Feb 29th - Snowfall/Wintry Conditions

Kermit.de.frog · 22-02-2020 10:39pm

Dare I say a slight upgrade on the latest ICON

Can't say tomorrow night won't be entertaining!

nacho libre · 22-02-2020 10:40pm

So it seems like Coleraine will be the place to be on Monday Morning!

Scotland will get plastered too by the looks of things.

Kermit.de.frog · 22-02-2020 10:43pm

You look in a bit of a sweet spot for this Nacho

km79 · 22-02-2020 10:47pm

nacho libre wrote: »

So it seems like Coleraine will be the place to be on Monday Morning!

Scotland will get plastered too by the looks of things.

Coleraine is in ULSTER so we are sorted
Should have loads of photos

Kermit.de.frog · 22-02-2020 10:50pm

Ulster may not be the best of the best though this time

All depends of the exact trajectory of these fronts. The real good spots could be around the border counties and across to Mayo and Galway

redsteveireland · 22-02-2020 10:50pm

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

Dare I say a slight upgrade on the latest ICON

Can't say tomorrow night won't be entertaining!

Looks like I'm just on the wrong side of the knife edge this time. More flooding looks likely as things are pretty poor around Galway already.

Kermit.de.frog · 22-02-2020 10:56pm

redsteveireland wrote: »

Looks like I'm just on the wrong side of the knife edge this time. More flooding looks likely as things are pretty poor around Galway already.

Better placed than us Dubs - we have an onshore breeze which will probably do it for us. Expecting a real mess of rain, sleet and a few flakes.

This one of those setups where I see rain and Gonzo, for example, a little inland has snow.

ninebeanrows · 22-02-2020 11:13pm

Expecting this low to keep trending south. Could stay dry in Coleraine

mirrorwall14 · 22-02-2020 11:16pm

Will the onshore breeze affect far inland? Like Meath/Dublin coasts obviously but what about Kildare and outer commuter belt to Dublin west. Assuming you are north enough to be within the sweet spot!

pad199207 · 22-02-2020 11:18pm

mirrorwall14 wrote: »

Will the onshore breeze affect far inland? Like Meath/Dublin coasts obviously but what about Kildare and outer commuter belt to Dublin west. Assuming you are north enough to be within the sweet spot!

Usually in these situations it’s Newbridge/The Curragh and westwards that normally see the white gold

Kermit.de.frog · 22-02-2020 11:27pm

Shelter from the on shore breeze won't be enough on this occasion though with much milder air making in roads anyway.

I think Kildare, Meath will get snow but it's a question of how how long it lasts.

kittyn · 22-02-2020 11:53pm

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

Better placed than us Dubs - we have an onshore breeze which will probably do it for us. Expecting a real mess of rain, sleet and a few flakes.

This one of those setups where I see rain and Gonzo, for example, a little inland has snow.

It looks good for me ...... I’m hoping anyway

uck51js9zml2yt · 22-02-2020 11:54pm

Will I be able to get out of my house in North Kerry with all this snow in the Midlands?

I'm sorry, I just had to ask :;
I'll probably see it in the Reeks anyway. The last lot hasn't melted yet.

Snow Garden · 23-02-2020 12:14am

Bring it on. I love going for a night-time walk in falling snow.

Oscar Bravo · 23-02-2020 12:33am

Knock Airport TAF has Sleet to start off with tomorrow night turning to Snow between 10pm and midnight.

Gaoth Laidir · 23-02-2020 12:47am

This evening's soundings look epic for much of the midlands, west and north for a narrow window tomorrow night. All profiles are showing a deep saturated layer just below zero, which is the optimum profile for heavy snowfall. The only thing is it will quickly turn to heavy rain once the window passes.

The eastern coastal counties are stuck with that warm marine layer, which should make it cold rain overall. But watch stations such as Mullingar and Ballyhaise this time tomorrow. Should be interesting.

Oneiric 3 · 23-02-2020 12:56am

What ever about snow, more moderately high accumulations look likely over much of the country between now and Monday morning. As RedSteve said, won't help with any flooding problems.

Neddyusa · 23-02-2020 10:09am

Oneiric 3 wrote: »

What ever about snow, more moderately high accumulations look likely over much of the country between now and Monday morning. As RedSteve said, won't help with any flooding problems.

Yep "flooding" rather than snow should be the emphasis of this OP

Oscar Bravo · 23-02-2020 10:32am

Here comes the rain again....

Status Yellow - Rainfall warning for Connacht, Cavan, Monaghan, Donegal, Dublin, Kildare, Laois, Longford, Louth, Wicklow, Offaly, Westmeath, Meath, Clare and Tipperary

UPDATE:
A spell of rain tonight into Monday morning will lead to accumulations of between 20 to 25mm, with higher totals possible in upland areas.
The rain is likely to be preceded by a period of sleet and snow in parts of Connacht, Ulster and north Leinster, before turning to rain later in the night.
As the ground is saturated at the moment and river levels are elevated the combined effect of rainfall and snow melt may lead to some localised surface and river flooding.

Valid: 20:00 Sunday 23/02/2020 to 08:00 Monday 24/02/2020

Issued: 09:12 Sunday 23/02/2020

Oneiric 3 · 23-02-2020 11:52am

3am forecast probability chart for 2cm or more of snow. Highest in the NW.

Reporters to look out for tonight: Pangea, Nacho, Donegal Storm, Goldfinch, Pauldry. OwenC.

Kermit.de.frog · 23-02-2020 11:55am

Agree with other posters regarding the snow risk which is elevated through much of the week particularly midweek. Not just overnight tonight to watch.

Hopefully we get some pics from the sweet spots.

Maybe should change the thread title?

"Week of 24th Feb --> snowfall risk"

Kermit.de.frog · 23-02-2020 12:00pm

Neddyusa wrote: »

Yep "flooding" rather than snow should be the emphasis of this OP

Added a note

Kermit.de.frog · 23-02-2020 12:12pm

AROME high def going for widespread wintry precipitation and snow across a good chunk of Leinster for a while.

Graces7 · 23-02-2020 12:14pm

Yahir Freezing Purple wrote: »

Will I be able to get out of my house in North Kerry with all this snow in the Midlands?

I'm sorry, I just had to ask :;
I'll probably see it in the Reeks anyway. The last lot hasn't melted yet.

Ah easy for thee! Just get a tea tray and away you go down the mountain! Out here we will have to swim for it!

Donegal Storm · 23-02-2020 1:00pm

Oneiric 3 wrote: »

Reporters to look out for tonight: Pangea, Nacho, Donegal Storm, Goldfinch, Pauldry. OwenC.

Shame about the timing just, don't think I'd be fit for much tomorrow if I was up till after 3am.

Plenty snow on the hills here this morning though snow line quite high, I'd guess around 500m

munsterlegend · 23-02-2020 1:11pm

Donegal Storm wrote: »

Shame about the timing just, don't think I'd be fit for much tomorrow if I was up till after 3am.

Plenty snow on the hills here this morning though snow line quite high, I'd guess around 500m

Or hit the bed around 8 and set alarm for 1!

highdef · 23-02-2020 1:13pm

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

AROME high def going for widespread wintry precipitation and snow across a good chunk of Leinster for a while.

I'm guessing that this high definition chart takes topography into account as the hills in my immediate vicinity show up as little pink dots of snow, West of Kilcock. The hills are in the 130 - 150m range in height.

Goldfinch8 · 23-02-2020 1:32pm

I met an elderly neighbour out walking on the road earlier. He pointed to the top of Nephin and said "the old people used to say that the snow up there is waiting for more snow at this time of the year".
One way or the other, I hope that a bit of lampost watching (or back door light in my case) might be on the cards later tonight.

YanSno · 23-02-2020 2:59pm

We have a better chance of lying snow on Tuesday, front coming in from the north west due point around 0c and freezing levels down about 100m.

Gonzo · 23-02-2020 3:17pm

Arpege shows less snow than yesterdays runs with rain mostly for Meath, Dublin and Kildare, snow in the midlands, north-west and Ulster.

arpegeuk-1-22-0.png?23-11

GFS has toned down even further from yesterday with a very brief moment of snow over the midlands with snow mostly across NI and perhaps Donegal.

21-574UK.GIF?23-6

Hirlam moves the snowrisk north from yesterdays runs as well, keeping it to the north midlands, NI and the north-west. Rain along eastern counties too.

hirlamuk-1-20-0.png?23-10

Icon takes in more of the midlands for some temporary snow, rain along eastern counties away from high ground.

A definite downgrade all around for tonights snow in eastern and more southern areas and central areas.

Still looks game on for Ulster, NI and maybe parts of the north midlands and very north of Leinster. Rain and flooding will be more of an issue for most parts tonight. Lying snow for any length of time is probably more restricted to high ground and parts of NI.

Feb 29th - Snowfall/Wintry Conditions

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