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06-03-2013, 07:26   #1
Redsunset
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Risk Of Heavy Snow Showers As It Turns Extremely Cold Sunday Night/Monday

Opening this for more general discussion on a possible severe cold onslaught from the east,north east.
This is just a WATCH scenario for now and thread title will change if there are any upgrades closer to the "EVENT"
Too early to give any details on the Will it snow in my back yard question.

Lets just talk about its evolution for now and see if we get a strike.

Fairly impressive FI charts at the moment as we are placed in the freezer.



Any trolling on this thread will be met with a heavy hand. Be warned

Last edited by pistolpetes11; 12-03-2013 at 13:41.
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06-03-2013, 08:14   #2
mothel
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Redsunset View Post
Opening this for more general discussion on a possible severe cold onslaught from the east,north east.
This is just a WATCH scenario for now and thread title will change if there are any upgrades closer to the "EVENT"
Too early to give any details on the Will it snow in my back yard question.

Lets just talk about its evolution for now and see if we get a strike.

Fairly impressive FI charts at the moment as we are placed in the freezer.

What site are these charts from please?
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06-03-2013, 08:38   #3
Redsunset
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They are off a premium site. Weatherbell. Joe b and Ryan Maue show these charts in their tweets.

Earliest indication of change from Met Éireann. Way too early for anything more descriptive.

"Next week (Monday to Thursday) : Becoming very cold, with frosty nights and with a risk of scattered wintry showers, especially in the northwest, north and east".
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06-03-2013, 08:41   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Redsunset View Post
Opening this for more general discussion on a possible severe cold onslaught from the east,north east.
This is just a WATCH scenario for now and thread title will change if there are any upgrades closer to the "EVENT"
Too early to give any details on the Will it snow in my back yard question.

Lets just talk about its evolution for now and see if we get a strike.

Fairly impressive FI charts at the moment as we are placed in the freezer.

Take it down your gona jinx it.
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06-03-2013, 08:56   #5
Rebelbrowser
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Apart from the -12 uppers over much of the country in just 5 days time I don't know what the fuss is about

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse...ech=126&mode=1
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06-03-2013, 08:59   #6
Tom Cruises Left Nut
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They really seem to have locked onto something here, after what we had this winter I will wait for the short range models like the NAE before I book days off work
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06-03-2013, 09:10   #7
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I wont get my hopes up until I put the hat on the snow man I build.

Very early to be getting excited. If this doesn't come off, this forum will get a little hostile.
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06-03-2013, 09:24   #8
Redsunset
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I will once again stress that this is a watch the model evolution chat thread as opposed to the model/technical thread and there is no guarantee of anything to happen.

It just gives people a chance to comment.

There is no fuss being made here.

Any trolling on this thread will be met with a heavy hand. Be warned

Last edited by Redsunset; 06-03-2013 at 09:26.
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06-03-2013, 09:45   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Redsunset View Post
I will once again stress that this is a watch the model evolution chat thread as opposed to the model/technical thread and there is no guarantee of anything to happen.

It just gives people a chance to comment.

There is no fuss being made here.

Any trolling on this thread will be met with a heavy hand. Be warned
I like this idea, it's a "watch", it could happen, it might not happen, but the potential is out there.

No one predicts Snowmaggedon, or equally, no one gets their knickers in a twist if nothing comes of it.

Let the F5-ing begin!
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06-03-2013, 10:05   #10
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WOW, extremely rare sight.

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06-03-2013, 10:12   #11
 
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The charts are phenomenal. The GFS 6z rolling out ASTONISHING stuff now within 4 days. Ireland completely encased in -12!! uppers by Monday AM with a blob of -14 near northern ireland. This freight train is hurtling in.

I was talking to a mate in Berlin delighted that winter was over last week with a thaw which he assumed was actual arrival of spring. They are going into the deep freeze again big style and for once it's looking good for us too. This possible cold snap has excellent support in the models now
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06-03-2013, 10:13   #12
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If the GFS occurred it would be one of the coldest March days on Monday.

There would be 10-20cm of snow lying in eastern areas.
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06-03-2013, 10:21   #13
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Should be noted the GFS evolution of initial intense push and then slight warming up is not followed by ECM and its EPS, the ECM develops a more substantial Greenland block and keeps the flow of severe cold going much longer than the GFS

Expect a half-way house between the two solutions in the coming days.
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06-03-2013, 10:21   #14
 
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If ever the phrase BEAST FROM THE EAST was warranted :-)
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06-03-2013, 10:48   #15
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06z GFS seems to want to bring us cold 12 to 24 hours earlier than previous runs, up to now Sunday was the cooling down day with Monday looking cold...now all day Sunday is looking cold with threat of snow showers for the east from early Sunday morning.
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