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28-10-2019, 07:21   #5416
M.T. Cranium
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Monday, 28 October, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 28 Oct to 3 Nov 2019

-- Temperatures will average near normal values, starting quite cold but warming to above normal for a while, ending near normal.
-- Rainfall will average near normal, most of it will come from Wednesday to Sunday, dry in most places until then.
-- Sunshine will average 25% below normal, and most of that will come today and tomorrow, so quite cloudy after mid-week.


FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy with moderate northeast winds at times, highs 9 to 12 C. There may be thicker cloud layers at times in the south and parts of the west extending from offshore disturbances, better sunshine for north Leinster, Ulster and parts of Connacht.

TONIGHT will produce some frost again with lows -2 to +4 C, more confined to northern counties, as cloud will keep temperatures in the 4 to 7 C range further south.

TUESDAY will be partly to mostly cloudy, and there could be some light rain by afternoon in west Munster. Highs will range from 10 to 13 C.

WEDNESDAY will be overcast with rain moving in from the west, about 10 mm likely. Lows near 5 C and highs near 11 C.

THURSDAY will be overcast with rain and some fog, milder, lows near 7 C and highs near 13 C. About 10-20 mm rain likely.

FRIDAY will see some partial clearing and showers more isolated, lows near 6 C and highs near 12 C.

The weekend of 2-3 November is now looking quite windy. Once the remnants of Pablo circle around and energize low pressure out in the central Atlantic, one organized storm is likely to form and move towards Ireland. There could be intervals of strong south to southwest winds by the weekend, and heavy rainfalls. Temperatures will remain around 9 to 12 C. The following week also looks very unsettled with further wind and rain, and a slowly falling temperature trend (7-9 C).

My local weather on Sunday was partly cloudy and cool with highs around 5 C. We are expecting a weak cold front to push through later today with light snow and clearing for Monday night, possibly a hard freeze with lows to -8 C by Tuesday here. That won't last too long as the upper flow changes from northerly to westerly by mid-week, sending the very cold air into central regions of the United States and energizing a strong wintry low pressure area for the Great Lakes region by end of the week. This could be the first major outbreak of snow squalls for that region.
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29-10-2019, 07:18   #5417
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Tuesday, 29 October, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 29 Oct to 4 Nov 2019

-- Temperatures will average near normal (at this time of year, highs near 12 and lows near 4).
-- Rainfall will average near normal to 25% above normal in parts of the south.
-- Sunshine will average only about half of normal, perhaps closer to normal in Ulster.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be mostly cloudy across the south, and also into central counties at times, with some sunny breaks further north. Moderate east to northeast winds 50 to 70 km/hr in exposed areas, highs 9 to 11 C.

TONIGHT will be overcast with light rain spreading into parts of the south and southwest, lows 4 to 7 C.

WEDNESDAY will be overcast with occasional rain, highs near 12 C.

THURSDAY will be cloudy with a few breaks, but intervals of rain will become heavier at times by afternoon. Lows near 7 C and highs 11 to 14 C.

FRIDAY will be partly cloudy with passing showers, lows near 7 C and highs near 13 C.

The weekend outlook is unsettled with some intervals of strong winds and rain, but a complex weather pattern with lows swirling around the region will bring changeable conditions with some less windy periods if low pressure develops slack central features. Highs will be generally around 10 C.

The further outlook is cold and rather windy as a northeast flow develops, probably too mild for snow but a sleety rain at times especially in eastern regions more exposed to the onshore winds. Temperatures for much of next week will only be around 5 to 8 C.

My local weather turned quite cold with light snow at times, falling temperatures from near 5 C this morning to -2 C by evening. This looks like being a short duration cold spell here as the cold air settles further south into the central and western U.S. The pattern unfortunately is going to amplify the strong east winds blowing into California making it difficult for them to fight raging wildfires for a few more days. Also this set-up will produce a storm in the central plains states moving towards the Great Lakes region later in the week.
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30-10-2019, 07:44   #5418
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Wednesday, 30 October, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 30 Oct to 5 Nov 2019

-- Temperatures will average near normal values, somewhat milder from tomorrow to Sunday then somewhat colder than average next week.
-- Rainfall will average at least normal amounts (which would be 25-35 mm a week around now), in some parts of the south a bit higher.
-- Sunshine will be rather infrequent especially in the south until near the end of this interval.

FORECASTS

TODAY will remain dry and sometimes sunny in parts of the north, with a gradual increase in cloud in central regions and overcast near the south coast with light rain at times. Moderate east winds of 50 to 70 km/hr in some exposed locations will feel chilly but temperatures are slowly recovering from the recent cold spell, highs will reach 10 to 13 C today.

TONIGHT will become overcast and rain will spread gradually further into central and southeastern counties. Lows 3 to 7 C, coldest in Ulster.

THURSDAY will be relatively mild with occasional rain, becoming heavy at times in Munster by afternoon, 10 to 20 mm rain likely and highs will reach 12 to 15 C, once again milder in the southwest.

FRIDAY will be partly cloudy with passing showers and southwest winds sometimes rather gusty, temperatures steady near 10 C.

The WEEKEND OUTLOOK is a bit uncertain in detail although we can be pretty certain it will be unsettled with occasional rain, a risk of strong winds especially near south coast depending on tracks of circling low pressure systems. There is more likelihood of strong winds across marine areas south of Cork towards the Channel and northwest France but they could spread into some parts of Ireland. Both days will be largely overcast with 5-10 mm rainfalls expected each day, and highs around 10 C.

NEXT WEEK will stay unsettled at first, but a colder and drier northeasterly flow will develop as the complex of lows moves gradually into central Europe. That will make it quite cold although not truly wintry, highs will average about 7 C and overnight lows could fall to -2 C inland and away from larger towns. That cooler dry spell could be interrupted by weak Atlantic fronts that might bring a mixture of sleet, rain and hail showers.

My local weather on Tuesday was remarkably clear and very cold, it was around -13 C at sunrise and never got much warmer than -1 C all day. These are close to all-time record low values for this region in October. One good thing about the clear skies was that we could see a very thin crescent moon this evening, can't recall ever seeing one so thin. The severe cold has spread all the way south to Utah, Colorado, northern Arizona and New Mexico, setting off heavy snowfalls over some of the mountain ranges there. Not quite as chilly for the desert southwest but below normal at 15-20 C daytime and near freezing at night. A storm is getting organized in Kansas heading for Michigan by late tomorrow. This will keep things rather mild in the eastern states until the first of November, but snow will be falling in the Great Lakes and Midwest regions.
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31-10-2019, 06:51   #5419
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Thursday, 31 October, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 31 Oct to 6 Nov 2019

-- Temperatures will average near normal values, mild at first, then rather cold towards the end of this interval.
-- Rainfall will average about 80 to 110 per cent of normal values, more likely to be above average in the south than elsewhere.
-- Sunshine will be only half to two-thirds of the normal amount which itself is only about 3 hours a day.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be cloudy with a few breaks in the overcast, showers at first will give way to longer intervals of rain and some heavier bursts across the south by afternoon and evening with 10-20 mm possible there (about 5 mm elsewhere). Milder than recent days with highs of about 14 to 16 C in some parts of the south, 12 to 14 C further north.

TONIGHT will be overcast with a few showers and moderate southwest winds, lows near 7 C.

FRIDAY will continue partly to mostly cloudy with showers and moderate southwest winds, highs 11 to 13 C.

SATURDAY will bring some intervals of strong westerly winds and squally showers, possibly some with thunder or hail. Temperatures will remain steady around 10-12 C in the south, 8-10 C in the north where it likely won't get too windy. The coasts of Clare and north Kerry as well as parts of the south coast could see gusts to 110 km/hr around mid-day, and inland about 80 km/hr through the midlands and southeast.

SUNDAY will bring a few intervals of rain but there will be a slow clearing trend for parts of the north and northwest where winds may begin to turn more to the northeast. Temperatures will range from near 10 C in the southeast and west Munster, to 8 C in central counties and 5 to 7 C in the north.

MONDAY and TUESDAY of next week will be colder days with some brighter intervals despite a fair amount of cloud, passing sleety showers near the east and north coasts, and northeast winds of 40 to 70 km/hr adding a chill to rather low daytime temperatures of 5 to 8 C. Nights will be frosty inland and lows will be -2 to +2 C.

By WEDNESDAY a weak front is expected to arrive from the Atlantic. It will not be bringing very much warmth along, and could therefore produce some wintry mixtures of precipitation in higher inland areas, with cold rain showers at sea level. Temperatures will remain about the same, 6 to 9 C the most likely range.

That system will be followed by somewhat milder westerly flow from the Atlantic, highs could reach about 9 or 10 C, before more cold air pushes down around the following weekend and into mid-November; at this point the guidance looks quite cold for much of next month although never quite into obvious snowfall potential, but it wouldn't take much of an upgrade to get to that end result.

My local weather on Wednesday remained clear and quite cold although the chill is slowly moderating as a weak westerly flow develops around the strong high pressure that brought this chill -- the high was about 5 C. It looks like a more normal interval of late autumn weather ahead here. Snow is falling in parts of the Midwest as low pressure now in southern Michigan moves northeast; that will be followed by very cold northwest winds and snow squalls off the Great Lakes by late today in western portions and through late Friday further east.
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01-11-2019, 07:39   #5420
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Friday, 1st of November, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 1 to 7 November

-- Temperatures will average 1 to 2 deg below normal, despite a rather mild first day.
-- Rainfall will average 25 to 50 per cent above normal in parts of the west and south, to 25 per cent below normal in Ulster.
-- Sunshine will average about two thirds of normal, or two hours a day instead of the average of three (this falls steadily during November).

FORECASTS

TODAY will be mild with some brighter intervals in the east this morning, as rain develops further west. A band of heavier rain with some embedded thunderstorms will move into Galway, Clare and some other parts of west Munster around mid-day. About 20-40 mm is possible from then to Saturday morning. The rain will be more sporadic elsewhere and may amount to 10-15 mm for many other places. Highs 13 to 16 C. Strong south to southwest winds reaching 80 to 120 km/hr will also develop later today and peak overnight near the southwest and south coasts. Some parts of Clare may be included, anywhere south of the track of low pressure (expected to be roughly Lahinch to Limerick to Waterford) will get the strong winds, places north of the track will only see moderate southeast winds followed by moderate northwesterlies late tonight.

TONIGHT will be very windy across the south coastal counties, with south to southwest gales of 80 to 120 km/hr switching around to west to northwest at similar speeds later in the night as the low pressure centre passes. Heavy rains (totalling 20-40 mm) will move across the southeast with less prolific amounts (10-20 mm) in central and eastern counties. Some drizzly light rain likely in the north, with partial clearing and gusty northwest winds near the west coast, bands of light rain or drizzle extending from the Atlantic well inland by morning. Lows will be 6 to 8 C.

SATURDAY will continue very windy across the south with a gradual moderating trend to 50-80 km/hr west to northwest winds by afternoon. It will also become fairly windy in other areas further north once the low reaches Wales by mid-day. Some bands of light rain will wrap around the circulation with brighter conditions between the bands. This may tend to set up steady state so the radar will be your guide to how that may turn out locally. Highs will be 8 to 11 C.

SUNDAY another area of low pressure, this one without much energy, will drift into southern counties from the northwest, and bring variable cloud and scattered showers. Rainfalls of about 5-10 mm will be fairly widespread. Somewhat cooler with highs 7 to 10 C. Generally slack wind gradients that will be cyclonic around coastal regions (southerly on east coast, easterly in Ulster, northerly on west coast and westerly near the south coast).

MONDAY will become colder with northeast winds of 40 to 70 km/hr, bands of rather sleety showers likely, some isolated thunderstorms within streamers off the Irish Sea, and brighter intervals especially further west, morning lows near 3 C and afternoon highs near 7 C.

TUESDAY will also be bright and rather cold with isolated wintry showers, mainly in streamers from Irish Sea and Atlantic, in moderate northeast winds dying out during the day to become light and variable by afternoon. Morning lows -1 to +3 C with some frosts, afternoon highs around 8 C.

WEDNESDAY will see a rather weak frontal system bringing moderate southeast winds and rainfalls of 5-15 mm, some sleet possible on high ground, and highs near 8 C except possibly 10-12 C in Munster.

There will be slightly milder conditions for part of Thursday, then a push of colder air from the north will arrive and drop temperatures to around 5-7 C daytime with frosts at night late in the week.

My local weather on Thursday continued clear and cool with the high around 7 C after another sub-zero start. The cold air has produced some remarkably low temperatures down in southern Utah, I checked a report and found lows of -23 C at Kodachrome Basin, -19 C at Bryce Canyon and -16 C at Cedar City. Even St George and Las Vegas (more subtropical) had frosts for several nights. This is due to clear skies over a recent snow cover on the plateau regions. Some weather stations in the western U.S. have reported temperatures 20 to 25 (Celsius) degrees below normal values in the past few days, including Denver, Grand Junction and Salt Lake City. This moderates somewhat to 10 degrees below normal in Phoenix and southeastern California. All of the cold air fed into a storm that gave Chicago a record 15 cm snowfall the past two days, obliterating the daily records of trace amounts (and that's going back over a century). The same storm brought damaging westerly winds to the lower Great Lakes overnight, gusts to 120 km/hr were reported on the north shore of Lake Ontario. Snow squalls are now developing off Lake Huron. New York and Boston will be hit by strong winds also this morning although it will not turn particularly cold there.
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01-11-2019, 18:14   #5421
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UPDATE _ ALERT for strong winds and possible coastal flooding Kerry-Cork-Waterford
___________________________________________________________________

Friday 1st November, 2019 _ 6:15 pm

Rapidly developing low pressure west of Clare will track southeast across parts of west Munster tonight, emerging into the Atlantic around Youghal-Dunvargan area. This will force very strong southerly winds to develop ahead of the low, with possible coastal flooding at high tide in parts of county Cork in particular. When the low approaches, southerly winds of 80 to 130 km/hr may develop and cause some minor damage. As the low passes, expect winds in the affected counties to veer rapidly to west-northwest 70 to 120 km/hr.

The zone with potential for very strong winds will be south of a line approximately Ennis to Limerick (city) to Kilkenny and north Wexford, and to the north of that some moderately strong southeast winds are likely at times, but wind damage should be mainly confined to Kerry, Cork and Waterford as well as parts of south Wexford.

Would recommend avoidance of any travel in these areas during the windstorm as there will also be squally rain and poor visibility in general so that debris on roads will not be easily seen. Strong cross-winds may develop on some routes. The duration of any windstorm conditions is likely to be 4-6 hours. Conditions will tend to improve steadily after sunrise tomorrow.
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02-11-2019, 08:05   #5422
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Saturday, 2 November, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 2 to 8 November 2019

-- Temperatures will average about 0.5 to 1.5 deg below normal values.
-- Rainfall will average near normal but will be rather variable due to banding features.
-- Sunshine will make enough appearances to reach almost the normal amounts.


FORECASTS

TODAY will be rather windy at times with bands of moderate to heavy rainfall moving slowly eastward, the main such band at this time runs from east Galway through Tipperary into Waterford. By evening its remnants will be along the east coast, so if your area of interest is between those two locations, you can estimate when you might be seeing three to five hours of rain and even a rumble of thunder possibly, as this feature moves east. And there may be weaker parallel bands of lighter rainfall setting up to the west of this one. It means that the morning hours may remain fairly dry in Leinster until the band begins to work its way through. Current persistent rain in the midlands should ease off later. West coast conditions will be variable as further bands develop. Temperatures will be somewhat higher outside the rainfall bands as weak influences of sunshine boost highs to 10 or 11 C, but within the rainfall bands closer to 6 or 7 C. Winds rather variable, tending to be moderate northwesterly to the west of the rainfall band, variable within the band itself, and northeast but rather light to the east, with variable directions at times.

TONIGHT the bands of rain will drift further east and dissipate, while being tilted more into an east-west orientation from about Dublin to Galway and further south. This means some places will have largely dry conditions while others see persistent light rainfalls. Winds will generally slacken to near calm in places. Lows will be about 5 C.

SUNDAY will bring further outbreaks of rain with a banded structure again running east-west across most regions. There is probably a higher chance of rain from Dublin to Galway than further north or in some parts of the south midlands, and another higher chance existing near the south coast. Highs will be around 8 to 10 C.

MONDAY all of the disturbed weather will drift away to the southeast over southern England and northern France, leaving Ireland in more of a settled northeast flow, but some streamers will likely form over the Irish Sea and the North Atlantic around Connacht and west Ulster. There may be longer intervals of dry weather and some sunshine at times further south and west. Morning lows about 2 to 5 C and afternoon highs will reach 7 to 10 C. Winds northeast 40 to 60 km/hr.

TUESDAY will also be rather cold and generally dry with a few outbreaks of showery light rain, in more of a variable wind pattern. Lows will be -1 to +3 C with a few scattered light frosts, and highs 7 to 10 C.

WEDNESDAY will bring a period of steady rain with temperatures near 8 C and moderate southeast winds becoming south to southwest by late in the day as partial clearing spreads in from the west.

THURSDAY will be rather cold and breezy with passing showers, some with hail. Highs will be 7 to 9 C.

FRIDAY will see a few more showers and highs around 8 C.

The maps beyond that hint of colder weather arriving from the east with a wintry spell likely to be settling in over Scandinavia and parts of central Europe by the weekend of 9th-10th. This may not fully impact on the weather in Ireland but eventually there could be some rather chilly days even this far west, in an east to northeast wind flow.

The storm system that crossed west Munster overnight kept most of its strong winds offshore and is pounding parts of southwest England and south Wales this morning. The low passed directly over Cork around 0200h with a pressure of 970 mbs being achieved shortly thereafter near the offshore energy platform where winds gusted over 100 km/hr. Stronger wind effects on land were confined to a few outer headlands in west Cork and south Kerry. The current bands of rain are being dragged along by this low which has turned more northeastward recently and is headed across inland Wales towards Yorkshire eventually.

My local weather on Friday continued clear and cool after a severe frost again, with afternoon highs near 7 C.
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03-11-2019, 08:21   #5423
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Sunday, 3 November, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 3 to 9 November, 2019

-- Temperatures will average about 1 deg below normal, which means an average daytime high near 10 C and lows near 4 C.
-- Rainfall will average near normal to 25% above normal in some parts of the south mainly.
-- Sunshine will get into the mix occasionally and reach about a normal value of 2.5 hours a day.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be misty or foggy at times this morning, then brighter by mid-day and afternoon in the north at least, with outbreaks of showery and mostly light rain in the south, with highs of 8 to 10 C.

TONIGHT will be overcast with occasional light rain in the south, to partly cloudy further north, with lows 3 to 6 C.

MONDAY will continue to have some rain in parts of the south, partly cloudy further north with isolated showers developing mainly from streamers developing over northern parts of the Irish Sea and the Atlantic north of Connacht. Winds will become northeast to northerly at about 40 to 60 km/hr. A bit colder with highs 7 to 9 C.

TUESDAY will be a partly sunny day with only isolated and brief showers near some coasts, morning frosts with lows -2 to +3 C, and afternoon highs 9 to 11 C.

WEDNESDAY will bring a more organized band of rainfall, 10 to 20 mm likely, with temperatures steady around 8 to 10 C.

THURSDAY will become brighter and rather cold with scattered showers, some wintry on higher terrain, and some with hail and thunder. Lows will be 1 to 4 C and highs 6 to 9 C.

FRIDAY will be partly cloudy and cold with morning frosts, lows -2 to +2 C and highs 6 to 9 C.

The outlook for next weekend is unsettled and windy with rain likely, temperatures a bit higher near 10 C. The following week looks rather cold but largely dry. Beyond that a stormy interval is being hinted at in some guidance (that would be about two weeks away).

My local weather on Saturday was partly cloudy and milder than recent days with highs reaching 10 C. Quite pleasant compared to the low cloud and rain that is frequently encountered in our climate in November (or snow). The snow line has retreated a bit to 1300 meters and snow in local mountains is a rather thin covering, most of it fell in late September and has been very slowly evaporating into dry air masses since then rather than melting.
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04-11-2019, 07:52   #5424
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Monday, 4 November, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 4 to 10 November 2019

-- Temperatures will average 0.5 to 1.5 deg below normal values.
-- Rainfall will average 25 to 50 per cent above normal.
-- Sunshine will average near normal values.

FORECASTS

TODAY will bring some outbreaks of rain mostly confined to Leinster and east Munster, with some longer dry intervals possible in parts of the midlands. Winds will gradually increase from the northeast to 50-70 km/hr, and it will feel rather cold with highs 7 to 10 C.

TONIGHT will see a reduction in the coverage of any remnant showers until it becomes largely dry by morning, with some clear intervals further west and north, lows could reach 1 to 4 C.

TUESDAY will be breezy at first with isolated showers, northerly winds 40-60 km/hr, then less breezy by afternoon with more widespread sunny intervals. Highs will be 7 to 10 C.

WEDNESDAY will bring outbreaks of rain, 20-40 mm possible, with central and inland southern counties likely to see the higher values, and winds will become southeast 40-60 km/hr, with temperatures steady 8 to 10 C.

THURSDAY will see the rain tapering off to showers and some clearing by afternoon with winds backing to northeast 40-60 km/hr, rather cold with highs only 6 to 9 C.

FRIDAY will become partly cloudy and cold with isolated showers, possibly wintry on some higher ground. Lows -1 to +2 C with scattered frosts, and highs near 7 C.

SATURDAY will become overcast with rain developing later in the day, then SUNDAY will be windy with rain or heavy squally showers in strong southwest to west winds 80-110 km/hr. Temperatures on the weekend will be steady near 9 C.

The outlook for next week calls for colder weather in a northeast wind flow. Although it won't be full-on wintry, it will feel quite cold.

My local weather on Sunday was overcast with mild temperatures near 12 C.
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05-11-2019, 07:57   #5425
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Tuesday, 5 November, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 5 to 11 November 2019

-- Temperatures will average 0.5 to 1.5 deg below normal values.
-- Rainfall will average 25 to 75 per cent above normal, heaviest in the southeast.
-- Sunshine will average near normal values.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be breezy at first with isolated showers, northerly winds 40-60 km/hr, then less breezy by afternoon with more widespread sunny intervals. Highs will be 7 to 10 C.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy although more overcast towards the west coast, and cold with some frost in a few spots in central, northern and eastern counties, lows -1 to +3 C.

WEDNESDAY will bring outbreaks of rain spreading gradually east, by midnight about 20-40 mm possible, with central and inland southern counties likely to see the higher values, and winds will become southeast 40-60 km/hr, with temperatures steady 8 to 10 C. Heavy rain will develop over higher parts of the southeast overnight into Thursday morning, with a flood risk for any rivers or streams in the region. As much as 60 mm could fall over west Wicklow and nearby parts of Kildare and Carlow with 40 mm in parts of south Dublin.

THURSDAY will see the rain tapering off to showers and some clearing by afternoon with winds backing to northeast 40-60 km/hr, rather cold with highs only 6 to 9 C. The heavier rain in the inland southeast will slowly diminish to showery falls. The flood risk would remain for some time after the heavy rain ends though.

FRIDAY will become partly cloudy and cold with isolated showers, possibly wintry on some higher ground. Lows -1 to +2 C with scattered frosts, and highs near 7 C.

SATURDAY will become overcast with rain developing later in the day, windy at times and potential for 15-25 mm rain, highs near 8 C.

SUNDAY is now looking quite cold and while some brighter intervals are likely, scattered heavy showers may form with locally heavy downpours, hail possible with those, highs near 7 C.

Next week will continue cold and unsettled with moderate east to northeast winds at times, some intervals of rain that might become sleety on higher ground, and some partly cloudy spells with more isolated showers created by streamers from the Irish Sea. Highs will generally be in the range of 6 to 9 C and overnight lows will be rather close to freezing, held up somewhat by cloud and the wind coming across still relatively warm waters.

My local weather on Monday was sunny and mild, so we took advantage and went for a day trip south of the border where it was even milder at about 15 C. We're expecting this to last one more day then colder air will clip us on the way past as a major cold wave develops over central regions headed for the east coast by the weekend. The winter appears to be coming early and fast for central and then eastern parts of North America.
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06-11-2019, 07:27   #5426
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Wednesday, 6 November, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 6 to 12 November, 2019

-- Temperatures will average about 1.0 to 2.0 deg below normal values.
-- Rainfall will average near normal with a few pockets of 25-50 per cent above normal in Leinster.
-- Sunshine will average near normal values (which is only about 2.5 hours a day).

FORECASTS

TODAY will become mostly cloudy with outbreaks of light rain generally moving from western counties around mid-day to the east by afternoon and evening. Amounts will generally be heavier in the south, although also locally heavy in northwest Connacht, 10 to 20 mm will be the range. Highs will reach 8 to 10 C.

TONIGHT will see further outbreaks of rain becoming heavy at times in Wicklow and south Dublin where 10-20 mm further can be expected. Moderate west to northwest winds will develop across parts of Munster but other regions will be in a slack east to northeast flow. Some fog will develop where winds remain light. Lows 4 to 7 C.

THURSDAY will see a slow brightening trend in many parts of the country, with rain increasingly confined to the Leinster coast and parts of east Ulster. There will continue to be a few isolated showers in other areas, with winds becoming more northerly at 50 to 70 km/hr. Rather cold with highs 5 to 8 C.

FRIDAY will start out with a scattered frost, lows -2 to +3 C, then increasing cloud and isolated showers, highs 7 to 9 C.

SATURDAY will have intervals of rain during the morning, with gusty south to southwest winds in the early morning hours, veering to westerly later, with partly cloudy skies and more isolated showers. Lows 4 to 7 C and highs 8 to 10 C.

SUNDAY will become breezy to windy again with more rain expected late in the day. Highs near 9 C.

The outlook for next week is for unsettled and rather cool conditions with frequent showers although not as much rain in total as this week will produce. It may become more stormy towards the end of that week with northwesterly gales indicated on charts around two weeks from now.

My local weather was unusually pleasant for November, blue skies and quite warm temperatures near 15 C even at our elevation, probably closer to 20 C in the local valleys. This will change to mostly cloudy and 5-8 C readings today as a weak but mainly dry cold front has just moved through. We are getting a brief sideswipe from very cold air moving south through the prairies towards the Midwest U.S. and eventually the east coast, with wintry temperatures for all those areas forthcoming.
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07-11-2019, 07:56   #5427
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Thursday, 7 November, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 7 to 13 November, 2019

-- Temperatures will average 1 to 2 deg below normal values.
-- Rainfall will generally be close to normal but could exceed that by 25-50 per cent in a few places, notably the capital region and Mayo.
-- Sunshine will average near normal values.


FORECASTS

TODAY will become partly cloudy in most areas with just isolated passing showers, but there will be persistent rainfall in a band currently moving south through Leinster. This seems likely to come to a halt by later this morning in the Dublin-Kildare-north Wicklow region with the risk of some localized flooding as 20-30 mm could fall over some of these areas, notably south Dublin and north Wicklow. Elsewhere rainfalls of trace to 3 mm would be more widespread. Rather cold with highs 7 to 9 C. Winds moderate northwest over parts of Munster, and easterly in Ulster, rather light and variable between those regimes due to slack gradients around the centre of low pressure moving through.

TONIGHT will see partial clearing and fairly widespread frost with lows -2 to +3 C.

FRIDAY will become mostly cloudy around mid-day with some light rain developing in the west by late afternoon. Rather cold with highs around 7 or 8 C.

SATURDAY will start out blustery with rain during the early morning hours clearing east after sunrise, to leave a partly cloudy and breezy day with a few passing showers. About 10 mm of rain is expected in the first part of the day. Morning lows around 4 C and afternoon highs will be near 9 C.

SUNDAY will be generally dry until late in the day with increasing cloud after some morning frosts. There will be some scattered but isolated showers and some of those could be wintry on higher ground. Lows near -2 C and highs near 7 C.

MONDAY will see another fast-moving band of rain early in the day, followed by partial clearing. Cool with highs near 7 C.

Most of next week will be quite cold with wintry mixtures possible on higher ground by mid-week, a cold rain or hail showers at times closer to sea level, in moderate northwesterly winds much of the time. Towards the end of the week it could turn a few degrees milder briefly but then more cold weather is indicated beyond that brief respite. Except for that milder turn, highs will generally be 5 to 8 C. (perhaps 10-12 C for one or two days around Friday 15th).

My local weather did turn a bit colder as expected but it stayed clear after a few hours of low cloud with the frontal passage this morning, and the highs were closer to our normal temperatures at this time of year, 5 to 8 C. The more severe cold stayed further east and it looks like we will be edging back upward again until another cold front arrives on Friday night.
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08-11-2019, 07:01   #5428
M.T. Cranium
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Friday, 8 November, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 8 to 14 November, 2019

-- Temperatures will average 1.0 to 2.0 deg below normal, coldest around middle of next week. Normal values are now around 11 for the maximum and 4 for the minimum.
-- Rainfall will average near normal values, or slightly below in some parts of the west and north.
-- Sunshine will average a little above normal, closer to 3 hours a day than the normal 2 to 2.5 hours.


FORECASTS

TODAY will start out sunny for most of the country, with some residual cloud in north Leinster clearing away gradually. Later this afternoon clouds will increase and some light rain may reach the west Munster coast by evening. Highs 7 to 10 C.

TONIGHT will see cloud continuing to increase with rain and a brief interval of moderate southerly winds, heavier after midnight, with about 5 to 10 mm expected. Lows around 4 C.

SATURDAY will start out with some cloud and showers, with partial clearing by afternoon, in moderate westerly winds. Highs 6 to 9 C.

SUNDAY will have variable cloudiness and a few isolated showers, with another overnight rainfall expected before Monday morning, highs on Sunday around 10 C.

MONDAY will become quite breezy and colder with passing showers, highs near 8 C.

TUESDAY will be partly cloudy with passing showers, breezy and cold, highs near 7 C.

The outlook for mid-week is cold with a few showers which could become wintry on higher ground, winds turning more northerly and highs only around 5 to 7 C. There will likely be scattered frosts away from coasts and larger towns and cities.

It could then turn a bit milder by the following weekend (16th-17th).

My local weather remained dry and temperatures increased slightly to around 9 C.
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09-11-2019, 07:11   #5429
M.T. Cranium
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Posts: 10,367
Saturday, 9 November, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 8 to 14 November, 2019

-- Temperatures will average 1.0 to 2.0 deg below normal, coldest around middle of next week.
-- Rainfall will average near normal values, or slightly below in some parts of the west and north.
-- Sunshine will average a little above normal, closer to 3 hours a day than the normal 2 to 2.5 hours.


FORECASTS

TODAY ... Becoming partly cloudy as rain gradually ends over parts of the Leinster coast, with a few more showers developing in moderate westerly winds 40 to 60 km/hr. Some showers could be briefly heavy with hail and thunder. Highs will be 7 to 10 C.

TONIGHT ... A few clear intervals, cold. Lows -1 to +3 C with scattered frosts.

SUNDAY will have variable cloudiness and a few isolated showers, moderate southwest winds becoming stronger by evening with another overnight rainfall expected before Monday morning, highs on Sunday around 10 C.

MONDAY will become quite breezy and colder with passing showers, highs near 8 C.

TUESDAY will be partly cloudy with passing showers, breezy and cold, highs near 7 C.

WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY are looking very cold and windy with intervals of rain followed by passing wintry showers, some accumulations of sleet possible on higher ground, and highs only 5 to 8 C with winds veering from westerly to northerly 50 to 70 km/hr adding further chill.

FRIDAY will remain cold but not as windy, sharp frosts are likely and highs still only 5 to 8 C.

The outlook calls for slightly milder conditions by the following weekend although only marginally (7 to 11 C) then with another rather strong front likely, colder again after that.

My local weather was overcast, reasonably mild and dry again (which is unusual) with a high of about 9 C.
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10-11-2019, 08:08   #5430
M.T. Cranium
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Posts: 10,367
Sunday, 10 November, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 10 to 16 November, 2019

-- Temperatures will average 2 to 3 deg below normal values.
-- Rainfall will average generally close to average, but parts of east may be slightly above.
-- Sunshine will also average a bit higher than average, although that is quite low in mid-November (2-2.5 hours a day).

FORECASTS

TODAY ... Some local frost inland north this morning will gradually clear, more generally it will be sunny with cloudy intervals, then cloud will increase during the afternoon with rain and strong south to southwest winds setting in over western coastal counties by evening. Staying rather cold all day with highs 7 to 9 C.

TONIGHT ... Windy with rain, briefly heavy at times (10-15 mm likely) then turning blustery and cold towards morning from west to east, overnight lows 2 to 4 C.

MONDAY ... Windy and cold with passing showers, some with hail and thunder. Winds westerly 50 to 80 km/hr. Highs near 7 C.

TUESDAY ... Variable cloud, not as windy, but still some blustery showers at times mainly in western regions, lows near 1 C and highs 6 to 8 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Rain or sleet with strong northerly winds developing, backing to northeast, snow is possible on higher ground later in the day, as temperatures near sea level remain 5 to 7 C, and several degrees colder on higher terrain.

THURSDAY ... Windy and very cold with rain or sleet at times, strong northeast winds, risk of sleet and snow on higher terrain especially in the southeast. Lows near 2 C and highs 5 to 7 C.

FRIDAY ... Some sunny breaks, not quite as windy, cold. Lows near -1 C and highs 5 to 7 C.

OUTLOOK ... The weekend of 16th-17th may become slightly milder or perhaps less cold would be the right wording, as temperatures struggle to reach 9 or 10 C. This interlude will soon be replaced by a renewed cold push from the north but not as windy as this coming week and probably more severe frosts likely with that. If the cold does relent at any point the pattern looks like it would reset to heavy rainfalls with low pressure trapped near Ireland and Britain, so perhaps the cold is the better of the two options available.

My local weather managed one more dry day, probably the first time we have started November with nine dry days. It was quite overcast with temperatures a bit too high for snow (5-6 C) if moisture does manage to fall here, as it has been doing further west, but the rain-snow line looks like it would set up just above our elevation and come down gradually, so I think our winter is about to set in. Near record cold has spread into central regions of North America and parts of the east as well.
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