ECM looking the strongest for winds on Sunday at this stage . Currently strongest winds in coastal counties and strongest along the coasts.
It's a complex beast . The system seems to be more like a number of areas of LP being absorbed to form one large storm . The whole mass does a pirouette in the Atlantic near Iceland before swinging in towards the North of Scotland on Sunday. Showing getting down to an incredibly deep 921 hPa on Sat and charts showing 950 hPa when it is off the NW on Sunday evening. Looks to produce a few wave depressions on it's journey so a lot of uncertainty as to what comes in close to us or not. It is probably better viewed as a collection of deep areas of LP maybe ?
Gerry Murphy mentioning Sunday keeping an eye on as could be stormy. Much rainfall in the lead up to this also and looking very wet over the weekend, areas quite saturated and standing weather in fields so some flooding in places probably an issue over the weekend and into Monday. His comments would tally with the ECM charts, GFS whilst strong not showing stormy yet.
Saturday quite windy and wet in it's own right, very windy along coasts and quite windy blustery during the frontal passage over the country.
Sunday looks to be very cold day with sleety wintry showers possible.
Rough idea of accumulated rain up to Monday am.