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06-02-2020, 13:47   #31
eigrod
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The Welsh lads sailing home on Sunday might be in for a rocky ride.
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06-02-2020, 14:49   #32
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The widespread nature of Ciara's gusts should make it somewhat unique from recent storms. Windiest days of the 2010s decade for mean max gusts (based on the station grid I use for storm comparison tables). There's a large margin of error with the dataset though due to stations missing data on some days so should only be used as a guide and nothing more than that.

12 Feb 2014 - 59.7 kts (Darwin)
03 Jan 2012 - 57.9 kts
18 Dec 2013 - 54.2 kts
27 Dec 2013 - 53.5 kts
11 Nov 2010 - 53.4 kts
13 Dec 2011 - 52.6 kts
23 May 2011 - 51.8 kts
30 Jan 2013 - 51.8 kts
26 Dec 2013 - 51.7 kts
23 Feb 2017 - 51.7 kts (Doris)
28 Jan 2013 - 51.3 kts
08 Dec 2011 - 51.3 kts
03 Feb 2011 - 51.1 kts
12 Sep 2011 - 50.6 kts (ex-hurricane Katia)
31 Mar 2011 - 50.4 kts
16 Oct 2017 - 50.3 kts (Ophelia)
26 Jan 2014 - 50.2 kts
03 Jan 2014 - 50.1 kts

50 kts is equivalent to 92.6 km/h. Mean wind speeds would tell somewhat of a different story I would think.

Most of these were in 2011 and 2013 Lorenzo on 4th October 2019 fits just outside the top 330 windiest days in terms of mean max gusts.

Data from Met Éireann.
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06-02-2020, 15:05   #33
nthclare
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Can we keep on topic please
Atlantic storms, water temperature and its effects, wind turbulence and fresh air is bang on topic.
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06-02-2020, 15:07   #34
Meteorite58
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https://twitter.com/SimonLeeWx/statu...249476609?s=19
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06-02-2020, 15:08   #35
Oneiric 3
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This morning's ECM wind gust forecast for Sunday noon:



Fairly impressive but a long way to go yet.
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06-02-2020, 15:21   #36
Oneiric 3
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In comparison to the 00z, the ECMWF 06z has the strongest of the winds during Sunday morning, and tending to be over the central swathe of the country (away from coastal regions)

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06-02-2020, 15:35   #37
Oneiric 3
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If you want to get an idea for the forecast wind speeds and gusts the GFS is showing for your particular region this is probably the best webpage to use:

https://www.xcweather.co.uk/forecast/tuam

Just type in your nearest town or village into search box. Updates as soon as each GFS run is complete.
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06-02-2020, 15:48   #38
lcasey90
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Originally Posted by Oneiric 3 View Post
If you want to get an idea for the forecast wind speeds and gusts the GFS is showing for your particular region this is probably the best webpage to use:

https://www.xcweather.co.uk/forecast/tuam

Just type in your nearest town or village into search box. Updates as soon as each GFS run is complete.
Thanks never knew about that site
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06-02-2020, 15:53   #39
Rebelbrowser
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Originally Posted by sryanbruen View Post
The widespread nature of Ciara's gusts should make it somewhat unique from recent storms. Windiest days of the 2010s decade for mean max gusts (based on the station grid I use for storm comparison tables). There's a large margin of error with the dataset though due to stations missing data on some days so should only be used as a guide and nothing more than that.

12 Feb 2014 - 59.7 kts (Darwin)
03 Jan 2012 - 57.9 kts
18 Dec 2013 - 54.2 kts
27 Dec 2013 - 53.5 kts
11 Nov 2010 - 53.4 kts
13 Dec 2011 - 52.6 kts
23 May 2011 - 51.8 kts
30 Jan 2013 - 51.8 kts
26 Dec 2013 - 51.7 kts
23 Feb 2017 - 51.7 kts (Doris)
28 Jan 2013 - 51.3 kts
08 Dec 2011 - 51.3 kts
03 Feb 2011 - 51.1 kts
12 Sep 2011 - 50.6 kts (ex-hurricane Katia)
31 Mar 2011 - 50.4 kts
16 Oct 2017 - 50.3 kts (Ophelia)
26 Jan 2014 - 50.2 kts
03 Jan 2014 - 50.1 kts

50 kts is equivalent to 92.6 km/h. Mean wind speeds would tell somewhat of a different story I would think.

Most of these were in 2011 and 2013 Lorenzo on 4th October 2019 fits just outside the top 330 windiest days in terms of mean max gusts.

Data from Met Éireann.
6 of those were in the 7 week period from 26/12/13 to 12/2/14. One gruesome period of weather that was......
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06-02-2020, 16:00   #40
Chicken Run
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Time for people to go park up in the famous (infamous?) Salthill carpark I guess.
I'm booked into the Salthill Hotel for Sunday night (booked weeks ago)...... That should be fun....!!!! (Won't be parking on the prom)
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06-02-2020, 17:05   #41
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Galway 2020 launch event to take place in South Park beside Nimmo’s Pier Saturday afternoon. A lot of scaffolding up, a lot of people due, right at the high tide time.

Sickened it can’t get moved a few days either side.
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06-02-2020, 17:25   #42
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Galway 2020 launch event to take place in South Park beside Nimmo’s Pier Saturday afternoon. A lot of scaffolding up, a lot of people due, right at the high tide time.

Sickened it can’t get moved a few days either side.
That is hard indeed. so sorry.

Waiting for the ferry to arrive ; deliveries were planned for tomorrow or later but they brought it forward because of the forecast.
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06-02-2020, 17:51   #43
Rebelbrowser
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Galway 2020 launch event to take place in South Park beside Nimmo’s Pier Saturday afternoon. A lot of scaffolding up, a lot of people due, right at the high tide time.

Sickened it can’t get moved a few days either side.
Is it mean to say this was always a risk for a February event? Surely a city centre location would have been safer?
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06-02-2020, 17:59   #44
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Sryanbruen, that average of peak gusts would be a good simplified version of the storm index we were talking about. But I wonder how much work it would be to produce the same list in the form of the average of your stat (average peak gust) and maximum gust anywhere in the grid. That would further capture the severity, I wonder if it would make much difference to the ranking?

That said, this Ciara needs a bit more definition to produce some exceptional gusts, in other words, a bit of a tightening of the isobars in sync with some upper level energy rotating around the parent low might come into view as we get closer to the reliable time frame, and give us a better estimate of peak gusts, because right now it looks more like a prolonged interval of yellow with the occasional orange peak.

It's basically like the Atlantic said, "okay, the arctic has pretty much given up for the winter, so I will take pity on those cold lovers and take over big time, then bring in my own kind of cold, here it comes ready or not."
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06-02-2020, 18:23   #45
Kermit.de.frog
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Snow will be more prominent and to sea level from the early hours of Monday morning. I'd be looking at 5 - 10 cm in the west and north and 2 - 5 cm elsewhere.

Possibility of a longer period of snow later Monday in the southern half of the country as well.
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