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03-12-2014, 11:57   #1
Storm 10
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Gales/Stormy Conditions in Connacht & Ulster Dec 10-11th

As there is the possibility of a storm system next week that could be severe should we open a thread for this.,

Mods delete if you think its not necessary.

Changed the heading in case it don't happen

Last edited by Storm 10; 04-12-2014 at 16:40. Reason: Change
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03-12-2014, 15:34   #2
 
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Cant be much of a storm coming , 330 views to now and no replies
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03-12-2014, 16:00   #3
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From M.T's forecast.

Quote:
MONDAY-TUESDAY ... Windy but possibly becoming stormy especially in Connacht and Ulster, timing still somewhat uncertain for the strongest winds, and intensity could be anywhere between 80 and 130 km/hr depending on how this evolves.
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03-12-2014, 16:41   #4
Chicken1
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Met Eireann not giving too much away yet

Quote:

By Monday morning, however, wet and very windy conditions will have set in
countrywide with a consequent rise in temperatures. There is a high probability
that southwesterly winds will further increase to gale force in many areas
during Monday, with periods of heavy rain indicated for most places also.
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03-12-2014, 19:07   #5
Clonmel1000
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What? No snow? I don't believe it....................


Met Eireann predicting strong winds, heavy rain and mild temperatures for next week
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03-12-2014, 19:16   #6
maquiladora
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I see no storm on the models here for Sunday/Monday.

Sunday :



Monday :

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03-12-2014, 19:32   #7
Storm 10
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Evelyn showed a storm on the six news for Monday, suppose we will wait and see
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03-12-2014, 20:07   #8
maquiladora
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Storm 10 View Post
Evelyn showed a storm on the six news for Monday, suppose we will wait and see
I just looked at it there, what she showed was this graphic for next Wednesday, it was from the 0Z ECM.



But latest run has that low further north on Wednesday instead, so it looks like it won't have much impact here unless things change again.

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03-12-2014, 21:33   #9
Tazio
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Storm 10
Evelyn showed a storm on the six news for Monday, suppose we will wait and see

and again just now on the 2100 news..
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03-12-2014, 22:03   #10
Oneiric 3
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I think maybe one positive from the primary storm center moving more north is that it could pull more warmer air into the mix, giving a better chance of a potent secondary or steep short wave to develop in the vicinity of Ireland. Either way though, still looks much windier and seasonal than of late.
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04-12-2014, 14:57   #11
 
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John Eagleton getting worried about storms next week, taken from the Irish Independent



Quote:
While the country is set to miss the icy blast predicted to hit the UK, the first snowflakes of the winter will fall here over the coming days.

Forecaster John Eagleton told the Herald that conditions will remain "fairly settled" until the weekend, but will then take a turn for the worse.

"Sunday is not going to be a nice day. It'll be cold and showery, particularly in the west and north-west, and some of those showers will be wintry," he said.

"It might leave a dusting of snow on the hills, but snow is not going to be a major factor as far as I can see for most (low-lying) places."

Warm and rainproof clothing will be needed for next week.

"In fact, potential storms are what would concern me next week, a bit like what we got last year.
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04-12-2014, 21:40   #12
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Wednesday could be lively on the West coast. If the storm comes, combined with reasonably high tides and big seas.

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04-12-2014, 21:52   #13
maquiladora
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Thread title is a bit confusing. There is no sign of any storm for Sunday/Monday.

What we are looking at is the potential for windy/stormy conditions on Wednesday. 18Z GFS rolling out now so we'll see what that shows soon.
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04-12-2014, 21:59   #14
Oneiric 3
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Just a couple of charts from this time last year to illustrate just how quickly lows can 'bomb' at this time of year.

Dec 4. Benign looking low west of Iceland with a cool, diverging air mass over Ireland after a weak front passed through the night before.



24 hour later, that innocuous looking depression had exploded by the time it reached S Scandinavia, with its central pressure having fallen more than 30 mb in that short time.




Images: Vedur.is
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File Type: png 1.png (326.6 KB, 5443 views)
File Type: png 2.png (330.1 KB, 5469 views)

Last edited by Oneiric 3; 04-12-2014 at 22:08. Reason: west, not south..
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04-12-2014, 22:22   #15
maquiladora
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Not much change on the 18Z GFS. The main low is just too far north to have a significant impact here. Gusts of around 100-110km/h along the northwest coast. Fairly typical winter values for that area that you'd expect to see several times in a normal winter. Scotland being further north obviously gets it a bit stronger.

Still over 120 hours away so things could change quite a bit by Wednesday one way or the other.



Waves out at sea to our north look would be amazing though!

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