #11
nacho libre
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Originally Posted by Oneiric 3 View Post
Hirlam going for a very gusty night Tues night/Wed morn as a small trough bears down over the country. Positioning not nailed on yet though but given that the tightest isobar gradient will be occurring in a relatively cold air mass, actual gustyness would be noticeable and projected to peak early on Wed morning with potential for 60/70 knots on N/W Munster coasts.


Jeez. I hope the ferry at Holyhead won't be cancelled.

Sea Crossings
State of sea until 1800 Wednesday 02 March 2016
Dublin - Holyhead Moderate to rough. Later rough.
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29-02-2016, 18:36   #12
Iancar29
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Certainly could be a nice covering on high ground come Wednesday morning. With blowing snow in on peaks . ATM its seems like high areas of Donegal,Derry, boarder counties and also Wicklow mountains could see a few cms.

NMM track for PPN


T850s showing snow more likely below 300m in the north and above that elsewhere.
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29-02-2016, 19:19   #13
Dial Hard
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kermit.de.frog
Also Tuesday night could see a covering for some before dawn. We have been here before of course this winter but it's close enough to be reasonably confident.

So which is it, "significant" or "a covering"? Big difference imo.
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29-02-2016, 19:24   #14
Clonmel1000
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So which is it, "significant" or "a covering"? Big difference imo.
Probably neither.
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29-02-2016, 21:12   #15
sparrowcar
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Kermit did you call this to early or are you still fairly confident?
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