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08-02-2021, 16:26   #46
Donegal Ken
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Does that chart mean its game over for decent snow on Thursday even further north and east for the Wexford to Galway line?
No it doesn't mean game over. There still is good potential for some areas to see snow on Thursday into Friday. Long time between now and Thursday.
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08-02-2021, 16:26   #47
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Christ almighty the latest GFS has pretty much constant snow for Leinster from Thursday to Sunday. The Atlantic just not getting through with each push.
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08-02-2021, 16:33   #48
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if that transpired that would almost be a red alert for Leinster.
72 hours of continuous snowfall.
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08-02-2021, 16:34   #49
Gonzo
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latest charts are looking very snowy for Leinster over the weekend. If these chart verify some places could be in trouble. Very unlikely to verify but teh GFS 12z is predicting between 18 and 80cm of snow in Leinster by Monday. (30 to 80cm more for the wicklow mountains)



But a huge pinch of salt to bear in mind as the fronts may break up on their way to Leinster depending on how well the cold block remains. On the other hand the Atlantic and it's warmer uppers could make this all very marginal. However right now it looks some parts of Leinster could be in for serious dumpings of snow over the weekend.
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08-02-2021, 16:37   #50
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The Icon sees it as a pretty marginal event for most

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08-02-2021, 17:03   #51
Cloudio9
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if that transpired that would almost be a red alert for Leinster.
72 hours of continuous snowfall.
No six nations match on Sunday then.
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08-02-2021, 17:03   #52
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Still no sign of any increase in convection upstream for later. 700-600 hPa has cooled by about 5 degrees over NE England in the last 24 hours but the very low dewpoints are reducing surface instability to offset this. Windspeed is a little too strong to allow enough residence time to bring up dewpoints a little and destabilise the surface parcels a little more. We need the wind to abate a little, but there seems to be only a narrow window for this overnight. For now, cloudtops remain at or below 3000 m.

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08-02-2021, 17:07   #53
Donegal Ken
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Status Yellow - Snow/Ice warning for Dublin, Kildare, Louth, Wicklow, Meath and Monaghan
Met Éireann Weather Warning


Snow accumulations of 2 to 5 cm in places.

Valid: 18:00 Monday 08/02/2021 to 18:00 Tuesday 09/02/2021

Issued: 16:00 Monday 08/02/2021
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08-02-2021, 17:20   #54
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I am getting mixed signals from this thread.
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08-02-2021, 17:33   #55
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I am getting mixed signals from this thread.
That'll be the mixed signals!
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08-02-2021, 17:34   #56
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Quote:
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I am getting mixed signals from this thread.
In summery: light to moderate snow showers from now till tomorrow evening/night along eastern coastal counties. Much of this will be hit and miss depending on streamers and shadows. Small accumulations of 1 to 5 cm possible between now and Wednesday, a few lucky places could get a little bit more than this maybe up to 8 or 9cm. Some places in the highlighted counties may get nothing at all if they avoid all the streamers.

Forget about Thursday onwards for now, so much can go right or wrong with Thursday to Sunday at this point.
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08-02-2021, 18:15   #57
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Eagerly awaiting what the ECM has to say for itself.
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08-02-2021, 18:20   #58
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GFS 12z has completed.

Most GFS members are trending towards a continuation of the cold spell and a fairly significant increase in the snow potential for this weekend and early next week before a warm up takes place. The mild weekend blip is non existent at this point.

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08-02-2021, 18:25   #59
giveitholly
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GFS 12z has completed.

Most GFS members are trending towards a continuation of the cold spell and a fairly significant increase in the snow potential for this weekend and early next week before a warm up takes place. The mild weekend blip is non existent at this point.

Would that be for all of Ireland or is it still going to get mild in the south of the country?
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08-02-2021, 18:30   #60
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ECM 12z for 8pm Thursday

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