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26-09-2020, 13:57   #46
sryanbruen
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Markree -1.9C and Mt. Dillon -1.8C according to WOW.
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26-09-2020, 14:26   #47
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We got to -3 in May and now -2 in September.

We didn’t get those types of temperatures in the pit of winter.

Only in Ireland.
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26-09-2020, 19:58   #48
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Quote:
Originally Posted by compsys View Post
We got to -3 in May and now -2 in September.

We didn’t get those types of temperatures in the pit of winter.

Only in Ireland.
As we know its 2020 all bets are off!

I'd say we will see -2 again tonight. Will be keeping an eye to see if it beats last nights.
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27-09-2020, 09:20   #49
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Markee Castle -2.1 yesterday.
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28-09-2020, 10:02   #50
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Mt Dillon got down to -2 again on Sat night but Markee Castle still lowest at -2.1.
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29-09-2020, 23:58   #51
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After four weeks (and I almost forgot to update) ...

IMT has plunged to 13.5, the fourth week average was 9.5, a full 2.9 deg below normal. ... This will probably lose another 0.1 a day or so and finish near 13.3.

MAX 24.7, MIN -2.1 -- probably both finals.

PRC has settled in at 68%, with the fourth week similar (76% of normal) ... would expect this to bump up to low 70s with the ongoing rainfall event, 75% seems about the limit mathematically.

SUN has edged past normal now and stands at 112% with week four quite sunny at 154% (assuming the update is actually an update because oddly these are the same numbers as week three produced) (925/600) ... anyway, rather cloudy tomorrow so this will likely finish near 110% if these numbers were in fact accurate. Will be checking the MS anyway.
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30-09-2020, 13:19   #52
John mac
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i had the sun and rain opposite .
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30-09-2020, 14:10   #53
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yup. a balls of a month.
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30-09-2020, 19:08   #54
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Don't forgot to post your Oct forecast today if you haven't already to avoid any late penalties!
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01-10-2020, 16:10   #55
M.T. Cranium
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Final values ... all to be checked tomorrow from MS

IMT 13.2

MAX 24.7

MIN -2.1

PRC 83% (est, to be adjusted from MS)

SUN (est, to be adjusted from MS) 110%
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01-10-2020, 19:52   #56
mr.stonewall
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Quote:
Originally Posted by M.T. Cranium View Post
Final values ... all to be checked tomorrow from MS

IMT 13.2

MAX 24.7

MIN -2.1

PRC 83% (est, to be adjusted from MS)

SUN (est, to be adjusted from MS) 110%
Pity I couldn't cash in my results based on the estimates. Strange month indeed, but a break needed from the dreary summer. Many thanks for MTC for running this. Only getting into really following charts and this forum has a wealth of knowledge with all posters.
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02-10-2020, 13:09   #57
M.T. Cranium
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Scoring for September 2020

Final confirmed values after checking the Monthly Statement

IMT 13.2 _ MAX 24.7 _ MIN --2.1 _ PRC 082 _ SUN 106



FORECASTER _________IMT_MAX_MIN_PRC_SUN__ Bonus ____ TOTAL


waterways __ (-2) ____ 24 _ 19*_ 20*_ 07 _ 10 ____ 8 _ 88-2 = 86

Dasa29 _____________ 24 _ 17*_ 11*_ 11 _ 06 ____ 7 ______ 76


____ NormaL ________ 24 _ 15*_ 11*_ 06 _ 09 ____ 6 ______ 71


MrStonewall __________20 _ 13*_ 05*_ 15 _ 09 ____ 7 ______ 69

Joe Public ___________ 24 _ 15*_ 16*_ 00 _ 08 ____ 6 ______ 69

Rikand ______________23 _ 17*_ 00__ 12 _ 07 ____ 9 ______ 68

Gonzo ______________ 23 _ 05*_ 19*_ 12 _ 08 ____ 1 ______ 68

M.T. Cranium _________17 _ 20*_ 02*_ 08 _ 10 ____ 7 ______ 64

200motels ___________25 _ 11*_ 00__ 13 _ 09 ____ 6 ______ 64

Jpmarn _____________ 25 _ 14*_ 01*_ 04 _ 09 ____ 8 ______ 61

Tae laidir ____________23 _ 00__ 20*_ 00 _ 10 ____ 7 ______ 60


____ Con Sensus _____ 24 _ 09*_ 02*_ 08 _ 09 ____ 8 ______ 60


Artane2002 __________23 _ 14*_ 03*_ 06 _ 08 ____ 5 ______ 59

sryanbruen __________ 24 _ 02*_ 04*_ 12 _ 09 ____ 7 ______ 58

Adam240610 __ (-1) __ 21 _ 09*_ 02*_ 14 _ 07 ____ 6 _59-1= 58

Bsal ________________22 _ 01*_ 11*_ 07 _ 08 ____ 7 ______ 56

WesternStorm ________22 _ 08*_ 00__ 10 _ 09 ____ 7 ______ 56

john mac ____________24 _ 11*_ 02*_ 04 _ 08 ____ 6 ______ 55

Sunflower3 __________ 25 _ 03*_ 00__ 09 _ 08 ____ 6 ______ 51

mickger844posts ______23 _ 02*_ 00__ 09 _ 09 ____ 7 ______ 50

Dacogawa ___________ 23 _ 11*_ 03*_ 00 _ 07 ____ 6 ______ 50

MrSkinner ___________ 18 _ 17*_ 00__ 00 _ 07 ____ 7 ______ 49

Kindred Spirit ________ 22 _ 01*_ 02*_ 07 _ 08 ____ 8 ______ 48

Appledrop __ (-2) _____ 19 _ 02*_ 00__ 13 _ 06 ___ 10 _50-2= 48

Tazio _______________ 18 _ 00__ 00__ 09 _ 08 ___ 12 ______ 47

DOCARCH ___________ 22 _ 03*_ 05*_ 07 _ 08 ____ 2 ______ 47

BLIZZARD7 __ (-3) ____ 20 _ 10*_ 02*_ 01 _ 10 ____ 6 _49-3= 46

Pauldry ______________21 _ 02*_ 01*_ 02 _ 08 ____ 4 ______ 38

Eon1208 ___ (-10) ____ 17 _ 08*_ 00__ 10 _ 07 ___ (^) _42-10=32

___________________________________________

* reduced boosts for minimum progression as some raw scores higher than 18/20.

(^) Eon1208 entered too late to try the bonus question and the late penalty is
(once again) smaller than would be assessed on a regular entrant. Anyway I
promised I would score the forecast.

Well done to waterways for one of the highest scores we have had this year, dasa29 also doing very well this month. Many of us seemed to miss one or two elements totally so a lot of the scores are similar in total.


========================================

(actual forecasts)

FORECASTER _________ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN __ 2nd Sept rain (Cork, DubA)

M.T. Cranium _________ 14.0 _ 24.5 _ 0.0 _ 102 _ 105 ___ 10.5 _ 8.8

BLIZZARD7 __ (-3) ____ 13.7 _ 26.0 _ 0.0 _ 125 _ 105 ___ 11.5 _ 8.8

MrStonewall __________ 13.7_ 23.7 _--0.4_ 082 _ 110 ____8.0 _ 5.0

Pauldry ______________13.6 _ 22.5 _ 0.3 _ 120 _ 095 ___ 15.0 _ 9.0

Artane2002 __________ 13.4 _ 23.8 _--0.2_ 110 _ 095 ___ 12.0 _ 8.0

Dacogawa ___________ 13.4 _ 23.5 _--0.2_ 155 _ 090 ____ 3.0 _12.0

Gonzo ______________ 13.4 _ 22.9 _--1.8_ 072 _ 116 ___ 19.0 _ 7.0

mickger844posts ______13.4 _ 22.1 _ 1.3 _ 100 _ 110 ___ 10.0 _ 8.0

Tae laidir ____________13.4 _ 21.4 _--2.0_ 134 _ 104 ____ 6.0 _ 8.0

Joe Public ___________ 13.3 _ 25.5 _--1.5_ 130 _ 095 ___ 15.0 _12.0

waterways __ (-2) ____ 13.3 _ 24.3 _--2.0_ 107 _ 108 ____ 4.1 _17.6

Dasa29 _____________ 13.3 _ 24.0 _--1.0_ 095 _ 125 ___ 12.0 _10.0

john mac ____________13.3 _ 23.5 _ 0.2 _ 110 _ 095 ____ 8.0 _ 4.0


____ Con Sensus _____ 13.3 _ 23.3 _ 0.0 _ 104 _ 101 ___ 10.3 _ 8.9


sryanbruen __________ 13.3 _ 22.2 _--0.3_ 090 _ 100 ____ 9.0 _ 6.0

Jpmarn _____________ 13.2 _ 23.8 _ 0.4 _ 115 _ 110 ___ 12.5 _18.8

200motels ___________13.2 _ 23.5 _ 1.1 _ 088 _ 101 ___ 22.0 _25.0

Sunflower3 __________13.2 _ 22.8 _ 1.0 _ 100 _ 095 ____ 5.5 _ 7.5


____ NormaL ________13.1 _ 25.5 _--1.0_ 100 _ 100 ____ 3.0 _16.0


Rikand _____________ 13.0 _ 24.0 _ 1.0 _ 090 _ 120 ____ 5.0 _12.0

WesternStorm _______ 12.9 _ 23.2 _ 1.5 _ 098 _ 103 ____ 9.0 _ 7.0

DOCARCH __________ 12.9 _ 22.8 _--0.4_ 105 _ 115 ___ 12.2 _ 3.8

Kindred Spirit ________12.9 _ 22.0 _ 0.0 _ 105 _ 095 ___ 12.0 _12.0

Bsal _______________ 12.9 _ 21.9 _--1.0_ 105 _ 095 ____ 6.0 _ 7.5

Adam240610 __ (-1) __12.8 _ 23.3 _ 0.1 _ 085 _ 120 ____ 4.0 _10.0

Appledrop __ (-2) ____ 12.6 _ 22.5 _ 1.2 _ 075 _ 085 ___ 10.0 _13.0

MrSkinner ___________12.5 _ 24.0 _ 1.0 _ 130 _ 090 ___ 17.0 _17.0

Tazio _______________12.5 _ 21.0 _ 1.5 _ 100 _ 095 ____ 9.0 _25.0

____________________________________________________

Annual scoring summary will be along later today.
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02-10-2020, 18:17   #58
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Thanks M.T. I knew I was miles off this month.

I'm actually delighted because that meant September turned out much drier, sunny + warmer than expected!

How could you not be happy about that after the worse summer in Dublin in a long time.
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02-10-2020, 20:03   #59
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Annual scoring update January to September 2020

This month, we shift the format of the table to the "best 7/9" totals as we close in on the eventual best 10/12 to determine the main "Boards award" -- the total scores are still tracked in the left column but the table is now in the order of the final rank value.


rank _ FORECASTER ______ Jan _Feb _Mar _Apr _May _Jun _Jul _Aug _Sep __TOTAL___ Best 7/9 (rank, prev)



(01)_(01)__ NormaL _______ 70 _ 50 _ 73 _ 55 _ 52 _ 78 _ 59 _ 70 _ 71 __ 578 ____ 476 (01) (02)


t02_(01) _Pauldry __________63 _ 36 _ 58 _ 69 _ 46 _ 79 _ 77 _ 76 _ 38 __ 542 ____ 468 (01) (01)

01_(t02)_Jpmarn __________ 86 _ 51 _ 50 _ 61 _ 39 _ 62 _ 73 _ 71 _ 61 __ 554 ____ 465 (02) (02)

04_(09)_ Dasa29 __________ 48 _ 70 _ 55 _ 38 _ 53 _ 63 _ 66 _ 70 _ 76 __ 539 ____ 453 (03) (08t)

15_(16)_Rikand ___________ 68 _ 38 _ 64 _ 73 _ 66 _ 41 _ --- _ 71 _ 68 __ 489 ____ 451 (04) (10)

07 _(t07) _sryanbruen ______ 47 _ 58 _ 88 _ 71 _ 43 _ 54 _ 70 _ 35 _ 58 __ 524 ____ 446 (05) (07)

t02_(t02)_ Mrskinner _______ 86 _ 54 _ 72 _ 61 _ 60 _ 49 _ 49 _ 62 _ 49 __ 542 ____ 444 (06) (03)


(02)_(04)___ Con Sensus ___ 70 _ 62 _ 59 _ 69 _ 57 _ 64 _ 58 _ 49 _ 60 __ 548 ____ 442 (07) (04)


11_(12) _ Adam240610 ____ 62 _ 38 _ 58 _ 69 _ 47 _ 80 _ 64 _ 37 _ 58 __ 513 ____ 438 (08) (11t)

05_(04)_Dacogawa ________73 _ 64 _ 53 _ 51 _ 62 _ 59 _ 63 _ 62 _ 50 __ 537 ____ 436 (09) (04)

06_(05)_DOCARCH ________58 _ 61 _ 62 _ 50 _ 54 _ 69 _ 62 _ 68 _ 47 __ 531 ____ 434 (10) (05)

t08_(06)_ Kindred Spirit_____61 _ 63 _ 71 _ 71 _ 60 _ 53 _ 37 _ 53 _ 48 __ 517 ____ 432 (11t) (06)

17_(17)_200motels ________47 _ --- _ 75 _ 61 _ 60 _ 65 _ 60 _ 43 _ 64 __ 475 ____ 432 (11t) (14)

18_(18)_Joe Public ________ 70 _ 65 _ 42 _ 39 _ 78 _ 59 _ --- _ 47 _ 69 __ 469 ____ 430 (12) (17)

13_(11)_ Sunflower3 ______ 68 _ 60 _ 50 _ 57 _ 51 _ 71 _ 32 _ 68 _ 51 __ 508 ____ 426 (13) (08t)

t08_(10) _Artane2002 ______56 _ 63 _ 65 _ 69 _ 52 _ 50 _ 61 _ 42 _ 59 __ 517 ____ 425 (14) (13)

14_(14)_M.T. Cranium _____ 69 _ 59 _ 60 _ 51 _ 35 _ 75 _ 46 _ 44 _ 64 __ 503 ____ 424 (15) (16)

10_(t07)_mickger844posts __55 _ 63 _ 60 _ 48 _ 74 _ 59 _ 54 _ 53 _ 50 __ 516 ____ 418 (16) (11t)

12_(13)_Bsal ____________ 62 _ 54 _ 57 _ 52 _ 48 _ 49 _ 67 _ 65 _ 56 __ 510 ____ 413 (17t) (15)

19_(20) _waterways _______--- _ 54 _ 42 _ 44 _ 67 _ 42 _ 63 _ 57 _ 86 __ 455 ____ 413 (17t) (19)

16_(15) _john mac ________ 64 _ 46 _ 52 _ 61 _ 59 _ 57 _ 41 _ 51 _ 55 __ 486 ____ 399 (19) (18)

20_(19) _Tae laidir ________ 67 _ 49 _ 48 _ 49 _ 53 _ 45 _ 37 _ 35 _ 60 __ 443 ____ 371 (20) (20)

21_(21) _BLIZZARD7 _______66 _ 36 _ 47 _ 44 _ 53 _ 15 _ --- _ 29 _ 46 __ 336 ____ 321 (21) (21)


22_(22)_Appledrop ________ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ 47 _ 80 _ 71 _ 48 __246

23 _(23)_Mr Stonewall _____ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ 34 _ 50 _ --- _ 43 _ 69 __ 196

24 _(24)_WesternStorm _____54 _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ 20 _ 48 _ 56 __ 178

25 _(25) _Gonzo __________ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ 84 _ 25 _ 68 __ 177

26_ (27)_Tazio ____________--- _ --- _ --- _ 68 _ --- _ 35 _ --- _ --- _ 47 __ 150

27 _(26) _Eon1208 ________ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ 50 _ 57 _ 32 __ 139

28 _(28)_JCXBXC __________ 58 _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ ----_--- ___ 58

29 _(29)_esposito __________49 _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ ----_ --- ___ 49

=================================================

Will post comments later, need to post and run ... also will check for accuracy of ranks etc
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02-10-2020, 20:31   #60
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Thanks M.T. Cranium for all your good work on here! I'm glad to take part every month and to see familiar faces on here in difficult times. Please take good care all of you.
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