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08-02-2020, 18:54   #151
Meteorite58
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ECM has brought the LP further North on the latest two runs showing windy in the SW, S, one to watch







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16-02-2020, 13:45   #152
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Cool in general until Weds, cool again Thurs and milder again on Fri. With the milder days comes the rain though with fronts crossing the country.







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16-02-2020, 16:43   #153
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Thursday has snow potential. Frontal systems coming up against cold air from the northwest look orientated in such a way that they could turn to snow through Thursday morning. A sharp enough thermal gradient too





One to watch. GFS is a bit crude at this time frame but shows as such too




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17-02-2020, 15:56   #154
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A rain band going through tomorrow morning followed by showers, very wet Weds into Thurs morning followed by showers some of which will be wintry. Widespread rain again Fri.

Some sign of sleety rain in the frontal band going through early on Thurs Morning.

Looks like some big rainfall amounts by he end of the week.

Winds never far away this week and more so the nearer we get to the weekend

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17-02-2020, 16:58   #155
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I must be looking at different charts, still unsettled this week and a bit cold, but the Conveyor belt of deep depressions has certainly stopped, even beyond 120hrs and up to 180hrs we have mild and cold in rotation. but certainly not much rain and the cold won't feel too bad in the warmer late February sun.
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17-02-2020, 19:37   #156
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Indeed you must be, GFS shows a never ending conveyor belt of rain for the next week. Wind not as strong and not as cold but essentially its just more of the same

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18-02-2020, 13:48   #157
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A slight risk of snow on Thursday looking at some model runs and sat24. What does anyone else think?
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18-02-2020, 14:12   #158
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A slight risk of snow on Thursday looking at some model runs and sat24. What does anyone else think?
most of the models aren't going for it except for the GFS and Euro models. Temperatures look too high for any lying snow away from high ground in the north. Could be some sleetyness in the rain/showers at lower levels. Uppers of about -6 or -7C which is similar to what we had a few days ago combined with daytime temperatures of 4 or 5c is very borderline/marginal for snow at lower levels.
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18-02-2020, 17:46   #159
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Rain totals predicted by the ECM up to Fri night





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18-02-2020, 18:02   #160
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Charts showing it a bit windy on Fri and quite wet, makings of an unpleasant day for anything outdoors, looks quite heavy in the W and NW and a bit lower totals in the SW. Looks like the mildest day in some time getting up around 10 -11C.

A lot of rivers lakes going to be tested by the large rainfall amounts on the way.











ECM Rainfall Accumulation Predictions up to Sunday

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18-02-2020, 18:09   #161
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The upper Fergus has burst its banks near Corofin

The Fall's in Ennistymon are spectacular at the moment, the Inagh river has high banks no fear of Ennistymon getting flooding.
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18-02-2020, 19:33   #162
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After the front clears early Thurs cold air mass follows with widespread wintry showers, hail and thunder also, more so along the Atlantic seaboard.

528 dam line below Ireland again.

Cold breezy day, windy on the coasts.













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18-02-2020, 19:55   #163
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The recently useless euro 04 going for snow over Munster on Thursday......
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18-02-2020, 20:09   #164
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The recently useless euro 04 going for snow over Munster on Thursday......
Yeah at the back edge of the front and snow showers to follow, no doubt very cold mid level temperatures following but the EURO 4 just seems to overdo everything. Probably get snow on high ground and the higher hills all right, later could get heavy sleet/ snow showers following but very mixed air temperatures due to the wind coming off the W perhaps and the temperatures rise towards evening as the next deluge of rain arrives. Worth keeping an eye though, if it was to snow at the back edge of the front it would be clearing the country around 06.00 / 07.00, at that stage wintry showers should be arriving into Atlantic counties. So early morning commute could be a bit tricky for some.

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18-02-2020, 20:53   #165
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After the front clears early Thurs cold air mass follows with widespread wintry showers, hail and thunder also, more so along the Atlantic seaboard.

528 dam line below Ireland again.

Cold breezy day, windy on the coasts.
Is this productive for sea level snow in Ulster? It has been snowing on and off today above 600 feet with warmer 850pha temps??

What about frontal snow?

Last edited by Meteorite58; 19-02-2020 at 20:07.
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