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26-12-2012, 18:42   #1
Sleety_Rain
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Potential for extreme wind event Friday/Saturday

As a rapidly deepening Low races from our southwest, it is expected to come close to Ireland and potentially make a direct hit in some Western areas, the track will vary on the original waves track and timings of intensification etc.

However the low is in very developmental environment and regardless of its track is anticipated to deepen as a sub 950mb storm to our north-west by this weekend.

One to watch...
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26-12-2012, 18:56   #2
maquiladora
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Evelyn mentioned stormy conditions on the TV forecast. Structural damage was mentioned.

Some strong winds coming in at the end of the 12Z NAE. 850 hpa winds up to 90kt off the southwest coast.

Last edited by maquiladora; 26-12-2012 at 19:01.
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26-12-2012, 22:04   #3
maquiladora
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Scotland really gets the full force of that storm on the 18Z GFS.

850 hpa winds almost touching 200 km/h up around there at 57 hours.
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27-12-2012, 00:30   #4
Oscar Bravo
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A 0008 update from Met Eireann Headline : Very unsettled weather for the rest of December and in the first week of the New Year. Wet and windy at times, but relatively mild.

Friday night : Extremely windy at first, with very strong southerly winds and with a risk of stormy conditions and damaging winds in coastal areas of the west and north. Rain will clear eastwards early in the night to scattered showers and winds will veer southwesterly and east a little.

Saturday 29th December : Cold and windy, with bright spells and showers, the showers most frequent in Munster, Connacht and west Ulster, with a risk of hail and thunder. Max. 6 to 9 Celsius, with strong and gusty SW'ly winds. Further scattered showers overnight and very cold, but too windy for any significant frost. Min.. 1 to 4 Celsius.

Sunday 30th December : A mainly dry morning, with just a few scattered showers and breezy, with fresh and gusty W to SW winds. More persistent rain will spread from the southwest in the afternoon and evening, with strong southerly winds.

Monday, New Year's Eve : Brightening up, with sunny spells developing. Scattered showers also, most of them in the west and north. Max. 6 to 9 C., in a fresh to strong westerly wind. Cold overnight, with some frost.

New Year's Day : Cold, bright and mostly dry, but more wet and windy weather will spread from the Atlantic later in the day and overnight.

Further Outlook : Changeable and very unsettled weather continuing.
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27-12-2012, 07:18   #5
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Looks like it could be rough tomorrow now. looks like the future is very unsettled now for the immediate period.
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27-12-2012, 09:55   #6
maquiladora
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06Z NAE has winds reaching up to hurricane force out at sea. Sustained 75mph winds.



It looks like we will miss the worst of it. Some strong winds along west and northwest coasts, but nothing too unusual for those places at this time of year. Very strong out at sea though.
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27-12-2012, 13:16   #7
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I see met eireann have a status red for wind tomorrow eve with gusts up to 140kph in connacht..strong if that happens.
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27-12-2012, 13:16   #8
 
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hello people met.ie have a red warning out for 140kph winds. were are the discussions cant believe its so quiet
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27-12-2012, 13:44   #9
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hello people met.ie have a red warning out for 140kph winds. were are the discussions cant believe its so quiet
Agree never saw it so quite with what could be the strongest storm for a very long time, 140 kph is a hurricane force
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27-12-2012, 14:03   #10
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Agree never saw it so quite with what could be the strongest storm for a very long time, 140 kph is a hurricane force
Because it's not happening in dublin
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27-12-2012, 14:18   #11
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Is it just wind or heavy rain also? Met seems to be mentioning just wind. I think heavy rain today but tomorrow night seems to be just a wind event
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27-12-2012, 14:37   #12
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hello people met.ie have a red warning out for 140kph winds. were are the discussions cant believe its so quiet
Two probable reasons, one people are busy over Christmas holidays and the fact there is no mention of snow
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27-12-2012, 14:37   #13
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Met Eireann has issued a Severe Weather Warning for Connacht, which seems to be a step higher than the Weather Advisory or Weather Alert that they usually issue for these type of things.

Quote:
Issued at 27 December 2012 - 12:20

Severe Weather Warning

Severe weather warning for Connacht

Strong south to southwest winds during Friday will reach mean speeds of 70 to 90 kph at their peak during Friday evening with gusts of 120 to 140 kph likely.

Weather warning countrywide

Strong south to southwest winds during Friday will reach mean speeds of 50 to 70 kph at their peak during Friday evening with gusts of 110 to 120 kph likely. Winds strongest at the coast.
It has triggered a rare Red awareness level on Meteoalarm for Connacht tomorrow. Rest of the country in Orange.



Storm force winds certainly likely on some exposed coasts there, but inland and away from those areas (the majority of the people on here) it will be a lot less windy.

Sea Area:

Quote:
Outlook for a further 24 hours until 1200 Saturday 29 December 2012: Southerly gales or strong gales, with storm force winds and violent storm force gusts on Friday in the southwest, west and north, decreasing gale force southwesterly on Friday night. Occasional rain, drizzle and fog, clearing to showers on Friday night.
Wouldn't be shocked to see hurricane force being mentioned for Rockall/Hebrides on the shipping foreast tomorrow if the 06Z NAE is right.

12Z models out soon.
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27-12-2012, 14:40   #14
 
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Originally Posted by maquiladora View Post
Met Eireann has issued a Severe Weather Warning for Connacht, which seems to be a step higher than the Weather Advisory or Weather Alert that they usually issue for these type of things.



It has triggered a rare Red awareness level on Meteoalarm for Connacht tomorrow. Rest of the country in Orange.



Storm force winds certainly likely on some exposed coasts there, but inland and away from those areas (the majority of the people on here) it will be a lot less windy.

Sea Area:



Wouldn't be shocked to see hurricane force being mentioned for Rockall/Hebrides on the shipping foreast tomorrow if the 06Z NAE is right.

12Z models out soon.
Looks fairly serious. Must give the family a heads up on the west coast
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27-12-2012, 14:48   #15
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Will be following this one with interest, some interesting weather would be nice

Very little maritime traffic off the West coast of Ireland at the moment. AIS is showing one vessel entering the Shannon estuary and one vessel approx 150nm West of the Shannon estuary and Foynes Port indicating the arrival of a vessel on the evening of the 29th.

Last edited by Tactical; 27-12-2012 at 15:11.
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